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Tag: Bitcoin ETF Rally

  • Parabolic Rally In The Making? Bitcoin Regains $70,000 As Traders’ Paper Profits Collapse To 3%

    Parabolic Rally In The Making? Bitcoin Regains $70,000 As Traders’ Paper Profits Collapse To 3%

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    The world’s largest cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), has been consolidating over the past week, trading between $67,000 and $70,000 after experiencing a brief 20% price correction that sent it as low as $56,400 in early May. 

    This consolidation period comes as inflows into the US spot Bitcoin ETF market have reignited, and selling pressure appears to have cooled off, both in the ETF market and among Bitcoin investors more broadly.

    Bitcoin Selling Pressure Fades

    According to Julio Moreno, head of research at on-chain market analytics firm CryptoQuant, the current Bitcoin price level of $70,000 differs from when it last reached that mark in March. 

    Moreno notes that traders are now exerting much lower selling pressure, as unrealized profits are only around 3%, compared to 69% in early March. This suggests that much of the “heavy selling” has been exhausted, as seen in the chart below.

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    Unrealized gains for BTC holders are only 3%. Source: Julio Moreno on X

    Santiment data also shows that Bitcoin has once again eclipsed a $70,000 market capitalization, even as the US stock market took a hiatus for the Memorial Day holiday. 

    Market intelligence platform Santiment sees this as an encouraging sign, as it demonstrates BTC’s ability to perform positively on days when it is not closely correlated with the primary stock market, which has been the case for much of 2022.

    Final Pre-Breakout Consolidation Phase

    Despite this positive momentum, crypto analyst Rekt Capital has noted that Bitcoin’s latest weekly candle closed below the range high resistance of its ongoing “re-accumulation” phase, which spans roughly $60,000 to $70,000.

    This likely sentences the leading cryptocurrency to further consolidation within this range, aligned with Rekt Capital’s thesis that two phases remain in the current bull cycle: the post-halving re-accumulation phase and the “parabolic rally phase.”

    Historically, Bitcoin has tended to consolidate around all-time highs before embarking on the most illustrative stretch of its bull cycles. According to the analyst, Bitcoin has indeed been consolidating at these highs for quite some time now, especially by the standards of previous cycles

    While there is still room for further sideways trading at these elevated price levels, the time remaining in this phase is slowly running out. This leads to the belief that the long-awaited post-Halving rally, coupled with renewed investor sentiment, is poised to take the largest cryptocurrency on the market to even higher levels than the current $73,700 reached in mid-March.

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    As such, Bitcoin appears to be entering a critical juncture in its current bull cycle. The consolidation and re-accumulation that has dominated the market in recent months could soon give way to the next parabolic surge, should historical patterns hold. 

    Bitcoin
    The 1-D chart shows BTC’s price consolidation. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

    As of now, BTC has gained 2% in the past 24 hours, adding to its 10% positive movement in the past month alone. Bitcoin is currently trading at $70,200. 

    Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com

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    Ronaldo Marquez

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  • Bitcoin ETFs Boosts Coinbase (COIN) Shares As JPMorgan Upgrades Rating

    Bitcoin ETFs Boosts Coinbase (COIN) Shares As JPMorgan Upgrades Rating

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    The recent Bitcoin rally, propelling its price to the $52,000 level, has positively impacted the stock of US-based cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase (COIN). After experiencing a notable dip to $115 at the start of February, Coinbase’s stock rose to $172 on Thursday, following a significant upgrade by a JPMorgan analyst.

    Improved Prospects For Coinbase Amid Crypto Rally

    According to a Bloomberg report, JPMorgan analyst Kenneth Worthington abandoned his bearish view on Coinbase weeks after downgrading the stock. 

    As Bitcoin traded higher, Coinbase shares gained as much as 7.8% following the upgrade. Worthington believes the exchange will likely benefit from the recent rally in digital asset prices, prompting him to shift his rating back to neutral.

    This change in stance comes after Worthington’s January downgrade, where he predicted a potential deflation of enthusiasm for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). 

    However, contrary to his previous forecast, Bitcoin ETFs have been successful in terms of trading measures, and the price of Bitcoin has surged beyond $52,000, reaching its highest level since 2021. In a note to clients on Thursday, Worthington explained:

    Given the acceleration in recent days of flows into Bitcoin ETFs and the significant price appreciation of Bitcoin and now Ethereum, we are returning to a Neutral rating on Coinbase as we see the higher cryptocurrency prices not only sustaining but improving activity levels and Coinbase’s earnings power as we look to 1Q24.

    The daily chart shows COIN’s 4% uptrend in the past 24 hours. Source: COIN on TradingView.com

    Coinbase’s stock experienced an 8% dip at the beginning of the year, following an impressive 400% surge in 2023. Analyst opinions on the stock remain divided, with buy, hold, and sell recommendations being roughly evenly split. 

    Worthington maintained his $80 price target on the stock ahead of the company’s earnings report, which is scheduled to be released after the market closes on Thursday.

    Worthington emphasized that Coinbase’s business is closely tied to token prices, with its core revenue being transaction-based. As the value of tokens increases and trading activity gains momentum, fees based on the value traded are expected to drive higher trading volumes, ultimately contributing to improved revenue for Coinbase.

    Bitcoin ETFs Witness Significant Trading Volume 

    On February 14th, the trading volume of Bitcoin ETFs showcased notable figures, with Blackrock’s IBIT recording the lead with $721 million in volume. 

    Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) followed closely with $619 million, while Fidelity’s FBTC secured the third spot with $456 million. On the other hand, Ark Invest accumulated a volume of $169 million.

    The nine ETFs’ total trading volume amounted to approximately $1.5 billion. Notably, the largest ETFs experienced higher trading volume than the previous day, with IBIT surpassing $700 million and GBTC exceeding $600 million.

    Coinbase
    Bitcoin ETF’s February 14 trading volumes with Blacrock’s IBIT leading the pack. Source: AlexOtta on X

    Intriguingly, before the trading session, GBTC sent less than half of the Bitcoin it sent to Coinbase the previous day. Despite this decrease, GBTC’s total trading volume was 50% higher.

    As the demand for Bitcoin continues to surge, ETFs play a crucial role in facilitating institutional and retail investors’ participation in the cryptocurrency market. The increased trading volume of Bitcoin ETFs highlights investors’ growing interest and confidence in digital assets.

    Coinbase
    BTC’s price rally on the 1-D chart. Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

    Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $51,900 and encountering a critical resistance level at $52,000. 

    Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Ronaldo Marquez

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  • Grayscale Transfers Almost 12,000 BTC To Coinbase, Bitcoin Price Reacts

    Grayscale Transfers Almost 12,000 BTC To Coinbase, Bitcoin Price Reacts

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    In a significant development that could potentially impact the Bitcoin price, Arkham Intelligence data reveals that Grayscale, the manager and owner of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), has been sending a significant amount of Bitcoin to Coinbase since the launch of Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on January 12.

    Grayscale Bitcoin Trust Initiates Substantial BTC Outflow

    According to the data, four days ago, Grayscale initiated the first batch of BTC outflows from their holdings to the US-based exchange in four separate batches, totaling 4,000 BTC, which amounted to approximately $183 million. However, the asset manager resumed outflows from the Trust to the exchange on Tuesday.

    A portion of Grayscale’s transfers to Coinbase. Source: Arkham

    In a recent update, approximately three hours ago, the asset manager sent an additional 11,700 BTC to Coinbase, amounting to $491.4 million. This additional selling pressure could push the Bitcoin price to test lower support levels.

    Furthermore, Bloomberg reports that investors have withdrawn over half a billion dollars from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust during the initial days of trading as an ETF. 

    According to Bloomberg’s data, outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust reached approximately $579 million, while the other nine spot Bitcoin ETFs witnessed inflows totaling nearly $819 million.

    Investors Shift Capital To ‘Lower-Cost’ Spot Bitcoin ETFs

    James Seyffart, an ETF analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, noted that investors may be profit-taking following the ETF conversion. The flow data provides valuable insights into the ETF’s performance following SEC approval. 

    Although over $2.3 billion of GBTC shares were traded on its first day, the outflows indicate that a portion of that volume was due to selling. Seyffart anticipates that a significant amount of capital will enter other Bitcoin exposures.

    The outflows from Grayscale’s ETF were somewhat expected. Bloomberg Intelligence had previously projected that the fund would experience outflows of over $1 billion in the coming weeks. 

    Some of this outflow can be attributed to investors shifting towards more cost-effective spot Bitcoin ETFs. With an expense ratio of 1.5%, GBTC is the most expensive US ETF directly investing in Bitcoin. In contrast, the VanEck Bitcoin Trust, the second-most expensive fund, charges 0.25%.

    On the other hand, other spot Bitcoin ETFs have witnessed net inflows. BlackRock’s IBIT attracted nearly $500 million in the first two days of trading, while Fidelity’s FBTC received approximately $421 million. 

    According to Bloomberg, these inflows suggest strong demand for Bitcoin exposure in physically backed ETFs, even beyond potential seed funding from the fund issuers.

    Bitcoin Price Finds Support At $42,000

    Currently, the Bitcoin price remains unaffected by the news of Grayscale’s transfers to Coinbase. The leading cryptocurrency is trading at $43,100, showing a slight increase of 0.8% over the past 24 hours.

    However, since the commencement of ETF trading, it is important to note that the Bitcoin price has experienced a significant retracement, declining by 8%. This decline can be attributed to profit-taking and selling pressure, with Grayscale’s involvement being noteworthy.

    In the event of a further drop in the Bitcoin price, a significant support level has been established at $42,000. If this level is breached, the next key level for Bitcoin bulls to watch is $41,350, followed by a potential dip below $40,000.

    The market is eagerly observing whether Grayscale and its BTC selloff will continue and how this will impact the Bitcoin price leading up to the scheduled halving event in April, which many consider to be the main catalyst for the year.

    Bitcoin price
    The daily chart shows BTC’s valuation at $43,100. Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

    Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com 

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Ronaldo Marquez

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  • Bitcoin Erases $49,000 ETF Rally As Coinbase Users Take To Selling

    Bitcoin Erases $49,000 ETF Rally As Coinbase Users Take To Selling

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    Bitcoin had earlier shown a sharp rally toward the $49,000 mark, but the asset was quick to retrace the entire surge as the Coinbase Premium turned negative.

    Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Plunged Into Negative During Past Day

    As pointed out by CryptoQuant Netherlands community manager Maartunn in a post on X, the Coinbase Premium Gap has now turned notably negative after being mostly positive for the last few days.

    The “Coinbase Premium Gap” refers to the difference between the Bitcoin prices listed on the cryptocurrency exchanges Coinbase (USD pair) and Binance (USDT pair).

    This indicator’s value basically provides hints about how the buying or selling behaviors on these two largest platforms in the sector differ from each other right now.

    When the metric has a positive value, it means that the price listed on Coinbase is higher than on Binance currently. Such a trend implies the former platform’s users are participating in a higher amount of buying (or lower amount of selling) than the Binance users.

    On the other hand, the indicator being positive suggests that Binance might be observing a higher degree of buying pressure at the moment as the price listed on the exchange is greater.

    Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap since the start of the year:

    Looks like the value of the metric has taken a plunge during the past day | Source: @JA_Maartunn on X

    As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has observed a sharp plunge down into the negative territory during the past day or so. Before this plummet, the indicator had been mostly at positive values since the start of the year.

    There were a few dips into the red zone earlier as well, but the indicator only attained minor negative values during these drops. This time, though, the premium is down to significantly negative levels.

    The price surges this year were being driven by the buyers on Coinbase, as the price rose every time the premium did as well. Coinbase is popularly known to be used by US institutional investors, so the green premium suggested that these large entities were buying, most likely in anticipation of the ETFs, which finally gained approval on January 10th.

    A while after this approval, BTC went on to sharply rally toward the $49,000 level, but the asset’s run was very short-lived as its price plummeted hard back towards the price prior to the move, thus erasing all the gains.

    The Coinbase Premium Gap had been notably positive alongside the surge, but the indicator then showed its plunge into the negative territory alongside this quick retrace. It would appear that some American institutional traders may have used the opportunity to harvest their profits.

    BTC Price

    Bitcoin has been moving sideways since the quick rally and drawdown, as its price is still floating around the $45,800 level.

    Bitcoin Price Chart

    The price of the coin seems to have shown an overall trend of consolidation recently | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

    Featured image from Shutterstock.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Keshav Verma

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