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Jim Cramer ran through all 35 Club stocks during our September Monthly Meeting on Thursday.
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Chinese electric vehicle maker Nio launches a smartphone at an event in Shanghai on Sept. 21, 2023.
Evelyn Cheng | CNBC
SHANGHAI — Chinese electric car brand Nio on Thursday released an Android smartphone, which the company expects at least half its users to buy, CEO William Li told CNBC in an exclusive interview ahead of the launch.
The phone, priced from around $900 to $1,000, is an Android device that’s about $150 cheaper versus a comparable Huawei phone, Li said in Mandarin.
He told CNBC that among Nio users from which the company makes a profit, more than half are iPhone users, while the other half uses flagship Android phones from Huawei and other brands.
“I believe this portion of users are very likely to use this new form [of device] when they are changing their phones,” Li said according to a CNBC translation, citing the phone’s overall performance and car connectivity.
Nio is the first high-end Chinese electric car brand to release its own smartphone, which Li said the company developed in about a year. Electric car companies in China have sought to make in-car entertainment and mobile phone connectivity a selling point for their vehicles.
Delivery starts on Sept. 28, with orders starting immediately.
Nio shares
Swedish electric car maker Polestar, which counts China as a major market, told CNBC earlier this month it plans to launch a phone in December.
Smartphone companies Apple and Xiaomi have long been reportedly working on their own cars.
Less than two years ago, Huawei released the Aito brand, which sells electric cars in China that are integrated with the smartphone company’s operating system. Huawei also sells its in-car software to other electric car companies such as Avatr and BAIC’s Arcfox.
That connectivity allows drivers to sync their personal device settings — such as for music — with the car. Nio also has a standalone mobile app.
While the new Nio device resembles a typical smartphone, it comes with a special button that acts as a key for the car, Li told CNBC on Wednesday.
The Nio smartphone also allows users to connect more seamlessly with the car, such as when transitioning between the phone and the vehicle during online meetings, he said.
What we are pursuing is the car experience and the emotional experience we can provide to our users.
The new device is an opportunity for Nio to make more money per user.
“We pay more attention to the value that each user brings to our entire brand, and it is more convenient to connect users. It is also more efficient than before,” Li said. “What we are pursuing is the car experience and the emotional experience we can provide to our users.”
The phone is available to all consumers in China, not just those who own Nio cars, Li added.
He pointed out that the Nio phone app has 600,000 active users a day, about 1.5-times the number of car users.
Nio holds a product event in Shanghai on Sept. 21, 2023.
Evelyn Cheng | CNBC
Nio’s monthly deliveries rose to around 20,000 in August and July, after a decline in delivery volume the prior three months.
In the second quarter ended June 30, Nio reported that revenue from the “other sales” category was mainly driven by a boost in the sales of used cars, accessories and power services, which more than doubled from a year ago to 1.59 billion yuan ($217.86 million) despite a decline in total revenue.
The company attributed the year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter increase in other sales to “continued growth of our users.”
However, Nio doesn’t have plans to release the smartphone in Europe — at least not until the market grows larger, Li said.
Nio is in five countries in Europe, including Germany, and the company needs time to focus on developing local car services, Li said, noting those are important for auto products.
When asked about the European Union’s anti-subsidy probe into Chinese EVs, Li said the company was still learning the details.
We believe time is still on Nio’s side.
It’s more important for the world to cooperate, especially on addressing climate issues, he added.
“I don’t think anyone should block users from using good products through multiple ways” such as investigations, he said.
In China, the penetration of new energy vehicles has expanded quickly, but an overall slowdown in economic growth has weighed on the market.
Competition in the domestic electric car market is “fierce,” Li said, noting challenges for industry peers as well.
But he expects business investments will help Nio create barriers to entry. “We believe time is still on Nio’s side,” Li said.
He noted the company spends about $500 million on research and development every quarter. Other major areas of investment for the company, he said, are battery charging and development of a mass market brand.
Nio previously said it plans to release a vehicle in the second half of next year under the mass market brand “Alps.”
The company has faced financing challenges more than once since its founding in late 2014. Earlier this year, Nio said it was delaying some spending plans due to lackluster deliveries.
But the company subsequently received nearly $740 million from an Abu Dhabi-backed fund. Nio also announced this week a refinancing plan for a portion of its debt.
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As equities soared in 2020 and consumers flocked to trading apps like Robinhood, Apple and Goldman Sachs were working on an investing feature that would let consumers buy and sell stocks, according to three people familiar with the plans.
The project was shelved last year as the markets turned south, said the sources, who asked not to be named because they weren’t authorized to speak on the matter.
The effort, which has not been previously reported, would have added to Apple’s suite of financial products powered by Goldman. Apple first teamed up with the Wall Street bank to offer a credit card in 2019, and then added buy now, pay later (BNPL) loans and a high-yield savings account. The company said last month that the savings account offering had climbed past $10 billion in user deposits.
Representatives for Apple and Goldman declined to comment.
Apple CEO Tim Cook holds a new iPhone 15 Pro during the ‘Wonderlust’ event at the company’s headquarters in Cupertino, California, U.S. September 12, 2023.
Loren Elliott | Reuters
Apple was working on the investing feature at a time of zero interest rates during Covid, when consumers were stuck at home and spending more of their time and their record savings in trading shares, including meme stocks like GameStop and AMC, from their smartphones.
Apple’s conversations with Goldman began during that hype cycle in 2020, two sources said. Their work progressed, and an Apple investing feature was meant to roll out in 2022. One hypothetical use case pitched by executives involved the ability for iPhone users with extra cash to put money into Apple shares, one person said.
But as markets were roiled by higher rates and soaring inflation, the Apple team feared user backlash if people lost money in the stock market with the assistance of an Apple product, the sources said. That’s when the iPhone maker and Goldman switched directions and pushed the plan to launch savings accounts, which benefit from higher rates.
The status of the stock-trading project is unclear after Goldman CEO David Solomon bowed to internal and external pressure and decided to retrench from nearly all of the bank’s consumer efforts. One source said the infrastructure for an investing feature is mostly built and ready to go should Apple eventually decide to move forward with it.
The Apple Card launched with much fanfare three years ago, but the business brought regulatory heat and racked up losses as its user base expanded. Earlier this year, Goldman rolled out a high-interest savings account for Apple Card users, offering a 4.15% annual percentage yield.
Goldman was also central to Apple’s BNPL offering. The product, called Apple Pay Later, can be used for purchases of $50 to $100 “at most websites and apps that accept Apple Pay,” according to the support page. Borrowers can split a purchase into four payments over six weeks without incurring interest or fees.
Before Goldman’s pivot away from retail banking, the company examined ways to expand its partnership with Apple, sources said. More recently, Goldman was in discussions to offload both its card and savings account to American Express.
Had plans for the trading app progressed, Apple would have entered a market with stiff competition, featuring the likes of Robinhood, SoFi and Block’s Square, along with traditional brokerage firms such as Charles Schwab and Morgan Stanley’s E-Trade.
Stock trading has become another way for financial firms to keep customers and drive engagement on their platforms. Apple was pursuing the same approach, one source said. It’s a move that could capture the interest of regulators, who have scrutinized Apple for its App Store practices. Robinhood has also been grilled by regulators for what they described as “gamifying” markets.
Other tech companies have been pushing into the space. Elon Musk’s X, formerly known as Twitter, is working on a way to let users buy stocks and cryptocurrencies through a partnership with eToro. PayPal had plans to launch stock trading after hiring a key industry executive in 2021. But the company abandoned those plans, and said on an earnings call that it would cut spending and refocus on its core e-commerce business.

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There are a lot of changes, but here are some of the highlights in iOS 17 you need to know about.
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Arm Holdings jumped another 6% on Friday at market open, continuing its rally after its Nasdaq debut this week.
The British chip designer’s shares were trading at just over $67 around market open, implying a valuation of more than $72 billion. Arm shares were even higher earlier but pared some of those gains.
It comes after Arm shares rallied nearly 25% on the company’s first day of trade on Thursday. Shares for its blockbuster IPO were originally priced at $51 each, valuing the company at about $54.5 billion.
With the rally ongoing, Arm continues to trade at a premium to chip giant Nvidia, even as its faces headwinds to its growth. Some analysts have expressed concerns over the valuation.
“The pricing is expensive … I think a lot of investors are thinking on the sidelines … and waiting to see how they execute on those drivers,” Ben Barringer, equity research analyst at Quilter Cheviot, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe.”
SoftBank, which acquired Arm in 2016, floated about 10% of the company, with the Japanese giant holding on to 90% ownership.
SoftBank has faced criticism about its investment strategy with its massive Vision Fund tech investment arm posting a significant loss in its last fiscal year. This has been enough to put off some investors from the Arm IPO.

William de Gale, portfolio manager at BlueBox Asset Management, said he did not invest in ARM.
“In the end, we decided that we were too worried about corporate governance with SoftBank still controlling the company with a questionable record for asset allocation,” de Gale told CNBC’s “Street Signs Europe” on Friday.
“So we wanted to watch from the sidelines for a bit to watch how the company operates as an independent business.”
Still, there was huge demand for shares, with several reports this week ahead of the initial public offering suggesting the listing was multiple times oversubscribed.
Arm, whose chip architecture is in 99% of the world’s smartphones, managed to get strategic investors including Apple and Nvidia to buy shares in the listing.
A lot of focus this week has been on some of the risk around the company including its exposure to China and rising competition from a rival semiconductor architecture, backed by some of Arm’s biggest customers.
For it’s part, Arm CEO Rene Haas told CNBC on Thursday that the company’s China business is “doing well” with strong potential in data center and automotive applications.
Arm’s strength has typically been in smartphones and other consumer electronics. But the company is now looking to new areas including artificial intelligence to grow its business.
“We diversified our business. We’ve got significant growth in the cloud data center and in automotive,” Hass said.

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Arm CEO Rene Haas and executives cheer as Softbank’s Arm, a chip design firm, holds an initial public offering at the Nasdaq MarketSite in New York, Sept. 14, 2023.
Brendan Mcdermid | Reuters
Arm Holdings, the chip design company controlled by SoftBank, jumped nearly 25% during its first day of trading Thursday after selling shares at $51 a piece in its initial public offering.
At the open, Arm was valued at almost $60 billion. The company, trading under ticker symbol “ARM,” sold about 95.5 million shares. SoftBank, which took the company private in 2016, controls about 90% of shares outstanding.
On Wednesday, Arm priced shares at the upper end of its expected range. On Thursday, the stock first traded at $56.10 and ended the day at $63.59.
It’s a hefty premium for the British chip company. At a $60 billion valuation, Arm’s price-to-earnings multiple would be over 110 based on the most recent fiscal year profit. That’s comparable to Nvidia’s valuation, which trades at 108 times earnings, but without Nvidia’s 170% growth forecast for the current quarter.
Arm Chief Financial Officer Jason Child told CNBC in an interview that the company is focusing on royalty growth and providing products to its customers that cost and do more.
Many of Arm’s royalties come from products released decades ago. About half the company’s royalty revenue, which totaled $1.68 billion in 2022, comes from products released between 1990 and 2012.
“As a CFO, it’s one of the better business models I’ve seen. I joke sometimes that those older products are like the Beatles catalog, they just keep delivering royalties. Some of those products are three decades old,” Child said.
In a presentation to investors, Arm said it expects the total market for its chip designs to be worth about $250 billion by 2025, including growth in chip designs for data centers and cars. Arm’s revenue in its fiscal year that ended in March slipped less than 1% from the prior year to $2.68 billion.
Arm’s architecture is used in nearly every smartphone chip and outlines how a central processor works at its most basic level, such as doing arithmetic or accessing computer memory.
Child said the company sold $735 million in shares to a group of strategic investors comprising Apple, Google, Nvidia, Samsung, AMD, Intel, Cadence, Synopsis, Samsung and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company. It’s a testament to Arm’s influence among chip companies, which rely on Arm’s technology to design and build their own chips.
“There was interest to buy more than what was indicated, but we wanted to make sure we had a diverse set of shareholders,” Child said.
In an interview with CNBC on Thursday, SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son emphasized how Arm’s technology is used in artificial intelligence chips, as he seeks to tie the firm to the recent boom in AI and machine learning. He also said he wanted to keep the company’s remaining Arm stake as long as possible.
The debut could kick open the market for technology IPOs, which have been paused for nearly two years. It’s the biggest technology offering of 2023.
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Gasoline prices for full serve and self serve are displayed at the Union 76 gas station ahead of the Labor Day weekend on August 28, 2023 in Beverly Hills, California.
Mario Tama | Getty Images
This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.
Biggest monthly jump this year
The U.S. consumer price index for August rose 3.7% from a year ago and a seasonally adjusted 0.6% for the month, mostly in line with the expected 3.6% and 0.6%, respectively. Though expected, it’s still the biggest month-on-month increase in prices this year. Energy prices, which soared on the month, were mostly to blame. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, was up 4.3% on the year and 0.3% on the month.
Optimistic markets
U.S. markets were mixed Wednesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average the only major index to fall. Asia-Pacific stocks mostly rose Thursday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 climbed 1.47% even as shares of Softbank slipped slightly. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 added around 0.55% as data showed unemployment rate in the country holding steady at 3.7% in August.
The risks of shadow banks in China
The difficulties faced by China’s real estate sector recently have highlighted, once again, the risks of shadow banking — a term that refers to financial services offered outside the highly regulated banking system. Chinese developers “were able to borrow liberally from shadow banks,” a researcher said, which pushed up land prices and housing costs. That contributed to the developers’ huge debt today.
Taiwan is ‘not for sale’
At the All-In Summit, a conference on technology and markets, Elon Musk commented that China probably views Taiwan as “analogous to Hawaii or something like that, like an integral part of China that is arbitrarily not part of China.” It drew a swift rebuke from Taiwan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, which said Taiwan is “not part of the PRC and certainly not for sale!”
[PRO] An Arm and a leg
Arm is pricing its initial public offering at $51 per share, the top of its expected price range. That values the company at over $54 billion, giving it a price-to-earnings multiple of about 104. It’s a lofty multiple, comparable to Nvidia’s 110 for the previous 12 months. Read what four analysts have to say about the risks and benefits of buying Arm shares.
At first glance, August’s CPI report seems bad news. The month-over-month jump in prices is the highest in a year. And even core inflation came in hotter than expected. But look more closely and you’ll find things aren’t as terrifying as they seem.
The headline number was pushed up by rising oil prices, which have been steadily increasing in recent weeks, as we’ve talked about. Gasoline prices soared 10.6% in August, the largest contributor to inflation last month, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
But it’s likely gasoline prices will fall after a month or two, according to Andrew Hunter, deputy chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics. And gasoline prices have actually retreated 3.3% from a year ago, suggesting that they’re still on a downward trend in the long run.
Excluding volatile energy prices, monthly core inflation was up 0.3% against the expected 0.2%. Here, shelter costs were the main culprit for the hotter-than-expected increase. “Housing continues to contribute an outsized share to the inflation measures,” said Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist at Bright MLS.
But, Sturtevant added, “rent growth has slowed considerably and median rents nationally fell year-over-year in August.” That slowdown in prices will show up in future reports, meaning that August’s core CPI numbers is just “a little bump in the road,” as Kayla Bruun, senior economist at Morning Consult, put it.
“It doesn’t mean it’s turning around and going in the other direction,” Bruun said. “Overall, most of the pieces are headed in the right direction.” Indeed, the annual measure of core CPI still dropped from 4.7% in July to 4.3% in August.
Markets took the numbers in their stride. The Dow was the only major index to fall, losing 0.2% as shares of 3M and Caterpillar sank. The S&P 500 added 0.12% and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.29%, helped by gains in Tesla and Amazon. And traders are still betting the Federal Reserve won’t raise rates next week, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Markets can act in irrational ways sometimes. But sometimes, the crowd psychology of markets manifests as collective wisdom.
— CNBC’s Jeff Cox and Greg Iacurci contributed to this report

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A view of a gas station as gas prices are at the highest level from last year in Virginia, on August 16, 2023.
Celal Gunes | Anadolu Agency | Getty Images
This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.
Biggest monthly jump this year
The U.S. consumer price index for August rose 3.7% from a year ago and a seasonally adjusted 0.6% for the month, mostly in line with the expected 3.6% and 0.6%, respectively. Though expected, it’s still the biggest month-on-month increase in prices this year. Energy prices, which soared on the month, were mostly to blame. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, was up 4.3% on the year and 0.3% on the month.
Markets shrugged
U.S. markets were mixed Wednesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average the only major index to fall. The pan-European Stoxx 600 fell 0.32% as European dealmaking sentiment remains cautious, according to a new report from law firm CMS and Mergermarket. Meanwhile, the U.K.’s economy shrank 0.5% month on month in July, more than the 0.2% expected.
An Arm and a leg
Arm is pricing its initial public offering at $51 per share, the top of its expected price range. That values the company at over $54 billion, giving it a price-to-earnings multiple of about 104. By comparison, Apple’s multiple is around 30, Tesla’s is 77 and Nvidia’s is 110 for the previous 12 months. Softbank, Arm’s current towner, will control about 90% of the company’s outstanding shares.
Rebuilding Citi
Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser reorganized the firm, dividing it into five main business lines that report directly to her. Previously, the bank had only two main divisions. The corporate shuffling will include job cuts, though the number is yet to be decided. Shares of Citigroup have declined about 40% since Fraser assumed the top job in March 2021, and trades for the lowest valuation among U.S. big banks.
[PRO] Joining the Tesla party
On Monday, Morgan Stanley published a note asserting Tesla could rally 60%. But that’s nothing compared to the call made by Ron Baron, the billionaire investor who founded Baron Capital in 1982. Baron thinks Tesla could grow to as much as five times its current stock market capitalization — here’s what he has to say about the electric vehicle manufacturer and Elon Musk’s other companies.
At first glance, August’s CPI report seems bad news. The month-over-month jump in prices is the highest in a year. And even core inflation came in hotter than expected. But look more closely and you’ll find things aren’t as terrifying as they seem.
The headline number was pushed up by rising oil prices, which have been steadily increasing in recent weeks, as we’ve talked about. Gasoline prices soared 10.6% in August, the largest contributor to inflation last month, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
But it’s likely gasoline prices will fall after a month or two, according to Andrew Hunter, deputy chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics. And gasoline prices have actually retreated 3.3% from a year ago, suggesting that they’re still on a downward trend in the long run.
Excluding volatile energy prices, monthly core inflation was up 0.3% against the expected 0.2%. Here, shelter costs were the main culprit for the hotter-than-expected increase. “Housing continues to contribute an outsized share to the inflation measures,” said Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist at Bright MLS.
But, Sturtevant added, “rent growth has slowed considerably and median rents nationally fell year-over-year in August.” That slowdown in prices will show up in future reports, meaning that August’s core CPI numbers is just “a little bump in the road,” as Kayla Bruun, senior economist at Morning Consult, put it.
“It doesn’t mean it’s turning around and going in the other direction,” Bruun said. “Overall, most of the pieces are headed in the right direction.” Indeed, the annual measure of core CPI still dropped from 4.7% in July to 4.3% in August.
Markets took the numbers in their stride. The Dow was the only major index to fall, losing 0.2% as shares of 3M and Caterpillar sank. The S&P 500 added 0.12% and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.29%, helped by gains in Tesla and Amazon. And traders are still betting the Federal Reserve won’t raise rates next week, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Markets can act in irrational ways sometimes. But sometimes, the crowd psychology of markets manifests as collective wisdom.
— CNBC’s Jeff Cox and Greg Iacurci contributed to this report
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Apple refreshed its iPhone and Apple Watch lineups at a Tuesday event that focused on camera and processing improvements for the phones as well as new gesture controls for the watch.
Apple
AAPL,
kept prices the same on three of its iPhone models, while boosting the starting price of the iPhone 15 Pro Max for the first time when it eliminated what previously was the smallest and cheapest configuration. The least expensive iPhone 15 Pro Max will cost $1,199 for 256GB of storage, which is what that configuration cost a year ago, though at that time there was also a cheaper 128GB option. Apple previously had stuck with a $1,099 base price on the iPhone Pro Max since it rolled out that model in 2019.
Both the iPhone 15 Pro and the iPhone 15 Pro Max will feature Apple’s custom designed A17 Pro processor, a faster chip that the company says will boost the mobile gaming experience.
The Pro models are getting slight design enhancements, including new titanium casing and slimmer edges. Apple says that the use of titanium, rather than stainless steel, makes the models lighter than their predecessor.
Perhaps the best camera upgrade is exclusive to the Pro Max. That phone will have a better telephoto camera supporting up to five-times zoom, compared with three times before, and will be able to capture three-dimensional video that can be viewed with Apple’s soon-to-launch Vision Pro headset.
See also: Vision Pro could be Apple’s biggest hit since iPhone
The iPhone 15 and iPhone 15 Plus will receive enhancements, too, including speed boosts via Apple’s A16 processor and camera upgrades that will support better use of portrait mode. The satellite connectivity feature that launched on last year’s iPhones will expand to include roadside assistance as well.
After facing criticism for the iPhone’s “notch,” Apple turned that space into a Dynamic Island on Pro models last year. Now that technology is coming to the base-level models as well, so users will be able to use that space for more functional means like changing songs.
iPhone users may be able to throw away their Lightning cables if they get the new models, as all four will charge with the more universal USB-C connectivity, as will other Apple devices such as AirPods Pro. Apple did not spend a lot of time addressing the change from its proprietary “Lightning” connecter, which was forced by new European rules requiring universal connections.
More on iPhone 15: Apple increases base price on highest-end iPhone for first time
Apple also detailed the new Apple Watch Series 9 lineup, which includes the second version of the Apple Watch Ultra. The new base Apple Watches will have a new S9 chip that could lead to speed and efficiency improvements and faster load times, the same 18-hour battery life, a new FineWoven fabric band and up to 2000 nit brightness display. The Apple Watch Ultra 2 has features including 36 hours of battery life, an S9 SiP chip, and a 3000-nit brightness display
The new Apple Watch Series 9 also features a new “double-tap” gesture, which allows people to answer calls and interact with their watch by tapping their index finger and thumb together when their non-watch hand is being previously occupied.
For more: New Apple Watch Series 9 — cost, new features, and when it comes out
The new Apple Watch models are set to become available for preorder immediately following the Sept. 12 launch event, and will be available for regular purchase on Friday Sept. 22.
Apple said the new Apple Watch would be its first fully carbon-neutral device, and dedicated a solid chunk of its hour-and-a-half presentation to discussing environmental sustainability efforts. The company is aiming to be completely carbon-neutral across its operations and supplier operations by 2030.
Apple also noted that it will no longer use leather in Watch bands, nor any other product. The company also moved up its goal for ditching all plastic packaging — it now expects to accomplish that by the end of 2024.
See: Apple to drop plastic packaging by end of next year, no leather cases for iPhone15
Apple added new pink colors to its iPhone and Watch lineup as well. The company also added two new tiers to its iCloud product, which will offer options for 6 and 12 terabytes of remote storage after previously topping out at 2 terabytes.
Apple stock declined during and after the event, ending the day’s session with a 1.7% drop at $176.30 that helped push the Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA
to a slight daily decline. That’s a larger decline than Apple’s average daily performance on iPhone event days historically, but the past has also shown that shares typically rise between the September announcement and the actual launch of the phones.
Market snapshot: Stocks fall after Apple unveils iPhone 15, with U.S. inflation data looming
Apple’s stock has increased 35.7% so far this year, easily outpacing the 16.9% increase of the S&P 500 index.
SPX
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U.S. stocks closed lower on Tuesday, with the Nasdaq Composite leading the way down, as Apple’s unveiling of its new iPhone and watch failed to boost appetite for equities. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
shed about 16 points, or about 0.1%, to end near 34,647, while the S&P 500 index
SPX,
closed 0.6% lower and the Nasdaq Composite Index
COMP,
slumped 1%, according to preliminary FactSet data. That was the biggest daily percentage drop in about a week for the Nasdaq. Shares of Apple Inc.
AAPL,
were a focus Tuesday as it rolled out a lineup of new consumer products, including its iPhone Pro Max, which will now start at $1,199 instead of $1,099, while its Pro model’s price stays the same. Investors also remain focused on the inflation data, including the release on Wednesday of the consumer-price index for August, before the U.S. stock market’s open. Apple shares fell 1.9% on Tuesday. Climbing bond yields can pressure high-growth stocks as borrowing costs rise. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield
TMUBMUSD10Y,
edged down 2.4 basis points to 4.263% Tuesday, but was still near its highest level of the year.
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Investors in index funds have been well rewarded by a high concentration in the largest technology companies over the past decade. But there are also continuing warnings about the risk of such heavy concentrations, even in index funds that track the S&P 500. Solutions are offered to limit this risk, but if you expect Big Tech to continue to drive the broad market returns over the coming years, why not make an even more focused bet?
Comparisons of three index-fund approaches highlight how successful concentration in the “Magnificent Seven” has been.
The Magnificent Seven are Apple Inc.
AAPL,
Microsoft Corp.
MSFT,
Nvidia Corp.
NVDA,
Amazon.com Inc.
AMZN,
Alphabet Inc.
GOOGL,
GOOG,
Tesla Inc.
TSLA,
and Meta Platforms Inc.
META,
We have listed them in the order of their concentration within the Invesco S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY,
which tracks the S&P 500
SPX.
The U.S. benchmark index is weighted by market capitalization, as is the Nasdaq Composite Index
COMP
and the Russell indexes.
SPY is 27.6% concentrated in the Magnificent Seven. One way to play the same group of 500 stocks but eliminate concentration risk is to take an equal-weighted approach to the index, which has worked well for certain long periods. But here, we’re focusing on how well the concentrated strategy has worked.
Let’s take a look at the group’s concentration in three popular index approaches, then look at long-term performance and consider what happened in 2022 as rising interest rates helped crush the tech sector.
Here are the portfolio weightings for the Magnificent Seven in SPY, along with those of the Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ,
which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index
NDX
and the Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF
XLG
:
| Company | Ticker | % of SPY | % of QQQ | % of XLG |
| Apple Inc. |
AAPL, |
7.05% | 10.85% | 12.46% |
| Microsoft Cor. |
MSFT, |
6.65% | 9.53% | 11.76% |
| Amazon.com Inc. |
AMZN, |
3.30% | 5.50% | 5.84% |
| Nvidia Corp. |
NVDA, |
3.02% | 4.44% | 5.33% |
| Alphabet Inc. Class A |
GOOGL, |
2.17% | 3.12% | 3.83% |
| Alphabet Inc. Class C |
GOOG, |
1.88% | 3.11% | 3.32% |
| Tesla Inc. |
TSLA, |
1.79% | 3.10% | 3.17% |
| Meta Platforms Inc. Class A |
META, |
1.77% | 3.60% | 3.12% |
| Totals | 27.63% | 43.25% | 48.83% | |
| Sources: Invesco Ltd., State Street Corp. | ||||
The same group of seven companies (eight stocks with two common share classes for Alphabet) is at the top of each exchange-traded fund’s portfolio, although the top seven for QQQ aren’t in the same order as those for SPY and XLG. QQQ’s weighting was changed recently as the underlying Nasdaq-100 underwent a “special rebalancing” last month.
Here’s a five-year chart comparing the performance of the three approaches. All returns in this article include reinvested dividends.
QQQ has been the clear winner for five years, but it is also worth noting how well XLG has performed when compared with SPY. This “top 50” approach to the S&P 500 incorporates many stocks that aren’t listed on the Nasdaq and therefore cannot be included in QQQ, which itself is made up of the largest 100 nonfinancial companies in the full Nasdaq Composite Index
COMP,
Examples of stocks held by XLG that aren’t held by QQQ include such non-tech stalwarts as Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
BRK.B,
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ,
Procter & Gamble Co.
PG,
Home Depot Inc.
HD,
and Nike Inc.
NKE,
Now let’s go deeper into long-term performance. First, here are the total returns for various time periods:
| ETF | 3 Years | 5 Years | 10 Years | 15 Years | 20 Years |
|
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY |
40% | 69% | 223% | 370% | 531% |
|
Invesco QQQ Trust QQQ |
41% | 113% | 430% | 882% | 1,158% |
|
Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF XLG |
41% | 85% | 262% | 404% | N/A |
| Source: FactSet | |||||
Click on the tickers for more about each ETF, company or index.
There is no 20-year return for XLG because this ETF was established in 2005.
For five years and longer, QQQ has been the runaway leader, but for 5, 10 and 15 years, XLG has also beaten SPY handily, with broader industry exposure.
Something else to consider is that during 2022, when SPY was down 18.2%, XLG fell 24.3% and QQQ dropped 32.6%.
For disciplined long-term investors, the tech pain of 2022 may not seem to have been a small price to pay for outperformance. And it may have been easier to take the pounding when holding SPY or even XLG that year.
Here’s a look at the average annual returns for the three ETFs:
| ETF | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | 15 years | 20 years |
|
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY |
11.8% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% |
|
Invesco QQQ Trust QQQ |
12.0% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 13.5% |
|
Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF XLG |
12.2% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.4% | N/A |
| Source: FactSet | |||||
So the question remains — do you believe that the largest technology companies will continue to lead the stock market for the next decade at least? If so, a more concentrated index approach may be for you, provided you can withstand the urge to sell into a declining market, such as the one we experienced last year.
Here is something else to keep in mind. In a note to clients on Monday, Doug Peta, the chief U.S. investment strategist at BCA, made a fascinating point: “The only novel development is that all the heaviest hitters now hail from Tech and Tech-adjacent sectors and are therefore more prone to move together than they were at the end of 2004, when the seven largest stocks came from six different sectors. “
Nothing lasts forever. Peta continued by suggesting that investors who are tired of big tech taking all the glory “need only wait.”
“[I]f history is any guide, their time at the top of the capitalization scale will be short,” he wrote.
Don’t miss: These four Dow stocks take top prizes for dividend growth
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Hong Kong
CNN
—
President Joe Biden is in Vietnam for a visit intended to deepen economic ties between Washington and Hanoi as part of efforts to reduce America’s reliance on China.
The former foes have formally upgraded diplomatic ties to a “comprehensive strategic partnership,” a symbolic yet highly important move that experts say will solidify trust between the nations as America seeks an ally in Asia to counteract political tensions with China and advance its ambitions for key technologies, such as chipmaking.
Companies from Apple (AAPL) to Intel (INTC) have already pushed deeper into the country to diversify their supply chains, maxing out many Vietnamese factories and helping fuel an economic expansion that continues to defy a global slowdown.
On Monday, the White House announced a “landmark deal” between Boeing and Vietnam Airlines worth $7.8 billion, which is expected to support more than 30,000 jobs in the United States. Reuters has reported that the carrier will buy 50 Boeing 737 Max jets.
Biden’s visit, which followed the G20 summit in India, is the first by a US president to Vietnam since Donald Trump’s 2019 trip. He has met with Vietnamese General Secretary Nguyen Phu Trong and other leaders to “promote the growth of a technology-focused” Vietnamese economy, as well as discuss ways to improve stability in the region, according to the White House.
In recent years, their trade has already soared under an existing partnership agreed in 2013, so the elevation in relations is “just catching up with the reality that already exists,” Ted Osius, president of the US-ASEAN Business Council and a former US ambassador to Vietnam, told CNN.
The United States imported nearly $127.5 billion in goods from Vietnam in 2022, compared with $101.9 billion in 2021 and $79.6 billion in 2020, according to US government data.
Last year, Vietnam became America’s eighth largest trading partner, rising from 10th place two years earlier.
The two sides have been moving closer as US officials, particularly Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, have repeatedly pointed to the importance of “friend-shoring.”
The practice refers to the movement of supply chains toward allies in part to shield businesses from political friction.
“Rather than being highly reliant on countries where we have geopolitical tensions and can’t count on ongoing, reliable supplies, we need to really diversify our group of suppliers,” she said in a speech last year at the Atlantic Council think tank.
Those tensions add to a litany of pressures, including rising labor costs and an uncertain operating environment that have already made corporations think twice about how much business they do in China, which is still considered the factory of the world.
But increasingly, it has competition. During the US-China trade war, which started in 2018, businesses of all sizes began moving manufacturing to emerging markets such as Vietnam and India over tariffs.
After the pandemic broke out, corporations were increasingly forced to consider strategies known as “China plus one,” which meant spreading out production hubs as a way to reduce reliance on a sole manufacturing base.
The latest exodus could cost China dearly: In a 2022 report, Rabobank estimated that as many as 28 million Chinese jobs directly relied on exports to the West and could leave the country as a result of “friend-shoring.”
Some 300,000 of those jobs, focused on low-tech manufacturing, are expected to move to Vietnam from China, analysts wrote.
From an industrial perspective, the country has been booming for years, said Michael Every, a Rabobank global strategist who authored the report. Relatively lower wages and a youthful population have provided Vietnam with a solid workforce and consumer base, bolstering the case to invest in the nation of 97 million people.

But companies hoping to make the switch may already be too late, as some factories are so stretched, customers must wait, he said.
Alicia García-Herrero, chief economist at Natixis, pointed to what she called “overheating,” saying demand for manufacturing in Vietnam has outstripped supply in some cases.
“Too many companies [are] going to Vietnam,” she told CNN.
Vietnam enjoyed an advantage, as it was first in the region to build up supply chain capabilities “for many, many sectors” years ago, she explained.
Shortly after Biden landed in Vietnam on Sunday, the White House announced a new semiconductor partnership.
“The United States recognizes Vietnam’s potential to play a critical role in building resilient semiconductor supply chains, particularly to expand capacity in reliable partners where it cannot be re-shored to the United State,” it said in a statement.
The semiconductor industry has emerged as a key source of tension in US-China relations. Beijing and Washington are both racing to boost their prowess in the sector, and each side has recently enacted export controls aimed at limiting the other’s capacity.
The United States needs a trusted partner for its supply of chips, and Vietnam can do just that, Osius said.
Intel sees it that way. The California-based chipmaker has committed $1.5 billion to a sprawling campus located just outside Ho Chi Minh City, which it says will be its largest single assembly and test facility in the world.
Osius expects more investments in the field to follow as Washington shores up ties with Hanoi.
“The significance of Vietnam in that supply chain will increase,” he predicted. “We’re going to see an acceleration when it comes to collaboration in tech.”
The International Monetary Fund projects Vietnam’s growth will slow to 5.8% from 8% last year as it copes with less overseas demand for its exports.
But that compares favorably with a global growth forecast of 3%, and is noticeably faster many of the world’s major economies, such as the United States, China and the eurozone.
“As the rest of Asia underwhelms, Vietnam will still be one of the fastest growing economies,” Natixis said in a recent research note.
That’s compelling for corporations looking for bright spots in an otherwise gloomy environment.
Such interest was noted in March, when the US-ASEAN Business Council led its biggest-ever business mission to Vietnam. The delegation consisted of 52 American firms, including corporate heavyweights such as Netflix (NFLX) and Boeing (BA).
Of course, companies still have reservations over factors such as Vietnamese tech regulations, which they fear could include limits on the “transfer of data across borders, or too many rules requiring data localization,” according to Osius.
In some cases, businesses are also concerned by how the country’s infrastructure still pales in comparison to a longtime trade powerhouse like China’s.
For example, “there isn’t a sufficient port capacity for some of the goods to be exported as quickly as companies want them to be moved,” Osius said.
Politically, Vietnam shares many similarities to China in that it is an authoritarian one-party state that tolerates little dissent.
But overall, businesses simply want an easy way to hedge their bets.
Vietnam is an obvious choice, because it’s a cheap alternative to manufacturing in China, said García-Herrero.
For various sectors, transitioning isn’t difficult, because many Chinese suppliers also moved there because of US tariffs, she explained. “It’s the most similar because you have the same providers as in China.”
The Biden administration, too, will likely be keen to secure that alternative.
“It’s quite clear that they’re trying to set up a series of foreign policy victories ahead of 2024 [by] signing a strategic comprehensive partnership with Vietnam,” said Every, the Rabobank analyst.
— CNN’s Kyle Feldscher, Jeremy Diamond and Kevin Liptak contributed to this report.
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For Apple fans, it’s almost that time of year again.
The company is expected to launch the iPhone 15 at an event Tuesday, but don’t get too excited about the new phone. This year, the biggest change from Apple
AAPL,
could be the iPhone’s price.
Apple tends to introduce new iPhones every year in the fall, and lately, the company has been keeping prices the same even as it upgrades the technology. That may not be the case this year, though, with some thinking that Apple could boost the price of its Pro-level models by $100 or $200 compared with what an iPhone 14 Pro currently sells for.
That’s notable because iPhones are already pretty expensive, with the cheapest iPhone 14 Pro option selling for $999 and the priciest iPhone 14 Pro Max configuration going for $1,599.
“Given the popularity of the iPhone 14 Pro models compared to the iPhone 14 models, Apple may believe consumers will be willing to pay more without much fuss,” Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Co. analyst Brian White wrote in a recent report. “Moreover, Apple may feel a price hike is warranted given the inflationary forces that have disrupted the economy over the past couple of years.”
Morgan Stanley’s Erik Woodring is less certain that Apple will hike prices broadly. The company could boost the price of its Pro Max phone by $150 to account for an expected new rear-facing periscope lens, but it’s “very un-Apple-like to raise prices across the board in the midst of a smartphone market down 11%,” he wrote. He said he expects the company to keep prices the same on the regular Pro model and its two base-level options.
One key issue for iPhone enthusiasts — and Apple investors — is when the new phones will be ready for sale. Most of the iPhone models Apple introduced last year hit stores in mid-September, but there are some concerns about potential production delays this year.
Read: Waiting for the iPhone 15? You might have to hold out longer than you think.
“The broad availability of the iPhone 15 Pro Max could be October given some manufacturing challenges,” BofA Securities analyst Wamsi Mohan wrote recently.
iPhone feature updates have become more incremental in recent years, and Apple watchers aren’t expecting anything groundbreaking this time around either. New iPhones always tend to be a little faster than their predecessors, and this year’s models might charge more quickly too. There’s a catch, though, as Apple is expected to switch out its proprietary Lightning cable for the more universal USB-C cord.
While the Pro models get a lot of attention, White said that those looking to buy base-level models could see some enhancements. Reports “have highlighted the potential for the iPhone 15 and iPhone 15 Plus to be graced with certain features found on last year’s more expensive Pro models, including the A16 chip, Dynamic Island, and a 48-megapixel camera,” he wrote.
Why go Pro? Apple could move to a titanium frame from its prior stainless-steel casing and make camera enhancements. Mohan highlighted the potential for a periscope-type telephoto lens on Max versions.
Apple fans “should also see more casing quality color differentiation between the Pro and regular series to help drive vanity switchers to the higher-priced models,” Jefferies analyst Andrew Uerkwitz wrote recently.
There could be a dark blue color option for the iPhone Pro line this year, for example, according to 9to5Mac. That said, those content with the base-level model might be enticed by a pink version of that phone, with 9to5Mac noting that that’s one of several rumored pastel color options.
Read: Here’s why Wall Street may be overreacting about Apple’s China’s challenges
Apple is also expected to refresh its Apple Watch lineup at Tuesday’s event. Bloomberg News has reported that the Apple Watch Series 9 could feature a faster processor, though it will have the same general design as past models. Apple is also expected to keep the look the same on an upgraded version of its Ultra Watch, and that might come in a black color option.
The event kicks off at 1 p.m. Eastern time Tuesday and will be available for live viewing on Apple’s site.
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Apple CEO Tim Cook holds the new iPhone 14 at an Apple event at their headquarters in Cupertino, California, September 7, 2022.
Carlos Barria | Reuters
Apple is holding its most important launch event of the year on Tuesday at its headquarters in Cupertino, California, where it’s expected to unveil new hardware, including the iPhone 15.
Apple will present a prerecorded video featuring company executives to launch the products, which will be streamed on YouTube and Apple’s website. Last year’s event lasted about an hour an a half. Apple has used prerecorded videos for its product showcases since 2020.
Apple’s launches are important for the company and build hype for the products and set the stage for a marketing blitz heading into the December quarter, its biggest sales period of the year. Thirty-one million people have watched Apple’s YouTube video from last year’s launch, revealing that customers still like to get information directly from the company.
This year, the tech giant is hoping the new iPhones can bust a sales slump, fend off renewed competition from Huawei and persuade owners of Android phones to switch.
Apple also announced its new VR headset, the Vision Pro, in June ahead of a planned launch in 2024. The company could provide an update on its efforts to attract developers, but more details about that product are likely not to be released until next year.
Apple’s Macs and iPads are unlikely to see new reveals on Tuesday, given the company usually prefers to give them their own events. Last year, Apple announced new iPads through a press release.
This year’s launch invitations have the tagline “Wonderlust,” although the taglines don’t necessarily preview what the company is announcing. CNBC will be covering the launch live from Apple’s headquarters and with a live blog on CNBC.com.
Last year, Apple announced new iPhones, Apple Watches and updated AirPods at its September event. Here’s what to expect from this year’s edition:
Apple’s invite to its Sept. 12 event.
Apple
Apple is expected to release four new iPhone models, continuing the pattern that’s been in place since 2020. If Apple keeps its naming pattern, this year’s models will share the iPhone 15 brand.
Apple is likely to release two sizes of middle-range iPhones, one with a 6.1-inch screen and one with a 6.7-inch screen, as well as two sizes of higher end “Pro” phones with titanium casing and better cameras, according to reports from Bloomberg News, TF International Securities hardware analyst Ming-Chi Kuo and Wall Street analysts.
This year, the biggest change is expected to be a USB-C charging port, replacing Apple’s proprietary Lightning port, which was introduced in 2012 as the iPhone charger “for the next decade.”
A USB-C charging port on iPhones will match the same charging port on Android phones, newer laptops, iPads, wireless headphones and other gadgets.
The change is being spurred by new European regulations which require a common charging port. Apple is unlikely to mention that the change was required by a new law, but it will probably emphasize the positives for users, such as convenience and faster charging. It might also give the port a proprietary Apple marketing name.
Apple will “comply” with European Union regulation that requires electronic devices to be equipped with USB-C charging, said Greg Joswiak, Apple’s senior vice president of worldwide marketing. That will mean Apple’s iPhones, which currently use its proprietary Lightning charging standard, will need to change to support USB-C.
Jakub Porzyck | Nurphoto | Getty Images
New Pro models could also get a titanium casing, replacing the stainless steel used in the past few models. Titanium is lighter than steel, reducing the phones’ total weight. Event invitations show an Apple logo in what looks like a titanium finish.
Lower-end phones — expected to be called simply iPhone 15 — could get an upgrade to what the company calls the “dynamic island,” or a cutout that holds the phone’s facial recognition cameras toward the top of the screen. Last year’s Pro models ditched Apple’s “notch” for the undulating window, which can show real-time updates, such as how far away an Uber is or what’s playing on the music app. The mute switch, which has been present on iPhones for over a decade, could gain new functions as a customizable “action button.”
Apple is also likely to focus on camera and chip improvements as reasons for the upgrade. The biggest and most expensive iPhone model, the bigger Pro, could get a new lens that can zoom with twice the strength as the 3x zoom lens on the iPhone 14 Pro, according to Bloomberg.
One open question is whether Apple will raise price points. Some analysts think so, noting rising costs for parts like memory or processors. However, Apple did not raise U.S. iPhone prices last year under similar conditions. It does tweak its prices around the world regularly after launches and in response to currency fluctuations.
Apple Watch Ultra.
Sofia Pitt
Last year, Apple released the Apple Watch Series 8 and a new high-end titanium model called the Ultra in September.
Both are likely to get updates this year, although Apple’s Watches don’t typically get as many major changes from year to year as the iPhones. Apple’s mainstream watches have had the same size and shape since 2018.
The company is likely to upgrade the chip inside the new watches, as well as update its health sensors, according to analysts. But Apple may save bigger changes for the device’s 10th anniversary next year.
Apple also has several accessories that use Lightning connectors, such as some of its AirPod models, Beats headphones, mice and keyboards.
AirPods Pro will get a new feature that doesn’t need new hardware called Adaptive Audio. It uses machine learning and software to intelligently turn down the volume and noise canceling so users can be aware of their immediate surroundings.
Apple will likely update its accessories to work with USB-C, but the updated accessories may not be discussed on Tuesday, or could be released later.
StandBy Mode in iOS 17
Todd Haselton | CNBC
Even users who don’t plan to pick up a new iPhone or Watch will get new software for their devices. Apple previews its latest operating systems for its devices in June, then releases them in September alongside new iPhones.
Many of Apple’s best new features don’t require new hardware and will be available to everyone with an iPhone released since 2018.
Here’s some of what is new in iOS 17:
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