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Tag: Berkshire Hathaway Inc

  • Berkshire Hathaway’s cash fortress tops $300 billion as Buffett sells more stock, freezes buybacks

    Berkshire Hathaway’s cash fortress tops $300 billion as Buffett sells more stock, freezes buybacks

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    Warren Buffett walks the floor ahead of the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Meeting in Omaha, Nebraska, on May 3, 2024.

    David A. Grogen | CNBC

    Berkshire Hathaway‘s monstrous cash pile topped $300 billion in the third quarter as Warren Buffett continued his stock-selling spree and held back from repurchasing shares.

    The Omaha-based conglomerate saw its cash fortress swell to a record $325.2 billion by the end of September, up from $276.9 billion in the second quarter, according to its earnings report released Saturday morning.

    The mountain of cash kept growing as the Oracle of Omaha sold significant portions of his biggest equity holdings, namely Apple and Bank of America. Berkshire dumped about a quarter of its gigantic Apple stake in the third quarter, making the fourth consecutive quarter that it has downsized this bet. Meanwhile, since mid-July, Berkshire has reaped more than $10 billion from offloading its longtime Bank of America investment.

    Overall, the 94-year-old investor continued to be in a selling mood as Berkshire shed $36.1 billion worth of stock in the third quarter.

    No buybacks

    Berkshire didn’t repurchase any company shares during the period amid the selling spree. Repurchase activity had already slowed down earlier in the year as Berkshire shares outperformed the broader market to hit record highs.

    The conglomerate had bought back just $345 million worth of its own stock in the second quarter, significantly lower than the $2 billion repurchased in each of the prior two quarters. The company states that it will buy back stock when Chairman Buffett “believes that the repurchase price is below Berkshire’s intrinsic value, conservatively determined.”

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    Berkshire Hathaway

    Class A shares of Berkshire have gained 25% this year, outpacing the S&P 500’s 20.1% year-to-date return. The conglomerate crossed a $1 trillion market cap milestone in the third quarter when it hit an all-time high.

    For the third quarter, Berkshire’s operating earnings, which encompass profits from the conglomerate’s fully-owned businesses, totaled $10.1 billion, down about 6% from a year prior due to weak insurance underwriting. The figure was a bit less than analysts estimated, according to the FactSet consensus.

    Buffett’s conservative posture comes as the stock market has roared higher this year on expectations for a smooth landing for the economy as inflation comes down and the Federal Reserve keeps cutting interest rates. Interest rates have not quite complied lately, however, with the 10-year Treasury yield climbing back above 4% last month.

    Notable investors such as Paul Tudor Jones have become worried about the ballooning fiscal deficit and that neither of the two presidential candidates squaring off next week in the election will cut spending to address it. Buffett has hinted this year he was selling some stock holdings on the notion that tax rates on capital gains would have to be raised at some point to plug the growing deficit.

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Moving past sticky core inflation

    CNBC Daily Open: Moving past sticky core inflation

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    Prices are displayed in a store window in Brooklyn on August 14, 2024 in New York City. 

    Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Stubborn core inflation
    Prices in the U.S. rose 0.2% in August, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported, in line with the Dow Jones consensus. The 12-month inflation rate was at 2.5%, the lowest since February 2021. However, core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, ticked up 0.3%, 10 basis points higher than expected.

    Rebound rally
    Major U.S. indexes closed higher in a choppy session on Wednesday, lifted by technology stocks. Asia-Pacific markets were trading higher on Thursday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 jumped 3.43% and the Taiwan Weighted Index rose 3%. Chip-related Asian stocks including Tokyo Electron, Advantest and TSMC rose, tracking the rally in U.S. technology stocks.

    UBS CEO sees soft landing
    Sergio Ermotti, Group CEO of UBS Group AG, told CNBC that investors expecting the Fed to cut rates aggressively are getting “ahead of the curve.” Sticky inflation remains the “most important” issue, he added – August’s core CPI surprised to the upside. However, Ermotti still sees “the outlook [as] pretty consistent with a soft landing.”

    Harris or Trump? Little difference for China
    Regardless of who wins the U.S. Presidential elections, the country’s trade ties with China will remain tense, said Carlos Casanova, senior economist at Swiss private bank UBP. Donald Trump has proposed tariffs of up to 100%, while Kamala Harris is expected to stick with Joe Biden’s tariff policy that not only retained Trump-era tariffs but also escalated them.

    [PRO] Opportunities for semiconductor stocks
    Semiconductor stocks have been the market’s darling this year and are responsible for pushing the S&P 500 to consecutive fresh highs. However, since July, they’ve had wild swings. Still, with some chip stocks being undervalued, they appear to be good buys amid this volatility, said analysts.

    The bottom line

    On the surface, Wednesday looked like a great day for investors.

    The S&P 500 climbed 1.07%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.31% and the Nasdaq Composite shot up 2.17%.

    However, those numbers are hiding turmoil under their pretty facades.

    The S&P dropped around 1% during trading but eventually managed to claw back losses and close more than 1% higher by the end of the day. It’s the first time the broad-based index has done so since October 2022.

    The consumer price index for August precipitated the initial fall. Core inflation, to which the Fed pays more attention because it more accurately reflects price movements, came in a bit higher than expected for the month.

    Core inflation was higher than the headline number because food and energy prices are stripped out from the former. And both were mild for the month: Food prices were only 0.1% higher, suggesting no pets need to be eaten, while energy costs fell 0.8%.

    Still, that data means the Fed’s unlikely to make a jumbo-sized 50-basis-point cut. Disappointment translated into stocks dropping.

    Even with inflation remaining difficult to tame, it doesn’t mean consumers are worse off. Real earnings rose 0.2% for the month, showed a separate Bureau of Labor Statistics report, which means the rise in income outstripped price increases.

    That might have helped the intraday rebound in the S&P.

    As for the Nasdaq, it was buoyed by technology stocks, which experienced a huge bounce from the previous days’ falls. Nvidia popped 8%, probably on news the U.S. might let the chipmaker sell advanced chips to Saudi Arabia, according to Reuters.

    But there might be more choppiness ahead in markets. The U.S. government is, once again, close to a shutdown because of politicking over government funding. It’s almost like the U.S. House of Representatives has no concept of a plan.  

    – CNBC’s Jeff Cox, Pia Singh and Lisa Kailai Han contributed to this story.

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Looking past sticky core inflation

    CNBC Daily Open: Looking past sticky core inflation

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    Prices are displayed in a store window in Brooklyn on August 14, 2024 in New York City. 

    Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Stubborn core inflation
    Prices in the U.S. rose 0.2% in August, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported, in line with the Dow Jones consensus. The 12-month inflation rate was at 2.5%, the lowest since February 2021. However, core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, ticked up 0.3%, 10 basis points higher than expected.

    Choppy trading
    Major U.S. indexes closed higher in a choppy session on Wednesday, lifted by technology stocks. The regional Stoxx 600 index ended the day flat following volatile trading. Country-specific indexes were mixed, however. Germany’s DAX added 0.35% while France’s CAC 40 lost 0.14%.

    Oracle shares jump
    Oracle’s shares have surged by double-digit percentages following its earnings reports so far this year. After Oracle popped 11% on Tuesday, the company’s share prices are up 49% year to date, second only to Nvidia’s 136%. “After 13 years of single-digit organic total revenue growth, Oracle is reaccelerating into the double digits,” said JMP analysts.

    Buffett sells more BofA
    Berkshire Hathaway isn’t done selling Bank of America shares. Warren Buffett’s conglomerate sold 5.8 million BofA shares on Friday, Monday and Tuesday, netting around $228.7 million for them. BofA dropped to Berkshire’s third-biggest holding, having long occupied the second spot.

    [PRO] Nothing to short here
    Bank stocks fell on Tuesday on fears of a slowdown in the sector. However, Steve Eisman, senior portfolio manager at Neuberger Berman, said he was not worried about the health of banks — or the economy, for that matter. And when the person who spotted the weakness in subprime mortgage loans speaks, it’s good to listen to him.

    The bottom line

    On the surface, Wednesday looked like a great day for investors.

    The S&P 500 climbed 1.07%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.31% and the Nasdaq Composite shot up 2.17%.

    However, those numbers are hiding turmoil under their pretty facades.

    The S&P dropped around 1% during trading but eventually managed to claw back losses and close more than 1% higher by the end of the day. It’s the first time the broad-based index has done so since October 2022.

    The consumer price index for August precipitated the initial fall. Core inflation, to which the Fed pays more attention because it more accurately reflects price movements, came in a bit higher than expected for the month.

    Core inflation was higher than the headline number because food and energy prices are stripped out from the former. And both were mild for the month: Food prices were only 0.1% higher, suggesting no pets need to be eaten, while energy costs fell 0.8%.

    Still, that data means the Fed’s unlikely to make a jumbo-sized 50-basis-point cut. Disappointment translated into stocks dropping.

    Even with inflation remaining difficult to tame, it doesn’t mean consumers are worse off. Real earnings rose 0.2% for the month, showed a separate Bureau of Labor Statistics report, which means the rise in income outstripped price increases.

    That might have helped the intraday rebound in the S&P.

    As for the Nasdaq, it was buoyed by technology stocks, which experienced a huge bounce from the previous days’ falls. Nvidia popped 8%, probably on news the U.S. might let the chipmaker sell advanced chips to Saudi Arabia, according to Reuters.

    But there might be more choppiness ahead in markets. The U.S. government is, once again, close to a shutdown because of politicking over government funding. It’s almost like the U.S. House of Representatives has no concept of a plan.  

    – CNBC’s Jeff Cox, Pia Singh and Lisa Kailai Han contributed to this story.

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  • Why Wells Fargo is the most attractive bank stock as the sell-off continues

    Why Wells Fargo is the most attractive bank stock as the sell-off continues

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  • Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway sold nearly half its stake in Apple

    Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway sold nearly half its stake in Apple

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    Warren Buffett walks the floor and meets with Berkshire Hathaway shareholders ahead of their annual meeting in Omaha, Nebraska on May 3rd, 2024. 

    David A. Grogan

    Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway dumped nearly half of its gigantic Apple stake last quarter in a surprising move for the famously long-term-focused investor.

    The Omaha-based conglomerate disclosed in its earnings filing that its holding in the iPhone maker was valued at $84.2 billion at the end of the second quarter, suggesting that the Oracle of Omaha offloaded a little more than 49% of the tech stake. Even after the selling Apple remains the largest stock stake by far for Berkshire.

    The Apple share sale comes amid a broader pattern of selling by Buffett in the second quarter as Berkshire unloaded more than $75 billion in equities in the period, raising the conglomerate’s cash fortress to a record $277 billion.

    Buffett had trimmed the Apple stake by 13% in the first quarter and hinted at the Berkshire annual meeting in May that it was for tax reasons. Buffett noted that selling “a little Apple” this year would benefit Berkshire shareholders in  the long run if the tax on capital gains is raised down the road by a U.S. government wanting to plug a climbing fiscal deficit.

    But the magnitude of this selling suggests it could be more than just a tax-saving move.

    After declining in the first quarter on concerns it was falling behind on artificial intelligence innovation, Apple shares took off in the second quarter, gaining 23% to a new record as it gave more detail to investors about its future in artificial intelligence.

    Why the selling?

    It won’t be clear exactly why Buffett is selling down the holding Berkshire first bought more than eight years ago, whether company reasons, market valuation or because of portfolio management concerns (Buffett typically doesn’t want a single holding to grow too large). Berkshire’s Apple holding was once so big that it took up half of its equity portfolio.

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    Apple

    The 93-year-old investor largely avoided technology companies for most of his career before Apple. Berkshire began buying the stock in 2016 under the influence of Buffett’s investing lieutenants Ted Weschler and Todd Combs. Over the years, Buffett grew so fond of Apple that he increased the stake drastically to make it Berkshire’s biggest and called the tech giant the second-most important business after his cluster of insurers.

    Buffett has been on a bit of a selling spree as of late with his top holdings. Buffett recently starting downsizing his second biggest stake — Bank of America, shedding $3.8 billion worth of the bank shares after a 12-day selling spree.

    Overall, the quarterly report showed Buffett dumping stock last quarter, which saw the S&P 500 rise to a record in anticipation of a “soft landing” for the U.S. economy. That soft landing was called into question this week with Friday’s weaker-than-expected July jobs report.

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  • Morgan Stanley tells wealth advisors they can pitch bitcoin ETFs in a first for a big bank

    Morgan Stanley tells wealth advisors they can pitch bitcoin ETFs in a first for a big bank

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    Morgan Stanley on Friday told its army of financial advisors that it will soon allow them to offer bitcoin ETFs to some clients, a first among major Wall Street banks, CNBC has learned.

    The firm’s 15,000 or so financial advisors can solicit eligible clients to purchase shares of two exchange-traded bitcoin funds starting Wednesday, according to people with knowledge of the policy.

    Those funds are BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust and Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund, the people said.

    The move from Morgan Stanley, one of the world’s largest wealth management firms, is the latest sign of the adoption of bitcoin by mainstream finance. In January, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approved applications for 11 spot bitcoin ETFs, heralding the arrival of an investment vehicle for bitcoin that is easier to access, cheaper to own and more readily traded.

    Bitcoin has weathered market sell-offs, the spectacular collapse of crypto exchange FTX and criticism from the most established figures in finance including JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon and Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett.

    So it’s not surprising that Wall Street’s major wealth management businesses didn’t immediately embrace the new ETFs, forbidding their financial advisors from pitching them and only allowing trades if clients actively sought out the product.

    Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Bank of America and Wells Fargo still follow that policy, according to spokespeople at the four banks.

    ‘Aggressive’ tolerance

    Don’t miss these insights from CNBC PRO

    Correction: Private funds from Galaxy and FS NYDIG that Morgan Stanley made available starting in 2021 were phased out earlier this year. An earlier version of this story included inaccurate information from Morgan Stanley sources about the company’s crypto investment offerings.

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  • Buffett Cuts BofA Stake Again, Unloading $3 Billion This Month

    Buffett Cuts BofA Stake Again, Unloading $3 Billion This Month

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    (Bloomberg) — Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. disclosed its third disposal of Bank of America Corp. shares this month — paring its massive, profitable bet on the lender by a total of more than $3 billion.

    Most Read from Bloomberg

    The conglomerate, which started building an investment in the bank in 2011 and has long reigned as the top shareholder, sold $767 million of the stock from July 25 to July 29, according to a regulatory filing Monday. That and prior sales this month reduced Berkshire’s stake by a total of 6.9%.

    Still, Berkshire holds almost 962 million shares, the filing shows — worth $39.5 billion at Monday’s closing price.

    The sales mark Buffett’s biggest pullback from a bet that has long served as a prominent vote of confidence in the stewardship of Bank of America Chief Executive Officer Brian Moynihan. The legendary 93-year-old investor is cashing out with the price up 22% this year.

    Representatives for Berkshire and Bank of America didn’t respond to messages seeking comment outside normal business hours.

    Buffett initially plowed $5 billion into Charlotte, North Carolina-based Bank of America at a dark time. The company was facing mounting legal liabilities after the 2008 financial crisis, and shareholders were growing anxious about the toll that was taking on its capital.

    Buffett has said he was in the bathtub when he came up with the idea of intervening, arranging to acquire preferred stock and the right to buy common shares. His imprimatur quelled public doubts and soon sent the stock higher, creating a massive paper profit.

    Berkshire kept investing in Bank of America in the decade that followed, eventually seeking regulatory approval to amass a stake surpassing 10%. Last year, as Buffett adjusted financial-industry bets and exited some, he called out Bank of America as one to keep.

    “I like Brian Moynihan enormously,” he said that April. “I just don’t want to sell it.”

    Most Read from Bloomberg Businessweek

    ©2024 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • Microsoft, CrowdStrike IT outage hits global supply chain, with air freight facing days or weeks to recover

    Microsoft, CrowdStrike IT outage hits global supply chain, with air freight facing days or weeks to recover

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    A FedEx cargo plane.

    Leslie Josephs | CNBC

    The CrowdStrike software bug that crashed Microsoft operating systems and caused the largest IT outage in history caused disruptions at U.S. and global ports, with highly complex air freight systems suffering the heaviest hit, according to logistics experts, as global airlines grounded flights.

    “Planes and cargo are not where they are supposed to be and it will take days or even weeks to fully resolve,” Niall van de Wouw, chief air freight officer at supply chain consulting firm Xeneta, said in a statement shared with CNBC. “This is a reminder of how vulnerable our ocean and air supply chains are to IT failure.” 

    Thousands of flights were grounded or delayed at the world’s largest air freight hubs in Europe, Asia and North America.

    The new issue for the global supply chain comes amid a rise in global demand, with shipments up 13% year-over-year in June. Air freight supply has increased, but only by 3% year-on-year, already causing higher costs for shippers due to the limited capacity, according to Xeneta. “Shippers already had concerns about air freight capacity due to huge increases in demand in 2024, driven largely by the extraordinary growth in e-commerce goods being exported from China to Europe and the U.S.,” van de Wouw said. “Available capacity in the market is already limited so airlines are going to struggle to move cargo tomorrow that should have been moved today.

    Pete Buttigieg, U.S. Secretary of Transportation, told CNBC on Friday morning that what the government is watching for over the course of the day, as the issue has been identified, is “the kind of ripple or cascade effects as they get everything back in their networks back to normal.”

    “These systems, these flights, they run so tightly, so back to back that even after a root cause has been addressed you can still feel those impacts throughout the day,” Buttigieg said.

    He said the FAA’s operational systems, like air traffic control or most systems within the U.S. Department of Transportation, as well as major urban transit systems, such as New York City’s MTA, were operating though there could be “spot” issues throughout the day. But “as far as the airlines themselves we are going to definitely be expecting more there,” he said.

    FedEx said in a statement that it has activated contingency plans, but added that “potential delays are possible for package deliveries” expected Friday.

    UPS said in a statement that computer systems in the U.S. and Europe were affected, but its airline continues to operate effectively, and drivers are on the roads delivering for customers. “We are continuing to work to resolve all issues as quickly as possible; there may be some service delays,” UPS stated.

    Ports, freight rails, report some issues, but normal operations

    Most rails and ports were faring better after some early morning disruptions.

    Only one major U.S. freight railroad reported issues related to the IT outage, with Union Pacific confirming in an email to CNBC that it had varying levels of impact across its network.

    “Our backup protocols enable us to communicate with our teams and dispatchers. We are doing everything possible to keep freight moving, but there have been some processing delays in customer shipments as we address targeted areas impacted on our network. We will continue to keep our stakeholders updated as we address the outage over the next 24 hours,” Union Pacific said in the emailed statement.

    Other major freight operators, including CSX, Norfolk Southern and BNSF, a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway said their operations are not currently affected.

    Buttigieg said that at the ports, small issues can turn into a big issue, noting that even with ships and cranes operational, gates were affected, which meant the trucks couldn’t come in or out, which led to delays at certain ports, but they are “up and running and open for business today,” he added.

    The Port of Houston, the fifth-largest port in the U.S., said it experienced “major system outages” overnight, but said that all of its systems are now up and running with “minimal delay to operations.”

    The Port of Los Angeles, the nation’s largest port, confirmed to CNBC that one of its terminals, APM Terminals, was down temporarily, but came back up in the early morning. In an email to clients, APM, a subsidiary of Maersk, notified trucking clients that the port was “able to recover rather quickly,” and it restarted operations around 2 a.m. Any drivers not able to complete their pickups were told to contact the company’s import group so they could secure a new appointment to have a demurrage waiver for those containers.

    Mario Cordero, executive director of the Port of Long Beach, said there were minimal impacts to some of its terminals, but systems are up or in the process of being restored.

    The Port of New York and New Jersey reported a delay in the opening of two terminals, but within a few hours, the terminals were back up and running.

    “The Port Authority has been working closely with impacted terminal operators since the overnight hours, assisting in their recovery while also communicating updates through a multitude of channels to the port’s vast community of stakeholders,” said Bethann Rooney, port director at the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey. She said the port was able to initiate “a quick and efficient response to get cargo moving again.”

    All marine terminals were open by 8 a.m. The Port Authority agency was not impacted by the outage.

    Not all ports use systems that incorporate CrowdStrike software, with the Port of Savannah and the Port of Virginia both reporting “normal operations.”

    Emily Stausbøll, Xeneta senior shipping analyst, told CNBC that the IT outage has the potential to cause significant disruption at ports if ships are prevented from offloading and loading containers, and that can cascade through the supply chain.

    “There are also knock-on impacts across inland supply chains if truck and rail services are unable to pick up and drop off cargo at the port,” Stausbøll said.

    She noted that In May, Charleston Port on the U.S. East Coast shut for two days due to a software failure, which resulted in a port congestion increase of 200%. “Port congestion has been a major problem during 2024. While it is now easing, there is no slack in the system and any disruption will push the needle back into the red,” she said.

    Maritime intelligence company Kpler told CNBC early indications showed the global IT outage affecting operations at global ports including Poland’s Gdansk, and Dover, Felixstowe and Liverpool in the U.K.

    Rotterdam, the largest port in Europe, informed customers on its website of possible disruptions, but In an email to CNBC, a port spokesman said critical port operations of the Harbour Master Division and nautical service providers remain operational. “However, some companies in the port, including a container terminal, are experiencing issues due to the disruption and have adjusted their processes. They are working on a solution.”

    Matt Wright, senior freight analyst at Kpler, said the outage could lead to some delays at the affected ports, but with Microsoft and Crowdstrike reporting a fix being implemented, resumption of normal operations later today would mean it is unlikely to cause any significant backlog.

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  • Jim Cramer calls this stock the Buffett bank; warns nothing really new on Netflix

    Jim Cramer calls this stock the Buffett bank; warns nothing really new on Netflix

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  • Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway made a number of changes in its equity portfolio last quarter

    Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway made a number of changes in its equity portfolio last quarter

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  • Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway cut Apple investment by about 13% in the first quarter

    Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway cut Apple investment by about 13% in the first quarter

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    Warren Buffett walks the floor ahead of the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Meeting in Omaha, Nebraska on May 3, 2024. 

    David A. Grogen | CNBC

    OMAHA, Nebraska — Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway cut its gigantic Apple stake in the first quarter as the “Oracle of Omaha” continued to downsize his one-time favorite bet.

    In its first-quarter earnings report, Berkshire Hathaway reported that its Apple bet was worth $135.4 billion, implying around 790 million shares. That would mark a decline of around 13% in the stake. Apple was still Berkshire’s biggest holding by far at the end of the quarter.

    This is the second quarter in a row that the Omaha-based conglomerate has trimmed the stake in the iPhone maker. It sold about 10 million Apple shares (just 1% of its massive stake) in the fourth quarter. This filing, when accounting for the change in Apple’s stock price, would imply Berkshire sold about 116 million shares.

    Buffett became a big fan of Apple after one of his investing managers Ted Weschler or Todd Combs convinced him to buy the stock years ago. Buffett even called the tech giant his second-most important business after Berkshire’s cluster of insurers.

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    Apple

    Many has speculated that the 93-year-old investing icon reduced his favorite stake due to valuation concerns. Apple’s stock gained a whopping 48% in 2023 as megacap tech shares led the market rally. At its peak, Apple ballooned in Berkshire’s equity portfolio, taking up 50% of it. The shares are trading at more than 27 times forward earnings.

    Shares of the iPhone maker got a big boost in the past week after the firm announced that its board had authorized $110 billion in share repurchases, the largest in company history. However, Apple posted a decline in overall sales and in iPhone sales. The shares are down more than 4% so far this year amid concerns about how it will revive growth.

    It’s not without precedent that the Berkshire CEO would adjust the Apple bet. He sold a bit of the stock in the fourth quarter of 2020, but Buffett admitted then that it was “probably a mistake.” Also it’s not usual for Buffett to trim a position that has grown so large.

    Even with the sale, Berkshire is still Apple’s largest shareholder outside of exchange-traded fund providers.

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  • Berkshire Hathaway’s big mystery stock wager could be revealed soon

    Berkshire Hathaway’s big mystery stock wager could be revealed soon

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    Warren Buffett tours the grounds at the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Meeting in Omaha Nebraska.

    David A. Grogan | CNBC

    Berkshire Hathaway, led by legendary investor Warren Buffett, has been making a confidential wager on the financial industry since the third quarter of last year.

    The identity of the stock — or stocks — that Berkshire has been snapping up could be revealed Saturday at the company’s annual shareholder meeting in Omaha, Nebraska.

    That’s because unless Berkshire has been granted confidential treatment on the investment for a third quarter in a row, the stake will be disclosed in filings later this month. So the 93-year-old Berkshire CEO may decide to explain his rationale to the thousands of investors flocking to the gathering.

    The bet, shrouded in mystery, has captivated Berkshire investors since it first appeared in disclosures late last year. At a time when Buffett has been a net seller of stocks and lamented a dearth of opportunities capable of “truly moving the needle at Berkshire,” he has apparently found something he likes — and in the financial realm no less.

    That’s an area he has dialed back on in recent years over concerns about rising loan defaults. High interest rates have taken a toll on some financial players like regional U.S. banks, while making the yield on Berkshire’s cash pile in instruments like T-bills suddenly attractive.

    “When you are the GOAT of investing, people are interested in what you think is good,” said Glenview Trust Co. Chief Investment Officer Bill Stone, using an acronym for greatest of all time. “What makes it even more exciting is that banks are in his circle of competence.”

    Under Buffett, Berkshire has trounced the S&P 500 over nearly six decades with a 19.8% compounded annual gain, compared with the 10.2% yearly rise of the index.

    Coverage note: The annual meeting will be exclusively broadcast on CNBC and livestreamed on CNBC.com. Our special coverage will begin Saturday at 9:30 a.m. ET.

    Veiled bets

    Berkshire requested anonymity for the trades because if the stock was known before the conglomerate finished building its position, others would plow into the stock as well, driving up the price, according to David Kass, a finance professor at the University of Maryland.

    Buffett is said to control roughly 90% of Berkshire’s massive stock portfolio, leaving his deputies Todd Combs and Ted Weschler the rest, Kass said.

    While investment disclosures give no clue as to what the stock could be, Stone, Kass and other Buffett watchers believe it is a multibillion-dollar wager on a financial name.

    That’s because the cost basis of banks, insurers and finance stocks owned by the company jumped by $3.59 billion in the second half of last year, the only category to increase, according to separate Berkshire filings.

    At the same time, Berkshire exited financial names by dumping insurers Markel and Globe Life, leading investors to estimate that the wager could be as large as $4 billion or $5 billion through the end of 2023. It’s unknown whether that bet was on one company or spread over multiple firms in an industry.

    Schwab or Morgan Stanley?

    If it were a classic Buffett bet — a big stake in a single company —  that stock would have to be a large one, with perhaps a $100 billion market capitalization. Holdings of at least 5% in publicly traded American companies trigger disclosure requirements.

    Investors have been speculating for months about what the stock could be. Finance covers all manner of companies, from retail lenders to Wall Street brokers, payments companies and various sectors of insurance.

    Charles Schwab or Morgan Stanley could fit the bill, according to James Shanahan, an Edward Jones analyst who covers banks and Berkshire Hathaway.

    “Schwab was beaten down during the regional banking crisis last year, they had an issue where retail investors were trading out of cash into higher-yielding investments,” Shanahan said. “Nobody wanted to own that name last year, so Buffett could’ve bought as much as he wanted.”

    Other names that have been circulated — JPMorgan Chase or BlackRock, for example, are possible, but may make less sense given valuations or business mix. Truist and other higher-quality regional banks might also fit Buffett’s parameters, as well as insurer AIG, Shanahan said, though their market capitalizations are smaller.

    Buffett & banks

    Berkshire has owned financial names for decades, and Buffett has stepped in to inject capital — and confidence — into the industry on multiple occasions.

    Buffett served as CEO of a scandal-stricken Salomon Brothers in the early 1990s to help turn the company around. He pumped $5 billion into Goldman Sachs in 2008 and another $5 billion into Bank of America in 2011, ultimately becoming the latter’s largest shareholder.

    But after loading up on lenders in 2018, from universal banks like JPMorgan to regional lenders like PNC Financial and U.S. Bank, he deeply pared his exposure to the sector in 2020 on concerns that the coronavirus pandemic would punish the industry.

    Since then, he and his deputies have mostly avoided adding to his finance stakes, besides modest positions in Citigroup and Capital One.

    ‘Fear is contagious’

    Last May, Buffett told shareholders to expect more turbulence in banking. He said Berkshire could deploy more capital in the industry, if needed.

    “The situation in banking is very similar to what it’s always been in banking, which is that fear is contagious,” Buffett said. “Historically, sometimes the fear was justified, sometimes it wasn’t.”

    Wherever he placed his bet, the move will be seen as a boost to the company, perhaps even the sector, given Buffett’s track record of identifying value.

    It’s unclear how long regulators will allow Berkshire to shield its moves.

    “I’m hopeful he’ll reveal the name and talk about the strategy behind it,” Shanahan said. “The SEC’s patience can wear out, at some point it’ll look like Berkshire’s getting favorable treatment.”

    — CNBC’s Yun Li contributed to this report.

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  • Chubb ended Trump fraud bond talks after backing E. Jean Carroll appeal bond, court filing says

    Chubb ended Trump fraud bond talks after backing E. Jean Carroll appeal bond, court filing says

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    Donald Trump and his co-defendants were in talks with insurance giant Chubb for a $464 million appeal bond in the former president’s civil fraud case, but the company backed out — days after it raised eyebrows for giving Trump a bond in a separate case, according to a Trump lawyer.

    Chubb was one of more than 30 companies that refused to craft a bond that would put the massive business fraud judgment on pause, attorneys for Trump said in a New York appeals court filing Monday.

    The attorneys in that filing asked the appeals court to “put the brakes” on the judgment before New York Attorney General Letitia James can start to collect on it — a process that could begin as soon as next week. James has said she will seize Trump’s assets if he cannot pay the judgment.

    A panel of judges on that court has yet to rule on Trump’s request to pause the judgment without him having to post a fully secured bond.

    Alan Garten, a lawyer for the Trump Organization, said in that filing that Chubb was the only company willing to consider underwriting an appeal bond secured by a blend of liquid assets and real property.

    The other companies — which included Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway, Liberty Mutual, Allianz, and Travelers — wanted only cash or other liquid assets.

    Appeal bonds aim to prevent the loser of a court judgment from using the appeals process to delay or avoid paying their penalties. The bonds also ensure that, if the appeal is unsuccessful, the plaintiff can quickly receive their award.

    Chubb was “actively negotiating” with Trump and his co-defendants, Garten said. But “within the past week,” he said, Chubb reversed course and “notified Defendants that it could not accept real property as collateral.”

    “Though disappointing, this decision was not surprising given that Chubb was the only surety willing to even consider accepting real estate as collateral,” Garten said.

    Garten’s statement came more than a week after it was revealed that a Chubb subsidiary gave Trump a $91.6 million appeal bond in a separate civil case where he was found liable for defaming writer E. Jean Carroll after she accused him of rape.

    Chubb faced swift scrutiny for underwriting that bond. News outlets noted that Chubb’s CEO, Evan Greenberg, previously had been appointed by Trump to a trade policy advisory committee and to a business group aimed at combating the economic toll of Covid-19.

    On Wednesday, Greenberg sent a letter to investors, customers and brokers who had expressed concerns about that bond.

    “As the surety, we don’t take sides, it would be wrong for us to do so and we are in no way supporting the defendant,” Greenberg wrote. “When Chubb issues an appeal bond, it isn’t making judgments about the claims, even when the claims involve alleged reprehensible conduct.”

    He added that Trump’s bond in the defamation case was “fully collateralized.”

    Records show that Trump used a Schwab brokerage account as collateral for the Carroll-related bond.

    CNBC asked Chubb on Wednesday if the company was talking to Trump’s team about obtaining a bond in the business fraud case.

    In response, Chubb said, “As a matter of policy, we do not confirm or deny whether we are engaged in business discussions with businesses or individuals.”

    A Chubb spokesman did not respond to CNBC’s request for comment on Monday’s court filing.

    The lawyers argued in that filing that Trump will face major harm if he is forced to quickly sell parts of his real estate portfolio to get enough cash to obtain a bond.

    They said it would be “impossible” for them to post a complete appeal bond, despite their “diligent efforts.”

    That’s largely because the few surety companies willing to write a bond this large will not accept “hard” assets, like real estate, as collateral, they said.

    Since the person appealing often loses again, surety companies consider the bonds “hazardous” and usually demand that they are fully backed by liquid assets, said JD Weisbrot, president and chief underwriting officer at JW Surety Bonds.

    Unlike banks, which are better equipped to attach liens and sell properties, insurance companies are “not in the business of holding real estate,” Weisbrot said in an interview with CNBC.

    Still, Weisbrot agreed with Trump’s lawyers that the size of the bond is “unprecedented.”

    “I have never heard of a bond being required of this size of a private organization,” he said.

    With a deadline fast approaching for James to collect on the fraud judgment, the Republican presidential nominee has taken to social media to vent his rage against the case.

    The trial judge “actually wants me to put up Hundreds of Millions of Dollars for the Right to Appeal his ridiculous decision,” Trump posted Tuesday morning on his social media site Truth Social.

    “I shouldn’t have to put up any money, being forced by the Corrupt Judge and AG, until the end of the appeal,” he claimed in a later post.

    In fact, New York court rules require Trump to post an appeal bond in order to keep James from moving to collect on the fraud judgment.

    “Nobody has ever heard of anything like this before. I would be forced to mortgage or sell Great Assets, perhaps at Fire Sale prices, and if and when I win the Appeal, they would be gone,” Trump wrote on the site.

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  • Time to sell Nvidia? How to trade stocks that have ‘gone parabolic’

    Time to sell Nvidia? How to trade stocks that have ‘gone parabolic’

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  • Warren Buffett Warns Of ‘Casinolike’ Behavior In Markets As Coinbase Crashes Because Of ‘Heightened Traffic’ From Its ‘Robinhood Moment’

    Warren Buffett Warns Of ‘Casinolike’ Behavior In Markets As Coinbase Crashes Because Of ‘Heightened Traffic’ From Its ‘Robinhood Moment’

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    Warren Buffett cautioned he’s seeing signs of excess in markets, likening their price action to a casino.

    “For whatever reasons, markets now exhibit far more casinolike behavior than they did when I was young,” Buffett told Fortune magazine.

    While he might’ve been talking about stock markets, even more volatility in the crypto markets caused Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:COIN) to be temporarily unable to handle the load.

    Don’t Miss:

    For a brief time, many Coinbase users saw zero account balances and were unable to buy or sell cryptocurrencies.

    The chaos reminded some traders of Robinhood Market Inc.‘s (NASDAQ:HOOD) 2021 fiasco caused by the unexpected rise in meme stocks such as GameStop Corp. (NYSE:GME).

    A popular Reddit post titled “Dear Coinbase – Enjoy your Robinhood Moment” expressed disappointment in the similarities.

    While the incident caused Coinbase’s stock to dip slightly, it’s still up about 215% over the past year, largely because of the rise of Bitcoin and the increased trading fees generated from the cryptocurrency.

    The increased trading fees that both Coinbase and Robinhood have achieved are likely all part of what Buffett was voicing his displeasure over.

    Trending: Investing in startups isn’t just for Silicon Valley elite. Ordinary individuals like you have the power to support innovative ventures and reap substantial rewards. 

    Buffett’s late business partner Charlie Munger bluntly assessed Robinhood in 2021, saying, “I think it’s just God awful that something like that brought investments from civilized men and decent citizens. It’s deeply wrong. We don’t want to make our money selling things that are bad for people.”

    Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE:BRK) might not have had the same gains as Coinbase over the past year, but it still achieved a roughly 33.3% gain over the past year.

    One benefit to owning Berkshire has been its relatively low volatility compared to the more speculative Coinbase as well as its proven staying power over time.

    While times have changed, Buffett believes the speculative behavior of investors hasn’t, saying, “Today’s active participants are neither more emotionally stable nor better taught than when I was in school.”

    Buffett bought his first stock in 1941, a full 71 years before Coinbase was founded.

    Who will have better returns over the next 71 years is sure to be a debate.

    Read Next:

    “ACTIVE INVESTORS’ SECRET WEAPON” Supercharge Your Stock Market Game with the #1 “news & everything else” trading tool: Benzinga Pro – Click here to start Your 14-Day Trial Now!

    Get the latest stock analysis from Benzinga?

    This article Warren Buffett Warns Of ‘Casinolike’ Behavior In Markets As Coinbase Crashes Because Of ‘Heightened Traffic’ From Its ‘Robinhood Moment’ originally appeared on Benzinga.com

    © 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

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  • As the S&P 500 enters bull market territory, here's what to consider before you invest

    As the S&P 500 enters bull market territory, here's what to consider before you invest

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    People walk through the Financial District by the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on the last day of trading for the year on December 29, 2023 in New York City.

    Spencer Platt | Getty Images

    The S&P 500 stock index climbed to a new all-time high on Monday.

    A bull market — by two definitions — is here. Last year, the S&P 500 rose more than 20% from its most recent low. As of Friday, it crossed another bull market threshold when it surpassed its previous high.

    For investors who want to get in on the action, the good news investing in a fund that tracks the S&P 500 index is an easily accessible strategy.

    But experts say it also deserves a word of caution: Past performance is not indicative of future returns. And while the S&P 500 was a clear winner in 2023 — finishing the year up 26% — it may not be the strategy that comes out ahead at the close of 2024.

    What is the S&P 500 index?

    How can you invest in the S&P 500?

    Today, investors may choose from mutual funds or exchange-traded funds that track the index. Among the biggest ETFs are: SPDR S&P 500 ETF TrustiShares Core S&P 500 ETF, and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF.

    Vanguard in 1975 created the first index mutual fund that tracked the S&P 500. Vanguard founder John Bogle was famously a proponent of investing in a broad index fund.

    “Simply buy a Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fund or a total stock market index fund,” Bogle wrote in his book, “The Little Book of Common Sense Investing.”

    “Then, once you have bought your stocks, get out of the casino — and stay out,” he wrote. “Just hold the market portfolio forever.”

    More from Personal Finance:
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    Here’s where prices fell in December 2023, in one chart

    For stock investors who want to keep their strategies simple, experts say the approach can work.

    “Among the better decisions people can make is starting with an index-based fund tracking the S&P 500 because it works,” Todd Rosenbluth, head of research at VettaFi, recently told CNBC.com.

    Over time, passive strategies have shown better returns than actively managed funds. Moreover, the cost of those funds is much lower compared to active strategies. Together, that combination is hard to beat.

    “I don’t think individual investors or money managers can generally outperform the S&P 500,” said Ted Jenkin, a certified financial planner and the CEO and founder of oXYGen Financial, a financial advisory and wealth management firm based in Atlanta. Jenkin is also a member of the CNBC FA Council.

    When does it pay to diversify?

    The greater a portfolio’s exposure to the S&P 500 index, the more the ups and downs of that index will affect its balance.

    That is why experts generally recommend a 60/40 split between stocks and bonds. That may be extended to 70/30 or even 80/20 if an investor’s time horizon allows for more risk.

    Moreover, exclusively investing in the S&P 500 on the stock side of a portfolio may be limiting if other areas of the market prove more successful in 2024.

    In 2023, the S&P 500 was up around 26% for the year, besting other strategies like a U.S. small cap index fund or an international stock index fund, noted Brian Spinelli, a certified financial planner and co-chief investment officer at Halbert Hargrove Global Advisors in Long Beach, California, which was No. 8 on CNBC’s FA 100 list in 2023.

    It may be tempting to throw out those other strategies and just go with the one that did really well last year, Spinelli noted.

    “But I wouldn’t go overboard,” Spinelli said. “You shouldn’t be 100% U.S. large cap and let it sit there and expect the same level of returns we’ve seen over the last five years.”

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  • Red Sea crisis boosts shipping costs, delays – and inflation worries

    Red Sea crisis boosts shipping costs, delays – and inflation worries

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    The Maersk Sentosa container ship sails southbound to exit the Suez Canal in Suez, Egypt, on Thursday, Dec. 21, 2023.

    Stringer | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    Attacks on ships in the Red Sea continue to push ocean freight rates higher, triggering warnings of inflation and delayed goods.

    To avoid strikes by Iran-backed Houthi militants based in Yemen, carriers have already diverted more than $200 billion in trade over the past several weeks away from the crucial Middle East trade route, which, along with the Suez Canal, connects the Mediterranean Sea to the Indian Ocean.

    This has created a multiple-front storm for global trade, according to logistics managers: Freight rates increasing daily, additional surcharges, longer shipping times, and the threat that spring and summer products will be late due to vessels arriving late in China as they travel the long way around South Africa’s Cape of Good Hope.

    “The supply chain pressures that caused the ‘transitory’ part of inflation in 2022 may be about to return if the problems in the Red Sea and Indian Ocean continue,” said Larry Lindsey, chief executive of global economic advisory firm the Lindsey Group. “Neither the Fed nor the ECB can do anything about them and will likely ‘look through’ the inflation they cause, potentially leading to rate cuts despite somewhat heightened inflation pressures.”

    The persistent violence against commercial ships drew a stern warning from the United States, Japan, the United Kingdom and nine other nations on Wednesday. “The Houthis will bear the responsibility of the consequences should they continue to threaten lives, the global economy, and free flow of commerce in the region’s critical waterways,” the countries said in a joint statement.

    In the meantime, about 20% of vessel capacity isn’t being used due to a massive drop in manufacturing orders, according to industry experts. Instead, ocean carriers continue to cut their sailings while tight capacity and longer travel times are fueling rate increases.

    Rates for freight traveling from Asia to northern Europe more than doubled this week to above $4,000 per 40-foot-equivalent unit (container). Asia-Mediterranean prices climbed to $5,175 per container. Some carriers have announced rates above $6,000 per 40-foot container for Mediterranean shipments starting mid-month, with surcharges ranging from $500 to $2,700 per container.

    A cargo ship crosses the Suez Canal, one of the most critical human-made waterways, in Ismailia, Egypt on December 29, 2023. 

    Fareed Kotb | Anadolu | Getty Images

    “Given the sudden upward movement of ocean freight pricing, we should expect to see these higher costs trickle down the supply chain and impact consumers as we move through the first quarter,” said Alan Baer, CEO of shipping firm OL-USA. Companies, reflecting lessons they learned during the supply chain chaos of 2021-22, will adjust prices sooner rather than later, he added.

    Rates from Asia to North America’s East Coast have risen by 55% to $3,900 per 40-foot container. West Coast prices climbed 63% to more than $2,700. More shippers are expected to start avoiding the East Coast and favor the West Coast ports. Likewise, rates are on track to rise again starting Jan. 15 due to previously announced increases.

    “This is a big deal as it’s been mostly the fall in goods prices that have eased the inflation strain,” Peter Boockvar, investment chief at Bleakly Financial Group, told CNBC. “And while the battles going on in the Red Sea could end at any moment if the war in Gaza ends, it’s a reminder to the Fed that they can’t get complacent with their inflation fight if they don’t want to repeat the 1970s.”

    The impact of longer routes

    Diversions from Egypt’s Suez Canal, which feeds into the Red Sea, are hurting capacity. Rerouting vessels around the Cape of Good Hope adds two to four weeks to a round-trip voyage, according to Honour Lane Shipping (HLS). Ocean alliances need more ships on each Asia-East Coast route to maintain an efficient network schedule.

    “Some 25%-30% of global container shipping volumes pass through the Suez Canal (mainly on Asia-Europe trade), and it is estimated that widespread re-routing around Africa could reduce effective global container shipping capacity by 10%-15%,” said the note. “While the disruption continues, carriers may have to reduce the number of port calls to offset the impact of longer routes.”

    A grab from handout footage released by Yemen’s Huthi Ansarullah Media Centre on November 19, 2023, reportedly shows members of the rebel group during the capture of an Israel-linked cargo vessel at an undefined location in the Red Sea. Israeli ships are a “legitimate target”, Yemen’s Huthi rebels warned on November 20, a day after their seizure of the Galaxy Leader and its 25 international crew following an earlier threat to target Israeli shipping over the Israel-Hamas war. 

    – | Afp | Getty Images

    The longer travel time could also delay the arrival of spring goods that are traditionally picked up before the Chinese Lunar New Year, set for February, when factories close and employees go on vacation. Containers that were supposed to arrive on the East Coast in December are arriving now, according to logistics managers. Items include spring and summer clothing, pools, pool supplies, Easter products, patio furniture, and home and garden products.

    North American East Coast ports in December, amid the Houthi attacks, “lost” several calls, which were instead pushed into January, according to data from maritime intelligence firm eeSEA. The vessels will instead arrive in January and February.

    So vessels are not only late in dropping off their containers to their final destinations, they’re also late getting back to Asia to load containers. As a result, HLS is urging clients to book their container space four to five weeks in advance to secure a spot.

    It’s reminiscent of what freight companies experienced during Covid’s earlier days.

    “We used to book out four to six weeks out during Covid,” said OL-USA’s Baer. “During Covid, we had way too much cargo, and all the ships were full, so you have to forecast your bookings out. Now while there is vessel capacity, the vessels are late, so it’s a scramble to make sure you get your container on that vessel.”

    Ocean carriers are also expanding land-freight services for those using West Coast ports intead of the East Coast. This is a similar strategy deployed by Hapag-Lloyd during Covid, when it offered clients service across land to the West Coast from the East Coast because it was faster.

    These diversions in trade will create opportunities for West Coast railroad companies, Union Pacific and BNSF, a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway. The extra containers will also be a boost for trucking companies that also service those ports.

    “Coming out of the holiday break we are seeing significant volumes being routed from Asia to the U.S. West Coast and via the Panama Canal to the U.S. East Coast to avoid the Suez Canal,” said Paul Brashier, vice president of drayage and intermodal at ITS Logistics. “We are forecasting this activity to increase as we get closer to the Lunar New Year peak season.”

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  • In a tough real estate market, a century-old housing idea could make a comeback

    In a tough real estate market, a century-old housing idea could make a comeback

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    A crane taking four 15-foot-wide by 60-foot-long modular home segments and stacking them one on top of the other to make a new duplex in Aurora, Colorado in 2018.

    Hyoung Chang | Denver Post | Getty Images

    A century ago, a first-time homebuyer might begin their search in a catalog for a kit-built home from Sears and others. In today’s real estate market, the idea rarely registers in house hunting. But with affordability stretched to an extreme and more buyers thinking about sustainability, the modular home — the kit home’s descendent — could be poised for the spotlight.

    In the least, U.S. consumers looking to build an efficient and sustainable home should consider going modular. Green construction experts generally agree that modular construction generates less waste and causes less disruption to plants and animals on building sites. And instead of thousands of pieces of lumber, nails, and roofing material that you’d have received with those century-ago kits, modular homes today come in fewer but far larger pieces — assembled in a manufacturer’s facilities, then shipped to the home site, where they’re assembled together. In fact, the modules that make up a modular home can be the size of whole rooms. Typically, it is only the home’s foundation that is actually built on-site.

    Modular construction has also attracted interest from affordable housing advocates with mortgage rates, though now on the decline, having reached as high as 8% this year and home prices up in almost every major metro market. The first of up to 2,000 single-family modular homes are being assembled in Chicago’s Southside and will be available for about a $1,000 down payment thanks to a partnership between city and state governments and area non-profits. A smaller affordable modular home project is planned for the Maryland suburbs outside Washington, D.C. Modular dwellings have also been used to combat homelessness in the U.S., Canada, and elsewhere. The issue was raised this week in the op-ed section of the New York Times.

    Modular housing can be lower cost

    Modular homes have to comply with state and local building codes, and they are financed the same as traditional construction. The difference is price. Modular construction averages $80 to $160 a square foot, which is 10-20% cheaper than traditional construction, according to HomeGuide. That puts the cost of building a typical modular home at $120,000 to $270,000 compared to $155,000 to $416,000 for traditional construction.

    The modular building method can save money due to scale. “We have seen offsite construction of repeatable modular units save as much as 25 percent of vertical construction costs,” said Dave Dauphinais, associate partner at the management consultant McKinsey & Company.

    Based on these construction costs, down payment and monthly mortgage expenses for a 30-year fixed mortgage at 7.25% interest would be $13,500 and $1749.78/monthly for a high-end modular home, versus $20,800 and $2,695.96/monthly for a traditional top-end $416,000 home, according to Rocket Mortgage.

    Several venture capital firms have invested in modular construction, including Khosla Ventures and Y Combinator. One of the larger recent deals was led by Waed Ventures and Bold Capital this September, a $52 million funding round for Mighty Buildings, a startup in the sustainable, modular-home space that uses 3-D printing to automate the construction process.

    The net-zero lifestyle goes well with prefab homes

    Some modular dwelling manufacturers specifically cater to consumers looking to maximize efficiency or to attempt net-zero living. This includes Deltec Homes, Dvele, and S2A Modular, which all include solar panels in their residential home options.

    “Modular home building has come a long way and is worth considering as prefabrication done well can reduce waste and the associated carbon emissions,” said Lisa Carey-Moore, director of buildings at the International Living Future Institute, a nonprofit that promotes regenerative building practices.

    Generally, the modular assembly method can use less materials than traditional construction methods – where everything is built on site – because there’s more control over the building process and less chance wood, tile, roofing and other materials will be stolen, damaged, or wasted. It’s also easier to recycle excess materials in a factory setting than on the typical outdoor job site or use excess material from one job on a later one.

    More than 15 percent of the materials used to construct a home the traditional way can end up as waste, but waste with modular construction is only about five percent, noted Ryan McEvoy, founder and principal of a sustainable building consulting firm called Gaia Development.

    Speed of construction and portability are advantages

    Though modular construction companies tout their cost and sustainability — and have attracted notable financial backers such as Bill Gates‘ Breakthrough Energy Ventures in the case of Vantem — there can be other advantages. These homes can be constructed relatively quickly in a housing market where inventory is at a historic low. McEvoy noted that a modular home can be move-in ready in eight to 12 months, about half the time needed to build a dwelling the traditional way. And it can be easier to move a modular home to a new location should the need arise, since the structures can be taken apart about as easily as they are put together.

    Modular townhomes in Bradenton, Florida, manufactured by Vantem’s Affinity Modular subsidiary.

    Vantem

    You may have noticed that major retailers such as Costco, Home Depot, Lowe’s and Walmart have begun selling tiny home kits at prices starting under $10,000. These are different than modular homes and not suitable for everyone. At the low end, these structures are basically storage sheds, and marketed as such. Even larger units from these retailers are typically less than 600 square feet – about a third the size of the average American home. Unlike most modular and traditional homes, these little dwellings also lack foundations for extra storage. Instead of basements or crawl spaces, they generally feature metal frames meant to be secured to concrete slabs or mounted on wheeled trailers.

    Warren Buffett is in, but modular remains out in the market

    Most modular companies are small and do business on a regional basis, but some larger manufacturers exist, such as Champion Home Builders, Kent Homes in Canada, and Clayton Homes, part of Warren Buffett’s sprawling conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway empire.

    Overseas, modular homes have been more popular than in the U.S. and have been built quickly. Globally, the modular home market has been estimated at over $100 billion, but for the most part, even with modular homes in the U.S. around for decades, they have yet to catch on with American consumers. The vast majority of U.S. homes are built on-site using traditional methods. By contrast, less than four percent of current housing stock was built using modular techniques, according to a report from McKinsey. That makes modular construction less popular than even mobile homes, which make up 6.3 percent of U.S. housing stock. The research cited multiple factors contributing to the relative rarity. This included a lack of familiarity among contractors as well as the need for financing up front to insure the full cost of construction and modular components.

    Some environmental experts are skeptical of the sustainability claims, too.

    “Modular and prefab is not necessarily more environmentally friendly than traditional building methods,” said Chris Magwood, a co-founder and director of research at Builders for Climate Action, a Canada-based organization that promotes zero-carbon construction. “It is entirely possible to assemble materials with high climate impact, major toxicity concerns and problematic building science attributes and come up with a bad prefab home. … it’s not so much the prefabrication that makes it better or worse for the environment.”

    Indeed, no homebuilding company should be assumed as more sustainable in a market where greenwashing has become all too common. Carey-Moore said it’s critical to evaluate the sustainability credentials of the companies to ensure that building products used are not toxic, sourcing of materials is responsible, and waste is minimized and diverted appropriately.

    But to the extent that sustainable building is important to the developer, builder, and buyer, modular solutions often present an attractive alternative to traditional methods,” Dauphinais said. “Modular construction has the potential to be more sustainable.”

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  • Charlie Munger said Berkshire would be worth double if he and Buffett used this common practice

    Charlie Munger said Berkshire would be worth double if he and Buffett used this common practice

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    Charlie Munger at Berkshire Hathaway’s annual meeting in Los Angeles California. May 1, 2021.

    Gerard Miller

    The late investment icon Charlie Munger said Berkshire Hathaway, the conglomerate he and Warren Buffett built over the last five decades, could have doubled its value if they applied leverage, or borrowed money, when buying businesses and common stocks.

    Munger, Berkshire Hathaway’s vice chairman who died Tuesday just a month shy of his 100th birthday, stressed that he and Buffett almost never used this common Wall Street practice, because they always put their shareholders first.

    “Berkshire could easily be worth twice what it is now. And the extra risk you would’ve taken would’ve been practically nothing. All we had to do is just use a little more leverage that was easily available,” Munger said in CNBC’s special “Charlie Munger: A Life of Wit and Wisdom,” which aired Thursday.

    “The reason we didn’t is the idea of disappointing a lot of people who had trusted us when we were young … If we lost three quarters of our money, we were still very rich. That wasn’t true of every shareholder,” he told CNBC’s Becky Quick in the previously unaired interview. “Losing three quarters of the money would’ve been a big letdown.”

    The use of leverage is prevalent on Wall Street as it provides a way to boost buying power and enhance the potential return in any given investment. But it also significantly increases the risk as losses can multiply quickly if the investment doesn’t pan out as expected.

    Beware an ‘unsettled mind’

    Buffett, often called the “Oracle of Omaha,” previously explained the perils of using debt and leverage to buy stocks, saying it can make an investor short-sighted and panicky when times turn volatile.

    “There is simply no telling how far stocks can fall in a short period,” he wrote in his 2017 annual letter to shareholders. “Even if your borrowings are small and your positions aren’t immediately threatened by the plunging market, your mind may well become rattled by scary headlines and breathless commentary. And an unsettled mind will not make good decisions.”

    Munger said he and Buffett had been “very cautious” in handling their shareholders’ money over the years. Berkshire shareholders tend to be long-term investors like all the conglomerate’s top executives, often treating their stock like a savings account.

    “If Warren and I had owned Berkshire without any shareholders that we knew, we would’ve made more. We would’ve used more leverage,” Munger said in the CNBC special.

    Still, Munger acknowledged that Berkshire did use leverage in the form of its insurance float. Insurers receive premiums upfront and pay claims later, so they can invest the large sums collected — cost free — for their own benefit.

    “Insurance float gave us some leverage. That’s why we went into it,” he said.

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  • Charlie Munger, investing genius and Warren Buffett’s right-hand man, dies at age 99

    Charlie Munger, investing genius and Warren Buffett’s right-hand man, dies at age 99

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    Billionaire Charlie Munger, the investing sage who made a fortune even before he became Warren Buffett’s right-hand man at Berkshire Hathaway, has died at age 99.

    Munger died Tuesday, according to a press release from Berkshire Hathaway. The conglomerate said it was advised by members of Munger’s family that he peacefully died this morning at a California hospital. He would have turned 100 on New Year’s Day.

    “Berkshire Hathaway could not have been built to its present status without Charlie’s inspiration, wisdom and participation,” Buffett said in a statement.

    In addition to being Berkshire vice chairman, Munger was a real estate attorney, chairman and publisher of the Daily Journal Corp., a member of the Costco board, a philanthropist and an architect.

    In early 2023, his fortune was estimated at $2.3 billion — a jaw-dropping amount for many people but vastly smaller than Buffett’s unfathomable fortune, which is estimated at more than $100 billion.

    During Berkshire’s 2021 annual shareholder meeting, the then-97-year-old Munger apparently inadvertently revealed a well-guarded secret: that Vice Chairman Greg Abel “will keep the culture” after the Buffett era.

    CNBC's Becky Quick looks back on the life and legacy of Charlie Munger

    Munger, who wore thick glasses, had lost his left eye after complications from cataract surgery in 1980.

    Munger was chairman and CEO of Wesco Financial from 1984 to 2011, when Buffett‘s Berkshire purchased the remaining shares of the Pasadena, California-based insurance and investment company it did not own.

    Buffett credited Munger with broadening his investment strategy from favoring troubled companies at low prices in hopes of getting a profit to focusing on higher-quality but underpriced companies.

    An early example of the shift was illustrated in 1972 by Munger’s ability to persuade Buffett to sign off on Berkshire’s purchase of See’s Candies for $25 million even though the California candy maker had annual pretax earnings of only about $4 million. It has since produced more than $2 billion in sales for Berkshire.

    “He weaned me away from the idea of buying very so-so companies at very cheap prices, knowing that there was some small profit in it, and looking for some really wonderful businesses that we could buy in fair prices,” Buffett told CNBC in May 2016.

    Or as Munger put it at the 1998 Berkshire shareholder meeting: “It’s not that much fun to buy a business where you really hope this sucker liquidates before it goes broke.”

    Munger was often the straight man to Buffett’s jovial commentaries. “I have nothing to add,” he would say after one of Buffett’s loquacious responses to questions at Berkshire annual meetings in Omaha, Nebraska. But like his friend and colleague, Munger was a font of wisdom in investing, and in life. And like one of his heroes, Benjamin Franklin, Munger’s insight didn’t lack humor.

    “I have a friend who says the first rule of fishing is to fish where the fish are. The second rule of fishing is to never forget the first rule. We’ve gotten good at fishing where the fish are,” the then-93-year-old Munger told the thousands of people at Berkshire’s 2017 meeting.

    He believed in what he called the “lollapalooza effect,” in which a confluence of factors merged to drive investment psychology.

    A son of the heartland

    Charles Thomas Munger was born in Omaha on Jan. 1, 1924. His father, Alfred, was a lawyer, and his mother, Florence “Toody,” was from an affluent family. Like Warren, Munger worked at Buffett’s grandfather’s grocery store as a youth, but the two future joined-at-the-hip partners didn’t meet until years later.

    At 17, Munger left Omaha for the University of Michigan. Two years later, in 1943, he enlisted in the Army Air Corps, according to Janet Lowe’s 2003 biography “Damn Right!”

    The military sent him to the California Institute of Technology in Pasadena to study meteorology. In California, he fell in love with his sister’s roommate at Scripps College, Nancy Huggins, and married her in 1945. Although he never completed his undergraduate degree, Munger graduated magna cum laude from Harvard Law School in 1948, and the couple moved back to California, where he practiced real estate law. He founded the law firm Munger, Tolles & Olson in 1962 and focused on managing investments at the hedge fund Wheeler, Munger & Co., which he also founded that year.

    “I’m proud of being an Omaha boy,” Munger said in a 2017 interview with Dean Scott Derue of the Michigan Ross Business School. “I sometimes use the old saying, ‘They got the boy out of Omaha but they never got Omaha out of the boy.’ All those old-fashioned values — family comes first; be in a position so that you can help others when troubles come; prudent, sensible; moral duty to be reasonable [is] more important than anything else — more important than being rich, more important than being important — an absolute moral duty.”

    In California, he partnered with Franklin Otis Booth, a member of the founding family of the Los Angeles Times, in real estate. One of their early developments turned out to be a lucrative condo project on Booth’s grandfather’s property in Pasadena. (Booth, who died in 2008, had been introduced to Buffett by Munger in 1963 and became one of Berkshire’s largest investors.)

    “I had five real estate projects,” Munger told Derue. “I did both side by side for a few years, and in a very few years, I had $3 million — $4 million.”

    Munger closed the hedge fund in 1975. Three years later, he became vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway.

    ‘We think so much alike that it’s spooky’

    In 1959, at age 35, Munger returned to Omaha to close his late father’s legal practice. That’s when he was introduced to the then-29-year-old Buffett by one of Buffett’s investor clients. The two hit it off and stayed in contact despite living half a continent away from each other.

    “We think so much alike that it’s spooky,” Buffett recalled in an interview with the Omaha World-Herald in 1977. “He’s as smart and as high-grade a guy as I’ve ever run into.”

    "I've lived a better life because of Charlie"

    We never had an argument in the entire time we’ve known each other, which is almost 60 years now,” Buffett told CNBC’s Becky Quick in 2018. “Charlie has given me the ultimate gift that a person can give to somebody else. He’s made me a better person than I would have otherwise been. … He’s given me a lot of good advice over time. … I’ve lived a better life because of Charlie.”

    The melding of the minds focused on value investing, in which stocks are picked because their price appears to be undervalued based on the company’s long-term fundamentals.

    “All intelligent investing is value investing — acquiring more than you are paying for,” Munger once said. “You must value the business in order to value the stock.”

    Warren Buffett (L), CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, and vice chairman Charlie Munger attend the 2019 annual shareholders meeting in Omaha, Nebraska, May 3, 2019.

    Johannes Eisele | AFP | Getty Images

    But during the coronavirus outbreak in early 2020, when Berkshire suffered a massive $50 billion loss in the first quarter, Munger and Buffett were more conservative than there were during the Great Recession, when they invested in U.S. airlines and financials like Bank of America and Goldman Sachs hit hard by that downturn.

    “Well, I would say basically we’re like the captain of a ship when the worst typhoon that’s ever happened comes,” Munger told The Wall Street Journal in April 2020. “We just want to get through the typhoon, and we’d rather come out of it with a whole lot of liquidity. We’re not playing, ‘Oh goody, goody, everything’s going to hell, let’s plunge 100% of the reserves’ [into buying businesses].” 

    The philanthropist/architect

    Munger donated hundreds of millions of dollars to educational institutions, including the University of Michigan, Stanford University and Harvard Law School, often with the stipulation that the school accept his building designs, even though he was not formally trained as an architect.

    At Los Angeles’ Harvard-Westlake prep school, where Munger had been a board member for decades, he ensured that the girls bathrooms were larger than the boys room during the construction of the science center in the 1990s.

    “Any time you go to a football game or a function there’s a huge line outside the women’s bathroom. Who doesn’t know that they pee in a different way than the men?” Munger told The Wall Street Journal in 2019. “What kind of idiot would make the men’s bathroom and the women’s bathroom the same size? The answer is, a normal architect!”

    Munger and his wife had three children, daughters Wendy and Molly, and son Teddy, who died of leukemia at age 9. The Mungers divorced in 1953.

    Two years later, he married Nancy Barry, whom he met on a blind date at a chicken dinner restaurant. The couple had four children, Charles Jr., Emilie, Barry and Philip. He also was the stepfather to her two other sons, William Harold Borthwick and David Borthwick. The Mungers, who were married 54 years until her death in 2010, contributed $43.5 million to Stanford University to help build the Munger Graduate Residence, which houses 600 law and graduate students.

    Asked by CNBC’s Quick in a February 2019 “Squawk Box” interview about the secret to a long and happy life, Munger said the answer “is easy, because it’s so simple.”

    “You don’t have a lot of envy, you don’t have a lot of resentment, you don’t overspend your income, you stay cheerful in spite of your troubles. You deal with reliable people and you do what you’re supposed to do. And all these simple rules work so well to make your life better. And they’re so trite,” he said.

    “And staying cheerful … because it’s a wise thing to do. Is that so hard? And can you be cheerful when you’re absolutely mired in deep hatred and resentment? Of course you can’t. So why would you take it on?”

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