A man counts 100 renminbi notes with the Chinese flag in the background.
Sheldon Cooper | SOPA Images | LightRocket | Getty Images
China’s new bank loans fell to a 15-year low in July in what some analysts see as a sign of continued weakness in the economy. But others said investors “should not panic” as seasonality and regulations contributed to the unexpected slowness.
New loans in the world’s second-largest economy came in at only 260 billion yuan ($36.28 billion), plunging 88% from a year ago and missing expectations of 450 billion yuan.
Iris Tan, senior equity analyst at Morningstar explained that the decline in July loan growth was driven by weakening credit demand and spending among both corporations and households.
She noted household short-term loans declined significantly, indicating continued weakness in both consumer confidence and spending. Tan said corporate loans continued to expand but at slower pace, mainly driven by discounted bank notes.
Still, other factors beyond economic weakness contributed to the loan declines. Tan noted the decline in short-term corporate loans was due to regulatory measures that prevent the “self-circulating” of money in the financial system.
This “self-circulating” practice, she explained, refers to big enterprises borrowing money at very low costs and putting this money into a bank as a high-yield structured deposit or deposit agreements, instead of operations or investments.
Jasmine Duan, senior investment strategist at RBC Wealth Management Asia said, “New loans didn’t go into the real economy, but they go into all this financial arbitrage, and we think with the PBOC… that’s why they continue to continue to mention we shouldn’t pay too much attention to the overall credit loan growth, because in the past, many of those didn’t go into the real economy.”
In a Tuesday note, Nomura said there is “no sign” that the regulatory crackdown is going to end anytime soon, adding it continues “to expect weak credit growth in the coming months, especially for RMB loans.”
As such, Morningstar’s Tan said the market “should not panic” about the sudden fluctuations in monthly data, as July is typically a weak month for credit growth.
She pointed out that compared with 2023, the year-to-date bank loan growth remains largely stable at 8.7% from 8.8% in June.
“This is in line with the government’s guidance to slow down credit growth. We believe the slower but still reasonable credit growth benefit banks as it reduces their equity consumption and lower the risks of irrational pricing competition for new loan growth,” she said.
Still, these factors don’t negate continued sluggishness in the Chinese economy. RBC’s Duan said the data suggests both households and corporations still have a “relatively low” outlook on the Chinese economy.
“We think without the property market finding a bottom and gradually stabilizing, it is hard to see loan growth pick up significantly,” she concluded.
Sergio Ermotti, chief executive officer of UBS Group
Stefan Wermuth | Bloomberg | Getty Images
ZURICH, Switzerland ꟷ UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti said Wednesday that market volatility could intensify in the second half of the year, but he does not believe the U.S. is heading into a recession.
Global equities saw sharp sell-offs last week as investors digested weak economic data out of the U.S. which raised fears about an economic downturn in the world’s largest economy. It also raised questions about whether the Federal Reserve needed to be less hawkish with its monetary policy stance. The central bank kept rates on hold in late July at a 23-year high.
When asked about the outlook for the U.S. economy, Ermotti said: “Not necessarily a recession, but definitely a slowdown is possible.”
“The macroeconomic indicators are not clear enough to talk about recessions, and actually, it’s probably premature. What we know is that the Fed has enough capacity to step in and support that, although it’s going to take time, whatever they do to be then transmitted into the economy,” the CEO told CNBC on Wednesday after the bank reported its second-quarter results.
UBS expects that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by at least 50 basis points this year. At the moment, traders are split between a 50 and a 25 basis point cut at the Fed’s next meeting in September, according to LSEG data.
Speaking to CNBC, Ermotti said that we are likely to see higher market volatility in the second half of the year, partially because of the U.S. election in November.
“That’s one factor, but also, if I look at the overall geopolitical picture, if I look at the macroeconomic picture, what we saw in the last couple of weeks in terms of volatility, which, in my point of view, is a clear sign of the fragility of some elements of the system, … one should expect definitely a higher degree of volatility,” he said.
Another uncertainty going forward is monetary policy and whether central banks will have to cut rates more aggressively to combat a slowdown in the economy. In Switzerland, where UBS is headquartered, the central bank has cut rates twice this year. The European Central Bank and the Bank of England have both announced one cut so far.
“Knowing the events which are the unknowns on the horizon like the U.S. presidential election, we became complacent with a very low volatility, now we are shifting to a more normal regime,” Bruno Verstraete, founder of Lakefield Wealth Management told CNBC Wednesday.
“In the context of UBS, [more volatility is] not necessarily a bad thing, because more volatility means more trading income,” he added.
Jasmine Duan, senior investment strategist at RBC Wealth Management Asia says that without the Chinese property sector “finding a bottom” and gradually stabilizing, loan growth will not pick up significantly.
Swiss banking giant UBS on Wednesday smashed net profit expectations for the second quarter, as revenue swelled at its global wealth management and investment bank units.
Net profit attributable to shareholders came in at $1.136 billion for the period, versus a company-compiled consensus forecast of $528 million.
Profit was nonetheless lower than the $1.755 reported in the first quarter, as expected by analysts.
Group revenue also beat forecasts in the second quarter, coming in at $11.904 billion versus an LSEG-compiled poll of $11.522 billion.
In the bank’s global wealth management unit, revenue increased by 15% to $6.053 billion, which UBS said was largely due to the consolidation of Credit Suisse. Revenue in the investment bank unit leapt 38% to $2.803 billion.
In its outlook, UBS said the macroeconomic outlook “continues to be clouded by ongoing conflicts, other geopolitical tensions and the upcoming US elections.”
It added: “We expect these uncertainties to persist for the foreseeable future, and they will likely lead to higher market volatility compared with the first half of the year.”
UBS had swung back to profit in the first quarter after two quarterly losses, but it warned that its net interest income would fall in both its global wealth management and its personal and corporate banking divisions.
It has now been over a year since UBS formally took over Credit Suisse, triggering a huge integration process and creating a wealth management juggernaut. UBS said at the start of July the merger process had completed and that Credit Suisse — the Swiss bank which spectacularly collapsed in March 2023 after years of financial scandals — no longer existed as a separate entity.
This is a breaking news story and will be updated shortly.
Chris Gorman, KeyCorp CEO, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss Scotiabank's stake in Keycorp, how Keycorp was able to get the financing it did, and what Scotiabank is getting out of the deal.
JPMorgan Chase has rolled out a generative artificial intelligence assistant to tens of thousands of its employees in recent weeks, the initial phase of a broader plan to inject the technology throughout the sprawling financial giant.
The program, called LLM Suite, is already available to more than 60,000 employees, helping them with tasks like writing emails and reports. The software is expected to eventually be as ubiquitous within the bank as the videoconferencing program Zoom, people with knowledge of the plans told CNBC.
Rather than developing its own AI models, JPMorgan designed LLM Suite to be a portal that allows users to tap external large language models — the complex programs underpinning generative AI tools — and launched it with ChatGPT maker OpenAI’s LLM, said the people.
“Ultimately, we’d like to be able to move pretty fluidly across models depending on the use cases,” Teresa Heitsenrether, JPMorgan’s chief data and analytics officer, said in an interview. “The plan is not to be beholden to any one model provider.”
Teresa Heitsenrether is the firm’s chief data and analytics officer.
Courtesy: Joe Vericker | PhotoBureau
The move by JPMorgan, the largest U.S. bank by assets, shows how quickly generative AI has swept through American corporations since the arrival of ChatGPT in late 2022. Rival bank Morgan Stanley has already released a pair of OpenAI-powered tools for its financial advisors. And consumer tech giant Apple said in June that it was integrating OpenAI models into the operating system of hundreds of millions of its consumer devices, vastly expanding its reach.
The technology — hailed by some as the “Cognitive Revolution” in which tasks formerly done by knowledge workers will be automated — could be as important as the advent of electricity, the printing press and the internet, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon said in April.
It will likely “augment virtually every job” at the bank, Dimon said. JPMorgan had about 313,000 employees as of June.
The bank is giving employees what is essentially OpenAI’s ChatGPT in a JPMorgan-approved wrapper more than a year after it restricted employees from using ChatGPT. That’s because JPMorgan didn’t want to expose its data to external providers, Heitsenrether said.
“Since our data is a key differentiator, we don’t want it being used to train the model,” she said. “We’ve implemented it in a way that we can leverage the model while still keeping our data protected.”
The bank has introduced LLM Suite broadly across the company, with groups using it in JPMorgan’s consumer division, investment bank, and asset and wealth management business, the people said. It can help employees with writing, summarizing lengthy documents, problem solving using Excel, and generating ideas.
But getting it on employees’ desktops is just the first step, according to Heitsenrether, who was promoted in 2023 to lead the bank’s adoption of the red-hot technology.
“You have to teach people how to do prompt engineering that is relevant for their domain to show them what it can actually do,” Heitsenrether said. “The more people get deep into it and unlock what it’s good at and what it’s not, the more we’re starting to see the ideas really flourishing.”
The bank’s engineers can also use LLM Suite to incorporate functions from external AI models directly into their programs, she said.
JPMorgan has been working on traditional AI and machine learning for more than a decade, but the arrival of ChatGPT forced it to pivot.
Traditional, or narrow, AI performs specific tasks involving pattern recognition, like making predictions based on historical data. Generative AI is more advanced, however, and trains models on vast data sets with the goal of pattern creation, which is how human-sounding text or realistic images are formed.
The number of uses for generative AI are “exponentially bigger” than previous technology because of how flexible LLMs are, Heitsenrether said.
The bank is testing many cases for both forms of AI and has already put a few into production.
JPMorgan is using generative AI to create marketing content for social media channels, map out itineraries for clients of the travel agency it acquired in 2022 and summarize meetings for financial advisors, she said.
The consumer bank uses AI to determine where to place new branches and ATMs by ingesting satellite images and in call centers to help service personnel quickly find answers, Heitsenrether said.
In the firm’s global-payments business, which moves more than $8 trillion around the world daily, AI helps prevent hundreds of millions of dollars in fraud, she said.
But the bank is being more cautious with generative AI that directly touches upon the individual customer because of the risk that a chatbot gives bad information, Heitsenrether said.
Ultimately, the generative AI field may develop into “five or six big foundational models” that dominate the market, she said.
The bank is testing LLMs from U.S. tech giants as well as open source models to onboard to its portal next, said the people, who declined to be identified speaking about the bank’s AI strategy.
Heitsenrether charted out three stages for the evolution of generative AI at JPMorgan.
The first is simply making the models available to workers; the second involves adding proprietary JPMorgan data to help boost employee productivity, which is the stage that has just begun at the company.
The third is a larger leap that would unlock far greater productivity gains, which is when generative AI is powerful enough to operate as autonomous agents that perform complex multistep tasks. That would make rank-and-file employees more like managers with AI assistants at their command.
The technology will likely empower some workers while displacing others, changing the composition of the industry in ways that are hard to predict.
Banking jobs are the most prone to automation of all industries, including technology, health care and retail, according to consulting firm Accenture. AI could boost the sector’s profits by $170 billion in just four years, Citigroup analysts said.
People should consider generative AI “like an assistant that takes away the more mundane things that we would all like to not do, where it can just give you the answer without grinding through the spreadsheets,” Heitsenrether said.
“You can focus on the higher-value work,” she said.
— CNBC’s Leslie Picker contributed to this report.
Banking analysts assess the possibility of a banking merger in Italy.
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images
MILAN, Italy — European policymakers have longed for bigger banks across the continent.
And Italy might be about to give them their wish with a bumper round of M&A, according to analysts.
Years after a sovereign debt crisis in the region and a government rescue for Banca Monte dei Paschi (BMPS) that saved it from collapse, many are looking at Italy’s banking sector with fresh eyes.
“If you assess individual banks in Italy, it’s difficult not to believe that something will happen, I would say, over the next 12 months or so,” Antonio Reale, co-head of European banks at Bank of America, told CNBC.
Reale highlighted that BMPS had been rehabilitated and needed re-privatization, he also said UniCredit is now sitting on a “relatively large stack of excess of capital,” and more broadly that the Italian government has a new industrial agenda.
UniCredit, in particular, continues to surprise markets with some stellar quarterly profit beats. It earned 8.6 billion euros last year (up 54% year-on-year), pleasing investors via share buybacks and dividends.
Meanwhile, BMPS, which was saved in 2017 for 4 billion euros, has to eventually be out back into private hands under an agreement with European regulators and the Italian government. Speaking in March, Italy’s Economy Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti said “there is a specific commitment” with the European Commission on the divestment of the government stake on BMPS.
“In general, we see room for consolidation in markets such as Italy, Spain and Germany,” Nicola De Caro, senior vice president at Morningstar, told CNBC via email, adding that “domestic consolidation is more likely than European cross-border mergers due to some structural impediments.”
He added that despite recent consolidation in Italian banking, involving Intesa-Ubi, BPER-Carige and Banco-Bpm, “there is still a significant number of banks and fragmentation at the medium sized level.”
“UniCredit, BMPS and some medium sized banks are likely to play a role in the potential future consolidation of the banking sector in Italy,” De Caro added.
Speaking to CNBC in July, UniCredit CEO Andrea Orcel indicated that at current prices, he did not see any potential for deals in Italy, but said he is open to that possibility if market conditions were to change.
“In spite our performance, we still trade at a discount to the sector […] so if I were to do those acquisitions, I would need to go to my shareholders and say this is strategic, but actually I am going to dilute your returns and I am not going to do that,” he said.
“But if it changes, we are here,” he added.
Paola Sabbione, an analyst at Barclays, believes there would be a high bar for Italian banking M&A if it does occur.
“Monte dei Paschi is looking for a partner, UniCredit is looking for possible targets. Hence from these banks, in theory several combinations could arise. However, no bank is in urgent need,” she told CNBC via email.
European officials have been making more and more comments about the need for bigger banks. French President Emmanuel Macron, for example, said in May in an interview with Bloomberg that Europe’s banking sector needs greater consolidation. However, there’s still some skepticism about supposed mega deals. In Spain, for instance, the government opposed BBVA’s bid for Sabadell in May.
“Europe needs bigger, stronger and more profitable banks. That’s undeniable,” Reale from Bank of America said, adding that there are differences between Spain and Italy.
“Spain has come a long way. We’ve seen a big wave of consolidation happen[ing] right after the Global Financial Crisis and continued in recent years, with a number of excess capacity that’s exited the market one way or the other. Italy is a lot more fragmented in terms of banking markets,” he added.
Financial services companies and their digital technology suppliers are under intense pressure to achieve compliance with strict new rules from the EU that require them to boost their cyber resilience.
By the start of next year, financial services firms and their technology suppliers will have to make sure that they’re in compliance with a new incoming law from the European Union known as DORA, or the Digital Operational Resilience Act.
CNBC runs through what you need to know about DORA — including what it is, why it matters, and what banks are doing to make sure they’re prepared for it.
DORA requires banks, insurance companies and investment to strengthen their IT security. The EU regulation also seeks to ensure the financial services industry is resilient in the event of a severe disruption to operations.
Such disruptions could include a ransomware attack that causes a financial company’s computers to shut down, or a DDOS (distributed denial of service) attack that forces a firm’s website to go offline.
Multiple banks, payment firms and investment companies — from JPMorgan Chase and Santander, to Visa and Charles Schwab — were unable to provide service due to the outage. It took these firms several hours to restore service to consumers.
In the future, such an event would fall under the type of service disruption that would face scrutiny under the EU’s incoming rules.
Mike Sleightholme, president of fintech firm Broadridge International, notes that a standout factor of DORA is that it doesn’t just focus on what banks do to ensure resiliency — it also takes a close look at firms’ tech suppliers.
Under DORA, banks will be required to undertake rigorous IT risk management, incident management, classification and reporting, digital operational resilience testing, information and intelligence sharing in relation to cyber threats and vulnerabilities, and measures to manage third-party risks.
Firms will be required to conduct assessments of “concentration risk” related to the outsourcing of critical or important operational functions to external companies.
These IT providers often deliver “critical digital services to customers,” said Joe Vaccaro, general manager of Cisco-owned internet quality monitoring firm ThousandEyes.
“These third-party providers must now be part of the testing and reporting process, meaning financial services companies need to adopt solutions that help them uncover and map these sometimes hidden dependencies with providers,” he told CNBC.
Banks will also have to “expand their ability to assure the delivery and performance of digital experiences across not just the infrastructure they own, but also the one they don’t,” Vaccaro added.
DORA entered into force on Jan. 16, 2023, but the rules won’t be enforced by EU member states until Jan. 17, 2025.
The EU has prioritised these reforms because of how the financial sector is increasingly dependent on technology and tech companies to deliver vital services. This has made banks and other financial services providers more vulnerable to cyberattacks and other incidents.
“There’s a lot of focus on third-party risk management” now, Sleightholme told CNBC. “Banks use third-party service providers for important parts of their technology infrastructure.”
“Enhanced recovery time objectives is an important part of it. It really is about security around technology, with a particular focus on cybersecurity recoveries from cyber events,” he added.
Many EU digital policy reforms from the last few years tend to focus on the obligations of companies themselves to make sure their systems and frameworks are robust enough to protect against damaging events like the loss of data to hackers or unauthorized individuals and entities.
The EU’s General Data Protection Regulation, or GDPR, for example, requires companies to ensure the way they process personally identifiable information is done with consent, and that it’s handled with sufficient protections to minimize the potential of such data being exposed in a breach or leak.
DORA will focus more on banks’ digital supply chain — which represents a new, potentially less comfortable legal dynamic for financial firms.
For financial firms that fall foul of the new rules, EU authorities will have the power to levy fines of up to 2% of their annual global revenues.
Individual managers can also be held responsible for breaches. Sanctions on individuals within financial entities could come in as high a 1 million euros ($1.1 million).
For IT providers, regulators can levy fines of as high as 1% of average daily global revenues in the previous business year. Firms can also be fined every day for up to six months until they achieve compliance.
Third-party IT firms deemed “critical” by EU regulators could face fines of up to 5 million euros — or, in the case of an individual manager, a maximum of 500,000 euros.
That’s slightly less severe than a law such as GDPR, under which firms can be fined up to 10 million euros ($10.9 million), or 4% of their annual global revenues — whichever is the higher amount.
Carl Leonard, EMEA cybersecurity strategist at security software firm Proofpoint, stresses that criminal sanctions may vary from member state to member state depending on how each EU country applies the rules in their respective markets.
DORA also calls for a “principle of proportionality” when it comes to penalties in response to breaches of the legislation, Leonard added.
That means any response to legal failings would have to balance the time, effort and money firms spend on enhancing their internal processes and security technologies against how critical the service they’re offering is and what data they’re trying to protect.
Stephen McDermid, EMEA chief security officer for cybersecurity firm Okta, told CNBC that many financial services firms have prioritized using existing internal operational resilience and third-party risk programs to get into compliance with DORA and “identify any gaps they may have.”
“This is the intention of DORA, to create alignment of many existing governance programs under a single supervisory authority and harmonise them across the EU,” he added.
Fredrik Forslund vice president and general manager of international at data sanitization firm Blancco, warned that though banks and tech vendors have been making progress toward compliance with DORA, there’s still “work to be done.”
On a scale from one to 10 — with a value of one representing noncompliance and 10 representing full compliance — Forslund said, “We’re at 6 and we’re scrambling to get to 7.”
“We know that we have to be at a 10 by January,” he said, adding that “not everyone will be there by January.”
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said Wednesday he still believes that the odds of a “soft landing” for the U.S. economy are around 35% to 40%, making recession the most likely scenario in his mind.
When CNBC’s Leslie Picker asked Dimon if he had changed his view from February that markets were too optimistic on recession risks, he said the odds were “about the same” as his earlier call.
“There’s a lot of uncertainty out there,” Dimon said. “I’ve always pointed to geopolitics, housing, the deficits, the spending, the quantitative tightening, the elections, all these things cause some consternation in markets.”
Dimon, leader of the biggest U.S. bank by assets and one of the most respected voices on Wall Street, has warned of an economic “hurricane” since 2022. But the economy has held up better than he expected, and Dimon said Wednesday that while credit-card borrower defaults are rising, America is not in a recession right now.
Dimon added he is “a little bit of a skeptic” that the Federal Reserve can bring inflation down to its 2% target because of future spending on the green economy and military.
“There’s always a large range of outcomes,” Dimon said. “I’m fully optimistic that if we have a mild recession, even a harder one, we would be okay. Of course, I’m very sympathetic to people who lose their jobs. You don’t want a hard landing.”
Global markets are calming today after suffering a rout on Monday on the heels of a weaker-than-expected jobs report in the United States, and the Japanese yen’s reverse carry trade. The KBW Nasdaq Bank Index, a benchmark that tracks the performance of 24 publicly-traded banks, including JPMorgan Chase, Citi, Bank of America and BNY Mellon, […]
Despite some signs of cooling, the U.S. economy kept chugging along even with higher rates, outpacing Europe and Asia. Then came last week’s economic reports.
Weak reports on manufacturing and construction were followed by the government’s monthly report on the job market, which showed a significant slowdown in hiring by U.S. employers. Worries that the U.S. Fed may have kept the brakes on the economy too long spread through the markets.
Big Tech movements
A handful of Big Tech stocks drove the market’s double-digit gains into July. But their momentum turned last month on worries investors had taken their prices too high and expectations for their profit gains had grown too difficult to meet—a notion that gained credence when the group’s latest earnings reports were mostly underwhelming.
Apple fell more than 5% Monday, after Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway disclosed that it had slashed its ownership stake in the iPhone maker. Nvidia lost more than $420 billion in market value Thursday through Monday. Overall, the tech sector of the S&P 500 was the biggest drag on the market Monday.
Japan’s rollercoaster
The Nikkei suffered its worst two-day decline ever, dropping 18.2% on Friday and Monday combined. One catalyst for the outsized move has been an interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan last week.
The BoJ’s rate increase affected what are known as carry trades. That’s when investors borrow money from a country with low interest rates and a relatively weak currency, like Japan, and invest those funds in places that will yield a high return. The higher interest rates, plus a stronger Japanese yen, may have forced investors to sell stocks to repay those loans.
What should investors do now?
The prevailing wisdom is: Hold steady. Experts and analysts encourage taking a long view, especially for investors concerned about retirement savings. “More often than not, panic selling on a red day is generally a great way to lose more money than you save,” said Jacob Channel, senior economist for LendingTree, who reminds investors that markets have recovered from worse sell-offs than the current one.
Bitcoin was back up to $56,490 Monday morning after the price of the world’s largest cryptocurrency fell to just above $54,000 during Monday’s rout. That’s still down from nearly $68,000 one week ago, per data from CoinMarketCap.
Macrae Sykes, Gabelli Funds portfolio manager, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the banking sector, impact of the market sell-off, and more.
Three years ago, JPMorgan Chase became the first bank with a branch in all 48 contiguous states. Now, the firm is expanding, with the aim of reaching more Americans in smaller cities and towns.
JPMorgan recently announced a new goal within its multibillion-dollar branch expansion plan that ensures coverage is within an “accessible drive time” for half the population in the lower 48 states. That requires new locations in areas that are less densely populated — a focus for Chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon as he embarks on his 14th annual bus tour Monday.
Dimon’s first stop is in Iowa, where the bank plans to open 25 more branches by 2030.
“From promoting community development to helping small businesses and teaching financial management skills and tools, we strive to extend the full force of the firm to all of the communities we serve,” Dimon said in a statement.
He will also travel to Minnesota, Nebraska, Missouri, Kansas and Arkansas this week. Across those six states, the bank has plans to open more than 125 new branches, according to Jennifer Roberts, CEO of Chase Consumer Banking.
“We’re still at very low single-digit branch share, and we know that in order for us to really optimize our investment in these communities, we need to be at a higher branch share,” Roberts said in an interview with CNBC. Roberts is traveling alongside Dimon across the Midwest for the bus tour.
Roberts said the goal is to reach “optimal branch share,” which in some newer markets amounts to “more than double” current levels.
At the bank’s investor day in May, Roberts said that the firm was targeting 15% deposit share and that extending the reach of bank branches is a key part of that strategy. She said 80 of the firm’s 220 basis points of deposit-share gain between 2019 and 2023 were from branches less than a decade old. In other words, almost 40% of those deposit share gains can be linked to investments in new physical branches.
In expanding its brick-and-mortar footprint, JPMorgan is bucking the broader banking industry trend of shuttering branches. Higher-for-longer interest rates have created industrywide headwinds due to funding costs, and banks have opted to reduce their branch footprint to offset some of the macro pressures.
In the first quarter, the U.S. banking industry recorded 229 net branch closings, compared with just 59 in the previous quarter, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence data. Wells Fargo and Bank of America closed the highest net number of branches, while JPMorgan was the most active net opener.
According to FDIC research collated by KBW, growth in bank branches peaked right before the financial crisis, in 2007. KBW said this was due, in part, to banks assessing their own efficiencies and shuttering underperforming locations, as well as technological advances that allowed for online banking and remote deposit capture. This secular reckoning was exacerbated during the pandemic, when banks reported little change to operating capacity even when physical branches were closed temporarily, the report said.
But JPMorgan, the nation’s largest lender, raked in a record $50 billion in profit in 2023 – the most ever for a U.S. bank. As a result, the firm is in a unique position to spend on brick-and-mortar, while others are opting to be more prudent.
When it comes to prioritizing locations for new branches, Roberts said it’s a “balance of art and science.” She said the bank looks at factors such as population growth, the number of small businesses in the community, whether there is a new corporate headquarters, a new suburb being built, or new roadways.
And even in smaller cities, foot traffic is a critical ingredient.
“I always joke and say, if there’s a Chick-fil-A there, we want to be there, too,” Roberts said. “Because Chick-fil-A’s, no matter where they go, are always successful and busy.”
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a “Morning Meeting” livestream at 10:20 a.m. ET. Here’s a recap of Monday’s key moments. U.S. stocks plunged Monday on mounting recession fears following last week’s disappointing July jobs report. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S & P 500 are down 2.6% and 3.1%, respectively, in early morning trading. Jim Cramer said the market’s decline has been accelerated by the unwinding of the “carry trade,” a popular strategy where investors borrow in a currency with low interest rates, such as the Japanese yen, and invest in higher-yielding assets elsewhere. So as the Japanese yen jumped to its highest level in over seven months against the dollar on Monday, investors aggressively unwound these trades. Major portfolio laggards include Big Tech names like Apple. Shares are down 4.7% after Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway disclosed over the weekend that it dumped half its stake in the iPhone maker during the last quarter. If Buffett didn’t sell, “that stock would probably be up today,” Jim said, citing the company’s solid quarterly earnings report last Thursday. We’re not concerned about the news. The stock still has plenty of catalysts such as an upgrade cycle on its forthcoming artificial intelligence-integrated iPhone. Despite the market’s turmoil, Jim argued that there’s plenty of buying opportunities for investors right now. “You want to buy things that are not in the blast zone,” Jim said, including banks like Wells Fargo. “Wells is probably the most attractive stock we can buy right now.” We bought shares of Wells on Monday’s dip because of its great dividend yield and long-term growth prospects. Wells was one of six trades the Club executed to start the week. (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long AAPL, WFC. See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
Even as many Americans go cashless, some don’t have the option to choose that lifestyle.
About 6% of Americans were unbanked in 2023, meaning they’re living without access to any traditional financial services such as savings accounts, credit cards or personal checks, according to data from the Federal Reserve.
This share of the population grows to 23% when only considering people making less than $25,000.
The unbanked are more vulnerable to predatory lending practices and their cash is more at risk, financial experts say. This issue disproportionately affects Black and Hispanic adults, Fed data shows, putting financial institutions and local organizations in a position to build trust within marginalized communities.
“Oftentimes the most vulnerable among us, who need the resources most efficiently, aren’t able to get access,” said Wole Coaxum, CEO of MoCaFi, a fintech company serving the unbanked and underbanked.
Black and Hispanic adults are 14% and 11%, respectively, more likely to be unbanked than white (4%) and Asian (4%) adults, according to the Fed.
This doesn’t come as a surprise to Joe Lugo, founder and CEO of J^3 Creations, a Clearwater, Florida-based consulting business that helps organizations become more culturally sensitive.
Much of the disconnect between financial institutions and communities of color, he said, can be attributed to a lack of banks in their neighborhoods.
“There is a subliminal message being sent to the community from generation to generation,” Lugo said. “When they don’t see a financial institution or a bank, [they] tend to say, ‘There’s no avenue for me this way. If I had a dream to start a business or buy a home, that’s not for me because they don’t exist here.'”
Many rural areas of the U.S. also tend to be banking deserts, largely because of a lack of population density, according to Darrin Williams, CEO of Southern Bancorp, Inc., a community development financial institution that serves rural and minority communities in the mid-South.
“In many of the markets we serve, we’re the only bank in town,” Williams said. “Often competition of the bank is a payday lender or some predatory provider of capital.”
Of 18- to 29-year-olds, 11% are living without a bank account, compared to 9% of 30- to 44-year-olds, 5% of 45- to 59-year-olds and 2% of people 60 and older, according to the Federal Reserve.
Part of this can be explained by Generation Z’s mindset toward banking, said Winnie Sun, co-founder and managing director of Irvine, California-based Sun Group Wealth Partners. She is also a member of the CNBC Advisor Council.
“They feel like banking is something that is old school and traditional and there’s not a fit for them,” said Sun, who is the mother of a Gen Zer. “It’s an opportunity for us to talk to them about why they need to bank and how to open an account that works for them.”
Your money is better protected in a Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.-insured bank account, experts say, rather than keeping cash at home or stored in a Venmo or Cash App account, which are not FDIC insured.
It’s not always easy to tell which fintech services offer FDIC deposit insurance coverage, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation says “it depends.” The American Fintech Council did not respond to a request for comment.
It’s still a good idea to keep some cash on hand in case of emergencies, but putting money in an inexpensive or free checking account can help build credit and establish good habits, Sun said.
“It would help you, even if it’s just small amounts, to start to build that savings pattern so that you can save for the future and other financial goals, too,” she said.
People without bank accounts might also turn to check cashing services or consider payday loans, especially if they’re the only brick-and-mortar financial services in their neighborhood. These each come with risks, such as steep interest rates and a lack of federal insurance, said Preston Duppins, a senior partner and financial advisor at Florida-based Vilardi Wealth Management.
“They’re getting preyed upon,” Duppins said about people taking out payday borrowers.
“And they don’t have the pull to get Congress to change payday loan laws,” he added.
The Community Financial Services Association of America, which represents payday lenders, did not respond to a request for comment.
To get the unbanked to trust financial institutions, Lugo, with J^3 Creations, said local leaders and banks must meet people where they are.
“Most of the time, marginalized folks are not willing to venture out of their areas. I think there are some financial institutions that are starting to get it” said Lugo, who also co-founded the Hispanic Chamber of Commerce of Pinellas County.
“They’re going out into the community, they’re promoting their services into the community, they’re creating programs specifically for the community,” he said.
It’s one thing that Coaxum says MoCaFi aims to do. The fintech company, he said, initially assumed people who were unbanked or underbanked would readily adopt their free bank account offering with accessible ATMs. However, it wasn’t so simple, and Coaxum said the company’s “sophistication bias” impeded its ability to recruit customers.
The company shifted over time to partner with governments to distribute benefits like universal basic income programs, which gave recipients a reason to use the platform.
“Giving them access to some benefit and then using that conversation as a way to be able to get them into our demand deposit account is how we shifted,” Coaxum said.
Other ways to build trust are through education and representation, experts say. As a Black financial advisor, Duppins says he doesn’t see a lot of people who look like him in his field.
“I spend a lot of time in my community. I don’t segment people by their access, because that means segmenting people who look like me,” Duppins said. “We need to continually focus on women, women of color, men of color in this space, in this banking industry.”
Morgan Stanley on Friday told its army of financial advisors that it will soon allow them to offer bitcoin ETFs to some clients, a first among major Wall Street banks, CNBC has learned.
The firm’s 15,000 or so financial advisors can solicit eligible clients to purchase shares of two exchange-traded bitcoin funds starting Wednesday, according to people with knowledge of the policy.
The move from Morgan Stanley, one of the world’s largest wealth management firms, is the latest sign of the adoption of bitcoin by mainstream finance. In January, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approved applications for 11 spot bitcoin ETFs, heralding the arrival of an investment vehicle for bitcoin that is easier to access, cheaper to own and more readily traded.
So it’s not surprising that Wall Street’s major wealth management businesses didn’t immediately embrace the new ETFs, forbidding their financial advisors from pitching them and only allowing trades if clients actively sought out the product.
Morgan Stanley made the move in response to demand from clients and in an attempt to follow an evolving marketplace for digital assets, said the people, who declined to be identified speaking about the bank’s internal policies.
The bank is still striking a note of caution, however, in the rollout: Only clients with a net worth of at least $1.5 million, an aggressive risk tolerance and the desire to make speculative investments are suitable for bitcoin ETF solicitation, said the people. The investments are for taxable brokerage accounts, not retirement accounts, they added.
The bank will monitor clients’ crypto holdings to make sure they don’t end up with excessive exposure to the volatile asset class, according to the sources.
The only crypto investments approved for solicited purchase at Morgan Stanley are the pair of bitcoin ETFs from BlackRock and Fidelity; private funds from Galaxy and FS NYDIG that the bank made available starting in 2021 were phased out earlier this year.
Morgan Stanley is watching how the market for newly approved ether ETFs develops and hasn’t committed to whether it would provide access to those, the people said.
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Correction: Private funds from Galaxy and FS NYDIG that Morgan Stanley made available starting in 2021 were phased out earlier this year. An earlier version of this story included inaccurate information from Morgan Stanley sources about the company’s crypto investment offerings.
