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Cardano (ADA) is getting the “2020 blastoff” treatment again — at least if you ask Quantum Ascend, a technical analyst on X who says the chart is starting to rhyme with the setup that preceded ADA’s last major run.
In a Dec. 13 video shared on X, Quantum Ascend (@quantum_ascend) told followers he’s been working through a longer-term weekly count and thinks the market may be grinding toward the end of a drawn-out corrective structure. The punchline: a “conservative” target zone around $4.88–$5.50, and a “primary” bull-run target of $10.40.
“Cardano Mirroring 2020 Blastoff Moment,” his post read, before laying out the two tiers: “Conservative: $4.88-$5.50” and “Primary: $10.40.”
The Framework Behind The Cardano Price Prediction
The framework he’s leaning on isn’t a clean five-wave impulse, he said. Instead, he framed it as something slower and messier — “more of like a large time-based macro correction here on the D-wave,” he said, describing what he believes is a triangle structure developing on the weekly chart.
“We’re creating a triangle structure,” he said. “So I am going to be looking for the E-wave. That’s what ends up coming next.”
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A big part of the argument is confluence. Quantum Ascend walked through multiple measurements and trendlines, pointing to price zones where different tools cluster. One reference point was a prior A-to-B drawdown range that, in his view, still hasn’t been fully “closed out,” with a key level “up there at the $5.50 mark.”
Then he zoomed out to the bigger structure, highlighting how an upper trendline from a C-to-D drawdown “converges with the 3.618 [Fibonacci extension] up here,” which he suggested adds weight to the $10 area. “So some confluence for that $10 area,” he said, pointing at the chart level he called out around $10.62.
He also reached for a relative-performance comparison — not to Ethereum itself, but to Ethereum Classic.
“I have another video from the past that compares Ethereum Classic to ADA,” he said. “And if it ends up doing a similar move to Ethereum Classic, that also puts us up into the $10 range.”
Still, the near-term “safe” target he kept circling back to was the $5 region. After walking through a more recent drawdown “going back to the top of the Trump pump to where we’re at now,” he said a “full extension gets us pretty close… around $4.88,” adding that the $5 zone shows “a lot of different signs of confluence.”
“For me, I’m going to say my conservative estimate for ADA is going to be that $5 range,” he said. Then he went straight to the headline number: “I think ADA gets up there around 10 bucks during this bull run.”
To make the comparison feel less abstract, Quantum Ascend argued the current chop looks structurally similar to a prior period before ADA’s last breakout — a fractal-style read. “You guys notice the similarities here?” he asked, describing how both moves get “stopped out a little bit above the 0.5,” roll over, then revisit the lower trendline before pushing back to the top of the range.
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And then he widened the lens beyond Cardano, tossing in a fairly aggressive macro view that sits underneath the bullish alt targets. “I honestly, guys, across the board right now, I believe that these corrections are coming to an end,” he said. “I think we have a blow off top in stock markets, in crypto and all of that coming.”
But he also stressed he’s not married to a long-duration “supercycle” narrative. “I am not a long-term bull,” he said. “I am not [predicting a] Bitcoin super cycle to $400K.” His current bitcoin top, he added, is $155,000 — and he expects alts to “severely outperform” in the final leg before “it’s all over.”
On the math side, Quantum Ascend framed $10.40 as big, but not absurd in a market that has already produced outsized multiples. “If we were to get that 1040, 25X, right?” he said, comparing it to prior cycles where ADA saw moves he pegged at “168X” and “75X.”
“So we’re just talking about a 25er,” he added. “Not that crazy when you put it into perspective.”
At press time, ADA traded at $0.4022.
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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Jake Simmons
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ADA price action. Source: Coingecko