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  • JetBlue stock loses altitude after facing ‘staggering’ weather delays — and warns of a wider-than-expected Q4 loss

    JetBlue stock loses altitude after facing ‘staggering’ weather delays — and warns of a wider-than-expected Q4 loss

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    JetBlue Airways Corp.’s stock fell 7% in premarket trades on Tuesday after the carrier warned it would post a wider-than-expected fourth-quarter loss, while it missed analyst estimates for its third-quarter loss and revenue.

    “While we have been able to offset some of the costs associated with the challenging operational backdrop, the sheer magnitude of the air traffic control and weather-related delays has been staggering,” the carrier said. 

    JetBlue
    JBLU,
    +1.69%

    said it lost $153 million, or 46 cents a share in the third quarter. In the year-ago quarter, JetBlue reported net income of $57 million, or 18 cents a share.

    Adjusted loss in the latest quarter was 39 cents a share, wider than the FactSet consensus estimate for a loss of 25 cents a share.

    JetBlue’s revenue fell 8% to $2.35 billion, below the analyst estimate of $2.38 billion.

    For the fourth quarter, JetBlue expects to report an adjusted loss of 55 cents to 35 cents a share against an analyst estimate of a loss of 15 cents a share.

    Also read: Airline stocks rocked as Israel-Hamas war fuels profit concerns

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  • BP PLC 3Q EPS 27.59c

    BP PLC 3Q EPS 27.59c

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    BP replacement cost profit of $3.29B misses forecasts, announces $1.5 bn buyback

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  • Prosecutors hammer at Sam Bankman-Fried’s credibility in FTX criminal fraud trial

    Prosecutors hammer at Sam Bankman-Fried’s credibility in FTX criminal fraud trial

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    Federal prosecutors on Monday sought to chip away at FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried’s credibility, pointing to discrepancies between his public comments and actions taken behind the scenes as the company collapsed.

    In a steady drumbeat of questions, Assistant U.S. Attorney Danielle Sassoon tried to paint Bankman-Fried, the 31-year-old former wunderkind of the crypto world, as someone who lied to his customers about the safety of their investments, while secretly raiding their accounts to fund his own risky investments, luxury real estate purchases, costly celebrity endorsements and political contributions.   

    In his second day of testimony before a jury in his criminal fraud trial in Manhattan’s federal court, Bankman-Fried repeatedly said he couldn’t remember exactly what he had said in numerous media interviews in the days and weeks after FTX had declared bankruptcy and $8 billion in customer deposits had vanished. 

    He also sought to distance himself from decision-making at FTX’s sister investment firm, Alameda Research, whose risky bets helped bring the crypto trading platform down. 

    Sassoon pointed to multiple public comments by Bankman-Fried in which he claimed FTX’s risk management protocols made it safer than other crypto currency trading platforms, while the company allowed its own investment arm, Alameda Research to make risky bets without limit. 

    FTX ultimately collapsed largely as a result of the billions in loans it had extended to Alameda, which prosecutors allege was done using customer money.

    Federal prosecutors have alleged that Alameda was effectively granted carte blanche to use FTX customer money to make risky bets. One key element was that certain risk-management systems that FTX used to to liquidate customer accounts that had entered into negative territory were disabled for Alameda, allowing it unfettered ability to make high-risk moves.

    Throughout his testimony, Bankman-Fried claimed he had limited visibility as to what was happening at Alameda, which he founded and mostly owned, but which had ceased running day-to-day in 2021, when his ex-girlfriend Caroline Ellison took over as CEO. 

    He said he only became aware of how bad a liquidity issue Alameda faced well after a financial crisis began sweeping through the crypto industry in the summer of 2022.  Bankman-Fried said he had told Ellison, who had pleaded guilty and testified against him, that she should have taken hedge positions earlier to lessen the company’s risk.

    But he said he continued to believe up until just days before the companies collapsed, that both Alameda and FTX were on firmer financial footing.

    “I viewed Alameda as solvent and FTX as solvent and decently liquid,” he testified. “Had that analysis come up any other way, I would have been in full on crisis mode. But in my view at the time that wasn’t the case.”

    Bankman-Fried did admit that he consulted frequently with Ellison about moves that Alameda made and even signed off on several billion-dollar investments. 

    “I think a few billion of them were my decision,” he said when asked about several large investments made by Alameda in 2021 and 2022. 

    Bankman-Fried is expected back in court for further cross examination on Tuesday. The judge in the case said he expected the case may go to the jury as early as Friday. 

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  • UAW, GM have a tentative deal, all but ending the autoworkers’ strike

    UAW, GM have a tentative deal, all but ending the autoworkers’ strike

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    The United Auto Workers said late Monday it has reached a tentative agreement with General Motors Co.
    GM,
    +0.51%
    ,
    the third and last of the Big Three carmakers to have such a deal with its workers. GM workers on strike will return to their jobs as the agreement goes through a ratification process. “Like the agreements with Ford
    F,
    -1.91%

    and Stellantis
    STLA,
    -0.22%
    ,
    the GM agreement has turned record profits into a record contract,” the union said. “The deal includes gains valued at more than four times the gains from the union’s 2019 contract.” That year, the UAW had a strike at GM only; this year, workers at several Big Three facilities walked out, a break with tradition for the union. The tentative agreement with GM grants 25% base-wage increases through the four years of the contract, cumulatively raising the top wage by 33% plus cost-of-living adjustments to more than $42 an hour, the union said. GM’s starting wage will increase by 70% compounded with estimated COLA to over $30 an hour. Shares of GM edged lower in the extended session Monday after ending the regular trading day up 0.5%.

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  • GM’s stock bounces of more than 3-year low after report of tentative deal reached with UAW to end strike

    GM’s stock bounces of more than 3-year low after report of tentative deal reached with UAW to end strike

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    Shares of General Motors Co.
    GM,
    +0.04%

    bounced 1.2% off a 3 1/2-year low in morning trading Monday, after CNBC reported that the automaker reached an tentative deal with the United Auto Workers that would end the six-week long labor strike. The report comes a day after the UAW widened its strike against GM, as the Associated Press reported, hours after a tentative deal was reached with fellow Big 3 automaker Stellantis N.V.
    STLA,
    -0.19%

    and about a week after Ford Motor Co.
    F,
    -1.61%

    also reached a deal. CNBC reported that the UAW’s 4 1/2-year agreement with GM includes a 25% wage increase, including a 68% increase in starting hourly wages to $28 an hour. and UAW didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment. The stock, which closed Friday at the lowest price since Aug. 7,. 2020, has tumbled 28.1% over the past three months while the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.81%

    has shed 9.2%.

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  • HSBC Holdings 3Q Net $5.62B Vs. Net $2.00B >0005.HK

    HSBC Holdings 3Q Net $5.62B Vs. Net $2.00B >0005.HK

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    By Sherry Qin

    HSBC Holdings PLC’s third-quarter net profit more than doubled as the London-based banking giant continued to benefit from higher interest rates and sharply higher non-interest income.

    The Asia-focused lender posted net profit of $5.62 billion for the three months to Sept. 30, up from $2.00 billion in the year-earlier period, it said Monday. HSBC’s pretax profit, the bank’s preferred profit measure, rose to $7.71 billion from $3.23 billion.

    The bank’s quarterly revenue rose 40% compared with the same period a year earlier to $16.2 billion. It attributed the growth to the higher interest rate environment, which supported growth in net interest income in all of their global businesses and higher non-interest income.

    Its non-interest income rose 97% on year to $6.9 billion, primarily due to the sale of its retail banking operations in France.

    The bank’s net interest income, its main source of income, reached $9.25 billion, from $8.01 billion in the same period last year. Its net interest margin increased by 19 basis points to 1.70% from the year-earlier period.

    “We have had three consecutive quarters of strong financial performance and are on track to achieve our mid-teens return on tangible equity target for 2023,” HSBC Chief Executive Noel Quinn said.

    HSBC reiterated its guidance for 2023 net interest income to be above $35 billion, it said.

    The board has approved a third interim dividend of $0.10 per share. It also intends to initiate a further share buyback of up to $3 billion after announcing three share buybacks in 2023 totaling up to $7 billion.

    Write to Sherry Qin at sherry.qin@wsj.com

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  • How stock-market investors can ride out a ‘fear cycle’ as S&P 500, Nasdaq fall into correction

    How stock-market investors can ride out a ‘fear cycle’ as S&P 500, Nasdaq fall into correction

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    Many people like to feel at least a little bit of fright.

    That has been the whole point of Halloween for ages. The spooky traditions might even be a sort of hedge, a way to limit carnage should darker days lurk around the corner.

    Where it gets trickier is when fear impacts a nest egg, retirement fund or portfolio holdings. And fear of looming mayhem has been higher in October, with a sharp selloff causing the S&P 500 index
    SPX
    to break below the 4,200 level, landing it in a correction on Friday. It also joined the Nasdaq Composite Index in falling at least 10% from a summer peak.

    In addition, a brutal bond-market rout has pushed the 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields
    BX:TMUBMUSD10Y
    up dramatically, with both recently dancing around the 5% level, which can drive up borrowing costs for the U.S. economy and cause havoc in financial markets.

    “Round numbers matter,” said Rich Steinberg, chief market strategist at The Colony Group, which has $20 billion in assets under management. He said the backdrop has investors trying to figure out “where to put money” and wanting to know “where can we hide?”

    “When you get into a fear cycle, the dynamics can get out of whack with reality,” Steinberg said. He thinks investors won’t go wrong earning roughly 5.5% on shorter term risk-free Treasurys, while penciling in stock prices they like.

    “That’s where investors really get rewarded over the long-term,” he said, granted they have enough liquidity to ride out what could be elongated patches of volatility.

    Increasingly, investor worries tie back to U.S. government spending, with the Treasury Department early next expected to release an estimated $1.5 trillion borrowing need to accommodate a large budget deficit. That would unleash even more Treasury supply into an unsettled market, and potentially strain the plumbing of financial markets.

    Higher U.S. bond yields threaten to make it more expensive for the federal government to service its debt load, but they also can be prohibitive for companies, sparking layoffs and defaults.

    Fed decisions, yields

    The Federal Reserve is expected to hold its policy interest rates steady on Wednesday following its two-day meeting, keeping the rate at a 22-year high in the 5.25%-5.5% range.

    The real fireworks, however, often appear during Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s afternoon press conference following each rate decision.

    “I firmly believe they are done for good,” said Bryce Doty, a senior portfolio manager at Sit Investment Associates, of Fed hikes in this cycle, which he notes should set up bond funds for a banner 2024, after two rough years, given today’s higher starting yields.

    Yet, Doty also sees two “wild cards” that could rattle markets. Heavy Treasury debt issuance could overwhelm liquidity in the marketplace, causing yields to go up higher and potentially force the Fed to restart its bond-buying program, he said.

    War abroad also could expand, including with the Israel-Hamas conflict, which could spark a flight to quality and push down U.S. bond yields.

    With that backdrop, Doty suggests adding duration in bonds
    BX:TMUBMUSD03M
    as longer-term yields rise above short-term yields, and the so-called Treasury yield curve gets steeper. “This is the time,” he said. Investors should “keep marching” out on the curve as it steepens.

    “Yields, in my mind, have been the main challenge for the equity market,” said Keith Lerner, chief markets strategist at Truist Advisory Services, while noting that stocks have been wobbly since the 10-year Treasury yield topped 4% in July.

    Lerner also said the near 17% drop in the powerful “Magnificent Seven” stocks, while notable, isn’t as bad as in some other S&P 500 index sectors, like real estate, were the retrenchment is closer to 20%.

    “We’ve had a pretty good reset,” he said, adding that lower stock prices provide investors with “somewhat better compensation” for the uncertainties ahead.

    “This is one of the most challenging investment environments we’ve seen in a long time,” said Cameron Brandt, director of research at EPFR, which tracks fund flows across asset classes.

    With that backdrop, he expects investors to keep more dry powder on hand through the end of this year than in the past.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA
    shed 2.1% for the week and closed at its lowest level since the March banking crisis. The S&P 500 lost 2.5% for the week and the Nasdaq Composite fell 2.6% for the week.

    Another big item on the calendar for next week, beyond the Treasury borrowing announcement and Fed decision Wednesday is the Labor Department’s October jobs report due Friday.

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  • Oil falls, markets hold steady as Israel launches Gaza ground offensive

    Oil falls, markets hold steady as Israel launches Gaza ground offensive

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    Oil futures dropped Sunday night as markets saw a calm opening following Israel’s launch of a ground offensive in Gaza that drew implied threats from Iran amid market fears of a wider conflict that could disrupt global crude supplies.

    Oil declined as Israel “seems to be approaching the situation with caution, which has brought a sense of relief that the worst-case scenarios may not materialize,” said Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management, in a note.

    Innes, however, said investors should remember “this is likely to be a long, drawn-out affair with many false dawns.”

    West Texas Intermediate crude for December delivery
    CL00,
    -1.51%

    CL.1,
    -1.51%

    CLZ23,
    -1.51%

    fell 93 cents, or 1%, to $84.61 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Sunday night. December Brent crude
    BRNZ23,
    -1.34%
    ,
    the global benchmark, was off $1, or 1.1%, at $89.48 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe, dipping back below the $90-a-barrel threshold.

    Oil futures jumped nearly 3% on Friday, but suffered weekly declines, eroding the modest risk premium priced into the market.

    Read: 4 reasons why oil prices have only seen a modest Middle East risk premium

    Israeli solders had moved at least two miles deep into the Gaza Strip as of Sunday, the Wall Street Journal reported, after beginning a delayed ground incursion into the enclave aimed at routing Hamas following its Oct, 7 attack on southern Israel that left more than 1,400 dead and saw more than 200 Israelis taken hostage.

    A sustained bombardment of the densely populated Gaza Strip by Israel has resulted in more than 8,000 casualties, according to Palestinian authorities. Israel has been under pressure by the U.S. and others to minimize civilian casualties.

    U.S. stock-index futures ticked higher, with S&P 500 futures
    ES00,
    +0.32%

    up 0.3%, while futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    YM00,
    +0.20%

    added 68 points, or 0.2%.

    The biggest worry among investors is a conflict that sees Iran become more directly involved. Iranian crude exports have rebounded from lows seen after the Trump administration withdrew the U.S. from a nuclear accord with Tehran and reimposed sanctions in 2018.

    A renewed crackdown on Iran could take up to 1 million barrels a day of crude off the market, while a spiraling conflict could see Tehran threaten transportation chokepoints, particularly the Strait of Hormuz, or otherwise attack infrastructure in the region, while driving up a fear premium.

    Iranian President Ibrahim Raisi, in a post on X written in English, said Saturday that Israel had “crossed the red lines, which may force everyone to take action.”

    U.S. warplanes on Friday struck two locations in eastern Syria, which the Pentagon said were linked to Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps, following a string of attacks on U.S. air bases in the region that started last week.

    U.S. stocks are poised to book another round of monthly losses as October draws to an end, though pressure has been attributed largely to a surge in Treasury yields. The S&P 500
    SPX
    last week joined the Nasdaq Composite
    COMP
    in correction territory, while the Dow
    DJIA
    is down more than 2% year to date.

    The rise in yields, which move opposite price, has come as U.S. government debt has failed to attract its usual haven-related buying amid rising Mideast tensions.

    See: Israel-Hamas war sees investors shun most traditional havens, except for these two

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  • Big Tech earnings have been strong, but Apple is about to answer the thousand-dollar question

    Big Tech earnings have been strong, but Apple is about to answer the thousand-dollar question

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    While the stock market reactions may not prove it, Big Tech is four-for-four so far this earnings reporting season.

    Alphabet Inc.
    GOOG,
    -0.03%

    GOOGL,
    -0.09%
    ,
    Amazon.com Inc.
    AMZN,
    +6.83%
    ,
    Meta Platforms Inc.
    META,
    +2.91%

    and Microsoft Corp.
    MSFT,
    +0.59%

    all beat earnings and revenue expectations for the latest quarter, showing, among other things that the advertising market was healthy in the latest quarter and that software spending is holding up.

    But one more major test looms in the week ahead. Apple Inc.
    AAPL,
    +0.80%

    is due to deliver September-quarter results on Thursday and those earnings will answer a key question: Are consumers still so willing to purchase thousand-dollar iPhones in the current economy?

    Results from other companies in recent weeks have painted a mixed picture of consumer spending. Visa Inc.
    V,
    -0.87%
    ,
    Mastercard Inc.
    MA,
    -0.14%

    and American Express Co.
    AXP,
    -1.42%

    say that spending remains resilient, but there are also signs that cracks are starting to form in categories deemed non-essential. Just look at Align Technology Inc.
    ALGN,
    +0.20%
    ,
    the maker of Invisalign orthodontic aligners, which saw its stock plunge last week after noting that people seem to be putting off dental and orthodontic visits.

    Read: Invisalign maker’s stock craters after soft earnings, but analysts still say it’s a buy

    Granted, some might say that iPhones are glorified necessities these days for Apple fans, even with their high price tags. But Apple conducted an effective price increase on its iPhone 15 Pro model when it rolled out its new phones in September, all while delivering a mostly incremental suite of feature upgrades across all its latest models. Will the new phones prove enticing enough in a period of stretched budgets?

    Just judging by S&P 500
    SPX
    results so far in the aggregate, the odds would seem to be in Apple’s favor for a beat this quarter. About half of index components have already reported, and 78% have posted earnings upside, while 62% have surprised positively on the top line, according to FactSet.

    Revenue will be the key item for Apple, as consensus expectations call for a small decline on the metric, which would mark the fourth consecutive year-over-year drop. It’s also worth noting that companies on the whole haven’t been topping revenue estimates by their usual margin. S&P 500 components in aggregate have reported revenue 0.8% above expectations, which compares with a five-year average of 2.0%, FactSet Senior Earnings Analyst John Butters wrote in a recent report.

    Apple’s report could also highlight the impact of currency on corporate results, as the company generates more than half of its revenue internationally.

    “Given the stronger U.S. dollar in recent months, are S&P 500 companies with more international revenue exposure reporting lower (year-over-year) earnings and revenues for Q3 compared to S&P 500 companies with more domestic revenue exposure?” Butters asked. “The answer is yes.”

    This week in earnings

    Many U.S. investors in financial-technology companies likely hadn’t heard of European payments player Worldline SA
    WLN,
    +9.06%

    before last week, but a warning from the French company about deteriorating conditions in Europe helped send shares of PayPal Holdings Inc.
    PYPL,
    -2.63%

    and Block Inc.
    SQ,
    -3.98%

    sharply lower Wednesday, in a selloff one analyst deemed an overreaction. Those companies will look to reassure Wall Street about the health of their businesses with their own reports this week. Plus, while not a payments name, SoFi Technologies Inc.
    SOFI,
    -0.43%

    will provide another read on the fintech sector. Investors will be watching to see how the end of the student-loan moratorium impacted student lending volumes.

    The week ahead will also shed light on how consumers’ dining preferences have evolved in the current economy. Starbucks Corp.
    SBUX,
    -0.70%
    ,
    Dine Brands Global Inc.
    DIN,
    -0.12%
    ,
    Cheesecake Factory Inc.
    CAKE,
    -0.47%

    and Sweetgreen Inc.
    SG,
    +0.59%

    are among names on the docket. Plus, amid concerns about the impact of GLP-1 drugs such as Ozempic and Wegovy on eating habits, Kraft Heinz Co.’s management will be in the spotlight.

    Don’t miss: What exactly are patients taking new weight-loss drugs eating and what are they avoiding? Bernstein asked them.

    The call to put on your calendar

    You can’t spell Advanced Micro Devices without AI (sort of): Nvidia Corp.
    NVDA,
    +0.43%

    has been ruling the chip world this year thanks to its dominance with the sort of hardware needed to power the corporate AI fervor. Investors will be watching Tuesday afternoon to see how quickly Advanced Micro Devices Inc.’s
    AMD,
    +2.95%

    own AI story is coming together. “The AMD narrative feels all about their data center (and, particularly, their AI story) right now,” Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon wrote in a note to clients. “In the near term the achievability of their 2H data-center growth (guided to 50% half-over-half) will be the question.” Rasgon expects AMD to discuss recent customer wins for its MI300X chip, though he thinks it will take time for the company to see “real volume.”

    The number to watch

    PayPal transaction margins: Shares of the one-time investor darling are trading at their lowest levels since May 2017, and the latest source of anguish for Wall Street is the company’s transaction margins. PayPal’s lower-margin unbranded checkout business has been growing more quickly than its higher-margin branded checkout product, a trend that’s been weighing on overall transaction margins. Barclays analyst Ramsey El-Assal expects the third quarter to mark a bottom on the metric before trends stabilize in the fourth quarter. “We do not believe the stock is crowded on the long or short side into earnings, as investors lack conviction regarding the magnitude of transaction margin headwinds in Q3,” he wrote in a recent preview. “In any case, we view Q3 as a potential clearing event.” PayPal posts results Wednesday afternoon.

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  • Former Vice President Mike Pence ends campaign for the White House after struggling to gain traction

    Former Vice President Mike Pence ends campaign for the White House after struggling to gain traction

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    Former Vice President Mike Pence is dropping his bid for the Republican presidential nomination, ending his campaign for the White House after struggling to raise money and gain traction in the polls.

    “After much prayer and deliberation, I have decided to suspend my campaign for president effective today,” Pence said at the Republican Jewish Coalition gathering in Las Vegas. “We always knew this would be an uphill battle, but I have no regrets,” he said.

    Pence becomes the first major candidate to leave a race that has been dominated by his former boss-turned-rival, Donald Trump.

    The decision, more than two months before the Iowa caucuses that he had staked his campaign on, saves Pence from the embarrassment of failing to qualify for the third Republican primary debate, Nov. 8 in Miami.

    But the withdrawal is a huge blow for a politician who spent years biding his time as Trump’s most loyal lieutenant, only to be scapegoated during their final days in office when Trump became convinced that Pence somehow had the power to overturn the results of the 2020 election and keep both men in office — not something a vice president could do.

    While Pence averted a constitutional crisis by rejecting the scheme, he drew Trump’s fury, as well as the wrath of many of Trump’s supporters who believed his lies and still see Pence as a traitor.

    Among Trump critics, meanwhile, Pence was seen as an enabler who defended the former president at every turn and refused to criticize even Trump’s most indefensible actions time and again.

    As a result, an Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research from August found that the majority of U.S. adults, 57%, viewed Pence negatively, with only 28% having a positive view.

    Throughout his campaign, the former Indiana governor and congressman had insisted that while he was well-known by voters, he was not “known well” and set out to change that with an aggressive schedule that included numerous stops at diners and Pizza Ranch restaurants.

    Pence had been betting on Iowa, a state with a large white Evangelical population that has a long history of elevating religious and socially conservative candidates such as former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and former Pennsylvania Rick Santorum.

    Pence often campaigned with his wife, Karen, a Christian school teacher, and emphasized his hard-line views on issues such as abortion, which he opposes even in cases when a pregnancy is unviable.

    He repeatedly called on his fellow candidates to support a minimum 15-week national ban and he pushed to ban drugs used as alternatives to surgical procedures.

    He tried to confront head-on his actions on Jan. 6, 2021 , explaining to voters over and over that he had done his constitutional duty that day, knowing full well the political consequences. It was a strategy that aides believed would help defuse the issue and earn Pence the respect of a majority of Republicans, whom they were were convinced did not agree with Trump’s actions.

    But even in Iowa, Pence struggled to gain traction.

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  • Here’s how much money you need to buy a $400,000 home with 8% mortgage rates

    Here’s how much money you need to buy a $400,000 home with 8% mortgage rates

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    U.S. home buyers face a tough real-estate market, with the 30-year mortgage near 8%. 

    Exactly how tough is it to buy a house these days? MarketWatch worked with Redfin to find out how much a home buyer needs to earn to buy a median-priced house in September 2023 with the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at 8%.

    It’s not a pretty picture. Mortgage rates have more than doubled since the pandemic, when the U.S. Federal Reserve kept interest rates low to promote economic activity amid mass closures to prevent the spread of the coronavirus. 

    The Fed’s aggressive and quick hiking of rates since then has made it much more expensive to buy a house, particularly with a mortgage. Higher rates have also spooked homeowners who might have been considering a move, which in turn has resulted in very low inventory and pushed up home prices. Even all-cash buyers cannot catch a break in this environment, because there are few listings.

    A median-priced home, meaning a house right in the middle of the price ladder, was roughly $412,000 in September 2023, according to real-estate brokerage Redfin
    RDFN,
    -2.33%
    .
    The 30-year rate varied between 7.63% according to Freddie Mac and 8.03% according to Mortgage News Daily.

    “It’s important to note that reported rate numbers are averages at best and don’t apply across the board,” Andy Walden, vice president of enterprise research at Intercontinental Exchange, said.

    “Actual offerings will vary by lender and are dependent on the loan type and creditworthiness of the individual borrower,” he added.

    With that in mind, here’s a look at exactly how various mortgage rates affect your monthly housing payment.

    Buying a median-priced home at 8% rates

    Mortgage News Daily on October 19 noted that some lenders were quoting a rate of 8.03%.

    That means that if a home buyer is paying for a median-priced $412,000 home with a 30-year mortgage at 8% after putting 20% down, they would have to pay roughly $3,019 per month, which includes not just their principal and interest, but taxes and insurance as well, according to Redfin.

    To afford that on a monthly basis, a prospective buyer would need to make $120,773. Redfin considers a monthly payment as “affordable” if the buyer is spending no more than 30% of their income on housing.

    Buying a median-priced home at 7% rates

    In October, Fannie Mae said that it expected the 30-year mortgage to fall to 7.1% in the first quarter of 2024, and go lower after that, ending the year at 6.7%.

    If a home buyer is paying for the $412,000 home with a 30-year mortgage at 7% after putting 20% down, they would have to pay roughly $2,794 per month, which includes not just their principal and interest, but taxes and insurance as well, Redfin said.

    To afford that on a monthly basis, a prospective buyer would need to make at least $111,747 a year. 

    Buying a median-priced home at 6% rates

    The Mortgage Bankers Association, an industry group, expects the 30-year to fall to 6.1% by the end of 2024.

    If a home buyer is paying for the $412,000 home with a 30-year mortgage at 6% after putting 20% down, they would have to pay roughly $2,577 per month, which includes not just their principal, interest, taxes, and insurance, Redfin said.

    To afford that on a monthly basis, a prospective buyer would need to make at least $103,078 a year. 

    Real-estate is much more expensive today than before the pandemic

    Rising rates have made buying a home a much more expensive process than before the coronavirus pandemic.

    A home buyer buying a median-priced home today has to earn 50% more than they would have if they wanted to buy a median-priced home at the start of the pandemic, Redfin said in a blog post.

    “Buyers — particularly first-timers — who are committed to getting into a home now should think outside the box,” Chen Zhao, economics research lead at Redfin, said in the post. 

    “Consider a condo or townhouse, which are less expensive than a single-family home, and/or consider moving to a more affordable part of the country, or a more affordable suburb,” she added.

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  • Financial advisers make rich people richer. But is that all there is?

    Financial advisers make rich people richer. But is that all there is?

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    In 1989, author Marsha Sinetar wrote a bestselling book, “Do What You Love, The Money Will Follow.” She urges readers to pursue a career that stokes their passion.

    Many advisers take that advice. They love what they do. And the money follows: Median pay for U.S. financial advisers was $95,390 in 2022, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

    Lately, though, the passion is waning for some advisers. They still love the practice of wealth management — customizing financial plans, constructing client portfolios and analyzing the ever-growing menu of investment products.

    They’re just not as enamored of their clients’ wealth. Reassuring wealthy retirees that they can afford to buy a second (or third) vacation home has its merits. But helping them accumulate more and more wealth rings hollow after awhile.

    Steve Oniya, a Houston-based certified financial planner, works with a diverse mix of clients. He enjoys helping them achieve their goals, regardless of their net worth. “It’s more gratifying helping them get over some hurdles to get to the life that they really want,” he said. “You make more of an impact that way.”

    He compares his work to a firefighter’s job. Some days, they rescue people from burning buildings. Other days, they put out a dumpster fire. Yet they’re always driven to excel and perform at a high level.

    Nevertheless, if an adviser serves rich clients who hoard their money, don’t give to charity and lack perspective on what matters most in life, a day at the office can feel dispiriting. “Sometimes advisers may be passionately opposed to certain clients’ values,” Oniya said. “In those instances, end the relationship or limit the scope.”

    Oniya said he does not find clients’ wealth objectionable. He sees his role as an ally who seeks to understand — and not judge — others’ beliefs and values.

    “I like to stay in the neutral camp,” Oniya said. “It’s easy to empathize with another person and see they are a person who needs help just like others. We’re generally here to advise them on how to be more efficient and effective financially in attaining their goals.”

    The arc of an adviser’s career comes into play as well. To build a practice, newly minted financial planners might welcome pretty much anyone with sufficient assets.

    Once they establish a stable book of business, advisers may get picky in deciding whom to serve. Their onboarding process might get more rigorous in an effort to determine if they’re aligned with a potential client’s aspirations, goals and priorities.

    Some advisers shift gears as they gain experience working with different types of clients. They come to realize what they like most about the job and adjust their practice — and the type of clients they serve — accordingly.

    “Everyone evolves,” said Angeli Gianchandani, a professor of marketing at University of New Haven’s Pompea College of Business. “Advisers may see there’s a greater reward and opportunity helping people in a different income bracket.”

    As a self-test, advisers at a career crossroads might want to ask themselves how they’d respond to two clients. The first one says, “You saved me $5 million. Now I want to save $10 million to buy a bigger yacht.”

    The other says, “You helped me pay off my student debt” or “You helped me save enough for a down payment to buy my first house.”

    “You may feel more valued and appreciated as an adviser” if you pave the way for someone who lacks vast wealth to build a nest egg for the future, Gianchandani says.

    Advisers who have misgivings about helping wealthy people attain greater wealth are not alone. Brooke Harrington, a sociology professor at Dartmouth College, interviewed 65 wealth managers between 2007 and 2015. About one-quarter expressed qualms about helping lower ultra-wealthy clients’ tax liabilities.

    Still, another 25% did not feel such qualms. They saw their role as defending their clients from an unjust tax code.

    More: Wall Street legend Byron Wien dies at 90. Here are his ’20 life lessons’

    Also read: The IRS is auditing the rich. Can you fly under the radar if you’re not wealthy?

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  • AMC shares rise as meme-stock darling eyes another big Taylor Swift weekend

    AMC shares rise as meme-stock darling eyes another big Taylor Swift weekend

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    For AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc., “Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour” is the gift that keeps on giving.

    Taylor Swift’s record-breaking concert film, which opened Oct. 12, is in its third weekend at the box office and has already brought in more than $178 million worldwide, according to IMDbPro’s Box Office Mojo.

    “Weekend #3 for Taylor Swift The Eras Tour: Thursday through Sunday,” tweeted AMC CEO Adam Aaron Wednesday. “Playing at all AMC & Odeon theatres in the U.S. & Europe. The highest grossing concert film of all time. CinemaScore A+, RT 99%/98%. See the phenomenon that has captivated the world.”

    Related: AMC still riding a ‘Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour’ wave

    Earlier this week Aaron tweeted that the movie enjoyed a successful second weekend in theaters. “It’s such a privilege to report that Taylor Swift The Eras Tour won the weekend again!” he wrote on Monday. “The first ever movie distributed by AMC, it had the biggest box office gross last weekend and this weekend! Grossed $179 million so far. All the credit goes to the extraordinary Taylor Swift!”

    Set against this backdrop AMC
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    shares rose 1.9% Friday and are on pace to snap a two-day losing streak.

    In addition to showing “Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour” in its theaters, AMC  is also the theatrical distributor for the movie. AMC Theatres Distribution and subdistribution partners Variance Films, Trafalgar Releasing, Cinepolis and Cineplex Inc. have clinched deals with movie-theater operators representing more than 8,500 theaters globally to show the film, according to AMC.

    EXCLUSIVE: AMC boosted by Taylor Swift and summer blockbusters, cinema foot-traffic data show

    “Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour” remained atop the domestic box office last weekend, ahead of Martin Scorsese’s “Killers of the Flower Moon,” which brought in an estimated $23 million on its debut weekend, according to Comscore data released Sunday. The new Scorsese movie, which stars Leonardo DiCaprio, also enjoyed a strong opening weekend internationally, bringing in an estimated $21 million.

    Shares of movie theater chain and meme stock darling AMC have fallen 73.8% in 2023, compared with S&P 500 index’s
    SPX
    gain of 7.2%.

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  • So you spent $1,000 on Bad Bunny concert tickets. Here’s how to recover.

    So you spent $1,000 on Bad Bunny concert tickets. Here’s how to recover.

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    You got ‘em. But at what cost? 

    The summer and fall of 2023 have offered music fans endless opportunities to drop big dollars on concerts. Artists ranging from pop icons like Beyoncé and Taylor Swift to newer acts like Olivia Rodrigo have announced tours or hit the road, giving fans a reason to splurge on tickets, merchandise and rhinestone cowboy boots. 

    The latest hitmaker to confirm they’re hitting the road is Puerto Rican singer Bad Bunny, who announced the dates for his “Most Wanted” North American tour on Oct. 19.

    Some fans who participated in the tour’s presale were surprised to see the prices. Several took to social media to express their sticker shock, noting that even nosebleed seats were listed at a few hundred dollars each. The exact prices could only be viewed by select fans who were granted access to the sale.

    “Benito should’ve named this tour ‘most expensive tour’ cause what are those prices,” one user posted.

    Another called Bad Bunny “disrespectful,” and posted a screenshot showing nosebleed seats going for $300 and a floor seat priced at $1,101.95.

    Americans have spent big on entertainment this summer and fall, shelling out on recreational expenses like movies, shows and travel. A study from QuestionPro found that concertgoers who went to Taylor Swift’s The Eras tour spent an average of $1,300 per show, including tickets, clothing, merchandise, food, and travel.

    Related: Springsteen is one of many older rockers canceling shows for health reasons, making ticket purchases risky for fans

    That kind of spending has fueled the country’s still-pumping economy, which grew at a 4.9% clip in the third quarter. 

    That being said, dropping four figures on one ticket can put a serious dent in your savings  — or your credit-card balance. But who among us hasn’t considered blowing our budget to scream our favorite songs in a packed stadium? MarketWatch talked to experts for advice on how to bounce back from doing just that. 

    United Talent Agency, which represents Bad Bunny, did not respond to requests for comment. Ticketmaster directed MarketWatch to an FAQ page about tickets and ticket prices on their website. 

    Step 1: Don’t freak out 

    First things first, “take a deep breath,” said Emy Lee, a former accountant and spending coach with more than 40,000 followers on TikTok. A one-time purchase like a concert ticket likely won’t ruin your finances for good, she said — but it can pose a much bigger risk if it sends you into a cycle of shame and overspending.

    “I see this in my clients, too: somebody will make a big purchase, and then they beat themselves up for it and feel guilty,” she said. “Then they just keep spiraling and making impulsive purchases.”

    There’s nothing inherently wrong with spending a lot of money on a concert ticket, said Kimberly Palmer, a personal-finance expert at NerdWallet. 

    “For a lot of people, buying a concert ticket, even though it’s a huge splurge and outside of their normal budget, is not necessarily a bad choice. It’s spending money that really aligns with their values,” she said. “What’s a good choice for you is not necessarily something that can be answered just by looking at numbers or your budget or your income.” 

    Tours for huge artists like Beyoncé or Taylor Swift can also create a huge sense of FOMO, Lee noted, piling on even more pressure to snag a ticket no matter the cost.

    Jack Heintzelman, a certified financial planner from Needham Heights, Mass., recommended giving yourself some grace. 

    “Life happens! This is completely okay and very common,” he said over email. “That’s what we save money for in the first place.”

    Step 2: Make a plan 

    After you’ve cleared your head, it’s time to make a plan. The steps to getting back on track financially will look a little different depending on how you paid for the ticket. 

    Did you put the purchase on a credit card? Then you’ll want to make a plan to pay down the balance as quickly as you can, Palmer said — ideally by the end of the month, before it starts accruing interest.

    But even if it will take a little longer, you should prioritize those payments, she said.

    “You want to make sure you have a plan where you’re paying it down so it doesn’t snowball and become an even bigger amount of debt,” Palmer said. “You can get hit with late fees, and it can quickly get out of control.”

    That’s especially important in a high-rate environment, where interest rates on many credit cards are especially high.  Last year, the average late payment fee for credit cards was $32.

    If the cost of the ticket came out of your savings account, you’re not in danger of the debt ballooning over time. Still, Palmer said, you should focus on replenishing your savings so you’re still in a good position to weather any emergencies that come your way.

    “That could mean setting aside a small amount from every paycheck until you feel comfortable again,” she said. 

    Step 3: Move on 

    After making a plan, it’s time to start thinking about how to avoid overspending like this in the future, experts said.

    “Planning is way easier than recovering as far as big purchases go,” Lee said.

    That doesn’t mean you have to sit on the sidelines every time your favorite artist comes to town. In fact, part  of smart money management is spending intentionally on the things that are truly important to you, Palmer added: “For plenty of people, buying that concert ticket is going to bring them a lot of joy.”

    But sticking to a monthly budget will help you make big purchases with confidence, experts noted. 

    Building a budget often starts with tracking your income and expenses to understand just how much money you’re making and what you’re spending it on. The primary part of your budget should cover your needs. What’s left over can be split between savings and variable expenses — like entertainment.

    “Entertainment gets tricky, because a lot of people feel that it’s a need because it makes you happy,” Lee said. But most often, it should be considered a variable expense.

    After you have a sense of where your money is going, you can trim unnecessary costs, and allocate a portion of your income each month to saving or other financial goals.

    Heintzelman recommended automating a portion of your income to deposit straight into your savings account.

    “That savings will start to build up and be available for that next ‘unexpected’ expense that comes up,” he said over email. “If you automate your savings you can be less stressed about these times where you have to spend down your emergency reserve, because you know you’ll build it over time.”

    Sometimes, making a savvy financial decision will entail finding a more cost-effective way to celebrate your favorite artist. 

    That could mean something like skipping the concert in favor of throwing a themed party at home, Lee said. You can still get dressed up and dance to your favorite songs  with your friends — just with cheaper concessions and no lines for the bathroom. 

    Keeping a budget and making a financial plan will save you a lot of stress in the future, Palmer said. Sticking to one now means you can buy another ticket stress-free when the next tour comes around. 

    “Focusing on making a budget means you have a framework for these decisions,” she added. “It takes the guilt out of the equation.” 

    See also: ‘We’re literally being stolen from, in plain sight’: Musicians are tired of venues taking their T-shirt money, and they’re fighting back.

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  • No, you don’t need to buy Costco’s $4,500, 157-piece Le Creuset cookware set

    No, you don’t need to buy Costco’s $4,500, 157-piece Le Creuset cookware set

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    No, you don’t need to spend $4,500 on that 157-piece Le Creuset cookware set from Costco
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    The pricey package has become an everyone-is-talking-about-it sensation, owing largely to social media. A post about the set on X, the platform formerly known as Twitter, that has now been viewed some 21 million times seems to have been the initial source of the buzz. It noted that the Costco offering has “probably every kitchen item you will ever need.”

    In turn, that post generated more social-media chatter, along with articles in publications including the New York Post and the Delish website.

    Now the set is apparently so popular, you can’t even get it. In several parts of the country, the Costco site doesn’t even list it as being available. MarketWatch reached out to the retailer for details but did not receive an immediate response.

    Perhaps it’s just as well that home cooks won’t be tempted to spend all that money. When MarketWatch spoke with several prominent New York chefs and restaurateurs, they all said the set was overkill, even if it represented a savings compared with buying the items individually.

    If anything, these culinary pros noted that purchasing so many pieces not only poses a storage issue, but it can also create confusion in the kitchen, especially for the home cook.

    “I don’t even have one-tenth of that set,” says veteran chef Konstantinos Kvasilava, who works at Kyma, a high-end Greek restaurant in New York, and who previously was at Geranium, a Michelin-starred establishment in Copenhagen.

    So what are the items you should buy for your kitchen? Here are five rules chefs say you should keep in mind.

    Stick with the basics

    The Costco Le Creuset set includes several pots and pans, plus bakeware, dinnerware and more. Let’s presume you already have some plates and utensils in your kitchen. Beyond that, chefs generally recommend a small number of pieces — think in terms of as few as four and as many as 10, says Franklin Becker, chef and owner of the Press Club Grill and Point Seven restaurants in New York. His must-have list includes 8-inch and 10-inch nonstick pans, a high-sided stainless-steel sauté pan and 1-quart, 4-quart and 8-quart pots. “Those are the essentials,” says Becker, explaining that such items will cover your needs depending on what you’re cooking — the nonstick pans are great for eggs, he notes — and how many people you’re cooking for. The 8-quart pot will work if you’re entertaining a crowd and need to make a big dish.

    Other chefs’ must-haves include a cast-iron pan, often a preferred method for cooking steaks; a casserole dish, which is good for casseroles, naturally; and a Dutch oven. It’s always best to think of items that can be used in multiple ways. Rose Noel, executive chef at New York’s Peak restaurant, likes a cast-iron pan, for example, because it can go into the oven and can also be used on an outdoor grill. “It carries everywhere,” she explains. And, she says, a decent-sized casserole dish can double as a roasting pan for, say, cooking a chicken.

    Add extras, depending on what you eat

    One you have those basics, look at your daily diet and buy items that fit your own needs. Simon Kim, proprietor of Cote Korean Steakhouse, which has locations in New York and Miami, says he doesn’t make eggs at home for breakfast, but he always makes smoothies, so a powerful blender is a must for him. And he eats a lot of rice, so he has a rice cooker, which he says is much better than an everyday pot when it comes to preparing that staple.  

    Buy quality

    It’s always tempting to go the cheap route, but chefs say you’ll pay for it in the end by having cookware that doesn’t last as long and doesn’t cook as well. Becker notes that aluminum cookware, which typically costs less, should be avoided at, well, all costs.

    In terms of brand preferences, chefs mention many higher-end names, such as T-fal , All-Clad and Le Creuset. And when it comes to that blender for his morning smoothies, Kim says he swears by his Vitamix.

    Avoid sets

    The problem with buying any cookware set, even one with as few as 10 pieces, is that it often means duplicating items you already have, chefs say. Plus it doesn’t allow you to mix and match brands and take advantage of the fact that certain brands may be better than others for certain items.

    Noel suggests you purchase cookware for your kitchen the same way you purchase clothes for your wardrobe. “Buy pieces to fill in what you’re missing or need to update,” she says.

    Take care of what you own

    Even the best cookware won’t measure up if you don’t treat it properly. Becker says it’s important to wash pots and pans pretty much immediately after each use so that food and grease don’t harden and become difficult to remove. And when it comes to that cast-iron pan, Becker suggests that it be seasoned and cleaned with salt before being oiled lightly to seal it.

    Now read: Americans are sick and tired of tipping. Here’s why we need to tip more — not less.

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  • Inside Kanye West’s troubled Adidas partnership: Tears. Rage. Thrown shoes. Even a scrawled swastika.

    Inside Kanye West’s troubled Adidas partnership: Tears. Rage. Thrown shoes. Even a scrawled swastika.

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    The ending of the partnership between the artist Kanye West, who now goes by Ye, in October 2022 appeared to come after weeks of his comments about Jewish people and Black Lives Matter, but the New York Times is reporting that the relationship was troubled from the very start.

    At a meeting on the collaborative creation of the very first shoe in 2013, Adidas
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    designers were stunned when West rejected all of the ideas that were presented using fabric swatches on a table and a mood board, the seven-month investigation found. Instead, West, the Times reports, grabbed a sketch and drew a swastika in marker.

    The move shocked the Germans in the room. Germany has a strict ban on displaying the symbol of the Nazi era apart from for artistic purposes. Adding to the sense of horror, the company’s founder — Adolf, or “Adi,” Dassler, who died in 1978 — was a Nazi Party member, and the meeting took place close to Nuremberg, where leaders of the Third Reich were famously tried for crimes against humanity.

    A year ago this week, Adidas threw in the towel.

    West’s fixation on the Nazi era continued, the Times reports, when he later told a Jewish manager at Adidas to kiss a portrait of Adolf Hitler every day. He also told Adidas workers that he admired Hitler’s use and command of propaganda.

    West also brought porn to the workplace and made crude, sexual comments at meetings, according to the Times report. Before the swastika episode, West, according to the Times, had made Adidas executives watch porn at a meeting in his Manhattan apartment.

    In 2022 he reportedly ambushed executives with a porn film. Other workers complained to top managers that he had made angry sexual comments to them.

    The artist, said to have been diagnosed with bipolar disorder, also frequently cried or became angry during meetings, according to the Times investigation. In one instance in 2019, he reportedly moved the operation designing his shoes to Cody, Wyo., and ordered the Adidas team to relocate. In a meeting to discuss his demands with executives, he threw shoes around the room, the Times reports.

    Adidas sought to adapt to this behavior, given how valuable the West-established Yeezy brand was to the company, locked in a perennial battle for both revenue and buzz with its U.S.-based rival Nike Inc.
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    Yeezy sales would rapidly surpass $1 billion a year and help Adidas resonate with young American customers.

    Ratings Game (July 2020): Gap hopes it can burnish its image with a new Kanye West clothing line, repeating the rapper’s brand success with Adidas

    Managers launched a group text chain they called the “Yzy hotline” to discuss his behavior. To reduce stress on individuals, the company is said to have rotated managers in and out of dealing directly with West.

    Over time, meanwhile, Adidas sweetened the terms of West’s deal. Under a 2016 contract, he was entitled to a 15% royalty on sales with a $15 million upfront payment as well as millions of dollars in Adidas stock. In 2019, a further $100 million a year was earmarked for marketing, but, in reality, West could spend those funds at will.

    A year ago this week, though, as public awareness of West’s problematic attitudes are remarks spiked, Adidas threw in the towel, and as sales of Yeezy shoes fell away, it warned it would record its first annual loss in decades. As West’s net worth plummeted, the company wrestled with the decision of how to dispense with its final $1.3 billion in Yeezy products, mulling options including disassembly and repurposing, donation to charity, and outright disposal.

    When a decision was reached to sell the product — in release batches — with some of the proceeds directed to charity and most of the rest flowing to Adidas, West, even then, was entitled to royalties.

    From the archives (October 2022): Kanye West is no longer a billionaire after Adidas shelves Yeezy partnership

    Also see (November 2022): Nike parts ways with Kyrie Irving as controversy swirls over Brooklyn Nets star’s apparent endorsement of antisemitic film

    After bottoming in October 2022, Adidas shares have mounted a 67% comeback, with relief over the company’s not having had to book a damaging loss on the Yeezy line one factor in the restoration of investor confidence.

    Adidas is quoted as having told the Times that it “has no tolerance for hate speech and offensive behavior, which is why the company terminated the Adidas Yeezy partnership,” while West reportedly declined requests for interviews and comment.

    The Times investigation is said to have been based on access to hundreds of previously undisclosed internal records.

    Read on: Michael Jordan is now worth $3 billion. Here’s what billionaire athletes have in common.

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  • Biden will face a primary bid from Rep. Dean Phillips, who says Democrats need to focus on future

    Biden will face a primary bid from Rep. Dean Phillips, who says Democrats need to focus on future

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    CONCORD, N.H. (AP) — For months, Dean Phillips has been calling for a Democratic primary challenge to President Joe Biden. He’s drawn no public interest from governors, lawmakers, and other would-be alternatives.

    The Minnesota congressman is finally entering the race himself.

    The 54-year-old Phillips has scheduled a campaign announcement Friday at the New Hampshire statehouse in Concord. Asked during an interview by CBS if he was running for president, Phillips responded: “I am. I have to.”

    “I think President Biden has done a spectacular job for our country,” he said. “But it’s not about the past. This is an election about the future.”

    While Phillips is highly unlikely to beat Biden, a run would offer a symbolic challenge to national Democrats trying to project the idea that there is no reason to doubt the president’s electability — even as many Americans question whether the 80-year-old Biden should serve another term.

    Phillips may also benefit from New Hampshire Democrats angry at Biden for diluting their state’s influence on the 2024 Democratic primary calendar, a change that state party chairman Ray Buckley has warned could create a “potential embarrassment” by “an insurgent candidate, serious or not.”

    Biden’s reelection campaign and the Democratic National Committee have declined to address Phillips’ possible run. But White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre noted Phillips’ voting record and said, “We appreciate the congressman’s almost 100% support of this president.”

    Buckley was far more upbeat about Biden this week, saying the president would easily clinch his state’s primary even though he won’t officially run in it, requiring a write-in campaign. And Biden is planning to head next week to Phillips’ home state for an official event and fundraiser.

    The president has long cast himself as uniquely qualified to beat Donald Trump again after his 2020 win, and top Democrats have lined up behind him while also positioning themselves for a future primary run.

    Phillips has already missed the deadline to enter Nevada’s primary and is little known nationally. But he argues Biden may not be able to beat Trump again, telling CBS News that polling suggests “we’re going to be facing an emergency next November.”

    “I think it’s time for a new generation,” he told the network. “I think it’s time to pass the torch.”

    New Hampshire primary challenges have a history of wounding incumbent presidents.

    In 1968, another Minnesotan, Democratic Sen. Eugene McCarthy, built his campaign around opposing the Vietnam War and finished second in New Hampshire’s primary, helping push President Lyndon Johnson into forgoing a second term. Massachusetts Sen. Ted Kennedy’s challenge of President Jimmy Carter and Pat Buchanan’s run against President George H.W. Bush both failed, but Carter and Bush ultimately lost their reelection bids.

    The state’s influence on Democrats was curtailed this year by changes engineered by the DNC at Biden’s behest.

    new Democratic calendar has South Carolina leading off presidential primary voting on Feb. 3 and Nevada going three days later. New Hampshire has refused to comply, citing state laws saying its primary must go first, and plans a primary before South Carolina’s. The DNC could, in turn, strip the state of its nominating delegates.

    Steve Shurtleff, a former speaker of the New Hampshire House who has distanced himself from Biden, said he has spoken twice with Phillips and believed the congressman might appeal to some Democrats and independents who can choose to vote in the primary.

    “I like Biden and have a lot of respect for him. But I’m disappointed that he and the DNC have tried to take away our primary,” Shurtleff said. “It’s not that I want to see Joe lose. It’s that I want to see our primary win.”

    But Terry Shumaker, a former DNC member from New Hampshire and longtime Biden supporter, said he expects the president to easily clinch the state as a write-in option. Shumaker recalled going door to door for McCarthy in 1968, but doesn’t see Phillips gaining similar traction.

    “I’m not aware of what his message is,” he said. “To do well in the New Hampshire primary, you have to have a message.”

    There are no primary debates scheduled, according to the DNC. The only other Democrat running in the 2024 primary is self-help author Marianne Williamson. Anti-vaccine activist Robert Kennedy Jr. announced this month that he’s running as an independent.

    Phillips is one of the wealthiest members of Congress and heir to his stepfather’s Phillips Distilling Company empire, which holds major vodka and schnapps brands. He once served as that company’s president but also ran the gelato maker Talenti. His grandmother was the late Pauline Phillips, better known as the advice columnist “Dear Abby.”

    Driving a gelato truck was a centerpiece of his first House campaign in 2018, when Phillips unseated five-term Republican Erik Paulsen. While his district in mostly affluent greater Minneapolis has become more Democratic-leaning, Phillips has stressed that he is a moderate focused on his suburban constituents. He is a member of the centrist Problem Solvers Caucus in Congress.

    Phillips has been suggesting since the summer that top Democrats challenge Biden for their party’s nomination but has been ignored by governors and other top elected officials. He told CBS in the interview on Friday that he hoped his announcing would encourage other primary challengers saying of competition “we need it.”

    Challenging his party’s leadership isn’t new for Phillips. When he first got to Congress, he spoke of the need for a “new generation” of Democrats to replace then-House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and was frustrated when no one emerged. He later praised Pelosi as “one of the most successful speakers of all time.”

    Still, he’s not the only one voicing concerns now. An AP-NORC poll released in August found that the top words associated with Biden were “old” and “confused.” Nearly 70% of Democrats and 77% of U.S. adults said they thought Biden was too old to be effective for four more years. The same poll found that respondents most frequently described Trump as “corrupt” and “dishonest.”

    Leslie Blanding, a retired teacher and Democrat from Bow, New Hampshire, said she did not know Phillips but was “thoroughly conflicted” over whether Biden should face a primary challenger.

    “I think Biden is too old. I think from the outset, he should’ve been looking to groom someone to succeed him, and he didn’t do that,” said Blanding, 75. “But I think he seems to be the only one positioned to have a strong chance of defeating Trump or whomever.”

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  • Sanofi Plans to Split Consumer-Healthcare, Pharma Businesses — Update

    Sanofi Plans to Split Consumer-Healthcare, Pharma Businesses — Update

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    By Adria Calatayud

    Sanofi plans to split its consumer-healtchare and pharmaceutical operations, making it the latest big drugmaker to sharpen its focus on prescription medicines by offloading adjacent businesses.

    The French company outlined the plan on Friday as part of a strategic update that includes increased investment in its pipeline and a cost-savings program.

    Sanofi said it is evaluating potential separations options, but believes that the most likely path would be through a capital markets transaction, by creating a listed entity headquartered in France. The split could take place in the fourth quarter of 2024 at the earliest, it said.

    The move will allow Sanofi to increase its focus on innovative medicines and vaccines, the company said. The split will create two entities and will enable each to pursue its own strategy, it said.

    Sanofi was one of the few big pharma companies that still housed innovative drugs and consumer-healthcare operations under the same roof.

    Johnson & Johnson earlier this year spun off consumer-health business Kenvue, which owns brands such as Band-Aid and Tylenol, and GSK last year separated its Haleon consumer arm. Other pharma giants such as Novartis and Pfizer made similar moves in recent years.

    The plan remains subject to market conditions and consultation with social partners. Sanofi’s consumer-healthcare business is present in 150 countries and employs more than 11,000 people, it said.

    Write to Adria Calatayud at adria.calatayud@dowjones.com

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  • Wall Street legend Byron Wien dies at 90. Here are his ’20 life lessons’

    Wall Street legend Byron Wien dies at 90. Here are his ’20 life lessons’

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    Wall Street said goodbye to a legendary figure on Thursday when news broke that Byron Wien had died at the age of 90, according to news reports.

    For those who are unfamiliar, Wien gained a large following in global finance for his annual lists of “10 surprises” for the coming year.

    He started publishing the list, which tried to anticipate developments that could blindside investors, in 1986 while working at Morgan Stanley.

    He carried on the tradition after joining Blackstone 14 years ago, following a stint at Pequot Capital.

    Thanks to his penchant for highlighting ideas and possibilities that often weren’t on the radar of most investment strategists, Wien’s lists were widely read.

    But earlier this year, Wien released another list that was published on Blackstone’s website. The title? “Byron Wien’s 20 Life Lessons.”

    To enjoy a successful life, Wien recommended networking intensely, reading all the time, getting enough sleep and — last on the list — never retiring.

    Here’s the list in full, courtesy of Blackstone:

    • “Concentrate on finding a big idea that will make an impact on the people you want to influence. The Ten Surprises, which I started doing in 1986, has been a defining product. People all over the world are aware of it and identify me with it. What they seem to like about it is that I put myself at risk by going on record with these events, which I believe are probable and hold myself accountable at year-end. If you want to be successful and live a long, stimulating life, keep yourself at risk intellectually all the time.”

    • “Network intensely. Luck plays a big role in life, and there is no better way to increase your luck than by knowing as many people as possible. Nurture your network by sending articles, books and emails to people to show you’re thinking about them. Write op-eds and thought pieces for major publications. Organize discussion groups to bring your thoughtful friends together.”

    • “When you meet someone new, treat that person as a friend. Assume he or she is a winner and will become a positive force in your life. Most people wait for others to prove their value. Give them the benefit of the doubt from the start. Occasionally you will be disappointed, but your network will broaden rapidly if you follow this path.”

    • “Read all the time. Don’t just do it because you’re curious about something, read actively. Have a point of view before you start a book or article and see if what you think is confirmed or refuted by the author. If you do that, you will read faster and comprehend more.”

    • “Get enough sleep. Seven hours will do until you’re sixty, eight from sixty to seventy, nine thereafter, which might include eight hours at night and a one-hour afternoon nap.”

    • “Evolve. Try to think of your life in phases so you can avoid a burn-out. Do the numbers crunching in the early phase of your career. Try developing concepts later on. Stay at risk throughout the process.”

    • “Travel extensively. Try to get everywhere before you wear out. Attempt to meet local interesting people where you travel and keep in contact with them throughout your life. See them when you return to a place.”

    • “When meeting someone new, try to find out what formative experience occurred in their lives before they were 17. It is my belief that some important event in everyone’s youth has an influence on everything that occurs afterwards.”

    • “On philanthropy, my approach is to try to relieve pain rather than spread joy. Music, theatre and art museums have many affluent supporters, give the best parties and can add to your social luster in a community. They don’t need you. Social service, hospitals and educational institutions can make the world a better place and help the disadvantaged make their way toward the American dream.”

    • “Younger people are naturally insecure and tend to overplay their accomplishments. Most people don’t become comfortable with who they are until they’re in their 40’s. By that time, they can underplay their achievements and become a nicer, more likeable person. Try to get to that point as soon as you can.”

    • “Take the time to give those who work for you a pat on the back when they do good work. Most people are so focused on the next challenge that they fail to thank the people who support them. It is important to do this. It motivates and inspires people and encourages them to perform at a higher level.”

    • “When someone extends a kindness to you write them a handwritten note, not an e-mail. Handwritten notes make an impact and are not quickly forgotten.”

    • “At the beginning of every year think of ways you can do your job better than you have ever done it before. Write them down and look at what you have set out for yourself when the year is over.”

    • “The hard way is always the right way. Never take shortcuts, except when driving home from the Hamptons. Shortcuts can be construed as sloppiness, a career killer.”

    • “Don’t try to be better than your competitors, try to be different. There is always going to be someone smarter than you, but there may not be someone who is more imaginative.”

    • “When seeking a career as you come out of school or making a job change, always take the job that looks like it will be the most enjoyable. If it pays the most, you’re lucky. If it doesn’t, take it anyway, I took a severe pay cut to accept each of the two best jobs I’ve ever had, and they both turned out to be exceptionally rewarding financially.”

    • “There is a perfect job out there for everyone. Most people never find it. Keep looking. The goal of life is to be a happy person, and the right job is essential to that.”

    • “When your children are grown or if you have no children, always find someone younger to mentor. It is very satisfying to help someone steer through life’s obstacles, and you’ll be surprised at how much you will learn in the process.”

    • “Every year, try doing something you have never done before that is totally out of your comfort zone. It could be running a marathon, attending a conference that interests you on an off-beat subject that will be populated by people very different from your usual circle of associates and friends, or traveling to an obscure destination alone. This will add to the essential process of self-discovery.”

    • “Never retire. If you work forever, you can live forever. I know there is an abundance of biological evidence against this theory, but I’m going with it anyway.”

    Wien released his final “10 surprises” list, for the year 2023, in January. Few of this year’s predictions panned out, save for Wien’s expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve and a stronger U.S. dollar creating a buying opportunity for Japanese stocks.

    See: This investing legend has been predicting surprises for the last 37 years. Here’s how he did last year — and what he’s forecasting now

    • “Multiple candidates on both sides of the aisle organize campaigns to secure their party’s presidential nomination. There are new headliner names on the respective tickets for 2024.”

    • “The Federal Reserve remains in a tug-of-war with inflation, so it puts the word “pivot” on the shelf alongside the word “transitory.” The fed funds rate moves above the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index and real interest rates turn positive, a rare phenomenon relative to the last decade.”

    • “While the Fed is successful in dampening inflation, it over-stays its time in restrictive territory. Margins are squeezed in a mild recession.”

    • “Despite Fed tightening, the market reaches a bottom by mid-year and begins a recovery comparable to 2009.”

    • “Every significant correction in the market has in the past been accompanied by a financial “accident.” Cryptocurrencies had a major correction and that proved not to be a systemic event. This time, Modern Monetary Theory is fully discredited because deficits have proven to be inflationary.”

    • “The Fed remains more hawkish than other central banks, and the US dollar stays strong against major currency pairs, including the yen and euro. This creates a generational opportunity for dollar-based investors to invest in Japanese and European assets.”

    • “China edges toward its growth objective of 5.5% and works aggressively to re-establish strong trade relationships with the West, with positive implications for real assets and commodities.”

    • “The US becomes not only the largest producer of oil, but also the friendliest supplier. The price of oil drops primarily as a result of a global recession, but also because of increased hydraulic fracking and greater production from the Middle East and Venezuela. The price of West Texas Intermediate crude touches $50 this year, but there’s a $100 tick out there sometime beyond 2023 as the world recovers.”

    • “The bombardment, destruction and casualties in Ukraine continue for the first half of 2023. In the second half, the combination of suffering and cost on both sides necessitates a ceasefire and negotiations on a territorial split begin.”

    • “In spite of the reluctance of advertisers to continue to support the site and the skepticism of creditors about the quality of the firm’s debt, Elon Musk gets Twitter back on the path to recovery by the end of the year.”

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  • Ford’s stock drops 4% after carmaker pulls guidance, EV unit loses $1.3 billion

    Ford’s stock drops 4% after carmaker pulls guidance, EV unit loses $1.3 billion

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    Ford Motor Co.’s stock dropped 4% after hours Thursday after the carmaker reported lower-than-expected quarterly earnings and withdrew its guidance for the year, citing the pending agreement with the United Auto Workers.

    Ford
    F,
    -1.65%

    also reported an adjusted loss of $1.3 billion for its EV unit, which was wider than Wall Street expected, saying that customers interested in EVs are “unwilling” to pay the vehicles’ premium prices. The company paused billions of long-term investment in EVs due to that disconnect.

    “Our business is never short of challenges, especially right now with the evolution of the EV market,” Chief Executive Jim Farley told analysts in a call following results.

    Ford earned $1.2 billion, or 30 cents a share, in the third quarter, swinging from a loss of $827 million, or 21 cents a share, in the year-ago period.

    Adjusted for one-time items, Ford earned 39 cents a share. Adjustments included a $2.7 billion impairment charge related to the investment in the shuttered, Ford-backed Argo AI driverless-car company.

    Revenue rose 11% to $43.8 billion, the carmaker said.

    Analysts polled by FactSet expected Ford to report adjusted earnings of 46 cents a share on sales of $43.94 billion.

    Ford said that its EV business segment recorded an EBIT loss of $1.3 billion, thanks to “continued investment in next-generation EVs and challenging market dynamics.”

    Many customers in North America interested in EVs are “unwilling to pay premiums for them,” which “sharply” flattens EV prices and profit, Ford said.

    The carmaker said it was “poised to deliver profitability” within its previous EBIT guidance range of $11 billion to $12 billion before it decided to withdraw the year’s outlook pending the agreement with its workers.

    The results come as striking employees at Ford are returning to work after the carmaker and the United Auto Workers reached a tentative agreement, which was announced late Wednesday.

    The agreement is going through ratification steps, and negotiations between the union and General Motors Co.
    GM,
    -1.59%

    and Stellantis NV
    STLA,
    -2.17%

    are said to be “active.”

    On the call with analysts, Farley said that once the deal is ratified, Ford will provide Wall Street “a deeper look at the contract and its impact on our business.”

    Ford, GM and Stellantis each have had several factories and distribution centers offline due to the strike. GM and Stellantis are expected to follow with agreements of their own.

    Ford was the first company to face walkouts at a key factory, as workers at Ford’s Kentucky pickup-truck plant walked out on Oct. 11.

    GM earlier this week detailed some of the impacts of the strike, particularly through the end of the current quarter, and also withdrew its guidance.

    See also: UAW strike moves to GM’s key SUV plant

    Ford shares have underperformed the broader equity market, and are losing about 1.6% so far this year, which contrasts with gains of around 8% for the S&P 500 index
    SPX.

    The underperformance holds for the past three months, with Ford shares down 16% compared with the index’s 8% drop in the period.

    The union said that the current four-year deal grants a 25% increase in base wages through April 2028. It will cumulatively raise the top wage at Ford by more than 30% to more than $40 an hour, and starting wages by 68% to over $28 an hour.

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