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Tag: ASML Holding NV

  • CNBC Daily Open: Strong earnings, macro conditions propelling stocks up

    CNBC Daily Open: Strong earnings, macro conditions propelling stocks up

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    The Morgan Stanley headquarters in New York, US, on Wednesday, Dec. 27, 2023.

    Angus Mordant | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Markets rise on upbeat earnings
    U.S. stocks
    resumed their advance Wednesday, as Morgan Stanley and United Airlines earnings topped estimates. Asia-Pacific markets traded mixed Thursday. The CSI 300 real estate index fell nearly 7% even as Beijing announced new measures to support the industry.

    Follow Decision Time for the ECB live
    Market watchers are expecting the European Central Bank to cut rates by 25 basis points at its meeting later today. If that projection pans out, it’d be the third time the ECB’s cutting rates this year. Catch today’s action on Decision Time, CNBC’s live show analyzing the decision, starting 1 p.m. BST.

    New support measures for real estate
    China’s housing ministry said Thursday it’ll broaden its “whitelist” initiative to all commercial housing projects, which aims to complete the construction of unfinished homes. The ministry also announced that bank loans to developers will be speeded up and nearly double to 4 million trillion yuan by the end of 2024, from the 2.23 trillion yuan already approved.

    Potential probe of Intel
    Intel is potentially facing a security review by the Cybersecurity Association of China. Officials allege that Intel’s CPU chips possess vulnerabilities in security management and flaws in product quality. CSAC also accused Intel of using remote management features to surveil users.

    [PRO] A shining sector that’s not tech nor utilities
    Big Tech stocks, fueled by excitement over generative artificial intelligence, have been responsible for most of this year’s rally in the market. Gen AI is powered by energy-hungry data centers, which benefits the utilities sector. But there’s a new group of stocks that’s fast becoming one of the best-performing sectors for the year.

    The bottom line

    The pullback in stocks on Wednesday was brief, like a marathoner pausing to drink before pounding the road again.

    “Yesterday’s weakness does not change the intermediate and long-term uptrends, and we believe it will prove to be just a pullback within the context of a longer-term uptrend,” Piper Sandler said in a note.

    After dipping from its 43,000 level on Tuesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.79% Wednesday to break that barrier again, closing at 43,077.70.

    The S&P 500 climbed 0.47% and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.28%.

    Markets are basking in the glow of a positive earnings season so far. Around 80% of the 50 S&P companies that have posted earnings have topped expectations, according to FactSet data.

    Morgan Stanley, for one, reported third-quarter figures that surpassed earnings and revenue estimates. The bank’s profit jumped 32% from a year ago, far outstripping the LSEG estimate and topping several other big banks’ income growth.

    The investment banking business was a main source of profit for Morgan Stanley. Supported by the U.S. Federal Reserve beginning its rate-cutting cycle, initial public offerings and mergers and acquisitions are emerging from hibernation, injecting fresh life into Wall Street banks.

    Morgan Stanley popped 6.5% after results. The SPDR S&P Bank ETF has jumped more than 6% over the past five trading days. In another sign of the rally broadening, the banking ETF has outstripped the S&P 500’s climb of less than 1% during the same period.

    “We anticipate the macroeconomic and earnings environments to remain favorable,” UBS says, “which supports staying invested in equities.”

    With monetary policy easing, the economy staying strong and inflation cooling — import prices dipped 0.4% for September, according to the U.S. Labor Department — stocks look like they have stamina to keep going higher.

    – CNBC’s Hugh Son, Alex Harring, Jeff Cox, Lisa Kailai Han and Jesse Pound contributed to this story.    

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Strong earnings, macro conditions driving stocks higher

    CNBC Daily Open: Strong earnings, macro conditions driving stocks higher

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    The Morgan Stanley headquarters in New York, US, on Monday, Oct. 14, 2024. 

    Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    The bottom line

    The pullback in stocks on Wednesday was brief, like a marathoner pausing to drink before pounding the road again.

    “Yesterday’s weakness does not change the intermediate and long-term uptrends, and we believe it will prove to be just a pullback within the context of a longer-term uptrend,” Piper Sandler said in a note.

    After dipping from its 43,000 level on Tuesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.79% Wednesday to break that barrier again, closing at 43,077.70.

    The S&P 500 climbed 0.47% and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.28%.

    Markets are basking in the glow of a positive earnings season so far. Around 80% of the 50 S&P companies that have posted earnings have topped expectations, according to FactSet data.

    Morgan Stanley, for one, reported third-quarter figures that surpassed earnings and revenue estimates. The bank’s profit jumped 32% from a year ago, far outstripping the LSEG estimate and topping several other big banks’ income growth.

    The investment banking business was a main source of profit for Morgan Stanley. Supported by the U.S. Federal Reserve beginning its rate-cutting cycle, initial public offerings and mergers and acquisitions are emerging from hibernation, injecting fresh life into Wall Street banks.

    Morgan Stanley popped 6.5% after results. The SPDR S&P Bank ETF has jumped more than 6% over the past five trading days. In another sign of the rally broadening, the banking ETF has outstripped the S&P 500’s climb of less than 1% during the same period.

    “We anticipate the macroeconomic and earnings environments to remain favorable,” UBS says, “which supports staying invested in equities.”

    With monetary policy easing, the economy staying strong and inflation cooling — import prices dipped 0.4% for September, according to the U.S. Labor Department — stocks look like they have stamina to keep going higher.

    – CNBC’s Hugh Son, Alex Harring, Jeff Cox, Lisa Kailai Han and Jesse Pound contributed to this story.    

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Bullish sentiment and broadening rally – markets are in a good place

    CNBC Daily Open: Bullish sentiment and broadening rally – markets are in a good place

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    Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on April 5, 2024.

    Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Breather from rally
    U.S. markets fell Tuesday, weighed down by a
    drop in semiconductor stocks and a 8.1% slide in UnitedHealth. Asia-Pacific stocks were mostly lower Wednesday. Asian chip stocks, like Tokyo Electron and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, retreated on news of ASML’s disappointing forecast and reports of the U.S. possibly imposing export controls on AI chips.

    ASML slumps
    Shares of semiconductor equipment manufacturer ASML plunged 16% on a downbeat earnings report. For 2025, the Netherlands-based company thinks net sales will come in at the lower half of its previous projection. ASML missed expectations on net bookings by 3 billion euros for the September quarter, though net sales beat expectations.

    Better than ChatGPT
    Alibaba updated its artificial-intelligence translation tool, based on a model called Marco MT, on Wednesday. The Chinese e-commerce giant said its product performs better than those by Google and DeepL, according to an assessment by benchmarking tool FLoRes. Fifteen languages are supported by Alibaba’s AI-powered translation tool.

    Banks beat expectations
    Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Citigroup beat earnings and revenue estimates for their third quarter. Goldman was the standout performer: Its profit jumped 45% from a year earlier. Year on year, Bank of America experienced a 12% drop in net income and Citigroup’s net income fell 8.6%.

    [PRO] Repositioning for slower rate cuts
    September’s strong jobs report and higher-than-expected inflation reading mean that the U.S. Federal Reserve is unlikely to repeat its jumbo 50-basis-point rate cut at its November meeting. Here’s how strategists are repositioning in view of changing rate cut expectations.

    The bottom line

    Despite markets falling Tuesday, there’s still plenty to like about their current state.

    Weighed down by ASML’s 16% dive and a report by Bloomberg on potential AI-chip export controls, semiconductor stocks like Nvidia and AMD fell 4.7% and 5.2% respectively. That gave the VanEck Semiconductor ETF its worst day since Sept. 3. As a result, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite lost 1.01%.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average, which just yesterday was basking in its accomplishment at closing above the 43,000 level for the first time, fell 0.75% to dip into the 42,000 territory again. UnitedHealth’s 8.1% drop dragged down the Dow.

    Last, the S&P 500 retreated 0.76%.

    Still, investors are the most bullish in four years, according to the October BofA Global Fund Manager Survey. They’re also optimistic about the economy: 74% investors believe the U.S. will avoid a recession.

    Anticipation of more rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve and hopes that Beijing will unleash more stimulus to boost its economy are driving up investor sentiment, according to Michael Hartnett, an investment strategist at BofA.

    Indeed, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, who’s a member of the Federal Open Market Committee this year, noted that the central bank is “a long way from where [rates are] likely to settle.” That means “the decisions that are really in front of us are ones about how quickly to adjust towards that level” – not whether to keep rates high in light of how strong recent economic data has been.

    Another positive sign for markets is how the S&P and Dow hit all-time highs on Monday, but the Nasdaq was still a few percentage points away from its peak. “This subtle divergence is technical evidence that the market has been moving away from the Magnificent Seven mega-caps,” wrote Piper Sandler’s chief market technician Craig Johnson.

    – CNBC’s Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Yun Li, Lisa Kailai Han and Alex Harring contributed to this story.    

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Bullish sentiment and broadening rally – plenty to like about markets

    CNBC Daily Open: Bullish sentiment and broadening rally – plenty to like about markets

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    Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., May 17, 2024. 

    Brendan McDermid | Reuters

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Breather from rally
    U.S. markets fell Tuesday, weighed down by a
    drop in semiconductor stocks and a 8.1% slide in UnitedHealth. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index lost 0.8% as sectors diverged in performance. Tech stocks fell 6.36%, while telecoms stocks rose 1.97%. Separately, euro zone industrial production increased 1.8% between July and August, according to Eurostat.

    Banks beat expectations
    Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Citigroup beat earnings and revenue estimates for their third quarter. Goldman was the standout performer: Its profit jumped 45% from a year earlier. Year on year, Bank of America experienced a 12% drop in net income and Citigroup’s net income fell 8.6%.

    ASML slumps
    Shares of semiconductor equipment manufacturer ASML plunged 16% on a downbeat earnings report. For 2025, the Netherlands-based company thinks net sales will come in at the lower half of its previous projection. ASML missed expectations on net bookings by 3 billion euros for the September quarter, though net sales beat expectations.

    Israel might not hit oil facilities
    After Israel reportedly told the U.S. it’s not planning to strike Iran’s oil facilities, prices for both West Texas Intermediate and Brent futures fell more than 4%. Earlier this week, OPEC cut its forecast for daily oil demand growth in 2024 to 1.9 million barrels per day from 2 million bpd. That was the third consecutive time this year it’s lowered expectations.

    [PRO] S&P 500 at 6,400?
    Stocks seem unstoppable. Two years into a bull market, the S&P 500 has been constantly hitting new closing highs. History suggests the bull tends to stall, or at least trip on itself, in its third year. But UBS thinks the S&P can buck the trend in 2025 and soar to 6,400, implying an upside of 10% from Tuesday’s close.

    The bottom line

    Despite markets falling Tuesday, there’s still plenty to like about their current state.

    Weighed down by ASML’s 16% dive and a report by Bloomberg on potential AI-chip export controls, semiconductor stocks like Nvidia and AMD fell 4.7% and 5.2% respectively. That gave the VanEck Semiconductor ETF its worst day since Sept. 3. As a result, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite lost 1.01%.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average, which just yesterday was basking in its accomplishment at closing above the 43,000 level for the first time, fell 0.75% to dip into the 42,000 territory again. UnitedHealth’s 8.1% drop dragged down the Dow.

    Last, the S&P 500 retreated 0.76%.

    Still, investors are the most bullish in four years, according to the October BofA Global Fund Manager Survey. They’re also optimistic about the economy: 74% investors believe the U.S. will avoid a recession.

    Anticipation of more rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve and hopes that Beijing will unleash more stimulus to boost its economy are driving up investor sentiment, according to Michael Hartnett, an investment strategist at BofA.

    Indeed, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, who’s a member of the Federal Open Market Committee this year, noted that the central bank is “a long way from where [rates are] likely to settle.” That means “the decisions that are really in front of us are ones about how quickly to adjust towards that level” – not whether to keep rates high in light of how strong recent economic data has been.

    Another positive sign for markets is how the S&P and Dow hit all-time highs on Monday, but the Nasdaq was still a few percentage points away from its peak. “This subtle divergence is technical evidence that the market has been moving away from the Magnificent Seven mega-caps,” wrote Piper Sandler’s chief market technician Craig Johnson.

    – CNBC’s Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Yun Li, Lisa Kailai Han and Alex Harring contributed to this story.  

    Correction: An earlier version of this report misstated the day of U.S. stock movement.  

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  • Earnings will drive the stock market in the week ahead. That’s a good thing

    Earnings will drive the stock market in the week ahead. That’s a good thing

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    A view of the New York Stock Exchange building in the Financial District in New York City on Aug. 5, 2024.

    Charly Triballeau | Afp | Getty Images

    The good times are still rolling on Wall Street. An intensifying earnings season will put that momentum to the test.

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  • High-Flying Chipmakers See Worst Plunge Since 2020: Markets Wrap

    High-Flying Chipmakers See Worst Plunge Since 2020: Markets Wrap

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    (Bloomberg) — The world’s largest technology companies got hammered as concern about tighter US restrictions on chip sales to China spurred a selloff in the industry that has led the bull market in stocks.

    Most Read from Bloomberg

    From the US to Europe and Asia, chipmakers came under heavy pressure. American powerhouses Nvidia Corp., Advanced Micro Devices Inc. and Broadcom Inc. drove a closely watched semiconductor gauge down almost 7% — the most since 2020. Across the Atlantic, ASML Holding NV tumbled over 10% even after the Dutch giant reported strong orders. A plunge in Tokyo Electron Ltd. led the Nikkei 225 Stock Average lower.

    Wednesday’s action reprised a recent trend in which capitalization-weighted indexes underperformed the average stock, a consequence of weakness in the megacaps that dominate them. With firms such as Apple Inc. and Microsoft Corp. each making up 7% of the S&P 500, losses are hard to offset even when most of the index’s constituents are up — as they were today.

    The Biden administration told allies it’s considering severe curbs if companies like Tokyo Electron and ASML keep giving China access to advanced semiconductor technology. The US is also weighing more sanctions on specific Chinese chip firms linked to Huawei Technologies Co.

    “This news on the chip front is the kind of UFO (UnForeseen Occurrence) that could indeed create the kind of selling that could be the catalyst for a tradable correction in the stock market,” said Matt Maley at Miller Tabak + Co. “Broad indices have become very overbought.”

    The S&P 500 fell 1.4%. The Nasdaq 100 had its worst day since 2022. A gauge of the “Magnificent Seven” giant companies slipped 3.4%. The Russell 2000 of small firms dropped 1.1%. Wall Street’s “fear gauge” — the VIX — hit the highest since early May. In late hours, United Airlines Holdings Inc. sank on a bearish outlook.

    A pair of chipmakers defied the selloff: Intel Corp. and Globalfoundries Inc. And the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed for a sixth straight day — notching another record. Financial shares outperformed, with U.S. Bancorp surging on solid results.

    The bond market saw small moves. The Federal Reserve’s Beige Book showed slight economic growth and cooling inflation. The most-notable speaker on Wednesday was Governor Christopher Waller, who said the Fed is getting “closer” to cutting rates, but is not there yet. The yen led gains in major currencies, up almost 1.5%.

    The Biden administration is in a tenuous position. US companies feel that restrictions on exports to China have unfairly punished them and are pushing for changes. Allies, meanwhile, see little reason to alter their policies when the presidential election is just a few months away.

    “Normally, the impact of these types of headlines isn’t long-lasting, but in this case, we would note that semis have been underperforming the broader market for the last couple of weeks now,” said Bespoke Investment Group strategists. “So that’s something to watch.”

    The tech underperformance is coming after a first half which saw megacaps like Nvidia, Microsoft Corp. and Alphabet Inc. propel the market higher, stretching valuations for these names and leaving them with a tougher setup for the rest of 2024.

    Can the market keep powering ahead without tech?

    “Much of this year’s equity gains have come from a handful of names currently under direct threat from the political arena,” said Jose Torres at Interactive Brokers. “An important question is if the rest of the market, which generally lacks thrilling tales on a relative basis, can offset the waning momentum in ‘Magnificent Seven’ stocks.”

    At Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Scott Rubner says “I am not buying the dip.”

    The tactical strategist bets the S&P 500 has nowhere to go from here but down. That’s because this Wednesday, July 17, has historically marked a turning point for returns on the equity benchmark, he said, citing data going back to 1928. And what follows, he says, is August — typically the worst month for outflows from passive equity and mutual funds.

    Jonathan Krinsky at BTIG says the market is “nearing the end of the typical bullish window.”

    Sentiment remains extremely complacent on the surveys and transactional indicators, he noted.

    “While the rotation out of megacap tech into cyclicals and small-caps is encouraging, it felt a bit forced happening in such a short period of time,” Krinsky said. “Even if this is going to be a more long-lasting rotation, we likely won’t be able to see that new leadership until after we see a higher correlation correction and then see what leads coming out of that.”

    Corporate Highlights:

    • Tesla Inc. forming an autonomous taxi platform will be the catalyst for a roughly 10-fold increase in its share price, Ark Investment Management LLC’s Cathie Wood said, echoing years of bullish predictions about a business the carmaker has yet to stand up.

    • Amazon.com Inc.’s marketing portal for merchants crashed Tuesday night, according to multiple Amazon sellers and consultants, fouling up one of the online retailer’s biggest sales of the year.

    • Morgan Stanley became the latest big Wall Street bank to tap the US investment-grade market Wednesday after reporting earnings, as strong investor demand helps lenders borrow at lower yields than would have been possible at the start of the month.

    • Johnson & Johnson’s second-quarter profit beat Wall Street projections on strong pharmaceutical sales, while the company cut its full-year forecast to account for a spate of recent acquisitions.

    Key events this week:

    • ECB rate decision, Thursday

    • US initial jobless claims, Philadelphia Fed manufacturing, Conference Board LEI, Thursday

    • Fed’s Mary Daly, Lorie Logan and Michelle Bowman speak, Thursday

    • Fed’s John Williams, Raphael Bostic speak, Friday

    Some of the main moves in markets:

    Stocks

    • The S&P 500 fell 1.4% as of 4 p.m. New York time

    • The Nasdaq 100 fell 2.9%

    • The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.6%

    • The MSCI World Index fell 0.9%

    Currencies

    • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.3%

    • The euro rose 0.3% to $1.0936

    • The British pound rose 0.3% to $1.3008

    • The Japanese yen rose 1.4% to 156.19 per dollar

    Cryptocurrencies

    • Bitcoin fell 0.1% to $64,610.01

    • Ether fell 0.7% to $3,416.9

    Bonds

    • The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 4.15%

    • Germany’s 10-year yield was little changed at 2.42%

    • Britain’s 10-year yield advanced three basis points to 4.08%

    Commodities

    • West Texas Intermediate crude rose 2.6% to $82.89 a barrel

    • Spot gold fell 0.4% to $2,457.97 an ounce

    This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.

    –With assistance from Cecile Gutscher and Sujata Rao.

    Most Read from Bloomberg Businessweek

    ©2024 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • AI and semiconductor stocks surge after Nvidia’s earnings beat

    AI and semiconductor stocks surge after Nvidia’s earnings beat

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    A microchip and the Nvidia logo displayed on a phone screen are seen in this photo taken in Krakow, Poland, on April 10, 2023.

    Nurphoto | Getty Images

    Artificial intelligence and semiconductor chip stocks rallied after U.S. chip design firm Nvidia beat Wall Street’s expectations for fourth-quarter earnings and revenue on Wednesday and projected “continued growth” in 2025 and beyond.

    Nvidia supplier Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company jumped as much as 2.05% in Thursday morning trade. TSMC is the world’s largest contract chip maker and produces advanced processors for companies like Nvidia and iPhone maker Apple.

    Shares of server component supplier Super Micro Computer rose 11.42% in Wednesday’s after-hours trading. Dutch chip equipment manufacturer ASML, which supplies TSMC lithography machines critical to chip making, jumped 2.7% in the U.S. during after hours trading.

    Following Nvidia’s earnings report, rivals Advanced Micro Devices and SoftBank-backed U.K. chip designer Arm Holdings surged 4.08% and 7.87%, respectively, in after hours trading.

    Nvidia, which custom designs AI chips for the likes of Amazon, Microsoft and Google, saw skyrocketing demand for its graphics processing units thanks to the AI boom.

    OpenAI’s ChatGPT, which gained massive popularity worldwide in November 2022 for its ability to generate human-like responses to user prompts, is trained and run on thousands of Nvidia’s GPUs. Nvidia shares rose 9% in extended trading.

    South Korea’s memory chipmakers Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix gained 0.41% and 3.22% respectively on Thursday. Large language models such as ChatGPT rely on high-performance memory chips to remember details from past conversations and user preferences in order to generate humanlike responses.

    Other Taiwanese semiconductor firms Orient Semiconductor Electronics and MediaTek rose 2.94% and 1.53% respectively on Thursday.

    Intel, Broadcom and Qualcomm, three U.S. chip makers, saw increases in share prices in extending trading Wednesday, surging 1.38%, 2.79% and 1.80% respectively.

    “Fundamentally, the conditions are excellent for continued growth” in 2025 and beyond, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang told analysts on Wednesday in an earnings call. He added that demand for Nvidia GPUs will remain high due to generative AI and an industry-wide shift away from central processors to the accelerators that Nvidia makes.

    “If I was going to just kind of put a stake in the ground relative to the conversation, whether it’s related to market share or to their margins, I think they’re going to surprise people,” Gene Munster, managing partner of Deepwater Asset Management, told CNBC’s “Street Signs Asia” on Thursday.

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  • Critical chip firm ASML, caught in China export restrictions, posts 38% rise in profit

    Critical chip firm ASML, caught in China export restrictions, posts 38% rise in profit

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    Dutch firm ASML makes one of the most important pieces of machinery required to manufacture the most advanced chips in the world. U.S. chip curbs have left companies, including ASML, scrambling to figure out what the rules mean in practice.

    Emmanuel Dunand | AFP | Getty Images

    ASML, one of the world’s most important semiconductor equipment firm, posted a jump in revenue and profit in the second quarter, but warned of macroeconomic “uncertainties” ahead.

    The Dutch company makes expensive machines that are required to manufacture the world’s most advanced chips. It counts giants like TSMC, the world’s biggest contract semiconductor maker, among its customers.

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    But ASML has also been caught in the middle of the U.S.-China technology battle because of the importance of the tools it makes.

    Here’s how ASML did in the second quarter versus Refinitiv estimates:

    • Net sales: 6.9 billion euros ($7.7 billion), compared with 6.72 billion euros expected. That represents a 27% year-on-year rise.
    • Net profit: 1.9 billion euros, versus 1.82 billion euros expected. That marks a 37.6% year-on-year increase.

    ASML said it expects net sales in the third quarter of this year to sit between 6.5 billion euros and 7 billion euros.

    The company also raised its outlook for 2023, now anticipating its net sales this year to grow 30% year-on-year, up from a 25% growth estimate previously.

    ASML said that the brighter outlook is due to strong revenue from its deep ultraviolet (DUV) lithography machine, which is used to manufacture memory chips. These go into various devices, from smartphones to laptops and servers, and could ultimately be used for artificial intelligence applications. 

    Still, ASML CEO Peter Wennink warned about macroeconomic uncertainties.

    “Our customers across different market segments are currently more cautious due to continued macro-economic uncertainties, and therefore expect a later recovery of their markets. Also, the shape of the recovery slope is still unclear,” Wennink said in a press release.

    Companies that design and make chips that go into end products like smartphones have been dealing with high inventory levels of these components. That’s because demand for end products, such as consumer electronics, continues to remain weak.

    That means chipmakers are slowing down their output of chips and therefore using ASML tools less, Wennink said in pre-recorded video interview on the company website.

    No ‘significant impact’ from China export controls

    ASML has been caught up in the U.S. push to cut China off from key technologies, including those involved in the manufacture of advanced semicondcutors.

    Last October, the U.S. introduced sweeping export restrictions on certain technologies to China, which Washington fears could be used in military or artificial intelligence applications. The Biden administration has been pressuring allied countries to follow suit with similar restrictions.

    In June, the Netherlands — where ASML is headquartered — introduced its own export restrictions on advanced semiconductor equipment. Companies will require a license from the government to export certain technologies.

    At the time, ASML said that these rules likely applied to certain DUV machines that the company sells.

    While the Dutch government introduced them in June, they were first floated in March and were “not a major surprise” to Wennink.

    “All in all, when you look at export control measures in total, we don’t expect a significant impact on our 2023 year,” but also on the longer term outlook, Wennink added.

    The CEO said ASML is waiting to see if there are any further restrictions from the U.S., amid reports that Washington is looking at additional controls on technology exports to China.

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  • Forget the hype: Barclays identifies global ‘A.I. winners’ for the long term

    Forget the hype: Barclays identifies global ‘A.I. winners’ for the long term

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  • EU and Japan look to partner on A.I. and chips as China ‘de-risking’ strategy continues

    EU and Japan look to partner on A.I. and chips as China ‘de-risking’ strategy continues

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    Thierry Breton, internal market commissioner for the European Union, delivers a keynote at Mobile World Congress in Barcelona.

    Angel Garcia | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    The European Union is looking to cooperate more closely with Japan on key technologies such as artificial intelligence, the bloc’s industry chief said, as the coalition looks to reduce its reliance on China in certain areas.

    EU Commissioner Thierry Breton is meeting with the Japanese government on Monday, and artificial intelligence will be “very high” on his agenda, he said in a video posted on Twitter on Sunday.

    “I will engage with [the] Japanese government … on how we can organize our digital space, including AI based on our shared value,” Breton said.

    Breton also said there will be an EU-Japan Digital Partnership council, to discuss areas including quantum and high-performance computing. The EU held a similar council with South Korea last week, in which the two sides agreed to cooperate on technologies such as AI and cybersecurity.

    Partnerships with key Asian countries with strong technology sectors come as the EU looks to “de-risk” from China — a different approach from that of the U.S., which has sought to decouple its economy from Beijing.

    Part of that EU strategy involves deepening the relationship with allied countries around technology.

    Breton told Reuters on Monday that the bloc and Japan will cooperate in the area of semiconductors. Japan is a key country in the semiconductor supply chain, and Tokyo has been looking to strengthen its domestic industry. Last week, a fund backed by the Japanese government proposed to buy domestic chipmaking firm JSR for around 903.9 billion yen ($6.3 billion).

    The EU has also been looking to strengthen its own semiconductor industry across the bloc.

    Semiconductors are vital components that go into everything from cars to smartphones and have potential military applications. Countries around the world have been reassessing their supply chains, and some, like the U.S., have looked to bring semiconductor manufacturing back onshore.

    Semiconductors are also key to training artificial intelligence models. AI and chips are seen as two key areas of technology for the future, which countries are trying to position themselves to take advantage of.

    At the same time, the U.S. in particular has sought to cut China off from critical technologies, such as semiconductors, through export restrictions and Washington has looked to convince European allies to join.

    The Netherlands, home to one of the world’s most critical chip firms ASML, last week announced new export restrictions on advanced semiconductor equipment.

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  • China’s top chipmaker will ‘struggle’ to make cutting-edge chips competitively

    China’s top chipmaker will ‘struggle’ to make cutting-edge chips competitively

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    China’s largest chipmaker SMIC won’t be able to produce cutting-edge chips competitively if it continues to be cut off from advanced equipment, analysts told CNBC.

    Vcg | Visual China Group | Getty Images

    China’s largest chipmaker SMIC won’t be able to produce cutting-edge chips competitively if it continues to be cut off from advanced equipment, analysts told CNBC.

    State-backed SMIC, or Semiconductor Manufacturing International Co., is making 7-nanometer semiconductor chips, placing it in the league of Intel and others.

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    However, SMIC has been the target of U.S. sanctions since 2020 when it was put on a U.S. trade blacklist which restricts its access to certain technology. It has also been unable to obtain the extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines — which only Dutch firm ASML is capable of making.

    Without EUV machines, the Chinese tech giant is not able to produce the high-tech semiconductors on a large scale at lower costs.

    China is behind in its ability to design and produce advanced chips, says Chris Miller, author of "Chip War"

    “It’s just not commercially profitable for SMIC to make those chips with less advanced equipment,” said Phelix Lee, equity analyst for Morningstar Asia.

    Following the 2020 sanctions, the U.S. last year introduced sweeping export restrictions aimed at cutting China off from advanced chip tech and equipment. Washington is concerned that China could use these advanced semiconductors in artificial intelligence and military applications.

    The U.S. has sought support from other key chipmaking nations including South Korea, Japan and the Netherlands. The Netherlands as well as Japan have reportedly followed the U.S. in imposing rules aimed at restricting China from accessing advanced chip tech.

    According to Dutch regulations, ASML will need to apply for a license to export its EUV machines. ASML has not exported the highly complex machines to China so far.

    “Can SMIC produce in a commercially viable way scaled by the hundreds of thousands or tens of millions in some cases? That’s what the most advanced tools let you do,” Chris Miller, author of “Chip War” told CNBC.

    SMIC did not respond to CNBC’s request for comment.

    Competitive landscape

    The world’s most advanced chip facilities — such as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company and South Korean electronics giant Samsung — rely on tools from just a small number of companies largely in the U.S., Japan and the Netherlands.

    TSMC and Samsung began mass producing 7-nanometer chips in 2018. Both firms use ASML’s EUV machines.

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    “Nanometer” in chips refers to the size of individual transistors on a chip. The smaller the size of the transistor, the more of them can be packed onto a single semiconductor. As such, smaller nanometer sizes typically yield more powerful and efficient chips.

    Both companies have a roadmap to produce 2-nanometer chips in 2025. Samsung will begin making 1.4-nanometer chips in 2027. Both companies started mass production of 3-nanometer chips last year.

    Still lagging behind

    SMIC is still generations behind TSMC and Samsung. Without advanced chip-making machines, SMIC is going to fall further behind.

    “So far I don’t see domestic players being able to provide those machines to SMIC,” said Morningstar’s Lee.

    At least for the next couple of years, SMIC is going to struggle to produce chips that are as effective and as high quality as those that are produced abroad.

    Chris Miller

    Author of ‘Chip War’

    While some Chinese firms are trying to build equivalent tools domestically, they remain fairly far behind, said Miller.

    In February, ASML said that a former employee in China had stolen data about its proprietary technology.

    “It will likely take some time before China begins to replicate the capabilities that these important tools have,” said Miller, who is also an international history professor at Tufts University.

    “At least for the next couple of years, SMIC is going to struggle to produce chips that are as effective and as high quality as those that are produced abroad,” the professor said.

    SMIC has a long way to go in catching up with TSMC, says analyst

    Lee said it is “quite unlikely, at least in the next five years” for SMIC to be able to produce the latest generation of chips such as 5 or 3-nanometer chips. “If we want to close the gap [between SMIC and TSMC], we should be looking at a 10-year horizon,” said Lee.

    China wants tech progress

    But with SMIC being the key to China’s chip ambitions, analysts expect the government to step up support for the chipmaker. SMIC already benefits from government subsidies and state-backed research projects.

    “I see a lot of financing to happen for SMIC. These can come from bank loans, issuing new shares, or setting up operating companies with the help of government funding,” said Lee.

    The Chinese government has made it clear they want to get as close as possible to the cutting edge…

    Chris Miller

    Author of “Chip War”

    In its five-year development plan, China said it would increase research and development spending by more than 7% per year between 2021 and 2025, in pursuit of “major breakthroughs” in technology and self-reliance.

    Domestic tech giants from Alibaba to Baidu have been designing their own chips, seen as a step toward China’s goal of boosting its domestic capabilities in chip tech.

    “The Chinese government has made it clear they want to get as close as possible to the cutting edge and so a lot of the funds will be devoted towards trying to produce close to cutting edge chips,” said Miller.

    “SMIC is going to benefit from a new level of support from the Chinese government which doesn’t want to see it fail and wants to see it, if possible, continue to make progress technologically,” he added.

    — CNBC’s Arjun Kharpal contributed to this report.

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  • Time to buy the tech rally? Hedge fund manager Dan Niles and others reveal their top picks

    Time to buy the tech rally? Hedge fund manager Dan Niles and others reveal their top picks

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  • The U.S. imposed semiconductor export controls on China. Now a key EU nation is set to follow suit

    The U.S. imposed semiconductor export controls on China. Now a key EU nation is set to follow suit

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    An employee stands by cables inside a ASML Twinscan XT1000 lithography machine, during manufacture at the ASML factory in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

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    “Given the technological developments and the geopolitical context, the government has come to the conclusion that the existing export control framework for specific equipment used for the manufacture of semiconductors needs to be expanded, in the interests of national and international security,” the country’s Foreign Trade Minister Liesje Schreinemacher said in a letter to parliament Wednesday.

    Although the letter does not reference China, it comes after pressure from the White House, which in 2022 imposed export controls that limit Beijing from accessing certain semiconductor chips. At the time, American officials recognized that if other countries did not impose similar restrictions, the export controls would lose effectiveness over time.

    Since 2018, the U.S. has reportedly been asking the Dutch government to stop ASML shipping its extreme ultraviolet lithography machines to China. ASML has not shipped the equipment to China so far.

    In the wake of the Dutch government’s announcement, ASML said in a statement that, “it will take time for these controls to be translated into legislation and take effect.”

    “Based on today’s announcement, our expectation of the Dutch government’s licensing policy, and the current market situation, we do not expect these measures to have a material effect on our financial outlook,” the company said Wednesday, adding that “the additional export controls do not pertain to all immersion lithography tools but only to what is called ‘most advanced’.”

    ASML said that it is not clear what the Dutch government means by the “most advanced” machines.

    However, it said the regulations mean that it will need to apply for a license to export its so-called immersion deep ultraviolet (DUV) lithography machine, which is used to manufacture memory chips. These chips are used in a plethora of devices, from smartphones to laptops and servers, and could ultimately be used for artificial intelligence applications. 

    Last month, ASML said that a former employee in China had misappropriated data related to its proprietary technology.

    China has been working to bolster its domestic semiconductor industry, but it remains far behind the likes of Taiwan, South Korea and the U.S.

    The Chinese Ministry for Foreign Affairs said on Thursday that it opposes the politicization of economic and trade cooperation and hopes that the Netherlands maintains an objective stance, according to Reuters.

    Speaking to CNBC’s Street Signs on Thursday, Anna Rosenberg, head of geopolitics at the Amundi Institute, said that the latest announcement from the Netherlands is “a big deal” for President Joe Biden.

    “The U.S. has been trying to get the EU to side with its policies towards China for a while, and it has significantly more leverage with the EU now than prior to the [Ukraine] war, simply because the EU is now pretty much entirely dependent on its security on the US,” she added.

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  • A globally critical chip firm is driving a wedge between the U.S. and Netherlands over China tech policy

    A globally critical chip firm is driving a wedge between the U.S. and Netherlands over China tech policy

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    Netherlands Prime Minister Mark Rutte speaks with U.S. President Joe Biden. The U.S. has been putting pressure on the Netherlands to block exports to China of high-tech semiconductor equipment. The Netherlands is home to ASML, one of the most important companies in the global semiconductor supply chain.

    Susan Walsh | AFP | Getty Images

    Washington has its eyes on the Netherlands, a small but important European country that could hold the key to China’s future in manufacturing cutting-edge semiconductors.

    The Netherlands has a population of just over 17 million people — but is also home to ASML, a star of the global semiconductor supply chain. It produces a high-tech chip-making machine that China is keen to have access to.

    The U.S. appears to have persuaded the Netherlands to prevent shipments to China for now, but relations look rocky as the Dutch weigh up their economic prospects if they’re cut off from the world’s second-largest economy.

    ASML’s critical chip role

    ASML, headquartered in the town of Veldhoven, does not make chips. Instead, it makes and sells $200 million extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines to semiconductor manufacturers like Taiwan’s TSMC.

    These machines are required to make the most advanced chips in the world, and ASML has a de-facto monopoly on them, because it’s the only company in the world to make them.

    This makes ASML one of the most important chip companies in the world.

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    U.S.-Netherlands talks

    U.S. pressure on the Netherlands appears to have begun in 2018 under the administration of former President Donald Trump. According to a Reuters report from 2020, the Dutch government withdrew ASML’s license to export its EUV machines to China after extensive lobbying from the U.S. government.

    Under Trump, the U.S. started a trade war with China that morphed into a battle for tech supremacy, with Washington attempting to cut off critical technology supplies to Chinese companies.

    Huawei, China’s telecommunications powerhouse, faced export restrictions that starved it of the chips it required to make smartphones and other products, crippling its mobile business. Trump also used an export blacklist to cut off China’s largest chipmaker, SMIC, from the U.S. technology sector.

    President Joe Biden’s administration has taken the assault on China’s chip industry one step further.

    In October, the U.S. Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Industry and Security introduced sweeping rules requiring companies to apply for a license if they want to sell certain advanced computing semiconductors or related manufacturing equipment to China.

    ASML told its U.S. staff to stop servicing Chinese clients after the introduction of these rules.

    Pressure on the Netherlands to fall in line with U.S. rules continues. Alan Estevez, the under secretary of commerce for industry and security at the U.S. Department of Commerce, and Tarun Chhabra, senior director for technology and national security at the U.S. National Security Council, reportedly spoke with Dutch officials this month.

    “Now that the U.S. government has put unilateral end-use controls on U.S. companies, these controls would be futile from their perspective if China could get these machines from ASML or Tokyo Electron (Japan),” Pranay Kotasthane, chairperson of the high-tech geopolitics program at the Takshashila Institution, told CNBC.

    “Hence the U.S. government would want to convert these unilateral controls into multilateral ones by getting countries such as the Netherlands, South Korea, and Japan on board.”

    The National Security Council declined to comment when contacted by CNBC, while the Department of Commerce did not respond to a request for comment.

    A spokesperson for the Netherlands’ Ministry of Foreign Affairs said it does not comment on visits by officials. The ministry did not reply to additional questions from CNBC.

    Tensions

    Last week, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken hailed the “growing convergence in the approach to the challenges that China poses,” particularly with the European Union.

    But the picture from the Netherlands does not appear as rosy.

    “Obviously we are weighing our own interests, our national security interest is of utmost importance, obviously we have economic interests as you may understand and the geopolitical factor always plays a role as well,” Liesje Schreinemacher, minister for foreign trade and development cooperation of the Netherlands, said last week.

    She added that Beijing is “an important trade partner.”

    CNBC’s Silvia Amaro contributed to this report

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