ReportWire

Tag: alternative data

  • What type of data is needed to find opportunities | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services

    [ad_1]

    For instance, State Street now generates a continuous stream of inflation data for its clients, merging traditional indicators with alternative data sources like observed consumer spending and digital news. “If we look at central banks and interest rate projections, you can use this information set to address gaps when the central bank isn’t speaking,” says Clark. “What is the rhetoric around a central bank? Our research shows that this can have implications for forecasting yields. More interestingly, you’re getting breadth in perspective and incremental alpha outside of periods where conventional data sources are available.” 

    Notably, Bloomberg offers alternative data solutions to its clients via Bloomberg Terminal and data feeds, and these include consumer transaction data analytics from Bloomberg Second Measure and foot traffic data analytics from Placer.ai, as well as Similarweb’s web traffic data. 

    How data drives discretionary versus systematic processes 

    Discretionary managers now analyze a broader universe of securities due to scalable data infrastructure, while quant teams increasingly translate unstructured data into structured signals for models. These trends support the convergence of systematic and discretionary styles, driven by AI enhanced research workflows and improved data engineering practices. 

    “From a discretionary point of view, we’re seeing discretionary managers able to look over a much broader breadth of names because they’ve got the scalability to gain insight from that data. They’re able to pick out things they never could before,” says Tushara Fernando, Head of Data and Machine Learning at the Man Group. “From a systematic point of view, we’re able to translate and quantize unstructured data into more structured data that we can use in our quant models.”    

    Indeed, the proliferation of data and AI tools has pushed discretionary and systematic approaches towards convergence, says Systematica’s Dooms. “Discretionary managers get a lot of benefit from GenAI tools in terms of adding code to their process, making it more systematic. Systematic investors get to use data traditionally in the human realm – unstructured data – and parse it into signals,” he explains, adding, “Under the hood, there’s a lot of work to get that process right: how do you shape and architect the data to make it consumable by AI workflows?” 

    The rise of agentic workflows 

    Zooming in on agentic AI, experts point to the technology’s early progress in enabling practical, tool-driven workflows. Says Dooms, “To me, agentic AI is not just about chain-of-thought and automation – that’s table stakes. Your basic ChatGPT-style chatbot does planning and thinking. It’s really about tool-calling: architecting processes where you can identify things you were not able to do before and can now do thanks to scalability and then presenting data so it can be used by an LLM.”  

    State Street’s Clark cites his own organization’s internal analytics capability as a prime example of agentic AI’s potential. “We’ve got different data sources – our own research, structured and unstructured data – and we’ve got agents querying tools to trigger further actions: generating investment insights for clients or internal stakeholders, triggering signals for capital markets settings, etc.,” he explains, “We’re not at the end state where that’s fully implementable, but we’re well into that pathway.” 

    Why democratizing data access is essential for scalable investment processes 

    Implementation of cutting-edge data and AI tools still requires human input. Indeed, making the same data available to everyone from entry-level employees to the C-Suite is one key to success. “It’s incredibly important for us to provide an infrastructure for traders, junior traders, desk-side analysts to have access to all the data we have in a seamless fashion, and to provide them with low-code or no-code solutions so they can play with their own data and derive insight,” says the Man Group’s Tushar.  

    “We want to give them a platform to do their own testing and back testing, analyze their flows and profitability, and tell us how to be more proactive, having done some of the work themselves. That’s key to scaling up our contribution,” he adds. 

    State Street’s Clark agrees with this statement, observing, “I think the big innovation is that data is now for everyone. The notion that you’re a decision maker but someone else handles data and insight is dead. Building data literacy is the big innovation.”  

    Interested in more insights from Bloomberg Enterprise Tech & Data Summit 2025 in London, click here. Learn more about Bloomberg Enterprise Tech & Data solutions here

    Insights in this article are based on panels and fireside discussions at the Enterprise Tech & Data Summit held in London in November 2025. 

    [ad_2]

    Bloomberg

    Source link

  • Online channel drives October uptick in observed consumer spending | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services

    [ad_1]

    The data included in these materials are for illustrative purposes only. The Bloomberg Second Measure services are made available by Bloomberg Second Measure LLC (“BBSM”). BBSM’s parent company, Bloomberg L.P. (“BLP”), provides BBSM with global marketing and operational support. Nothing in the Services shall constitute or be construed as an offering of financial instruments by BBSM, BLP or their affiliates, or as investment advice or recommendations by BBSM, BLP or their affiliates of an investment strategy or whether or not to “buy”, “sell” or “hold” an investment. BLOOMBERG, BLOOMBERG SECOND MEASURE, BLOOMBERG TERMINAL, BLOOMBERG PROFESSIONAL, BLOOMBERG MARKETS, BLOOMBERG NEWS, BLOOMBERG TRADEBOOK, BLOOMBERG BONDTRADER, BLOOMBERG TELEVISION, BLOOMBERG RADIO, BLOOMBERG.COM and BLOOMBERG ANYWHERE are trademarks and service marks of Bloomberg Finance L.P., a Delaware limited partnership, or its subsidiaries. Absence of any trademark or service mark from this list does not waive Bloomberg Finance L.P.’s or its affiliates’ intellectual property rights in that name, mark or logo. For each company, the predictive accuracy of Bloomberg Second Measure’s estimates will typically vary over time. BBSM does not guarantee that the accuracy levels, trends or correlations illustrated by the examples in this document will recur for any company in the future. The estimates have been generated by running a standard nonproprietary formula on analytical data about past consumer transactions. BBSM makes available information about this formula to Bloomberg Second Measure clients and the analytical data is also accessible to such clients. All rights reserved. ©2025 Bloomberg.
    The Bloomberg Second Measure U.S. Consumer Spend Index is not administered by Bloomberg’s benchmark administration business and is not intended for use as a financial benchmark.

    [ad_2]

    Bloomberg

    Source link

  • Data Spotlight: Revenue surprises, tariffs impact & more | Insights | Bloomberg Professional Services

    [ad_1]

    1. Tariffs: Using supply chain and facilities data to evaluate market shifts in North America

    In an earlier study, we looked at the two weeks following the 2024 U.S. election and found that companies with U.S.-centric supply chains outperformed their globally exposed peers. That analysis highlighted how supply chain data can reveal investor sentiment during periods of policy change.

    In this expanded study, we extend the analysis through July 2025 and across North America markets to capture the effects of the tariff war. Using Bloomberg’s Supply Chain and Facilities datasets, we grouped companies of North America based on presence of US operational exposure or not and examined how performance diverged since the US elections and around key trade announcements.

    Chart 1 shows the overall average US operational exposure for a selection of Bloomberg Indices for North America. Outside the US, Canada and Mexico are quite exposed countries to the U.S. making them sensitive to any change of trade policy.

    Focusing first on U.S. domiciled companies, Chart 2 shows relative performance of companies with high exposure to the U.S. versus those with low US exposure for companies of the Bloomberg US 1000 Index (B1000) comprised of the largest 1,000 market capitalization in the US. Interestingly, companies with very high U.S. exposure have been performing well from the US Election to April 2025 as the Policy of the Administration has supported US based industries. However after April 2, Liberation Day tariffs, we note a peak and a reversal of this movement – probably highlighting the administration willing to make deals that can be profitable to US companies with global footprint.

    Performances of Highly US Exposed Versus Low Exposed Groups of U.S. Companies (B1000 Index)

    In addition to U.S. companies, we have examined the rest of North America’s largest markets (Canada and Mexico). Chart 3 summarizes the cumulative performance of companies exposed to the US against those without US exposure: it appears that U.S. trade war is translating into negative equity returns for companies in their neighbor doing business with them.

    Looking beyond North America, we observe a consistent trend globally (Chart 4).

    Performance of Long-Short (US Exposed Versus Non-Exposed), by Regional Index
    Performance of Global Ex-US Companies with US Exposure Versus Companies Without US Exposure

    Themes: Macro Investing, Tariff
    Roles: Equity Portfolio Managers, Quants, Strategists
    Bloomberg Datasets: Supply Chain, Facilities

    2. Tracking when guidance moves markets: the Japanese case

    During each earnings season, companies release actual financial results and often provide forward-looking guidance for upcoming quarters or the full fiscal year. While markets – and especially systematic players – have traditionally focused on the difference between reported earnings and consensus expectations because of a lack of availability of company guidance in a machine readable format, our research underscores the increasing importance of monitoring guidance surprises — instances where a company’s outlook materially deviates from market forecasts.

    To explore this further, we use Bloomberg’s Company Financials, Estimates and Pricing Point-in-Time dataset to examine the frequency of earnings guidance issuance across various regional indices (Chart 1). The findings reveal that companies in Japan are significantly more likely to provide forward EPS guidance compared to their counterparts in the U.S., China, and Europe — highlighting a notable regional difference in corporate disclosure practices.

    Percentage of Companies Issuing Guidance by Index

    We further used the data from the Japanese equity market to examine how equity markets respond to earnings guidance surprises — defined as the difference between a company’s issued EPS guidance and the consensus EPS estimate for the next fiscal year. 

    Our findings (Chart 2) show that positive guidance surprises tend to yield immediate next-day positive performance, with the magnitude of the surprise closely correlated to the size of the price move. In contrast, negative guidance surprises tend to trigger immediate declines in stock price — even when reported results exceed expectations. 

    This shows that investor sentiment can be more sensitive to forward-looking outlook than to trailing performance, with guidance acting as a forward-looking shock that reshapes market expectations and valuations.

    Average Next-Day Returns: Positive vs. Negative Guidance Surprise

    Bloomberg Company Financials, Estimates and Pricing Point-in-Time product provides a comprehensive, point-in-time history of company-reported metrics, consensus estimates, and management guidance as well as pricing information. This data enables investors to backtest stock performance accurately around earnings releases, helping investors understand how actuals, consensus estimates, and company-issued guidance interact to drive market reactions.

    Themes: Quantitative Trading, Alpha Generation
    Roles: Equity Portfolio Managers, Quantitative Researchers, Traders
    Bloomberg Datasets: Company Financials, Estimates and Pricing Point-in-Time

    3. Analyzing transaction data analytics and estimates to anticipate earnings surprises

    Analysts estimates set investor expectations for a company’s performance each period, and earnings surprises often trigger significant stock price movements. If company performance trends can be evaluated ahead of earnings release,  it may create opportunities to identify and respond to surprise-driven price actions. Using Bloomberg Second Measure’s near real-time transaction data (available on a 3-day lag via feeds), investors can gain early insights into company performance well before official reports. When combined with consensus estimates from Company Financials, Estimates and Pricing Point-in-Time dataset, it empowers investors to build actionable trading strategies.

    In our study, looking at a quarterly rebalanced backtest from Q2 2020 to Q1 2025 we see that companies in the top quintile of revenue surprises—where transaction data analytics from Bloomberg Second Measure show stronger sales than market expectations—generated higher cumulative returns than those in the bottom quintile.

    The Quintile 1 basket delivered robust long-term performance, while the Quintile 5 basket (representing the most negative surprises) showed lower performance. A long–short strategy that takes a long position in Quintile 1 and shorts Quintile 5 produced modest but consistent gains, reinforcing the idea that upside surprises offer a stronger signal than downside disappointments. 

    As shown in Chart 2, there are a variety of sectors covered in this analysis. This type of analysis can be refined based on a dedicated sector analysis: indeed this type of strategy may perform differently according to the industry.

    These results underscore the value of alternative data might have in anticipating market-moving fundamentals before official disclosures.

    Cumulative Return Analysis: Top vs Bottom Quintiles
    Company Coverage, Breakdown by Sector BICS Level 2

    Themes: Equity Fundamentals, Alpha Generation
    Roles: Equity Portfolio Managers, Quantitative Researchers, Traders
    Bloomberg Datasets: Company Financials, Estimates and Pricing Point-in-Time, Bloomberg Second Measure

    How can we help?

    Bloomberg’s Enterprise Investment Research Data product suite provides end-to-end solutions to power research workflows. Solutions include Company Financials, Estimates, Pricing and Point in Time Data, Operating Segment Fundamentals Data and Industry Specific Company KPIs and Estimates Data products, covering a broad universe of companies and providing deep actionable insights. This product suite also includes Quant Pricing with cross-asset Tick History and Bars. Additional solutions such as Geographic Segment Fundamentals Data, Company Segments and Deep Estimates Data and Pharma Products & Brands Data products will be available in 2025. All of these data solutions are interoperable and can be seamlessly connected with other datasets, including alternative data, and are available through a number of delivery mechanisms, including in the Cloud and via API. More information on these solutions can be found here.

    Bloomberg Data License provides billions of data points daily spanning Reference, ESG, Pricing, Risk, Regulation, Fundamentals, Estimates, Historical data and more to help you streamline operations and discover new investment opportunities. Data License content aligns with the data on the Bloomberg Terminal to support investment workflows consistently and at scale across your enterprise.

    [ad_2]

    Bloomberg

    Source link

  • Trust Science and Inovatec Systems Team Up to Release World’s First End-to-End Loan Management Platform Powered by Alternative Credit Scores

    Trust Science and Inovatec Systems Team Up to Release World’s First End-to-End Loan Management Platform Powered by Alternative Credit Scores

    [ad_1]

    Lenders now have the ability to reliably find, score, lend to and manage the loans of 64 million unbanked and under-banked consumers in the United States alone

    Press Release



    updated: Jun 12, 2019

    ​​Trust Science Inc., a leading provider of AI-powered credit scoring, and Inovatec Systems Corporation, a new breed of Loan Operating System (LOS) provider, announced today they will partner to release a fully automated lending platform that enables end-to-end loan management across the entire credit spectrum.

    Lenders can be up and running on a fully customized LOS and an AI-powered loan underwriting model within weeks, not months (or years).

    Trust Science CEO Evan Chrapko comments, “This partnership gives lenders the ability to accurately score and lend to an additional 64 million consumers in the U.S. alone, with unprecedented accuracy and speed. The end-to-end, customizable nature of Inovatec Systems’ LOS makes it a perfect partner for Trust Science and our API-based scoring solution.”

    Bryan Smith, VP sales & marketing at Inovatec, shares a similar sentiment. “With this partnership, Inovatec Systems will now be able to automate the powerful AI tools at Trust Science alongside traditional credit scoring and risk measurements. Our lenders will have instant access to the Trust Science Six°Score™ to determine creditworthiness based on alternative, uncorrelated data, generating simple and powerful results for a more complete risk assessment of the individual.” He continues, “The Trust Science tools will be integrated into our Compass Asset Finance (CAF) for credit and funding, driving more innovation and thinking differently.”

    Mark Eleoff, CEO of Eden Park Inc. and a customer of Trust Science and Inovatec Systems, remarks, “Both Trust Science and Inovatec Systems have proven themselves to be innovative, value-added and very customer centric in working with us to improve our credit decisions.”

    A BETA version of the integration has been underway for several months, and general release is expected in June.

    About Trust Science Inc.

    Trust Science provides AI-powered alternative credit scoring to lenders, helping them sift prime borrowers from wrongly scored subprime applicants. Trust Science gathers alternative unstructured data and consented mobile data using its patented (30-plus patents across six countries) data collection methods and builds custom underwriting models for short-term, installment, direct auto and indirect auto lenders. Lenders see increases in their loan origination volumes, reduction in default rates and double-digit ROI. For more information, please visit https://www.trustscience.com/.

    About Inovatec Systems Corp.

    Inovatec Systems Corporation provides industry-leading, cloud-based software solutions for any financial institution, any type of transaction. All solutions can be brought together in a single seamless and branded platform that can be opened to external partners and customers. Capture any marketplace – full, robust ecosystem to drive the online customer/lead to you, streamline and facilitate the processes of crediting, auditing, funding and income verification for financing applications plus full servicing and portfolio analytics in the leading-edge LMS. For more information, please visit https://www.inovatec.com/.

    Press Contacts:

    Bryan Smith
    Inovatec Systems Corp. | VP, Sales & Marketing
    bsmith@inovatec.com
    (647) 269-9449

    Bryan Katis
    Chief Product Officer, Trust Science
    bryan.katis@trustscience.com
    (678) 468-7391

    Source: Trust Science

    [ad_2]

    Source link