ReportWire

Tag: AIR

  • OAG: Five U.S. Airports Among World's Busiest in 2023

    OAG: Five U.S. Airports Among World's Busiest in 2023

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    Half of the 10 busiest global airports in 2023 are in the United States, according to OAG’s latest report, released Wednesday. 

    Atlanta Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport ranked No. 1 as the busiest global airport with more than 61.2 million departing seats. That figure is 12 percent above the seats available in 2022, but 3 percent below what was offered in 2019. Atlanta also was the busiest global airport in 2022 and in 2019.

    The other U.S. airports in the top 10 global list included Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport in fifth, Denver International Airport at sixth, Los Angeles International Airport in eighth and Chicago O’Hare International Airport in ninth.

    Outside of the U.S., Dubai International Airport was the busiest, coming in second overall with more than 56.4 million departing seats. 

    All of the 10 busiest airports showed increased seat capacity year over year, but only four reported increases from 2019 availability: Dubai, Dallas, Denver and Istanbul Airport. Four also were not among the top 10 in 2019: Dallas, Denver, Istanbul and Guangzhou Airport, which was 10th.

    [Report continues below chart.]

    Busiest U.S. Domestic Routes

    The busiest U.S. domestic route in 2023 was Honolulu-Kahului with more than 3.6 million seats, according to OAG. The route was third in 2022 and did not make the top 10 list in 2019. Atlanta-Orlando was second with more than 3.5 million seats, followed closely by Las Vegas-Los Angeles with just less than 3.5 million seats. 

    The other two routes in the top 10 that were not on the list in 2019 include Denver to Las Vegas, which placed fifth this year, and Denver to Phoenix, which was in eighth.

    “New York’s JFK now offers more international connections than any other U.S. airport, but domestic travel in the U.S. remains competitive,” OAG chief analyst John Grant said in a statement. “Navigating ongoing supply-chain challenges successfully will be key for airlines and airports in the U.S. looking to attract more passengers and get capacity levels back to where they were in 2019.”

    [Report continues below chart.]

    2023-12-20 OAG Domestic

    Busiest Global Routes

    The top global airline route in 2023 is Kuala Lumpur to Singapore Changi with nearly 4.9 million seats, according to OAG. The route was ranked third in 2022. Capacity on that route increase 50 percent year over year but was down 12 percent compared with 2019 levels.

    Last year’s top route, Cairo-Jeddah, came in second with nearly 4.8 million seats. Its capacity was up 38 percent compared with 2022 and was up 42 percent versus 2019. 

    The only route in the top 10 that included a U.S. airport was New York JFK to London Heathrow at eighth with nearly 3.9 million seats. That route had ranked fourth in 2022 and eighth in 2019. Capacity on the route increased 24 percent year over year and was up 1 percent compared with 2019 levels. 

    Of the top 10 routes, only four continued to show a capacity deficit compared with 2019: Hong Kong to Taipei and each Kuala Lumpur, Jakarta and Bangkok to Singapore Changi.

    2023-12-20 OAG Intl

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  • ARC: November Average U.S. Airfares Continue Decline

    ARC: November Average U.S. Airfares Continue Decline

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    The average price of a U.S. domestic roundtrip ticket
    declined again in November versus a year prior, according to Airlines Reporting
    Corp.’s latest report.

    Following October’s 4 percent year-over-year decline,
    November’s fare was $547, down 2 percent compared with October 2022. The fare
    also was down 2 percent on a month-over-month basis.

    Total November 2023 U.S. air ticket sales were up 3.4
    percent year over year to nearly $6.8 billion but were down 6.6 percent
    compared with October 2023. The number of passenger trips were up 7.5 percent
    compared with November 2022 to nearly 20.5 million, but they too were down about
    5.6 percent month over month.

    “U.S. consumers continue to spend on international air
    travel,” ARC chief commercial officer Steve Solomon said in a statement.
    “Our data reflects a slight increase in international passenger trips from
    October to November, which is uncommon for the time of year. Despite seeing the
    typical declines in month-over-month air travel sales and passenger trips,
    airlines reported a record number of travelers for the Thanksgiving holiday
    season.”

    The number of November U.S. domestic trips was up 7.4
    percent year over year to nearly 12.9 million, however they were down about 9
    percent compared with October 2023. International trips were the only metric to
    increase both by year and by month. They were up nearly 7.6 percent year over
    year to nearly 7.6 million and were up 1.2 percent month over month.

    November electronic miscellaneous document sales, which
    include fees for such ancillary products as upgraded seats and checked bags,
    increased 43.2 percent year over year to more than $22.5 million, and were up
    about 6.6 percent month over month. Ancillary transactions were up 4.7 percent
    versus November 2022 to nearly 380,000. They also were up about 4.1 percent
    month over month.

    RELATED:  ARC:
    October U.S. Air Ticket Sales Continue to Dip

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  • Avianca Adds Chicago-Guatemala Route

    Avianca Adds Chicago-Guatemala Route

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    Avianca Airlines has launched service between Chicago O’Hare
    International Airport and La Aurora International Airport in Guatemala, the
    carrier announced Friday. Avianca will operate the route three times weekly
    with Airbus A320 aircraft, with a capacity of up to 180 passengers per flight.

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  • TSA PreCheck Adds Four New Airlines

    TSA PreCheck Adds Four New Airlines

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    TSA PreCheck has added four new airlines to its program, the
    U.S. Transportation Security Administration announced Tuesday. With the
    addition of Norse Atlantic Airways, Lynx Air, Starlux Airlines and Fiji
    Airways, there are now 94 domestic and international carriers participating in
    the TSA PreCheck program.

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  • Delta, El Al Add Codeshare Agreement

    Delta, El Al Add Codeshare Agreement

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    Delta Air Lines and El Al Israel Airlines have launched a
    reciprocal codeshare agreement for travel beginning Jan. 1, 2024, Delta
    announced Monday. 

    Delta’s code will be added to El Al’s nonstop flights
    between Tel Aviv and each New York’s John F. Kennedy International Airport,
    Newark Liberty International Airport and airports in Boston, Los Angeles, Miami
    and Fort Lauderdale. El Al’s code will be added to Delta’s nonstop Tel Aviv
    flights once they are restored, as well as up to 280 same-day connections via
    Delta gateways in New York (JFK), Boston and Los Angeles, according to Delta.

    In addition, customers flying between the Americas and Tel
    Aviv will have the ability to earn and redeem SkyMiles or Matmid loyalty points
    across both carriers. Beginning Jan. 15, each airline also will offer
    reciprocal benefits to their top tier frequent flyer members, such as preferred
    seat access, priority check-in and boarding, additional baggage allowance and
    lounge access where applicable, according to Delta.

    Delta currently has canceled its flights between the United
    States and Tel Aviv until March 29, 2024, because of the conflict in the
    region, according to the carrier.

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  • DOT Fines Southwest $140M for 2022 Holiday Disruptions

    DOT Fines Southwest $140M for 2022 Holiday Disruptions

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    The U.S. Department of Transportation has levied a $140 million civil penalty against Southwest Airlines for “numerous violations of consumer protection laws” during its 2022 holiday operational disruptions, which resulted in about 16,900 canceled flights, affecting more than 2 million passengers, the agency announced Monday.

    DOT found that Southwest violated consumer protection laws by failing to provide adequate customer service assistance, failing to provide prompt flight status notifications, and failing to provide refunds in a prompt and proper manner. 

    The penalty is 30 times larger than any previous DOT penalty for consumer protection violations, according to the agency. 

    The full $140 million, however, will not necessarily come out of Southwest’s coffers. A DOT consent order stated that $35 million would be paid to the U.S. Treasury over a three-year period. But the $105 million balance involves credits and offsets, including $33 million for “past compensation that was above and beyond existing requirements” when the carrier issued 25,000 Rapid Rewards points to affected travelers. Southwest also paid out more than $600 million in refunds and reimbursements because of the disruptions.

    The remaining $72 million will go toward compensating future Southwest passengers affected by cancellations or significant delays caused by the carrier via vouchers. Southwest will offer $30 million per year in vouchers for each of three years between April 30, 2024, and April 29, 2027, that are transferable and can be used for future domestic or international travel on the carrier. Any residual value of the voucher after use must remain available to consumers within the validity period, according to the consent order. The vouchers shall remain valid for at least one year after the issue date. 

    Southwest, however, will receive an offset of $24 million of the $30 million issued in vouchers per year. If the carrier during a one-year period does not issue $30 million worth of vouchers, Southwest must pay the U.S. Treasury 80 percent of the difference between what was issued and the $30 million. 

    “Today’s action sets a new precedent and sends a clear message: If airlines fail their passengers, we will use the full extent of our authority to hold them accountable,” DOT Secretary Pete Buttigieg said in a statement. “This penalty should put all airlines on notice to take every step possible to ensure that a meltdown like this never happens again.”

    Southwest announced the DOT settlement as well, and in the consent order noted that it “sincerely regrets the inconvenience caused to all customers who were affected by the operational disruption” and that it “takes very seriously its responsibility to comply with all laws and regulations.” 

    The carrier, though, disagreed with DOT’s position that it violated consumer protection laws. Southwest “notes that it enters into this agreement for settlement purposes only and does not admit any violation of any statute or regulation or concede the DOT’s recitation of the facts and conclusions,” according to the consent order. “Southwest strongly believes that it fully complied with all applicable laws.”

    During the middle of the disrupted period, Southwest took actions to course-correct its operations and since has worked to improve its winter operations, including adding more deicing trucks, pads and ground equipment. It also “improved tools and procedures to streamline communication and decision-making,” and it accelerated investments in tools and technology, including the software used to reassign its crews during disruptions.

    “We have spent the past year acutely focused on efforts to enhance the customer experience with significant investments and initiatives that accelerate operational resiliency, enhance cross-team collaboration and bolster overall preparedness for winter operations,” Southwest president and CEO Bob Jordan said in a statement. 

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  • Singapore to Launch London Gatwick Service

    Singapore to Launch London Gatwick Service

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    Singapore Airlines in June 2024 will launch nonstop service between Singapore and London’s Gatwick Airport, the carrier announced Monday. Flights will operate five times weekly using Airbus A350-900 aircraft configured with three cabins: 42 in business class, 24 in premium economy and 187 in economy. The new route will bring the weekly number of Singapore Airlines-operated flights to London to 33. The carrier also operates five-times weekly service to Manchester.

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  • Turkish Places “Bold” Order for Short- and Long-Haul Aircraft

    Turkish Places “Bold” Order for Short- and Long-Haul Aircraft

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    Turkish Airlines has placed an order for 150 single-aisle Airbus A321s and 70 A350 widebody aircraft, with an option for 135 more Airbus planes to be delivered over roughly the next decade. The move is part of a 10-year strategic plan in which the carrier aims to grow its fleet to more than 800 aircraft
    by 2033 and its passenger network to 400 destinations, with expansions in Asia, Europe and North America.

    The deal, which has been in the works for several weeks, will also support Turkish Airlines’ sustainability goals, with more fuel-efficient aircraft serving both long- and short-haul routes. 

    Turkish Airlines
    chairman of the board Ahmet Bolat called the the investment “a crucial milestone
    in the further evolution of Türkiye’s aviation industry.” He continued: “By modernizing our
    fleet with more efficient and environmentally friendly aircraft, we are
    reinforcing our leading position in global aviation and contributing to the
    nation’s prominence as an aviation hub.”

    Turkish Airlines’ hub Istanbul Airport served 58 million passengers through September 2023, according to CAPA, representing more than 21 percent growth over 2022. The massive Airbus order will position the carrier to capitalize on post-pandemic spikes in international travel. 

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  • Cirium: Carriers' November On-Time Performance Improves

    Cirium: Carriers' November On-Time Performance Improves

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    The aggregate November on-time performance for North American carriers increased for a fourth month in a row, according to Cirium’s latest monthly report. On-time percentage in November increased 1.8 percentage points to 81.9 percent compared with October’s 2.8 percentage-point increase.

    All but two qualifying carriers showed month-over-month improvement: Alaska Airlines’ on-time performance dipped 1.6 percentage points to 84.5 percent—still above the weighted average of North American carriers—and Spirit Airlines’ performance dropped nearly six points to 81 percent. 

    In November, Southwest showed the sharpest month-over-month improvement, with a 6.1 percentage-point increase to 84.5 percent. All surveyed carriers reached at least 75 percent in November, except Air Canada, which was just shy at 74.9 percent.

    [Report continues below chart.]

    Delta Air Lines in November again maintained its position at the top of the list with on-time performance of 91.3 percent, the highest any North American airline has recorded since at least January 2022. United Airlines was second at 88.4 percent, with American Airlines in third at 86.7 percent. 

    Delta, United and American, in that order, also topped the November on-time performance list among all airlines globally. No other North American carrier landed in the global top 10.

    North American airlines in November canceled 2,644 flights, down about 43 percent month over month. Each of the top five carriers on the North American on-time list completed at least 99.5 percent of their flights in November, led by Delta at 99.93 percent, according to Cirium.

    A flight is considered on time if the aircraft arrives at the gate within 15 minutes of the scheduled arrival time.

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  • Alaska Adds Porter as Interline Partner

    Alaska Adds Porter as Interline Partner

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    Alaska Airlines has added Canada’s Porter Airlines as an interline partner, according to the airline. Members of Alaska’s Mileage Plan loyalty program can earn miles by booking Porter flights through Alaska’s website. The carriers plan to introduce in 2024 the ability to earn miles on each other’s flights regardless of booking channel and allow some cross-carrier redemption, according to Alaska. Porter in January 2024 is set to launch service between Toronto and each San Francisco and Los Angeles. 

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  • Air Canada to Add Austin, St. Louis Service

    Air Canada to Add Austin, St. Louis Service

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    Air Canada in 2024 is set to add year-round nonstop service to Austin, Texas, and seasonal nonstop service to St. Louis, each from its Montreal hub, the company announced Thursday. 

    Air Canada beginning May 2 is set to fly four weekly flights, on Monday, Tuesday, Thursday and Saturday, from Montreal-Trudeau International Airport to Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, and four weekly flights, on Sunday, Tuesday, Wednesday and Friday, from Austin to Montreal. 

    Daily service between Montreal and St. Louis Lambert International Airport is set to begin May 1.

    The carrier also said it would add daily year-round service between Toronto and Charleston, S.C., on March 28, and daily year-round service between Tulum, Mexico, and each Toronto and Montreal, subject to government approval, on May 3.

    Air Canada also said it would increase summer frequencies between several Canadian and U.S. destinations. Peak summer 2024 capacity is set to be about 5 percent higher than it was in 2023, according to the carrier.

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  • American, Philippine Airlines Launch Codeshare

    American, Philippine Airlines Launch Codeshare

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    American Airlines and Philippine Airlines, the flag carrier of the Philippines, have launched a codeshare partnership, American announced Tuesday. The agreement allows American to place its code on Philippine-operated flights to Manila and Cebu via Tokyo, as well as to Manila from Honolulu and Guam. Philippine will place its code on American-operated flights between Los Angeles and each Atlanta, Denver, Houston, Las Vegas, Miami, Orlando and Washington, D.C. 

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  • Delta Expands Facial Recognition to NYC, LAX

    Delta Expands Facial Recognition to NYC, LAX

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    After pilot programs in Atlanta and Detroit, Delta Air Lines is launching voluntary facial-recognition programs at airports in New York and Los Angeles, allowing passengers to move through security lanes and check bags without showing a physical ID card, the carrier announced Tuesday.

    Delta has unveiled the Digital ID program at Los Angeles International Airport and New York’s LaGuardia Airport and said it would do so on Thursday at John F. Kennedy International Airport. The move follows initial rollouts in 2021 at Detroit Metro Airport and Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport. Delta in a statement said “a large majority of eligible customers” in Detroit and Atlanta have opted into the technology.

    Delta said it developed the system in partnership with the U.S. Transportation Security Administration, and travelers must have a membership in TSA’s PreCheck expedited-screening program to use the facial recognition tech. They also must have their TSA Known Traveler Number and passport information included in their Delta profile, must be members of Delta’s SkyMiles loyalty program, and must have the Fly Delta mobile app. 

    Eligible travelers will be notified through that app, according to Delta, and will be directed to the appropriate bag-drop line and security checkpoint, where they will look into the facial recognition camera for verification. Should the technology fail to identify the traveler, an agent will inspect their physical ID, said Delta. 

    “It’s a simpler, more convenient experience—one that strictly adheres to passenger privacy and our security protocols, as well as our mission of protecting our nation’s transportation systems,” TSA assistant administrator of requirements, capabilities and analysis Austin Gould said in a statement. 

    Delta said it would look “to expand the technology to additional hubs in 2024.” The carrier does not retain passengers’ biometric information, it said.

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  • United: Agency Requirement Part of Plan to Sunset PerksPlus

    United: Agency Requirement Part of Plan to Sunset PerksPlus

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    United Airlines’ decision to limit bookings through its
    PerksPlus small business loyalty program only to those clients booking through
    travel management companies is a first step to sunsetting the product and
    moving all business customers to the carrier’s United for Business platform, United
    VP of sales strategy and effectiveness Glenn Hollister told BTN on Monday.

    The carrier last
    week in a client memo announced
    that as of Feb. 1, 2024, bookings through
    PerksPlus, which allows business customers to accrue and redeem loyalty points
    for flights taken, would be “exclusively available to corporate customers
    booking through a travel agency.”

    Hollister, though, said that the move was designed neither
    to dissuade direct booking nor promote TMC use, but instead was the beginning
    of an effort to move customers off the PerksPlus platform in favor of its
    United for Business portal, which he said offered richer, more flexible
    functionality.


    The move is the first step of several that will end up with us ultimately sunsetting the Perks Plus program and platform entirely and moving all customers onto United for Business. We have started with our direct-only customers because those are the easiest ones to move.”

    United’s Glenn Hollister


    Calling PerksPlus “quite old, limited in functionality
    and inflexible,” Hollister said the move was the next step in a years-long
    effort by United to overhaul its corporate programs, including the launch and
    refinement of United for Business and the debut of the Blueprint
    request-for-proposals platform

    “The move is the first step of several that will end up
    with us ultimately sunsetting the Perks Plus program and platform entirely and
    moving all customers onto United for Business,” Hollister said. “We
    have started with our direct-only customers because those are the easiest ones
    to move.”

    United for Business requires additional technological
    development to “build in the functionality so that agency-supported
    customers also have the range of options about program types and rewards, and
    being able to earn those through agencies,” Hollister said. That process
    “probably” would be complete in 2025, he said. 

    “Eventually everything that a corporate customer or
    agency partner would need will be in United for Business,” Hollister said.
    “It’s a multi-year journey to get everything there, but we want to end up
    in the place where no matter who you are or what you need, if you have some
    kind of a b-to-b relationship, you’re going to United for Business.”

    Adam Keeter, director of United for Business product and
    alliance strategy, said he “wouldn’t expect any seismic changes” for
    the carrier’s other business products in 2024.

    As for PerksPlus, Keeter said the carrier made
    no changes to the program, including point accrual or redemption levels or the included
    eligibility of such United partner carriers as Lufthansa and All Nippon
    Airways, beyond the requirement for an agency. Though customers booking direct
    through PerksPlus will be unable to accrue points beginning Feb. 1, they can
    redeem points before they expire Jan. 31, 2026, he said.

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  • ATPCO Acquires Data Intelligence Platform 3Victors

    ATPCO Acquires Data Intelligence Platform 3Victors

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    ATPCO has acquired data intelligence platform 3Victors “to further enhance the company’s creation of industry tools that support the future of modern airline retailing,” ATPCO announced Tuesday. Terms of the deal were not disclosed. 3Victors will operate as a subsidiary of ATPCO.

    Together, the companies will use new datasets, machine learning and artificial intelligence to enhance retailing solutions, according to ATPCO. 3Victors data platform will complement ATPCO’s offer content by providing a real-time response of industry travel demand, while supplementing fares not currently filed through ATPCO, according to the company. 

    “The need for airlines to be able to dynamically bundle and price is crystal clear,” ATPCO CEO Alex Zoghlin said in a statement. “Still, as airlines move towards dynamic offers, the industry will need more types of data and capabilities to drive their internal processes, and there will be a gap in the current data to maintain accurate pricing. … The data required to construct offers will change. … The acquisition of 3Victors will help ATPCO and the industry get there quicker with more depth and breadth of data and AI capabilities.”

    With these enhanced data capabilities, an airline can deliver offers, including the amenities and ancillaries’ customers want to buy, at a personalized and competitive price, according to ATPCO.

    3Victors is ATPCO’s third acquisition, following the purchase of Routehappy in 2018 and the purchase of SITA’s Airfare Insight fare management system in 2021.

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  • ANA, Joby to Develop Vertiports in Japan

    ANA, Joby to Develop Vertiports in Japan

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    All Nippon Airways and electric aircraft producer Joby Aviation have partnered with Japanese real estate developer Nomura Real Estate Development to create take-off and landing infrastructure for the commercialization of electric air-taxi service across Japan, the companies announced Friday. 

    The partners will “explore the design, location, operation and financing of vertiport locations that will serve as the backbone of future commercial air-taxi services in Japan,” according to the companies. Their initial focus primarily will be in metropolitan areas. 

    ANA and Joby first partnered in February 2022. Joby’s electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft can carry a pilot and four passengers at speeds of up to 200 miles per hour, according to Joby. 

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  • Lufthansa to Explore European eVTOL Opportunities

    Lufthansa to Explore European eVTOL Opportunities

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    The Lufthansa Group and Munich-based electric aircraft producer Lilium have signed a memorandum of understanding to explore a partnership on electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft in Europe, Lufthansa announced Thursday.

    The companies will explore opportunities for ground and flight operations, future aircraft maintenance, crew and flight training, as well as possible collaboration with airports and regional partners on the development and infrastructure for vertiports, airspace integration and required operation processes, according to Lufthansa.

    Lilium earlier this week announced it had begun production of its Lilium jet and projects demand in the European market for about 9,200 eVTOL aircraft through 2035, according to Lufthansa.

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  • Delta to Add Seattle-Taipei Service

    Delta to Add Seattle-Taipei Service

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    Delta Air Lines plans to add flights between Seattle and Taipei beginning June 6, pending government approval, the carrier announced Thursday. The route will operate daily, year-round on Airbus A330-900neo aircraft offering four cabins: Delta One Suites, Premium Select, Comfort Plus and Main.

    The new route is the first nonstop flight for Delta between the U.S. and Taipei, according to the carrier, which added that the last time Delta operated flights to Taiwan was in 2017 via Tokyo’s Narita International Airport. 

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  • IATA: SAF Production to Triple in 2024

    IATA: SAF Production to Triple in 2024

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    After the production of sustainable aviation fuel doubled in 2023, reaching more than 600 million from 300 million in 2022, it is expected to triple in 2024 to nearly 1.9 billion liters, according to the International Air Transport Association. That amount will account for 0.53 percent of aviation’s fuel need and 6 percent of renewable fuel capacity.

    “Even with that impressive growth, SAF as a portion of all renewable fuel production will only grow from 3 percent this year to 6 percent in 2024,” IATA director general Willie Walsh said in a statement. “This allocation limits SAF supply and keeps prices high. Aviation needs between 25 percent and 30 percent of renewable fuel production capacity for SAF. At those levels, aviation will be on the trajectory needed to reach net zero carbon emissions by 2050.”

    Demand for SAF continues to outstrip supply, with “every drop” of SAF produced having been bought and used. At least 43 airlines have already committed to use nearly 16.3 billion liters of SAF in 2030, “with more agreements being announced regularly,” according to IATA.

    “Governments must prioritize policies to incentivize the scaling-up of SAF production and to diversity feedstocks with those available locally,” Walsh said.

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  • IATA Projects Continued Airline Profits into 2024

    IATA Projects Continued Airline Profits into 2024

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    Airline profitability for 2023 exceeded June projections from the International Air Transport Association, the organization announced Wednesday.

    IATA now projects global airline revenue for 2023 to reach $896 billion, $93 billion higher than forecast six months ago. Expenses also are anticipated to increase to $855 billion, $74 billion higher than the previous outlook. Still, IATA projects the industry’s net profit to reach $23.3 billion in 2023, significantly higher than the June forecast of $9.8 billion. 

    The improvement was driven by passenger business, revenue from which IATA projects to increase to $642 billion, $96 billion higher than the prior outlook, according to IATA. 

    Select Regional Performance

    North American carriers were the first to return to profitability in 2022 and continued to earn a profit in 2023, according to IATA. The region’s carriers are projected to report a net profit of $14.3 billion in 2023 and $14.4 billion in 2024. IATA projects traffic in 2024 to increase 6.3 percent year over year and 8.1 percent compared with 2019. Capacity is projected to be up 6 percent year over year, and 8.1 percent versus 2019.

    North American “consumer spending has remained solid, despite cost-of-living pressures, and the demand for air travel remains robust and is expected to outpace growth in capacity into 2024,” according to IATA.

    IATA projects European carriers to have a net profit of $7.7 billion in 2023 and $7.9 billion in 2024. Demand in 2024 is forecast to be 10.5 percent higher year over year and 7 percent higher compared with 2019 levels. IATA projects 2024 capacity to increase 8.8 percent versus a year prior and 7 percent compared with 2019.

    The key risks to Europe’s performance “relate to the tight labor market, and the war in Ukraine and in the Middle East,” according to IATA.

    Asia-Pacific carriers in 2023 are forecast to report a $100 million loss but return to a net profit of $1.1 billion in 2024. IATA projects year-over-year 2024 demand to increase 13.5 percent, but still lag 2019 levels by 1.4 percent. Capacity, too, is forecast for 10.6 percent growth versus 2023 but decrease by 1.4 percent versus 2019.

    “While some of the region’s main domestic markets recovered quickly from the pandemic, international travel to/from the region was subdued as China only eliminated the last of its international travel restrictions in mid-2023,” according to IATA.

    2024 Global Outlook

    IATA projects 2024 airline revenue to grow 7.6 percent year over year to a record $964 billion, generating an anticipated profit of $25.7 billion. Expenses are forecast to increase 6.9 percent to $914 billion. 

    Passenger revenue is projected to increase 12 percent year over year to $717 billion, with 40.1 million flights projected to be on offer, exceeding the 2019 level of 38.9 million and up from the 36.8 million flights expected in 2023. Total traffic in 2024, as measured in revenue passenger kilometers, is projected to be up 9.8 percent year over year, however IATA said 2024 will mark the end of the “dramatic year-on-year increases” the industry has seen during the recovery between 2021 and 2023.

    About 4.7 billion people are expected to travel in 2024, “an historic high that exceeds the pre-pandemic level of 4.5 billion recorded in 2019,” according to IATA.

    “Considering the major losses of recent years, the $25.7 billion net profit expected in 2024 is a tribute to aviation’s resilience,” IATA director general Willie Walsh said in a statement. “The speed of the recovery has been extraordinary; yet it also appears that the pandemic has cost aviation about four years of growth. From 2024, the outlook indicates that we can expect more normal growth patterns for both passenger and cargo.”

    IATA also warned that the industry profitability was “fragile” and could be affected by many factors, including global economic developments, war, continued supply-chain challenges and regulatory risk. 

    RELATED: IATA Upgrades 2023 Airline Profitability Outlook

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    dairoldi@thebtngroup.com (Donna M. Airoldi)

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