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  • Israeli exec who hired Palestinians in tech boom still hopes for peace while mourning slain daughter

    Israeli exec who hired Palestinians in tech boom still hopes for peace while mourning slain daughter

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    When Eyal Waldman thinks of his youngest daughter and her boyfriend, he sees them dancing.

    “Danielle and Noam loved dancing, and I hope they continue dancing somewhere up there,” Eyal Waldman told MarketWatch.

    Danielle Waldman and Noam Shay were killed at a music festival in southern Israel last week, part of a campaign by the Hamas terrorist group that has led to further bloodshed.

    Danielle’s father — an Israeli tech executive who co-founded Mellanox, which became the largest acquisition in Nvidia Corp.’s
    NVDA,
    -3.16%

    history — spoke with MarketWatch as Friday turned to Saturday in Israel, in hopes of increasing attention on the hostages who are still held in Gaza as well as to memorialize his daughter, who was 24, and Shay, who was 26.

    “They loved to celebrate life,” Eyal Waldman said of his daughter and her boyfriend, before adding “they went down on Friday night to celebrate life, love and freedom, and they were massacred.”


    Courtesy of Eyal Waldman

    Danielle Waldman — who was born in Palo Alto, California, but moved back to Israel with her family at age 4 — and Israeli native Shay were students who met six years ago in the army, and her father said they had been inseparable since. They attended the Supernova music festival in early October with friends, and were killed while attempting to escape Hamas terrorists in a car that Eyal Waldman found bullet-riddled near the festival’s location.

    “Danielle and Noam have done nothing bad to anyone, and they were murdered only because they were Israelis,” he said.

    Eyal Waldman, a onetime Israeli combat fighter, founded Mellanox in 1999, and sold it 20 years later to Nvidia for $6.9 billion. He is known internationally for attempting to foster peace between Israelis and Palestinians through his work in technology — Mellanox hired Palestinian tech workers in Gaza, Nablus and the West Bank town of Rawabi, which led to a “60 Minutes” appearance.

    “We wanted to make peace, to work together, to bring prosperity to the Palestinian people, the same as we have in Israel,” he said. “I brought even Apple
    AAPL,
    -1.03%

    to open a design center in Rawabi and I brought other companies to open design centers in Rawabi.”

    The death of his daughter and Shay and the scope of the attacks and counter-attacks dominating headlines in recent days have not changed Waldman’s hope for peace in the future, he said, but not the near future. He believes this time, the violence “took us back several years, if not decades.”

    “We need time to build the trust, if at all, between the two nations and start working together to be able to talk about peace,” he said. “Until then, we will continue protecting ourselves in a very direct manner in Gaza and everywhere else around Israel.”

    Waldman also said he would continue to try to hire Palestinians and work with them to be a part of the Israeli tech ecosystem, as long as they state “that they are working for peace, and they are not supporting — not financially and not in any other way — any terror actions, or any actions that are not civilian economics between the two nations.”

    “Our hands are always reaching out for peace. But at the same time, before we do this, we need people to understand that Israel is strong, Israel is united, and we will never let anyone harm the citizens of the state of Israel again.”

    Read: Israel-Gaza war scenarios: Here’s what might lift oil prices to $95, $100 and $115 a barrel

    Waldman was thankful for U.S. aid and was forceful in discussing the need to find hostages that were still missing. One of Nvidia’s current employees was kidnapped, according to an email that Chief Executive Jensen Huang sent to employees that was obtained by Insider, which reported that the employee was also at the Supernova music festival.

    Nvidia has more than 3,000 employees in Israel mostly working for Mellanox, which makes networking gear that connects Nvidia’s high-performance data-center products. In an emailed statement, an Nvidia spokesman said “our focus now is working with our Israel leadership to ensure our employees and their families are safe and well cared for. We will then turn our focus to shoring up [the company’s] execution if necessary to ensure continued operations of our business.”

    Waldman said the return of hostages is top of mind.

    “What’s important now is to focus on bringing back the hostages, and that is the No. 1 priority for the State of Israel and for the international community,” he said.

    Continuing to worry about others while suffering his own tragedy is a trait that Eyal Waldman seems to have passed down to his youngest daughter. He said that he had received a note from another festival attendee who was wounded in the eye in the initial attack. That victim told him that Danielle Waldman had stopped to attend to her and make sure she was safe before attempting to escape in a car that was later believed to have been attacked by Hamas terrorists with rifles.

    “They loved to celebrate life,” Waldman said of his daughter and her boyfriend.

    “And they went down on Friday night to celebrate life, love and freedom, and they were massacred.”

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  • These are the biggest money mistakes we make in our 20s, 30s and 40s

    These are the biggest money mistakes we make in our 20s, 30s and 40s

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    Financial literacy peaks at age 54, according to a 2022 study. That’s around the time you’ve gained enough knowledge and experience to make sound money decisions — and before your cognitive ability might start to ebb.

    “As we get older, we seem to rely more on past experience, rules of thumb, and intuitive knowledge about which products and strategies are better,” said Rafal Chomik, an economist in Australia who led the study.

    If people in their mid-50s tend to make smart financial moves, where does that leave younger generations?

    Advisers often educate clients at different stages of life to avoid money mistakes. While those in their 50s usually demonstrate optimal prudence  in navigating investments and savings, advisers keep busy helping others — from twentysomethings to mid-career professionals — avoid costly financial blunders:

    Navigate your 20s

    Perhaps the biggest blunder for young earners is spending too much and saving too little. They may also lack the long-term perspective that encourages long-range planning.

    “The mistake is not establishing the saving habit early, and not appreciating the power of compounding” over time, said Mark Kravietz, a certified financial planner in Melville, N.Y.

    Similarly, it’s common for young workers to delay enrolling in an employer-sponsored retirement plan. Not participating from the get-go comes with a steep long-term cost.

    Better to prioritize debt with the highest interest rate, which can result in paying less interest over the long run.

    People in their 20s process incoming information quickly. But their high level of fluid intelligence can work against them. Cursory research into a consumer trend or hot sector of the stock market can spur them to make rash investments. Such impulsive moves might backfire.

    “It’s important to resist the hype,” Kravietz said. “Don’t chase fads or try to make fast money” by timing the market.

    Many young adults with student debt juggle multiple loans. Eager to chip away at their debt, they fall into the trap of choosing the wrong loan to tackle first, says Megan Kowalski, an adviser in Boca Raton, Fla.

    Rather than pay off the highest-interest rate loan first (so-called avalanche debt), they mistakenly focus on the smallest loan (a.k.a. snowball debt). It’s better to prioritize debt with the highest interest rate, which can result in paying less interest over the long run.

    Navigate your 30s

    Resist the temptation to lower your 401(k) contribution to boost your take-home pay.

    By your 30s, insurance grows in importance. You want to protect what you have — now and in the future. But many people in this age group neglect their insurance needs. Or they misunderstand which coverages matter most.

    “If you have a life partner and kids, get the proper life insurance while in your 30s,” Kravietz said. 

    It’s easy to get caught up in your career and assume you can put off life insurance. But even low odds of your untimely death doesn’t mean you can ignore the risk of leaving your loved ones without a cash cushion.

    Another common blunder involves disability insurance. If your employer offers short-term disability insurance as an employee perk, you may think you’re all set.

    However, the real risk is how you’d earn income if you suffer a serious and lasting illness or injury. Don’t confuse short-term disability insurance (which might cover you for as long as one year) with long-term disability coverage that pays benefits for many years.

    Assuming you were wise enough to enroll in your employer-sponsored retirement plan from the outset, don’t slough off in your 30s. Resist the temptation to lower your 401(k) contribution to boost your take-home pay.

    “You want to give till it hurts,” Kravietz said. “Keep putting money away” in your 401(k) or other tax-advantaged plan until you feel a sting. Weigh the minor pain you feel now against the major relief of having a much bigger nest egg decades from now.

    Navigate your 40s

    ‘The 40s are often the most expensive in anyone’s life. Life is getting more complicated.’

    For Kravietz, the 40s represent a decade of heavy spending pressures. Mid-career professionals face a mortgage and mounting tuition bills for their children.

    “The 40s are often the most expensive in anyone’s life,” he said. “Life is getting more complicated.”

    As a result, it’s easy to overlook seemingly minor financial matters like updating beneficiaries on your 401(k) plan or completing all the appropriate estate documents such as a will.

    “People in their 40s sometimes fail to update beneficiaries,” Kravietz said. For example, a new marriage might mean changing the beneficiary from a prior partner or current parent to the new spouse.

    It’s also easy to get complacent about your investments, especially if you’re the conservative type who favors a set-it-and-forget-it strategy. Instead, think in terms of tax optimization.

    “In your 40s, you want to take advantage of what the government gives you,” Kravietz said. “If you have a lot of money in a bank money market account and you’re in a top tax bracket, shifting some of that money into municipal bonds can make sense” depending on your state of residence and other factors.

    If you’re saving for a child’s college tuition using a 529 plan — and you have parents who also want to chip in — work together to strategize. Don’t make assumptions about how much (or how little) your parents might contribute to your kid’s education.

    “Rather than assume you’ll have to pay a certain amount for educational expenses, coordinate between generations of parents and grandparents” on how much they intend to give, Kowalski said. “That way, you’re not duplicating efforts and you won’t put extra funds in a 529 plan.”

    More: 7 more ways to save that you may not have considered

    Also read: ‘We live a rather lavish lifestyle’: My wife and I are 33, live in New York City and earn $270,000. Can we retire at 55?

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  • Jim Jordan nominated for speaker by House GOP amid worries over government shutdown and support for Israel

    Jim Jordan nominated for speaker by House GOP amid worries over government shutdown and support for Israel

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    Rep. Jim Jordan won the nomination Friday to be speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives after launching a fresh bid for the position, as analysts warned that the process of finding a replacement for former Speaker Kevin McCarthy was preventing the Republican-run chamber from addressing crucial matters.

    Jordan, an Ohio Republican who chairs the House Judiciary Committee, said “yup” on Friday morning when he was asked if he was running again for speaker after House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, a Louisiana Republican, ended his bid late Thursday.

    House Republicans voted in favor of Jordan in the afternoon, with 124 supporting him and 81 backing another candidate for speaker, GOP Rep. Austin Scott of Georgia, according to multiple reports. Republican lawmakers then left for the weekend and were expected to reconvene Monday.

    Rep. Austin Scott, a Georgia Republican, also spoke to reporters about the House speaker position on Friday.


    Getty Images

    Scott, who has been in office since 2011, said in a post on X that he wanted to “lead a House that functions in the best interest of the American people.”

    To become speaker of the GOP-led chamber, a candidate must earn the support of a majority of House Republicans. Jordan has crossed that hurdle but now must prevail in a vote on the House floor. Scalise bowed out of the running after it appeared he did not have sufficient support for a floor vote.

    See: House speaker election — how it works

    “[W]e need to be unified and get to the floor, and we want that to happen as soon as possible,” Jordan told Cleveland.com before the GOP vote on Friday.

    Scalise’s decision to drop his bid “delays the resumption of meaningful legislative
    business at least well into next week,” Benjamin Salisbury, director of research at Height Capital Markets, said in a note on Friday.

    A similar warning came from Greg Valliere, chief U.S. policy strategist at AGF Investments. The House has had a temporary speaker — GOP Rep. Patrick McHenry of North Carolina — since Oct. 3, when McCarthy was ousted in a historic vote.

    “This paralysis in the House is becoming a serious issue, as major legislation has stalled,” Valliere said in a note. “A government shutdown can’t be ruled out as the next deadline approaches on Nov. 17. More aid to Israel and Ukraine is widely supported in both parties and in both houses, but can this funding overcome procedural hurdles in the House?”

    Related: Kevin McCarthy’s ouster means chance of government shutdown next month ‘just went up to 80%,’ analyst says

    One betting market, Smarkets, was giving Jordan, a co-founder of the hard-line House Freedom Caucus, a 42% chance of becoming speaker. The Ohio congressman “faces difficult math,” as at least five Republican lawmakers are expected to vote against him on the House floor, and their ranks “may balloon by the time a floor vote is called,” Height’s Salisbury said.

    Other options that have gotten attention include giving more power to McHenry, the temporary speaker, or making a bipartisan deal on a speaker.

    U.S. stocks
    SPX

    DJIA

    COMP
    closed mostly lower Friday, with the selling blamed in part on the Israel-Hamas war.

    Now read: What U.S. political dysfunction means for the stock market and investors

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  • Homes are expensive right now, but these mortgage bonds look cheap

    Homes are expensive right now, but these mortgage bonds look cheap

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    U.S. homes may be wildly unaffordable for first-time buyers, but mortgage bonds backed by those same properties could be dirt cheap.

    Shocks from the Federal Reserve’s dramatic rate increases have walloped the $8.9 trillion agency mortgage-bond market, the main artery of U.S. housing finance for almost the past two decades.

    Spreads, or compensation for investors, have hit historically wide levels, even through the sector is underpinned by home loans that adhere to the stricter government standards set in the wake of the subprime-mortgage crisis.

    Bond prices also have tumbled, sinking from a peak above 106 cents on the dollar to below 98, despite guarantees that mean investors will be fully repaid at 100 cents on the dollar.

    From $106 to $98 cents, agency mortgage-bond prices are falling.


    Bloomberg, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

    “It’s really, really struggled,” Nick Childs, portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors, said of the agency mortgage-bond market during a Thursday talk on the firm’s fixed-income outlook.

    Yet Childs and other investors also see big opportunities brewing. While mortgage bonds have gotten cheaper with the sector’s two anchor investors on the sidelines, the stalled housing market should breed scarcity in the bonds, which could help lift the sector out of a roughly two-year slump.

    Prices have tumbled since rate shocks hit, but also since the Fed continued winding down its large footprint in the sector by letting bonds it accumulated to help shore up the economy roll off its balance sheet.

    Banks awash in underwater securities have pulled back too. The repricing of similar bonds helped hasten the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March.

    “Banks have been not only absent, but selling,” said Childs, who helps oversee the Janus Henderson Mortgage-Backed Securities exchange-traded fund
    JMBS,
    an actively managed $2 billion fund focused on highly rated securities with minimal credit risk.

    “But we’re moving into an environment where supply continues to dwindle,” he said, given anemic refinancing activity and the dearth of new home loans being originated since 30-year fixed mortgage rates topped 7%.

    The bulk of all U.S. mortgage bonds created in the past two decades have come from housing giants Freddie Mac
    FMCC,
    +0.66%
    ,
    Fannie Mae
    FNMA,
    +1.09%

    and Ginnie Mae, with government guarantees, making the sector akin to the $25 trillion Treasury market. But unlike investors in Treasurys, investors in mortgage bonds also earn a spread, or extra compensation above the risk-free rate, to help offset its biggest risk: early repayments.

    While homeowners typically take out 30-year loans, most also refinanced during the pandemic rush to lock in ultralow rates, instead of continuing to make three decades of payments on more expensive mortgages. If someone refinances, sells or defaults on a home, it leads to repayment uncertainty for bond investors.

    “To put this another way, the biggest risk to mortgages is now off the table, yet spreads are at or near historic wides,” said Sam Dunlap, chief investment officer, Angel Oak Capital Advisors, in a new client note.

    That spread is now far above the long-term average, topping levels offered by relatively low-risk investment-grade corporate bonds.

    Agency mortgage bonds are offering far more spread that investment-grade corporate bonds. But these mortgage bonds will fully repay if borrowers default.


    Janus Henderson Investors

    Agency mortgage bonds typically are included in low-risk bond funds and can be found in exchange-traded funds. While they have been hard hit by the sharp selloff in long-dated Treasury bonds
    BX:TMUBMUSD10Y

    BX:TMUBMUSD30Y,
    there has also been hope that the worst of the storm could be nearly over.

    Goldman Sachs credit analysts recently said they favored the sector but warned in a weekly client note that it still faces “high rate volatility and a dearth of institutional demand.”

    As evidence of the U.S. bond selloff, the popular iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
    TLT
    recently sank to its lowest level in more than a decade. It also was on pace for a negative 10% total return on the year so far, according to FactSet. Janus Henderson’s JMBS ETF was on pace for a negative 2.7% total return on the year through Friday.

    “Frankly, why they fit portfolios so well is that because the government backs agency mortgages, there is no credit risk,” Childs said. “So if a borrower defaults, you get par back on that. It just comes through as a typical payment.”

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  • Long U.S. dollar now seen as the most crowded trade, but bodes ill for the greenback

    Long U.S. dollar now seen as the most crowded trade, but bodes ill for the greenback

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    Long positions in the U.S. dollar is now considered the most crowded trade, according to a survey conducted by the Bank of America with global fund managers, but the greenback is likely near a peak, the bank said.

    The bank surveyed 67 fund managers managing $997 billion assets under management from the United States, United Kingdom, Continental Europe and Asia from October 6 to 11.

    The response represents a shift from early August as fund managers surveyed became more concerned about interest rates in September, according to the Bank of America note. 

    The latest survey bodes ill for the U.S. dollar
    DXY,
    as the equity rally this year has partially corrected and bond yields risen, after earlier making it to the most crowded trade, according to the bank’s strategists. 

    “We believe USD is near the peak, further strength requires a change in narrative,” the strategists wrote. 

    The ICE U.S. Dollar Index
    DXY,
    which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of rivals, has slightly pulled back from its highest close in 11 months at 107 reached on Oct. 3, according to FactSet data. The index is mostly flat on Friday at around 106.6.

    Strong economic data in the U.S. coupled with a relatively more hawkish Federal Reserve than other major central banks, could be the most likely reason to support further strength in the dollar, according to the fund managers surveyed.


    BofA Global Research

    Meanwhile, the biggest downside risk to the greenback is if the U.S. economy sees a hard landing which will prompt the Federal Reserve to cut its policy interest rates. 


    BofA Global Research

    Respondents of the survey think that rate cuts are currently underpriced, and they think the Fed is likely to cut rates the most among major central banks. 

    “This should erode faith in USD strength, and suggests that USD longs may indeed be vulnerable,” the strategists noted. 

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  • Dow Jones ekes out gain Friday, stocks mostly advance for the week as Israel-Gaza war escalates

    Dow Jones ekes out gain Friday, stocks mostly advance for the week as Israel-Gaza war escalates

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    U.S. stocks closed mostly lower Friday, but the Dow Jones and S&P 500 posted weekly gains, as the Israel-Gaza war appeared to escalate heading into the weekend. The Dow Jones Industries
    DJIA,
    +0.12%

    rose about 39 points, or 0.1%, on Friday, ending near 33,670, according to preliminary FactSet data. The S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    -0.50%

    fell 0.5% and the Nasdaq Composite Index
    COMP,
    -1.23%

    closed 1.2% lower. The S&P 500’s energy segment outperformed Friday, gaining 2.3%, as U.S. benchmark crude surged nearly 6% after Israel ordered more than a million people in Gaza to evacuate to the south. Treasury yields fell, with the 10-year Treasury
    TMUBMUSD10Y,
    4.626%

    rate retreating to 4.628% Friday, snapping a 5-week yield climb, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Bond prices and yields move in the opposite direction. Investors bought other haven assets too, including gold
    GC00,
    +0.23%

    and the U.S. dollar
    DXY,
    +0.07%
    .
    Wall Street’s “fear gauge”
    VIX,
    +15.76%

    also touched its highest level in more than a week. Even so, the Dow Jones booked at 0.8% weekly gain, the S&P 500 advanced 0.5% and the Nasdaq fell 0.2%.

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  • Your retirement checklist: 9 steps toward a better retirement

    Your retirement checklist: 9 steps toward a better retirement

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    The U.S. is approaching “peak 65.” Are you ready for it?

    The number of people who turn 65 every day will peak in 2024, and more people will be staring at the possibility of retirement, often without a plan or a roadmap to help them thrive. Given that more people are living longer, that’s a long time to spend bored, lonely or financially insecure.

    Here’s a checklist to help you navigate the financial decisions, legal complications and social ramifications of retiring. Since 60% of workers retire earlier than planned, according to the Transamerica Institute and the Transamerica Center for Retirement Studies, you shouldn’t leave these tasks to the last minute. Get started now.

    1. Update your will and estate-planning documents

    Your will may be decades out of date and your financial accounts may have beneficiaries linked to a previous marriage. Dust off those documents and get them refreshed as soon as possible.

    “Before you even start thinking about retirement, there’s some housekeeping that needs to get done,” says Eric Bond, the president of Bond Wealth Management. 

    On your immediate to-do list, make sure you have a will, power of attorney and healthcare power of attorney in case you become incapacitated and can’t act on your own behalf. You’ll also need a HIPAA waiver as well as a trust, says Catherine Collinson, the chief executive and president of the nonprofit Transamerica Institute and Transamerica Center for Retirement Studies.

    “There’s still widespread belief that trusts are only for the affluent, but they’re for everyone,” Collinson says. “It’s amazing how small issues can take on enormous bureaucratic proportions. You want to try to avoid that.”

    Nicholas Yeomans, a financial adviser and the president of Yeomans Consulting Group, says to check retirement plans, life insurance and annuity accounts to make sure you have your beneficiaries listed properly. You may have a will, but beware that beneficiaries on such accounts supersede a will, he says. Be sure to name secondary or contingent beneficiaries, as well.

    2. Create a budget

    “It’s really basic, but only 23% of preretirees and 19% of retirees have a written plan. Until you put the numbers into a spreadsheet, it’s impossible to come up with realistic expectations for how you’re going to live your life. Otherwise, you’re just winging it,” Collinson says.

    “Life is much more complicated and challenging. You need backup plans and contingency plans,” she says. “It’s really important to plan for life’s unforeseen circumstances.”

    Bond, meanwhile, cautions that people who retire in their 60s need to realize that longevity has increased and they could be retired for decades.

    “Milk and eggs are not getting cheaper. You have to plan for the long haul,” he says.

    Working Americans think they need an average of $1.1 million to retire, according to the Schroders 2023 U.S. Retirement Survey. Financial advisers generally recommend that people have 75% to 85% of their preretirement income for each year of their retirement.

    Also read: How never to outlive your money

    3. Build up your cash reserves

    Once you have a budget in place, build up cash reserves to cover six to nine months of basic expenses, such as mortgage, utilities and living expenses, Yeomans says.

    “People are either one of two extremes when it comes to emergency funds — too much cash or not enough,” he says.

    And in the years leading up to retirement, Brandon Robinson, the president and founder of JBR Associates, recommends that you work on eliminating your “bad” debt, such as credit cards or vehicle payments. Having a mortgage, however, is not necessarily a bad thing, since a house is generally an appreciating asset, he says. 

    4. Consider hiring an adviser

    “Most people only retire once,” Collinson says. “Financial advisers have the depth and breadth of experience to help. Many workers have a 401(k), and with that often comes access to financial guidance. Take advantage of that.” 

    She adds: “In today’s turbulent economy, the many people who may have felt comfortable taking a do-it-yourself approach may need help navigating uncharted territory.”

    And make sure you meet with your financial adviser on an annual basis, Robinson adds.

    5. Plan for healthcare and long-term-care needs

    Healthcare is costly, and it can be even more so for retirees. It can cost as much as $5,100 a month for a home health aide, for instance, and an average of about $8,000 a month for a semiprivate room in a nursing home, according to the Genworth Cost of Care Survey. Genworth is a long-term-care insurance company. 

    By another measure, a 65-year-old retiring in 2023 could spend an average of $157,500 on health and medical expenses throughout his or her retirement, according to Fidelity Investments, which tracks retiree healthcare expenses annually. 

    Also think about the long-term costs of help with the activities of daily living, such as bathing, toileting and dressing — assistance that is not covered by Medicare.

    When asked what their plans are for if and when their heath declined, 46% of retirees said they’d rely on family and friends, and 31% said they don’t have any plans or haven’t thought about it, Collinson says. 

    “People don’t want to think about needing someone to bathe and dress them. The cost and potential impact of these topics is enormous,” she says. 

    Collinson says it’s important to learn about long-term care — what’s available and at what price. That can help guide your decisions about long-term care insurance, but options in that market have contracted and costs have risen, putting such services out of reach for many people

    Only 14% of retirees are very confident they could afford long-term care if needed, she says.

    “Many people are under the impression that Medicare covers more long-term care than it actually does,” Collinson says. “And qualifying for Medicaid is extreme. It means that you’re at dire financial means, if not bankrupt. And Medicaid facilities have long waiting lists.”

    6. Get the facts about Medicare 

    Speaking of Medicare, it’s important to learn what the program covers and what it doesn’t.

    “There are so many decision criteria about the type, level and cost of care,” Collinson says. “It behooves everyone to understand the Medicare options best for them and review those plans regularly.”

    Also, it’s critical to plan for Medicare when you’re 65, even if you’re not planning to retire until 67 or 70.

    There’s a seven-month window to enroll in Medicare, which includes the three months before you turn 65, the month of your birthday and the three months after. If you miss that seven-month window and you don’t have health insurance from a large employer, you can face lifetime penalties for late enrollment in Medicare. 

    The first step is to contact the Social Security Administration — not Medicare itself — to start Medicare. And you’ll enroll only yourself — it’s not a family plan.

    If you’re getting Social Security and you enroll in Medicare, your premiums will come directly out of your Social Security check. However, if you’re not getting Social Security yet, you should set up automatic payments for Medicare, because your enrollment can get canceled for nonpayment.

    7. Plan your Social Security strategy

    You need to know when and how to manage your Social Security claiming. The Social Security Administration website is a great starting point, but be sure to talk with a financial adviser or visit your 401(k) plan’s financial resource center to get more information.

    Read: How much does my Social Security benefit increase when I delay filing?

    “Ideally, you want to wait until the full retirement age or age 70, which is the maximum age,” Collinson says. 

    Full retirement age is 67 for those born in 1960 or later.

    “When to take Social Security is a major decision that depends on your health, the health of your spouse, your jobs. Making that decision is a big one. Don’t take it lightly,” Robinson says. 

    Read: Inflation is already racing past next year’s Social Security COLA

    8. Consider downsizing

    “Consider downsizing or moving, but take your time,” Yeomans says. “People make major purchase mistakes in the first 12 to 18 months of retirement. But take your time. Consider renting before pulling that trigger.”

    Aging in place is something about nine out of 10 people want to do, according to a survey from Transamerica Institute and the Transamerica Center for Retirement Studies, but Collinson says people need to prepare their homes for that.

    You may need wider doorways that can accommodate a wheelchair, as well as chairlifts, grab bars and shower seats. 

    “If your dream home in retirement has lots of stairs, know that you may need to move when stairs become unmanageable,” she says.

    9. Retire to something meaningful

    Once you have the financial and legal aspects taken care of, think about how — and with whom — you want to spend your time in retirement. 

    “Make sure you’re not retiring from something, but instead retiring to something,” Yeomans says. “Men struggle with this the most. The average man has no close friends in their life who aren’t connected to work. And so much of our health in retirement comes from relationships.”

    Now read: In retirement, time is short. Don’t waste it on things you hate.

    People often don’t realize what they’ll lose when they quit working: routine, structure, social interactions, mental stimulation and in some cases physical activity, says Robert Laura, founder of the Retirement Coaches Association.

    People also often don’t take their personality into account when considering retirement.

    “If you’re a Type A personality, you may feel out of sorts with endless time. A lot of people don’t critically question retirement. They think it’s golden. But people often don’t want to retire — they just want to stop doing their primary job,” Laura says. 

    Joe Casey, managing partner of retirement-coaching company Retirement Wisdom, recommends talking to people who are thriving in retirement and learning how they spend their time and energy. 

    “People miss the challenge of working. What’s the new challenge that will help you keep growing? Don’t get too hung up on finding a singular new purpose. Try new things. Volunteer. Try several activities and be open to experimenting,” Casey says. 

    Casey suggests mapping out what a typical day or week will look like in retirement and how you plan to fill those hours. Give yourself some structure by having three things to do every day. That will provide you with a road map of how to spend your time but will also give you flexibility to let the day unfold.

    Laura says the newly retired should set 30-, 60- and 90-day goals to create some structure and have small objectives to work toward.

    “People suffer from choice paralysis — they have all the time in the world and so many options open to them. People go into retirement with vague ideas and don’t know where to start doing something, so they never do it,” Laura says. 

    “Retirement is the longest New Year’s resolution. It’s goals you have and never accomplish unless you’re focused. You don’t get extra motivation or energy in retirement, so you need to focus on what you want to accomplish,” Laura says.

    A sobering statistic may spur you into action: The average retiree watches as much as 47 hours of television a week, according to AgeWave.

    To avoid that, start thinking about and planning for retirement with your partner far ahead of the actual date. Learn each other’s goals and expectations for retirement and compare notes. Some adjustments might be in order.

    “What if one wants to sail around the world and the other wants to see the grandkids every month?” Laura says.

    Casey also recommends taking retirement for a test drive by taking a week off work. “You can get a good sense of retirement in a week trial,” he says. “It will show you how long a day can be.”

    And Collinson says to prioritize physical fitness — but don’t forget about your mental health, too. Stay engaged with other people and avoid isolation. 

    Loneliness is as deadly as smoking up to 15 cigarettes a day and is associated with a greater risk of cardiovascular disease, dementia, stroke, depression, anxiety and premature death, according to a recent advisory from the U.S. Surgeon General.

    The takeaway: Make sure you plan how you’ll carry out your hopes and dreams in retirement to make it all feel worthwhile.

    “What was the reason you worked hard for so many years?” Casey says. “It wasn’t to watch 47 hours of TV each week.”

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  • Why uranium prices have climbed to their highest in over a decade

    Why uranium prices have climbed to their highest in over a decade

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    Uranium prices have reached their highest level in more than a decade as a global supply shortage persists, with the bull market for uranium investments still in its “earliest days.”

    The market is “definitely in a structural deficit as demand is growing at a 5% annual rate and the current (2023) gap between global production and consumption remains at over 50 million pounds,” Scott Melbye, executive vice president at mining company Uranium Energy Corp.
    UEC,
    +0.78%
    ,
    told MarketWatch.

    Weekly spot uranium prices stood at $72.75 a pound as of Oct. 2, the highest since February 2011, according to data from nuclear-fuel consulting firm UxC, and were last at $69 as of Oct. 9. Weekly prices have climbed nearly 45% since the end of last year.

    Weekly prices for uranium have climbed around 45% year to date, data from UxC show.


    UxC

    In late August, Jonathan Hinze, president at UxC, told MarketWatch that the market was seeing the “best set up for nuclear power expansion” that he’d ever seen. That observation still holds, he said.

    It is clear that the uranium supply/demand balance remains “extremely tight, and it will likely only get tighter” in the coming 12 to 24 months as demand continues to rise, “while new supplies are taking more time to materialize, and inventories keep getting drawn down,” he said.

    Read: Uranium prices are still ‘nowhere near the peak of the last cycle’: Here’s why nuclear energy ETFs could power your portfolio

    Since late August, financial players, including hedge and publicly traded funds active in uranium, have been quite active buying additional uranium off the spot market, said Hinze. These funds “clearly believe that prices are set to rise further, and investors are therefore adding money to their coffers to allow them to buy physical uranium.”

    This is demand that isn’t fully anticipated in the market and this has added to the overall positive demand picture, he said.

    Price pullback

    Still, Melbye pointed out that uranium prices have pulled back a bit more recently as some traders took some “very handsome profits on their accumulated long positions.”

    That pullback may have also come as an “overreaction,” he said, to news from Kazakhstan, which produced the world’s largest share of uranium from mines in 2022, according to the World Nuclear Association. Kazatomprom, Kazakhstan’s national operator for the export and import of uranium, announced in late September a return to full production in 2025 to meet global nuclear energy demand.

    Melbye believes there was an overreaction in uranium prices because “this will ultimately have little impact on Western supply and demand as most analysts had them producing close to those levels by that time in their forecasts.”

    Even with that production assumption, the market is “still dramatically undersupplied,” and based on Melbye’s estimation, requires eight to 10 new mines starting up globally by 2030, he said.

    And while uranium has been among the best performing commodities year to date, it has only recently reached the level which “incentivizes the world’s best mines,” he said.

    This bull market in uranium investments is “still in its earliest days,” said Melbye.

    Among the exchange-traded funds, the Global X Uranium ETF
    URA
    has gained more than 25% on the year through Friday afternoon, while the Sprott Uranium Miners ETF
    URNM
    has added almost 36%. The Sprott Physical Uranium Trust
    SRUUF,
    a closed-end fund, trades nearly 39% higher.

    Broader new mine developments with significant capital investments in an inflationary environment require higher prices to move ahead, Melbye said. “Even at those levels, the long lead times needed to achieve these necessary start ups could leave the market in a short squeeze for several years.”

    The recent spot market move lower in prices marks a “temporary pause, and not a peak,” he said. “Buyers should be active on this welcome dip.”

    Supply ‘challenges’

    Contributing to supply concerns, a July coup has disrupted mining operations in the country of Niger in West Africa. Niger produced just over 4% of the world’s uranium in 2022, according to World Nuclear News. 

    The coup caused borders to close, and major uranium mine and mill operation called Somair has been halted, said UxC’s Hinze. The mine, operated by the French company Orano, sells most of uranium to customers in Europe, he said.

    Meanwhile, Cameco Corp.
    CCJ,
    +0.64%
    ,
    one of the world’s largest providers of uranium, said it’s encountered challenges at its mine and milling operation in Canada. The company now expects to produce nearly 3 million pounds of uranium concentrate less this year than previously anticipated, said Hinze.

    “These production challenges add to the overall view that the supply/demand balance is very tight and will get even tighter,” he said.

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  • U.S. law enforcement working to prevent violence following Hamas attack, White House says

    U.S. law enforcement working to prevent violence following Hamas attack, White House says

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    None of the U.S. intelligence agencies have any specific intelligence indicating a threat to the country stemming from last week’s attack by Hamas in Israel, but federal, state and local law enforcement are “working around the clock to prevent any violence from occurring,” White House spokesman John Kirby told reporters on Friday. President Joe Biden has directed his administration to “do everything we can to enhance security at home, including especially in the Jewish community and the Muslim community,” Kirby said.

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  • First charter flight for U.S. citizens leaving Israel has taken off, White House says

    First charter flight for U.S. citizens leaving Israel has taken off, White House says

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    The first charter flight that the U.S. State Department is organizing has departed from Israel and is en route right now to a site in Europe, White House spokesman John Kirby told reporters on Friday. The flight comes as there is limited availability of commercial flights out of Israel and a high demand from U.S. citizens wanting to depart following the surprise attack a week ago by Hamas, according to Kirby.

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  • These 10 college athletes are making over $1 million a year from NIL

    These 10 college athletes are making over $1 million a year from NIL

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    It now pays to be an amateur.

    The NCAA started allowing college athletes to make money from their name, image and likeness in 2021, after decades of student-athletes saying it wasn’t fair that they didn’t receive any money while the games they played in generated millions of dollars — especially football and basketball contests. And today, many of these athletes are not just making some extra cash on the side — they’re making millions.

    These NIL deals are negotiated by college athletes and their representation, and typically involve leveraging an athlete’s brand and influence through promotional means. For example, a car dealership near a university campus may ask the college’s high-profile quarterback to do a commercial for them in exchange for a monetary payment or a car. Similarly, an athlete can make money from social media, depending on how big their following is.

    Football players are among the college athletes who make the most money from NIL deals, followed by men’s basketball, women’s volleyball and women’s basketball. That’s because college football and basketball have multibillion-dollar TV contracts to broadcast games, while most other sports generally have lower visibility.

    With that in mind, here are the college athletes who make the most money from NIL deals according to On3’s proprietary NIL algorithm, which is based on NIL-deal data, performance, influence and exposure

    10. J.J. McCarthy, $1.3 million 

    J.J. McCarthy of the Michigan Wolverines in action against the Georgia Bulldogs.


    Getty Images

    As the junior quarterback for the Michigan Wolverines football team, McCarthy is one of the six college football QBs in the top 10 of NIL earners.

    McCarthy sports 276,000 followers across his social-media platforms, and has deals with Alo, Bose and Bowman.

    Tie-8. Bo Nix, $1.4 million

    Bo Nix of the Oregon Ducks throws a pass against the Stanford Cardinals.


    Getty Images

    The senior QB for the Oregon Ducks has led his team to a perfect 5-0 start this season.

    Nix has 219,000 followers on social media and NIL deals with 7-Eleven, Bojangles and Celsius. Nix is considered one of the top players in the nation and has the third-best betting odds to win college football’s Heisman Trophy on DraftKings
    DKNG,
    -2.52%

    sportsbook.

    Tie-8. Spencer Rattler, $1.4 million

    Spencer Rattler of the South Carolina Gamecocks warms up before a game against the Tennessee Volunteers.


    Getty Images

    The South Carolina Gamecocks senior QB has one of the more robust NIL profiles in the nation. He has deals with Mercedes-Benz
    MBG,
    -1.23%
    ,
    Leaf trading cards and Raising Canes.

    Rattler also has 578,000 followers across TikTok, Instagram
    META,
    -0.71%

    and X, the platform formerly known as Twitter.

    7. Angel Reese, $1.7 million

    Angel Reese of the LSU Lady Tigers during the 2023 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament championship game.


    Getty Images

    Reese was one of the breakout stars of the women’s March Madness basketball tournament this year. The Louisiana State University hooper led her team to the 2023 title and famously flashed a “you can’t see me” gesture in the title game.

    Reese has brand deals with Airbnb, PlayStation and Intuit TurboTax
    INTU,
    -0.50%

    and has appeared in ads for Amazon
    AMZN,
    +0.01%

    and Pepsi Co.’s
    PEP,
    +0.59%

    Starry. She also has 5.2 million followers across her social-media platforms.

    During LSU’s magical title run last season, Reese set an NCAA single-season record with her 34th double-double against the Iowa Hawkeyes and was named the most outstanding player of the Final Four.

    Reese is one of just two female athletes inside the top 10 in On3’s NIL valuation tracker, and the top college basketball player on the list.

    6. Travis Hunter, $2.3 million

    Travis Hunter of the Colorado Buffaloes signals first down after a catch against the TCU Horned Frogs.


    Getty Images

    Hunter was one of the college football players who transferred to the University of Colorado from Jackson State last season to follow coach Deion Sanders.

    Hunter, a five-star sophomore prospect, plays on both offense and defense — as a wide receiver and a cornerback — a rarity in a high-level college program. He has 1.9 million followers on social media, a successful YouTube
    GOOG,
    -0.08%

    channel, and endorsements with Celsius Energy Drink and 7-Eleven.

    Hunter entered the 2023 college season as the most highly touted NFL prospect at Colorado, and Deion Sanders contends rival schools have attempted to poach him via lucrative NIL deals.

    “People offered Travis Hunter a bag — about $1.5 million to try to lure him and buy him out of the transfer portal,” coach Sanders told 247Sports over the summer. “But Travis is not the kind of guy that can be bought. He isn’t built like that. Travis is a relational young man that is built on relationships and stability. And that’s what he wanted and desired. That is why he decided to ride and stay with us.”

    If and when Hunter decides to declare for the NFL draft, he will likely have a multimillion-dollar contract as a rookie that could dwarf his collegiate NIL earnings.

    5. Caleb Williams, $2.7 million

    Caleb Williams of the USC Trojans warms up before a game against the Arizona State Sun Devils.


    Getty Images

    The University of Southern California QB is seen as a generational NFL prospect and the presumptive No. 1 overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft, but he isn’t the top NIL earner.

    Williams has 347,000 followers on social media, and brand deals with United Airlines
    UAL,
    -1.24%
    ,
    Alo and Beats by Dre.

    Once the USC junior QB declares for the draft, his rookie contract will likely be set above $37 million, per Spotrac’s estimates.

    4. Arch Manning, $2.8 million

    Arch Manning of the Texas Longhorns warms up prior to a game against the Alabama Crimson Tide.


    Getty Images

    The Texas Longhorns freshman QB is one of several top NIL earners whose family plays a role in their fame. Arch Manning is the nephew of Super Bowl champion QBs Peyton and Eli Manning, and the grandson of former NFL QB Archie Manning.

    Despite being a backup quarterback with no recorded statistics, the younger Manning has 277,000 followers on social media and has a brand deal with Panini. That deal involved him autographing an extremely rare one-of-one Prizm Black card that was auctioned off for $102,500, which was later donated to charity.

    Manning was a standout high school recruit, ranked No. 5 in the nation in the 2023 class, and could have an NFL future.

    3. Livvy Dunne, $3.2 million

    Olivia Dunne of LSU looks on during a PAC-12 meet against Utah.


    Getty Images

    Dunne is the only college athlete in the top 10 of NIL earners who doesn’t play basketball or football. The junior LSU gymnast is the top female NIL earner in the nation and has brand deals with Vuori clothing, Body Armor
    KO,
    +0.62%

    and American Eagle Outfitters.

    Dunne is the second most-followed college athlete on social media with 12.1 million followers on Instagram, TikTok and X combined.

    For many years Dunne was seen as the poster child for NIL deals, and she said earlier this year that she could make as much as $500,000 from a single post.

    “What I love with certain brands is getting long-term brand deals,” Dunne said on the Full Send podcast in June. “Those are probably the best because you build a relationship with the brand and they want you year after year.”

    2. Shedeur Sanders, $4.8 million

    Shedeur Sanders of the Colorado Buffaloes celebrates as he walks off the field following an NCAAF game against the Arizona State Sun Devils.


    Getty Images

    University of Colorado’s Shedeur Sanders has become a phenomenon in the sports world. The 21-year-old junior made headlines after throwing for 510 yards and four touchdowns in Colorado’s season-opening shocker against No. 17–ranked Texas Christian.

    Colorado has become the center of the football world since Shedeur’s father Deion took over as coach. Coach Prime’s team is currently 4-2 — the team was 1-11 last season, good for last place in its conference.

    The quarterback has more than 2.3 million followers on social media, and has already inked several deals with big brands, including with yogurt producer Oikos
    0KFX,
    -1.13%
    ,
    Gatorade and Mercedes-Benz. He has shown fans some of his new Mercedes cars on social media, too.

    Overall, Shedeur Sanders’s NIL value currently sits at $4.8 million, according to On3, up from $1.5 million at the beginning of the year — that’s the highest value in all of college football. For context, that’s nearly twice the average NFL player’s salary.

    1. Bronny James, $5.9 million

    Bronny James playing at his high school, Sierra Canyon.


    Getty Images

    James has perhaps the most famous family member of any person on this list. He is the son of NBA legend LeBron James, and is currently set to begin his freshman basketball season at USC.

    The younger James has yet to play a game at his new school, but will immediately be one of the most well-known players in college athletics. James has 13.5 million social media followers, the most of any college athlete, and has brand deals with Nike
    NKE,
    +1.10%

    and Beats by Dre
    AAPL,
    -0.06%
    ,
    two brands his dad is also repped by.

    Bronny James suffered cardiac arrest in July during a basketball practice and had to be taken to the hospital. But he’s on the road to recovery, and hopes to play basketball this season.

    “Bronny is doing extremely well,” the older James said last week. “He has begun his rehab process to get back on the floor this season with his teammates at USC. (With) the successful surgery that he had, he’s on the up-and-up. It’s definitely a whirlwind, a lot of emotions for our family this summer. But the best thing we have is each other.”

    See also: Michael Jordan is now worth $3 billion. Here’s what billionaire athletes have in common.

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  • Microsoft’s Activision Deal Gets Green Light From UK Regulator

    Microsoft’s Activision Deal Gets Green Light From UK Regulator

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    By Kim Mackrael

    Microsoft’s acquisition of videogame company Activision Blizzard won approval from U.K. competition authorities, clearing a path for the companies to close the $75 billion deal after a lengthy struggle with regulators.

    The U.K.’s Competition and Markets Authority said Friday that the proposed deal no longer poses a major threat to competition in cloud gaming. The shift comes after Microsoft offered to restructure the deal by forfeiting cloud-streaming rights for “Call of Duty” and other popular Activision franchises in much of the world.

    -Sarah E. Needleman contributed to this article

    Write to Kim Mackrael at Kim.mackrael@wsj.com

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  • Taylor Swift’s film opened Thursday, surprising (and disappointing) some fans

    Taylor Swift’s film opened Thursday, surprising (and disappointing) some fans

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    So much for being the first in line for the highly anticipated Taylor Swift “Eras Tour” concert film.

    With the last-minute news that the film’s release was being moved to Thursday instead of the originally announced date of Friday, some Swift fans have expressed frustration that they may have to buy tickets all over again.

    Or as one commented Wednesday on X (formerly Twitter), “you’re telling me I had to fight for my life on the cineplex website for opening day tickets just for her to add showtimes tmrw?”

    Swift revealed the change to the film’s release schedule on Wednesday, saying, “Due to unprecedented demand we’re opening up early access showings of The Eras Tour Concert Film on THURSDAY in America and Canada!!”

    Swift attended the film’s premiere in Los Angeles on Wednesday night, joined by some 2,200 fans. But on Thursday, she was back to taking in a Kansas City Chiefs game, according to an Associated Press report.

    Swift has attended other Chiefs games this season to root on tight end Travis Kelce. The pair are said to have a growing relationship.

    Some Swifties greeted the announcement of the film’s new Thursday release date with joy. “Taylor Swift always knows how to surprise us! Can’t wait for this incredible journey to begin!” said one.

    But others were disappointed that they no longer had those first-to-see bragging rights. And they suddenly were faced with the dilemma of having to buy tickets all over again if they wanted to maintain that position. In turn, that left them with the problem of what to do with the tickets they purchased for Friday showings.

    One commenter on X thought it was pretty savvy of Swift to boost the box office this way, saying the singer is “getting more sales out of her fans by moving opening night.”

    Another commenter also said this was “a smart move” on Swift and her team’s part.

    Not that theaters haven’t already sold plenty of seats for the film. The movie is set to have at least a $150 million opening, according to the Hollywood Reporter, and has buoyed the AMC
    AMC,
    +5.57%

    and Cinemark
    CNK,
    -2.66%

    chains.

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  • Scalise ends bid to become House speaker after failing to secure enough votes

    Scalise ends bid to become House speaker after failing to secure enough votes

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    WASHINGTON — Republican Steve Scalise ended his bid to become House speaker late Thursday after hardline holdouts refused to back the party’s nominee, throwing the GOP majority into deeper chaos with the chamber unable to function.

    Scalise told GOP colleagues at a closed-door evening meeting of his decision and pointedly declined to announce backing for anyone else, including his chief rival, Rep. Jim Jordan, the far-right Judiciary Committee chairman backed by Donald Trump who had already told colleagues he no longer would seek the job.

    Next steps are uncertain as the House is essentially closed while the Republican majority tries to elect a speaker after ousting Kevin McCarthy from the job.

    “I just shared with my colleagues that I’m withdrawing my name as a candidate for speaker-designee,” Scalise said as he emerged from the closed-door meeting at the Capitol.

    Scalise, R-La., said the Republican majority “still has to come together and is not there.”

    He had been working furiously to secure the votes after being nominated by a majority of his colleagues, but after hours of private meetings over two days and late into the evening it was clear lawmakers were not budging from their refusal to support him.

    Asked if he would throw his support behind Jordan, Scalise said, “It’s got to be people that aren’t doing it for themselves and their own personal interest.”

    He said he would push quickly for a resolution. “But it wasn’t going to happen. It wasn’t going to happen today. It wasn’t going to happen tomorrow. It needs to happen soon, but I’ve withdrawn my name,” he said.

    Frustrations have mounted as the political crisis spiraled and Republicans lost another day without a House speaker. Scalise was trying to peel off more than 100 votes, mostly from those who backed Jordan.

    But many hard-liners taking their cues from Trump have dug in for a prolonged fight to replace McCarthy after his historic ouster from the job. They argued that Majority Leader Scalise was no better choice, that he should be focusing on his health as he battles cancer and that he was not the leader they would support. No House votes were scheduled.

    McCarthy said afterward that Scalise would remain as majority leader but had no other advice for his colleagues. The California Republican had briefly flirted with a comeback bid but it’s unclear if he would try again.

    “I just think the conference as a whole has to figure out their problems, solve it and select the leader,” he said.

    The House is entering its second week without a speaker and is essentially unable to function during a time of turmoil in the U.S. and wars overseas, and the political pressure increasingly is on Republicans to reverse course, reassert majority control and govern in Congress.

    Action is needed to fund the government or face the threat of a federal shutdown in a month. Lawmakers also want Congress to deliver a strong statement of support for Israel in the war with Hamas, but a bipartisan resolution has been sidelined by the stalemate in the House. The White House is expected to soon ask for money for Israel, Ukraine and the backfill of the U.S. weapons stockpile.

    The situation is not fully different from the start of the year, when McCarthy faced a similar backlash from a different group of far-right holdouts who ultimately gave their votes to elect him speaker, then engineered his historic downfall.

    But the math this time is even more daunting, and the problematic political dynamic only worsening.

    Scalise, who is seen by some colleagues as hero for having survived a 2017 shooting on lawmakers at a congressional baseball game practice, won the closed-door Republican vote 113-99.

    But Scalise would have needed 217 votes to reach a majority in a floor battle with Democrats. The chamber is narrowly split 221-212, with two vacancies, meaning Scalise could lose just a few Republicans in the face of opposition from Democrats who will most certainly back their own leader, New York Rep. Hakeem Jeffries. Absences heading into the weekend could lower the majority threshold needed.

    Jordan’s backers revived calls for party members to get behind the Ohio Republican, who is a founding leader of the hard-right House Freedom Caucus.

    “Make him the speaker. Do it tonight,” said Rep. Jim Banks, R-Ind. “He’s the only one who can unite our party. It’s time to get behind him.”

    Other potential speaker nominees were being floated, including from the leadership team, but splitting the votes multiple ways would almost certainly only complicate the factional dynamics in the House majority.

    Some Republicans simply want Rep. Patrick McHenry, R-N.C., who was appointed interim speaker pro tempore, to be given greater authority to lead the House. A proposal was floated for just that earlier Thursday by the conservative but pragmatic Republican Governance Group of lawmakers.

    Rank-and-file Republicans left Thursday night’s meeting flummoxed about what to do next.

    “I’m a freshman caught up in this maelstrom,” said Rep. Mark Alford, R-Mo. “We’re a ship without a rudder right now. And I’m thoroughly disappointed in the process. And I just pray to God that we find something.

    Exasperated Democrats, who have been watching and waiting for the Republican majority to recover from McCarthy’s ouster, urged them to figure it out, warning the world is watching.

    “The House Republicans need to end the GOP Civil War, now,” Jeffries said.

    “The House Democrats have continued to make clear that we are ready, willing and able to find a bipartisan path forward,” he said, urging that the House reopen and change GOP-led rules that allowed a single lawmaker to put in motion the process to remove the speaker.

    As Congress sat idle, the Republicans spent a second day behind closed doors, arguing and airing grievances but failing to follow their own party rules and unite behind the nominee.

    Rep. Dan Crenshaw, R-Texas, said the meetings had been marked by “emotional” objections to voting for Scalise.

    Some Republicans simply took their Chick-fil-A lunches to go.

    Jordan had given his most vocal endorsement yet to Scalise and announced he did not plan to continue running for the leadership position.

    “We need to come together and support Steve,” Jordan, R-Ohio, told reporters before the midday closed session.

    But it was not enough to sway the holdouts.

    Handfuls of hard-liners announced they were sticking with Jordan, McCarthy or someone other than Scalise.

    Rep. Troy Nehls, R-Texas, reaffirmed his support for Trump as speaker; the position does not need to go to a member of Congress.

    Trump, the front-runner for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination, repeatedly discussed Scalise’s health during a radio interview that aired Thursday.

    “Well, I like Steve. I like both of them very much. But the problem, you know, Steve is a man that is in serious trouble, from the standpoint of his cancer,” Trump said on Fox News host Brian Kilmeade’s radio show.

    Scalise has been diagnosed with a form of blood cancer known as multiple myeloma and is being treated.

    “I think it’s going to be very hard, maybe in either case, for somebody to get,” Trump said. “And then you end up in one of these crazy stalemates. It’s a very interesting situation.”

    Many Republicans want to prevent the spectacle of a messy House floor fight like the grueling January brawl when McCarthy became speaker.

    But others said it was time for Republicans to get out from behind closed doors and vote.

    “Stop dragging it out,” said Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, R-Ga., on social media. “If Kevin McCarthy had to go 15 rounds then the next Speaker should be able to do the same or more if they have to.”

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  • Qualcomm trimming workforce by 2.5% with California job cuts

    Qualcomm trimming workforce by 2.5% with California job cuts

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    Qualcomm Inc.
    QCOM,
    +0.30%

    will cut about 2.5% of its workforce in December with job cuts centered in California, the chip maker reported in filings to regulators. In filings with the California Employment Development Department on Thursday, Qualcomm said it planned to eliminate 1,064 positions in San Diego, and 194 in Santa Clara, Calif., with the cuts occurring in mid-December. Qualcomm last reported having 51,000 employees globally. Back in August, Qualcomm warned that revenue growth would depend upon a recovery in mobile sales and sales in China.

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  • Subprime car-loan rates are hitting 17%-22%. Should investors be worried?

    Subprime car-loan rates are hitting 17%-22%. Should investors be worried?

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    Many borrowers with subprime credit have been paying 17% to 22% rates on new auto loans this year as the Federal Reserve’s inflation fight takes a toll on lower-income households.

    That borrowing range reflects the average cost, or annual percentage rate, for a loan in recent subprime auto bond deals, according to Fitch Ratings, an increase from last year’s average APR of closer to 14%.

    Higher borrowing costs can mean households need to put more of their income into monthly auto payments, ramping up the risks of late payments, defaults and car repossessions. Those risks, however, have yet to make investors flinch.

    The subprime auto sector already has cleared almost $30 billion of new bond deals this year, according to Finsight, a pace that’s slightly below volumes from the past two years, but still above historical levels since 2008.

    The subprime auto bond market is revved up, even as borrowing rate soar


    Finsight

    “I do believe there has to be a reckoning if rates stay higher for longer,” said Tracy Chen, a portfolio manager on Brandywine Global Asset Management’s global fixed income team.

    Figuring out when the tumult might hit has proven difficult. Instead of slowing, the economy has shown resilience despite the Fed lifting its policy rate to a 22-year high of 5.25% to 5.5%. The central bank also indicated it might need to keep rates higher for some time to fight inflation. Longer-duration bond yields, as a result, have pushed higher, but still hover below 5%.

    Subprime standoff

    Inflation eats away at paychecks, especially those of lower-wage workers, a problem the Fed hopes to solve by keeping borrowing rates elevated. A gauge of inflation out Thursday showed consumer prices were steady at a 3.7% yearly rate in September, above the Fed’s 2% target.

    “This recession has been on everyone’s mind for the past three years,” Chen said. While she thinks the economy will likely contract in the middle of 2024, a lot of damage could be done before that. “The longer rates stay here, the harder the landing.”

    For now, the Fed is widely expected to hold rates steady at its next meeting in November. “Fed policy makers are now shifting their focus from ‘how high’ to raise the policy rate to ‘how long’ to maintain it at restrictive levels,” said EY Chief Economist Gregory Daco, in emailed comments.

    Stocks were flat to slightly higher in choppy trade at midday Thursday after the inflation report came in hotter than forecast, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA
    near unchanged and the S&P 500 index
    SPX
    up 0.2%.

    Past recessions and the burden of higher interest costs typically hit lower-wage workers harder, making subprime credit a canary in the coal mine for the rest of financial markets. Even so, investors in subprime auto bonds have yet to demand significantly more spread, or compensation, to offset potentially higher defaults among these borrowers.

    Related: Subprime auto defaults on path toward 2008 crisis levels, say portfolio managers

    Take the AAA rated 2-year slice of a new bond deal issued in mid-October by one of the subprime auto sector’s biggest players. It priced at a spread of 115 basis points above relevant risk-free rate, up from a spread of 90 basis points on a similar bond issued in August, according to Finsight, which tracks bond data.

    When factoring in Treasury rates, the yield on the bonds bumped up to about 6% and 5.7%, respectively. The shot at higher returns and low delinquencies in subprime auto bonds have likely helped with investor confidence. The rate of subprime auto loans at least 60-day past due in bond deals was about 5% in September, according to Intex, up from historic lows around 2.5% two years ago.

    “I think people still feel confident,” Chen said of subprime auto bonds. When putting a recent bond out on a Wall Street list to gauge its market value, she said bids come in right away.

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  • You just won the Powerball jackpot — what should you do next?

    You just won the Powerball jackpot — what should you do next?

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    One lucky person picked the winning $1.73 billion Powerball number in California. It is a life-changing amount of money for the lucky winner or winners — but not necessarily in a good way. 

    Robert Pagliarini, author of “The Sudden Wealth Solution,” has been guiding lottery winners for decades. And he has seen plenty of people run through their winnings faster than you can say “jackpot!” Or, friends and family (and certainly office lottery pool players) can see their winnings tied up in legal battles for years, as the parties argue over who gets how much. About 70% of lottery winners lose or spend all the money in five years or less, after all. 

    “Money — especially when you’re talking about this level of money — absolutely upends people’s lives,” Pagliarini, the president of Pacifica Wealth Advisors, told MarketWatch. “You should be excited, but you should also be prepared, for sure.” 

    These are his five tips for what to do if you win the lottery or get another windfall.

    Document that the winning ticket is YOURS

    Sign your name on the winning ticket, take a picture of yourself holding the winning ticket — in fact, take a video of yourself holding the signed, winning ticket, for good measure. 

    “The first step is really all about securing the ticket … because whoever has it is the owner,” says Pagliarini. “There’s no record of you having purchased that ticket with those numbers. So having that ticket is everything.” 

    Related: Hoping to win Mega Millions? This woman hit a $112 million Mega Millions jackpot.

    You have to document that this ticket is yours, which is why Pagliarini says legal experts recommend signing it. “I would absolutely sign it myself,” he adds. 

    And then put that ticket in a safe place, like a home safe or lockbox.

    Don’t tell anyone yet!

    You may want to sing the good news from the rooftops that your financial troubles are over. Problem is, everyone else’s troubles aren’t — and Pagliarini warns that, for your own personal safety and peace of mind, it’s better not to let the world know you’ve just become a billionaire overnight — if you can help it. Unfortunately, most states make you disclose that you’ve won.

    “We’re used to seeing people with the big check on TV, which looks pretty cool — but now everybody in the entire world knows that you’re worth $1 billion. And that’s not really the kind of publicity that you want,” says Pagliarini. “You’re going to be hit up for lots of money requests as people come out of the woodwork. And that adds such a huge amount of stress when you’re in a situation that is already stressful.” 

    You generally have 180 days to collect the winnings, and you’re going to have to make some big, life-changing decisions during that time. Staying anonymous, if you can, will give you the space to make those decisions with a clear head. 

    Unfortunately, as noted, most states compel lottery winners to come forward publicly. If you have to reveal yourself and do press interviews, protect your personal information. Some past Powerball winners didn’t answer questions about any meaningful or personal significance associated with the winning numbers that they played, for example, or they refused to share details about their children. One couple simply moved out of their house and refused to speak with the media at all while they settled their affairs.

    “My rule is basically, you tell one family member, and then you immediately try to get professional help,” Pagliarini adds. Which leads us to…. 

    Get a lawyer and a financial adviser

    Bring in the professional help as soon as you can. An attorney can help you decide the best time to claim your lottery prize, and offer more advice on keeping your ticket safe. They can also help navigate your rights and protect your best interests with regards to how much you need to present yourself publicly. And they can also help you manage your safety. 

    Meanwhile, a financial adviser can assess your financial situation and help you decide whether it makes sense to take a lump sum of cash, or to collect your winnings over annual payments. A financial adviser can also help you manage your money so that you can check things off your bucket list without overspending.

    “You know you’ve won, and then typically you have about 180 days to collect the winnings,” says Pagliarini. “So you’ve got to do some serious planning.” You need all the help you can get.  

    Do you take the lump-sum payment or the annuity payment?

    Pagliarini considers staying anonymous as the first big decision a lottery winner makes. The second most important question, however, is how they collect their winnings. Do you want to take a lump sum, or do you want to take the annuity (aka, a payout over time)?

    “This is really the biggest financial decision you’ll ever make in your entire life,” he says. (Granted, it’s one that most of us will never have to make, since the odds of winning the lottery, let alone a jackpot of this size, are infinitesimal.)  

    He notes that most people take the lump-sum payment, and in some circumstances this can be a better decision. But keep in mind that if you win a $1 billion Powerball jackpot, for example, you are not getting $1 billion.

    “They send you about 60-ish percent of whatever the lump sum is,” Pagliarini notes. So for a $1 billion prize, for example, “you would get around $600 million instead of $1 billion,” he said. And after state taxes, depending on where you live, and federal taxes, that jackpot may be closer to $300 million in the end. Whereas, the annuity is given as 30 payments over 29 years, which will come closer to hitting the advertised $1 billion jackpot than lump-sum takers would get. So being patient can pay off in the long run, especially with a bigger prize like this.

    As far as taxes are concerned, Pagliarini still leans toward annuity — especially for a smaller jackpot, like if it was $1 million. That’s because you would get a lump-sum payment of about $600,000, which would put you in the highest federal and state income tax bracket (for single filers anyway) that year — versus taking an extra $30,000 a year for 30 years. “That annuity payment is probably not going to catapult you into the highest tax bracket,” he says. But for a $1 billion-plus jackpot like this, you’re going to be in the highest tax bracket whichever payout you choose, he says.

    But there’s another reason to consider going the annuity route, Pagliarini says — it can save you from yourself. 

    “The biggest advantage of the lump-sum payout is that you get most of the money up front, and then you can do whatever you want with it,” he says, such as pay off debt, invest it, buy a house, etc. “But that actually happens to be the biggest disadvantage of the lump sum,” he continues. And that’s because, if you overspend your winnings and run out of cash with your lump sum, then you are out of luck. But the annuity payments are almost like a do-over each year, he says, because you can learn from your mistakes and spend the next annual windfall more wisely. “I’ve advised most people honestly to take the annuity,” he says. “It just allows you to really make mistakes, but have them not be a total derailment.” 

    If you still can’t make up your mind, he also has a free online quiz to help you decide whether you should take a lump sum or an annuity payment

    Keep it simple when deciding where to put your new money.

    So you’ve secured your ticket, tried to keep it quiet, hired some professional help, and decided how you are going to collect your winnings. Then what do you do with all of this cash? 

    Every financial situation is different, of course, which is where a financial adviser can help you sort out the nuances to make this lottery win a real dream come true for you. But in general, Pagliarini recommends keeping things simple — even considering that this $1 billion jackpot (even whittled down after taxes) would allow you to do basically whatever you wanted to do. 

    “If I were meeting with you, we would sit down and make some serious decisions, and prioritize what you want to do,” he says, “such as paying off debt, and discussing what is on your wish list. Do you want to buy a new house or a second house, or buy your family houses?” He suggests pricing out your wish list together with your adviser to see whether you could afford to do everything you want.

    But you still want money left over to live on. “We want to make sure the money left over is generating enough income so that they could survive on that for as long as they wanted — and particularly in this case, I’m sure generations would be able to survive on this amount of money,” he says. “I would invest in index funds. I wouldn’t get esoteric with limited partnerships and venture capital. Just go for a diversified portfolio, because as soon as you start deviating from ‘simple’ you can really increase your chances of just losing it all.” 

    He notes that because lottery winnings don’t feel “earned,” the prize may not feel like “real” money — which is one of the reasons so many lottery winners don’t manage their newfound wealth well. Again, about 70% of lottery winners lose or spend all that money in five years or less. “If the money doesn’t feel earned or real, you’re going to make decisions with that money that are probably not going to be in your best interest,” he adds. “You’re giving it away more freely, spending more freely, or freely investing in things a lot riskier than you would have done if you had to sweat and earn that money.” 

    So keep it simple. “Don’t think just because you have x-millions of dollars now that you really have to get ‘sophisticated,’” he adds.

    And some bonus advice for office pools

    This is more of an extra, hindsight tip for before you and your co-workers start throwing in a buck apiece for a long-shot bid at a jackpot like this. Pagliarini warns that office pools can get “tricky,” so it’s good to sign a contract setting some ground rules before you all pool together. 

    “There’s been a lot of litigation around office pools, because maybe somebody forgets to play one week, and that’s the week everyone wins. Or someone thought they played this week, but on this particular week they didn’t,” he says. “So loosey-goosey situations can end up in court to battle it out.”

    A much simpler solution to avoid this is to have an office pool contract that spells out who is in this pool, how much they are contributing, and it also determines in advance whether the group will take the lump-sum payment or the annuity payment. 

    “Because the last thing that you want is to win $1 billion or $100 million dollars, and then to be tied up in court for four years,” says Pagliarini. “That’s no fun.”

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  • UAW says 8,700 Ford workers have walked off the job at Louisville truck plant

    UAW says 8,700 Ford workers have walked off the job at Louisville truck plant

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    In what was described as an unannounced decision, the United Auto Workers union has called a strike at Ford Motor Co.’s
    F,
    +0.41%

    large Kentucky Truck Plant in Louisville, the union said Wednesday.

    The union, in a statement, said that 8,700 union members had walked off the job at 6:30 p.m. Eastern at the plant, which Ford described as its biggest. The union said that the move marked a “new phase” in its ongoing strike, in which select workers have been called on at different times to walk out.

    In a statement, UAW President Shawn Fain said Ford “has not gotten the message.”

    “It’s time for a fair contract at Ford and the rest of the Big Three,” Fain said. “If they can’t understand that after four weeks, the 8,700 workers shutting down this extremely profitable plant will help them understand it.”

    Ford, in a statement, called the decision “grossly irresponsible” and said it had made an “outstanding offer” in the negotiations, which involve the union and the Big Three auto makers.

    Ford said the vehicles made at the factory — the F-Series Super Duty, the Ford Expedition and the Lincoln Navigator – bring in $25 billion a year in sales.

    The automaker said the UAW’s decision “carries serious consequences for our workforce, suppliers, dealers and commercial customers.”

    Fain will host an event on Facebook on Friday to give updates on bargaining. Shares of Ford fell nearly 2% after hours.

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  • ‘Banks fail. It’s OK,’ says former FDIC chair Sheila Bair.

    ‘Banks fail. It’s OK,’ says former FDIC chair Sheila Bair.

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    Higher interest rates may be painful in the short term, but banks, savers and the financial ecosystem will be better off in the long run, said Sheila Bair, former chair of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.

    “When money is free, you squander it,” Bair said in an interview with MarketWatch. “It’s like anything. If it doesn’t cost you anything, you’re going to value it less. And we’ve had free money for quite some time now.”

    Bair, who led the FDIC from 2006 to 2011, caused a stir recently in criticizing “moonshots,” the crypto industry and “useless innovations” like Bored Ape NFTs, which proliferated because of speculation and near-zero interest rates.

    Her main message has been that the path to higher rates, while potentially “tricky,” ultimately will lead to a more stable financial system, where “truly promising innovations will attract capital” and where savers can actually save.

    Former FDIC Chair Sheila Bair was dubbed “the little guy’s protector in chief” by Time Magazine in the wake of the subprime mortgage crisis.

    Bair sat down for an interview with Barron’s Live, MarketWatch edition, to talk about the ripple effects of higher rates, what could trigger another financial crisis and why more regional banks sitting on unrealized losses could fail in the wake of Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse in March.

    “We probably will have more bank failures,” Bair said. “But you know what? Banks fail. It’s OK. The system goes on. It’s important for people to understand that households stay below the insured deposit caps.”

    The FDIC insures bank deposits up to $250,000 per account. It also has overseen 565 bank failures since 2001.

    “I know borrowing costs are going up, but your rewards for saving it are going up too,” she said. “I think that’s a very good thing.”

    However, Bair isn’t focused only on money traps and pitfalls for grown-ups. She also has two new picture books coming out that aim to explain big financial themes to young readers, including where easy-money ways, speculation and inflation come from.

    “One thing that I’ve learned from the kids is to not ask them what a loan is, because when I did that, a little hand when up, and she said: ‘That’s when you’re by yourself,’” Bair said.

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  • Dividend stocks are dirt cheap. It may be time to back up the truck.

    Dividend stocks are dirt cheap. It may be time to back up the truck.

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    The stock market always overreacts, and this year it seems as if investors believe dividend stocks have become toxic. But a look at yields on quality dividend stocks relative to the market underlines what may be an excellent opportunity for long-term investors to pursue growth with an income stream that builds up over the years.

    The current environment, in which you can get a yield of more than 5% yield on your cash at a bank or lock in a yield of 4.57% on a10-year U.S. Treasury note
    BX:TMUBMUSD10Y
    or close to 5% on a 20-year Treasury bond
    BX:TMUBMUSD20Y
    seems to have made some investors forget two things: A stock’s dividend payout can rise over the long term, and so can it is price.

    It is never fun to see your portfolio underperform during a broad market swing. And people have a tendency to prefer jumping on a trend hoping to keep riding it, rather than taking advantage of opportunities brought about by price declines. We may be at such a moment for quality dividend stocks, based on their yields relative to that of the benchmark S&P 500
    SPX.

    Drew Justman of Madison Funds explained during an interview with MarketWatch how he and John Brown, who co-manage the Madison Dividend Income Fund, BHBFX MDMIX and the new Madison Dividend Value ETF
    DIVL,
    use relative dividend yields as part of their screening process for stocks. He said he has never seen such yields, when compared with that of the broad market, during 20 years of work as a securities analyst and portfolio manager.

    Dividend stocks are down

    Before diving in, we can illustrate the market’s current loathing of dividend stocks by comparing the performance of the Schwab U.S. Equity ETF
    SCHD,
    which tracks the Dow Jones U.S. Dividend 100 Index, with that of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
    SPY.
    Let’s look at a total return chart (with dividends reinvested) starting at the end of 2021, since the Federal Reserve started its cycle of interest rate increases in March 2022:


    FactSet

    The Dow Jones U.S. Dividend 100 Index is made up of “high-dividend-yielding stocks in the U.S. with a record of consistently paying dividends, selected for fundamental strength relative to their peers, based on financial ratios,” according to S&P Dow Jones Indices.

    The end results for the two ETFs from the end of 2021 through Tuesday are similar. But you can see how the performance pattern has been different, with the dividend stocks holding up well during the stock market’s reaction to the Fed’s move last year, but trailing the market’s recovery as yields on CDs and bonds have become so much more attractive this year. Let’s break down the performance since the end of 2021, this time bringing in the Madison Dividend Income Fund’s Class Y and Class I shares:

    Fund

    2023 return

    2022 return

    Return since the end of 2021

    SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

    14.9%

    -18.2%

    -6.0%

    Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF

    -3.8%

    -3.2%

    -6.9%

    Madison Dividend Income Fund – Class Y

    -4.7%

    -5.4%

    -9.9%

    Madison Dividend Income Fund – Class I

    -4.7%

    -5.3%

    -9.7%

    Source: FactSet

    Dividend stocks held up well during 2022, as the S&P 500 fell more than 18%. But they have been left behind during this year’s rally.

    The Madison Dividend Income Fund was established in 1986. The Class Y shares have annual expenses of 0.91% of assets under management and are rated three stars (out of five) within Morningstar’s “Large Value” fund category. The Class I shares have only been available since 2020. They have a lower expense ratio of 0.81% and are distributed through investment advisers or through platforms such as Schwab, which charges a $50 fee to buy Class I shares.

    The opportunity — high relative yields

    The Madison Dividend Income Fund holds 40 stocks. Justman explained that when he and Brown select stocks for the fund their investible universe begins with the components of the Russell 1000 Index
    RUT,
    which is made up of the largest 1,000 companies by market capitalization listed on U.S. exchanges. Their first cut narrows the list to about 225 stocks with dividend yields of at least 1.1 times that of the index.

    The Madison team calculates a stock’s relative dividend yield by dividing its yield by that of the S&P 500. Let’s do that for the Schwab U.S. Equity ETF
    SCHD
    (because it tracks the Dow Jones U.S. Dividend 100 Index) to illustrate the opportunity that Justman highlighted:

    Index or ETF

    Dividend yield

    5-year Avg. yield 

    10-year Avg. yield 

    15-year Avg. yield 

    Relative yield

    5-year Avg. relative yield 

    10-year Avg. relative yield 

    15-year Avg. relative yield 

    Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF

    3.99%

    3.41%

    3.20%

    3.16%

    2.6

    2.1

    1.8

    1.6

    S&P 500

    1.55%

    1.62%

    1.79%

    1.92%

    Source: FactSet

    The Schwab U.S. Equity ETF’s relative yield is 2.6 — that is, its dividend yield is 2.6 times that of the S&P 500, which is much higher than the long-term averages going back 15 years. If we went back 20 years, the average relative yield would be 1.7.

    Examples of high-quality stocks with high relative dividend yields

    After narrowing down the Russell 1000 to about 225 stocks with relative dividend yields of at least 1.1, Justman and Brown cut further to about 80 companies with a long history of raising dividends and with strong balance sheets, before moving further through a deeper analysis to arrive at a portfolio of about 40 stocks.

    When asked about oil companies and others that pay fixed quarterly dividends plus variable dividends, he said, “We try to reach out to the company and get an estimate of special dividends and try to factor that in.” Two examples of companies held by the fund that pay variable dividends are ConocoPhillips
    COP,
    -0.29%

    and EOG Resources Inc.
    EOG,
    +0.52%
    .

    Since the balance-sheet requirement is subjective “almost all fund holdings are investment-grade rated,” Justman said. That refers to credit ratings by Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s Investors Service or Fitch Ratings. He went further, saying about 80% of the fund’s holdings were rated “A-minus or better.” BBB- is the lowest investment-grade rating from S&P. Fidelity breaks down the credit agencies’ ratings hierarchy.

    Justman named nine stocks held by the fund as good examples of quality companies with high relative yields to the S&P 500:

    Company

    Ticker

    Dividend yield

    Relative yield

    2023 return

    2022 return

    Return since the end of 2021

    CME Group Inc. Class A

    CME,
    +0.47%
    2.04%

    1.3

    31%

    -23%

    1%

    Home Depot, Inc.

    HD,
    -0.39%
    2.79%

    1.8

    -3%

    -22%

    -25%

    Lowe’s Cos., Inc.

    LOW,
    +0.27%
    2.17%

    1.4

    3%

    -21%

    -19%

    Morgan Stanley

    MS,
    -1.54%
    4.24%

    2.7

    -3%

    -10%

    -13%

    U.S. Bancorp

    USB,
    -0.25%
    5.89%

    3.8

    -22%

    -19%

    -37%

    Medtronic PLC

    MDT,
    -4.32%
    3.62%

    2.3

    1%

    -23%

    -22%

    Texas Instruments Inc.

    TXN,
    -0.21%
    3.30%

    2.1

    -3%

    -10%

    -12%

    United Parcel Service Inc. Class B

    UPS,
    -0.16%
    4.17%

    2.7

    -8%

    -16%

    -23%

    Union Pacific Corp.

    UNP,
    +1.52%
    2.52%

    1.6

    2%

    -16%

    -15%

    Source: FactSet

    Click on the tickers for more about each company, fund or index.

    Click here for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

    Now let’s see how these companies have grown their dividend payouts over the past five years. Leaving the companies in the same order, here are compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for dividends.

    Before showing this next set of data, let’s work through one example among the nine stocks:

    • If you had purchased shares of Home Depot Inc.
      HD,
      -0.39%

      five years ago, you would have paid $193.70 a share if you went in at the close on Oct. 10, 2018. At that time, the company’s quarterly dividend was $1.03 cents a share, for an annual dividend rate of $4.12, which made for a then-current yield of 2.13%.

    • If you had held your shares of Home Depot for five years through Tuesday, your quarterly dividend would have increased to $2.09 a share, for a current annual payout of $8.36. The company’s dividend has increased at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.2% over the past five years. In comparison, the S&P 500’s weighted dividend rate has increased at a CAGR of 6.24% over the past five years, according to FactSet.

    • That annual payout rate of $8.36 would make for a current dividend yield of 2.79% for a new investor who went in at Tuesday’s closing price of $299.22. But if you had not reinvested, the dividend yield on your five-year-old shares (based on what you would have paid for them) would be 4.32%. And your share price would have risen 54%. And if you had reinvested your dividends, your total return for the five years would have been 75%, slightly ahead of the 74% return for the S&P 500 SPX during that period.

    Home Depot hasn’t been the best dividend grower among the nine stocks named by Justman, but it is a good example of how an investor can build income over the long term, while also enjoying capital appreciation.

    Here’s the dividend CAGR comparison for the nine stocks:

    Company

    Ticker

    Five-year dividend CAGR

    Dividend yield on shares purchased five years ago

    Dividend yield five years ago

    Current dividend yield

    Five-year price change

    Five-year total return

    CME Group Inc. Class A

    CME,
    +0.47%
    9.46%

    2.44%

    1.55%

    2.04%

    20%

    42%

    Home Depot Inc.

    HD,
    -0.39%
    15.20%

    4.32%

    2.13%

    2.79%

    54%

    75%

    Lowe’s Cos, Inc.

    LOW,
    +0.27%
    18.04%

    4.14%

    1.81%

    2.17%

    91%

    109%

    Morgan Stanley

    MS,
    -1.54%
    23.16%

    7.62%

    2.69%

    4.24%

    80%

    108%

    U.S. Bancorp

    USB,
    -0.25%
    5.34%

    3.60%

    2.78%

    5.89%

    -39%

    -26%

    Medtronic PLC

    MDT,
    -4.32%
    6.65%

    2.90%

    2.10%

    3.62%

    -20%

    -9%

    Texas Instruments Inc.

    TXN,
    -0.21%
    11.04%

    5.24%

    3.10%

    3.30%

    59%

    82%

    United Parcel Service Inc. Class B

    UPS,
    -0.16%
    12.23%

    5.56%

    3.12%

    4.17%

    33%

    56%

    Union Pacific Corp.

    UNP,
    +1.52%
    10.20%

    3.37%

    2.07%

    2.52%

    34%

    49%

    Source: FactSet

    This isn’t to say that Justman and Brown have held all of these stocks over the past five years. In fact, Lowe’s Cos.
    LOW,
    +0.27%

    was added to the portfolio this year, as was United Parcel Service Inc.
    UPS,
    -0.16%
    .
    But for most of these companies, dividends have compounded at relatively high rates.

    When asked to name an example of a stock the fund had sold, Justman said he and Brown decided to part ways with Verizon Communications Inc.
    VZ,
    -0.94%

    last year, “as we became concerned about its fundamental competitive position in its industry.”

    Summing up the scene for dividend stocks, Justman said, “It seems this year the market is treating dividend stocks as fixed-income instruments. We think that is a short-term issue and that this is a great opportunity.”

    Don’t miss: How to tell if it is worth avoiding taxes with a municipal-bond ETF

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