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  • Biden, McCarthy finalize debt-ceiling deal, but now must sell it to Congress

    Biden, McCarthy finalize debt-ceiling deal, but now must sell it to Congress

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    The Democratic president and Republican speaker spoke with each other Sunday evening as negotiators rushed to draft the bill text so lawmakers can review compromises that neither the hard-right or left flank is likely to support. Instead, the leaders are working to gather backing from the political middle as Congress hurries toward votes before a June 5 deadline to avert a damaging federal default.

    “Good news,” Biden declared Sunday evening at the White House.

    “The agreement prevents the worst possible crisis, a default, for the first time in our nation’s history,” he said. “Takes the threat of a catastrophic default off the table.”

    The president urged both parties in Congress to come together for swift passage. “The speaker and I made clear from the start that the only way forward was a bipartisan agreement,” he said.

    The compromise announced late Saturday includes spending cuts but risks angering some lawmakers as they take a closer look at the concessions. Biden told reporters at the White House upon his return from Delaware that he was confident the plan will make it to his desk.

    McCarthy, too, was confident in remarks at the Capitol: “At the end of the day, people can look together to be able to pass this.”

    The days ahead will determine whether Washington is again able to narrowly avoid a default on U.S. debt, as it has done many times before, or whether the global economy enters a potential crisis.

    In the United States, a default could cause financial markets to freeze up and spark an international financial crisis. Analysts say millions of jobs would vanish, borrowing and unemployment rates would jump, and a stock-market plunge could erase trillions of dollars in household wealth. It would all but shatter the $24 trillion market for Treasury debt.

    Anxious retirees and others were already making contingency plans for missed checks, with the next Social Security payments due soon as the world watches American leadership at stake.

    McCarthy and his negotiators portrayed the deal as delivering for Republicans though it fell well short of the sweeping spending cuts they sought. Top White House officials were briefing Democratic lawmakers and phoning some directly to try to shore up support.

    As Sunday dragged on, negotiators labored to write the bill text and lawmakers raised questions.

    McCarthy told reporters at the Capitol on Sunday that the agreement “doesn’t get everything everybody wanted,” but that was to be expected in a divided government. Privately, he told lawmakers on a conference call that Democrats “got nothing” they wanted.

    A White House statement from the president, issued after Biden and McCarthy spoke by phone Saturday evening and an agreement in principle followed, said the deal “prevents what could have been a catastrophic default.”

    Support from both parties will be needed to win congressional approval before a projected June 5 government default on U.S. debts. Lawmakers are not expected to return to work from the Memorial Day weekend before Tuesday, at the earliest, and McCarthy has promised lawmakers he will abide by the rule to post any bill for 72 hours before voting.

    Negotiators agreed to some Republican demands for increased work requirements for recipients of food stamps that House Democrats had called a nonstarter.

    With the outlines of an agreement in place, the legislative package could be drafted and shared with lawmakers in time for House votes as soon as Wednesday, and later in the coming week in the Senate.

    Central to the compromise is a two-year budget deal that would essentially hold spending flat for 2024, while boosting it for defense and veterans, and capping increases at 1% for 2025. That’s alongside raising the debt limit for two years, pushing the volatile political issue past the next presidential election.

    Driving hard to impose tougher work requirements on government aid recipients, Republicans achieved some of what they wanted. It ensures people ages 49 to 54 with food stamp aid would have to meet work requirements if they are able-bodied and without dependents. Biden was able to secure waivers for veterans and homeless people.

    The deal puts in place changes in the landmark National Environmental Policy Act designating “a single lead agency” to develop environmental reviews, in hopes of streamlining the process.

    It halts some funds to hire new Internal Revenue Service agents as Republicans demanded, and rescinds some $30 billion for coronavirus relief, keeping $5 billion for developing the next generation of COVID-19 vaccines.

    The deal came together after Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told Congress that the United States could default on its debt obligations by June 5 — four days later than previously estimated — if lawmakers did not act in time. Lifting the nation’s debt limit, now at $31 trillion, allows more borrowing to pay bills already insurred.

    McCarthy commands only a slim Republican majority in the House, where hard-right conservatives may resist any deal as insufficient as they try to slash spending. By compromising with Democrats, he risks losing support from his own members, setting up a career-challenging moment for the new speaker.

    “I think you’re going to get a majority of Republicans voting for this bill,” McCarthy said on “Fox News Sunday,” adding that because Biden backed it, “I think there’s going to be a lot of Democrats that will vote for it, too.”

    House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries of New York said on CBS’ “Face the Nation” that he expected there will be Democratic support but he declined to provide a number. Asked whether he could guarantee there would not be a default, he said, “Yes.”

    A 100-strong group of moderates in the New Democratic Coalition gave a crucial nod of support on Sunday, saying in a statement it was confident that Biden and his team “delivered a viable, bipartisan solution to end this crisis” and were working to ensure the agreement would receive support from both parties.

    The coalition could provide enough support for McCarthy to make up for members in the right flank of his party who have expressed opposition before the bill’s wording was even released.

    It also takes pressure off Biden, facing criticism from progressives for giving into what they call hostage-taking by Republicans.

    Democratic Rep. Pramila Jayapal of Washington state, who leads the Congressional Progressive Caucus, told CBS that the White House and Jeffries should worry about whether caucus members will support the agreement.

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  • Texas House votes to impeach Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton

    Texas House votes to impeach Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton

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    The Texas House of Representatives voted Saturday to impeach scandal-plagued Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton, triggering his immediate suspension from duties and setting up a trial that could permanently remove the state’s top lawyer from office.

    The 121-23 vote constitutes an abrupt downfall for one of the GOP’s most prominent legal combatants, who in 2020 asked the U.S. Supreme Court to overturn President Joe Biden’s electoral defeat of Donald Trump. It makes Paxton only the third sitting official in Texas’ nearly 200-year history to have been impeached.

    The historic vote came after a months-long House investigation into the three-term attorney general that resulted in 20 charges alleging sweeping abuses of power, including obstruction of justice, bribery and abuse of public trust.

    Paxton, 60, is just the third sitting official to be impeached in the state’s nearly 200-year history.

    The House is controlled by Republicans and the matter now moves to the Republican-controlled state Senate. A two-thirds vote by the 31-member Senate would be enough to remove him from office.

    Paxton’s wife, two-term state Sen. Angela Paxton, could be among those casting a vote on her husband’s political future.

    Paxton has criticized the impeachment effort as an attempt to “overthrow the will of the people and disenfranchise the voters of our state.” He has said the charges are based on “hearsay and gossip, parroting long-disproven claims.”

    Texas’ Republican-led House of Representatives launched historic impeachment proceedings against Attorney General Ken Paxton earlier on Saturday as Donald Trump defended the scandal-plagued GOP official from a vote that could lead to his ouster.

    The House convened in the afternoon to debate whether to impeach and suspend Paxton over allegations of bribery, abuse of public trust and that he is unfit for office — just some of the accusations that have trailed Texas’ top lawyer for most of his three terms.

    The hearing set up what could be a remarkably sudden downfall for one of the GOP’s most prominent legal combatants, who in 2020 asked the U.S. Supreme Court to overturn President Joe Biden’s electoral defeat of Trump.

    Paxton, 60, has decried what he called “political theater” based on “hearsay and gossip, parroting long-disproven claims,” and said it’s an attempt to disenfranchise voters who reelected him in November. It’s unclear where the attorney general was Saturday, but during the House proceeding he was sharing statements from supporters on Twitter.

    “No one person should be above the law, least not the top law enforcement officer of the state of Texas,” Rep. David Spiller, a Republican member of the committee that investigated Paxton, said in opening statements.

    Rep. Ann Johnson, a Democratic member, told lawmakers that Texas’ “top cop is on the take.” Rep. Charlie Geren, a Republican committee member, said without elaborating that Paxton had called lawmakers and threatened them with political “consequences.”

    As the articles of impeachment were laid out, some of the lawmakers shook their heads.

    Paxton has been under FBI investigation for years over accusations that he used his office to help a donor and was separately indicted on securities fraud charges in 2015, though he has yet to stand trial. Until this week, his fellow Republicans had taken a muted stance on the allegations.

    Lawmakers allied with Paxton tried to discredit the investigation by noting that hired investigators, not panel members, interviewed witnesses. They also said several of the investigators had voted in Democratic primaries, tainting the impeachment, and that they had too little time to review evidence.

    “I perceive it could be political weaponization,” said Rep. Tony Tinderholt, one of the House’s most conservative members. Republican Rep. John Smithee compared the proceeding to “a Saturday mob out for an afternoon lynching.”

    Impeachment requires just a simple majority in the House.

    Texas’ top elected Republicans had been notably quiet about Paxton this week. But on Saturday both Trump and U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz came to his defense, with the senator calling the impeachment process “a travesty” and saying the attorney general’s legal troubles should be left to the courts.

    “Free Ken Paxton,” Trump wrote on his social media platform Truth Social, warning that if House Republicans proceeded with the process, “I will fight you.”

    Abbott, who lauded Paxton while swearing him in for a third term in January, has remained silent. The governor spoke at a Memorial Day service in the House chamber about three hours before the impeachment proceedings began.

    Republican House Speaker Dade Phelan also attended but the two appeared to exchange few words, and Abbott left without commenting to reporters.

    In one sense, Paxton’s political peril arrived with dizzying speed: The House committee’s investigation came to light Tuesday, and by Thursday lawmakers issued 20 articles of impeachment.

    But to Paxton’s detractors, the rebuke was years overdue.

    In 2014, he admitted to violating Texas securities law, and a year later he was indicted on securities fraud charges in his hometown near Dallas, accused of defrauding investors in a tech startup. He pleaded not guilty to two felony counts carrying a potential sentence of five to 99 years.

    He opened a legal defense fund and accepted $100,000 from an executive whose company was under investigation by Paxton’s office for Medicaid fraud.

    An additional $50,000 was donated by an Arizona retiree whose son Paxton later hired to a high-ranking job but was soon fired after displaying child pornography in a meeting.

    In 2020, Paxton intervened in a Colorado mountain community where a Texas donor and college classmate faced removal from his lakeside home under coronavirus orders.

    But what ultimately unleased the impeachment push was Paxton’s relationship with Austin real estate developer Nate Paul.

    In 2020, eight top aides told the FBI they were concerned Paxton was misusing his office to help Paul over the developer’s unproven claims that an elaborate conspiracy to steal $200 million of his properties was afoot.

    The FBI searched Paul’s home in 2019, but he has not been charged and denies wrongdoing. Paxton also told staff members he had an affair with a woman who, it later emerged, worked for Paul.

    The impeachment accuses Paxton of attempting to interfere in foreclosure lawsuits and issuing legal opinions to benefit Paul. Its bribery charges allege that Paul employed the woman with whom Paxton had an affair in exchange for legal help and that he paid for expensive renovations to the attorney general’s home.

    A senior lawyer for Paxton’s office, Chris Hilton, said Friday that the attorney general paid for all repairs and renovations.

    Other charges, including lying to investigators, date back to Paxton’s still-pending securities fraud indictment.

    Four of the aides who reported Paxton to the FBI later sued under Texas’ whistleblower law, and in February he agreed to settle the case for $3.3 million. The House committee said it was Paxton seeking legislative approval for the payout that sparked their probe.

    “But for Paxton’s own request for a taxpayer-funded settlement over his wrongful conduct, Paxton would not be facing impeachment,” the panel said.

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  • U.S. stocks close sharply higher, with tech shares rallying on hopes for debt-ceiling deal

    U.S. stocks close sharply higher, with tech shares rallying on hopes for debt-ceiling deal

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    U.S. stocks ended sharply higher Friday, with the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite leading the way up, as hopes rose for a debt-ceiling deal in Congress.

    The Nasdaq and S&P 500 also closed at their highest levels since August 2022.

    How stock indexes traded

    • The Dow Jones Industrial Average
      DJIA,
      +1.00%

      rose 328.69 points, or 1%, to close at 33,093.34, snapping a five-day losing streak.

    • The S&P 500
      SPX,
      +1.30%

      gained 54.17 points, or 1.3%, to finish at 4,205.45.

    • The Nasdaq Composite
      COMP,
      +2.19%

      jumped 277.59 points, or 2.2%, to end at 12,975.69.

    For the week, the Dow fell 1%, while the S&P 500 edged up 0.3% and the Nasdaq advanced 2.5%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq booked a fifth straight week of gains for its longest win streak since the stretch ending in early February, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

    What drove markets

    Stocks rose ahead of Memorial-Day weekend as investors were encouraged by reports suggesting that Congress was close to a deal to raise the U.S. debt ceiling.

    “It’s a little bit of a relief rally on the debt ceiling,” said Ryan Belanger, founder and managing principal at Claro Advisors, in a phone interview Friday.

    While Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen says the U.S. could run out of money as soon as June 1 if the debt ceiling is not raised, other projections estimate the federal government may have until the middle of the month.

    “I think we’ll all be able to exhale by mid-June, although it will likely be an increasingly volatile market environment between now and then,” said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at Invesco. “Once that drama recedes, I think all eyes will be back on central banks.”

    Belanger said that he’s expecting the Federal Reserve may raise its benchmark interest rate by another quarter percentage point in June to battle high inflation.

    The Bureau of Economic Analysis said Friday that the personal-consumption-expenditures-price index showed core inflation, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.4% in April. That’s more than the 0.3% increase that economists had expected, as core inflation rose 4.7% year over year from a rate of 4.6% in March.

    Rubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics, said inflation appeared to be moving “in the wrong direction” at the start of the second quarter.

    Fed-funds-futures traders now see a 65.9% chance of the Fed hiking its rate by a quarter percentage point in June, and a 34.1% probability of a pause, according to the CME’s FedWatch Tool, at last check. In the bond market, two-year Treasury yields
    TMUBMUSD02Y,
    4.563%

    rose 7.9 basis points Friday to 4.587%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

    PCE data also showed consumer spending sprang back to life in April, rising 0.8%, the largest gain in three months to surpass expectations, as Americans bought more cars and spent more on services.

    “The consumer is hanging in there,” said Victoria Fernandez, chief market strategist at Crossmark Global Investments, in a phone interview Friday. “I don’t think we want to underestimate the ability of the consumer to continue spending, even if they’re spending a little bit less.”

    Meanwhile, the U.S. Census Bureau said Friday that orders for manufactured durable goods in the U.S. jumped 1.1% in April. The gain was largely driven by military spending, but business investment rose sharply as well.

    Updated GDP data released earlier this week showed the U.S. economy grew at annual pace of 1.3% during the first quarter, above previous estimates.

    For now, debt-ceiling optimism and enthusiasm surrounding artificial intelligence are outweighing concerns about the potential for another Fed rate hike, according to Fernandez. “I just don’t think there is the demand destruction that the Fed is looking for at this point in time,” she said, as the unemployment rate remains low.

    Fernandez said she anticipates the Fed could pause its interest-rate hikes in June to asses the economy before potentially raising its policy rate again in July.

    Technology stocks have helped propel gains this week in the U.S. equities markets, with Nvidia’s stock
    NVDA,
    +2.54%

    surging Thursday on optimism surrounding its AI-fueled outlook for sales in the second quarter.

    The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has soared 24% this year through Friday. “I would be taking profits on the Nasdaq,” said Belanger, suggesting some stocks in the index have become frothy amid the AI buzz.

    Companies in focus

    —Steve Goldstein contributed to this report.

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  • U.S. trade deficit in goods leaps 17% as exports retreat

    U.S. trade deficit in goods leaps 17% as exports retreat

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    The numbers: The trade deficit in goods shot up 17% in April to a six-month high of $96.8 billion, reflecting a rebound in imports and a broad decline in American exports.

    The trade gap in goods rose from $82.7 billion in March, the Census Bureau said.

    Larger deficits subtract from gross domestic product, the official scorecard for the economy.

    An advanced estimate of wholesale inventories, meanwhile, showed a 0.2% decline in April. Retail inventories rose 0.2% in the month, according to an early estimate.

    Higher inventories add to GDP, but the mixed results suggest little impact.

    Key details: Exports dropped 5.5% to $163.3 billion. U.S. companies shipped fewer cars, food, consumer goods, oil and other industrial supplies.

    Imports of goods rose 1.8% to $260 billion in April, mostly because of higher oil prices and strong demand among consumers for new cars and trucks.

    Big picture: The rebound in imports suggests more capacity for consumers to spend. Car sales this year have been particularly strong as more models become available and dealers offer more discounts.

    Auto sales fell last year to the lowest level in 11 years owing to a shortage of vehicles and record prices.

    The slowdown in inventory growth, however, indicates businesses are unsure about future demand. They are hedging their bets and don’t want to get caught with excess inventory like they did last year.

    Market reaction: The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +1.00%

    and S&P 500
    SPX,
    +1.30%

    rose in Friday trades.

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  • ‘Don’t kiss your dollars goodbye just yet’: IMF chief sees U.S. dollar remaining global reserve currency

    ‘Don’t kiss your dollars goodbye just yet’: IMF chief sees U.S. dollar remaining global reserve currency

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    ‘Don’t kiss your dollars goodbye just yet.’


    — Kristalina Georgieva, managing director, International Monetary Fund

    Don’t count International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva among the naysayers expecting the U.S. currency to lose its luster due to “de-dollarization.”

    In remarks at an economic forum in Doha Wednesday, she argued that the U.S. dollar was likely to retain its status, Reuters reported.

    “We don’t expect a rapid shift in [dollar] reserves because the reason the dollar is a reserve currency is because of the strength of the U.S. economy and the depth of its capital markets,” she said.

    A debate over de-dollarization — countries moving away from the dollar as a reserve and medium of exchange — has raged this year. The question is whether a meaningful shift away from the dollar is under way that would have implications for the U.S. or global economy.

    See: Why Washington and Wall Street are worried about the ‘de-dollarization’ threat

    Skeptics of de-dollarization contend that moves to price some commodity transactions in units other than the dollar pose little threat to the currency’s dominant role in the financial system, while the greenback’s share of global forex reserves has always tended to ebb and flow.

    The ICE U.S. Dollar Index
    DXY,
    +0.38%
    ,
    a measure of the currency against a basket of six major rivals, was little changed after hitting a roughly 2-month high on Tuesday. The index, which rose sharply in 2022, is little changed on the year.

    On a more immediately pressing matter, Georgieva played down the risk of a default by the U.S. government as the White House and congressional Republicans continue to negotiate over lifting the debt ceiling. Such showdowns are a somewhat regular occurrence in the U.S., she noted.

    “History tells us that the U.S. would wrestle with this notion of default … but come the 11th hour it gets resolved and I have confidence we will see that play again,” Georgieva said.

    The Treasury Department has warned the U.S. could find itself unable to pay its bills as early as June 1 — the so-called X-date — unless the debt ceiling is raised or otherwise addressed. The White House and congressional negotiators continue to talk.

    Worries over the potential for default have roiled the market for short-term Treasury bills, with traders and investors shunning paper that would come due around the X-date.

    Stocks fell Tuesday, as an agreement remained elusive. Major indexes were down again Wednesday morning, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    -0.77%

    down around 192 points, or 0.6%, and the S&P 500
    SPX,
    -0.73%

    off 0.7%, though stock indexes remain near multimonth highs.

    Don’t miss: A debt-ceiling deal will spark a new worry: Who will buy the deluge of Treasury bills?

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  • Greek stocks surge after commanding victory by ruling conservatives

    Greek stocks surge after commanding victory by ruling conservatives

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    Greek stocks surged on Monday after an unexpectedly easy victory for the ruling conservative party.

    The Greek Athex Composite
    GD,
    +6.09%

    jumped 7%, following the landslide victory of the conservative party led by Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis. The U.S.-listed Global X MSCI Greece ETF
    GREK,
    +7.50%

    rose 6% in premarket action.

    Mitsotakis’s New Democracy was leading the left-leaning Syriza party by more than 20 percentage points. Even so, it doesn’t look like it will have an outright majority, though the winning party under Greek rules gets bonus seats in a second round, which is likely to be held in either late June or early July.

    From the archives (June 2012): Polarized Greece heads to the polls amid financial crisis

    The victory was unexpectedly large following a railway disaster and a wiretap scandal.

    The yield on the 10-year Greek government bond
    TMBMKGR-10Y,
    3.876%

    fell 20 basis points to 3.81%.

    Greece is on the verge of obtaining an investment-grade rating and achieved a positive primary balance — that is, a budget minus interest costs — last year.

    Thanks to the financial assistance it’s received, the weighted average maturity of Greek debt was 17.5 years, according to Greece’s public-debt management agency, making it less susceptible to the rise in European Central Bank interest rates than other countries.

    According to Goldman Sachs, the Greek debt-to-GDP ratio will fall by almost 10 percentage points in the next three years.

    Market Extra (April 2015): Charts show current version of Greek crisis nothing like 2012, so far

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  • The U.S. economy might still be too strong for its own good

    The U.S. economy might still be too strong for its own good

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    The economy is slowing all right, but oddly, it might still be too strong to get inflation to fall much faster and help the U.S. avoid recession.

    Gross domestic product, the official scorecard of the economy, decelerated to a 1.1% annual rate of growth in the first three months of this year. That’s down from 2.6% and 3.2% in the prior two quarters.

    The slowdown in growth is exactly what the Federal Reserve is aiming for.

    The central bank is trying to pull a rabbit out of a hat by cooling off the economy enough to extinguish the highest inflation since the 1980s and avoid a recession at the same time.

    To achieve its goal, the Fed has jacked up a key U.S. interest rate above 5% from near zero over the past 15 months. Higher borrowing costs slow the economy by reducing consumer spending and business investment.

    The strategy appears to be working. The yearly rate of inflation tapered off to 4.9% in April from a 40-year peak of 9.1% last summer.

    Yet it’s far from clear the economy will slow enough to put inflation on a track to reach the Fed’s 2% target without further interest-rate increases. The Fed raised rates again earlier this month, but signaled it hopes to stand pat for the rest of the year.

    The early evidence in the second quarter is mixed.

    Consumer attitudes about the economy soured in May amid talk of recession and looming U.S. debt-ceiling crisis, for one thing.

    Americans have also cut spending on many big-ticket items such as furniture and appliances and they are leery of taking on major new debt. Since last summer the savings rate has almost doubled to 5.1% from a 17-year low .

    The latest earnings report from Home Depot underscores the problem.

    Home Depot posted lower first-quarter profits and said sales this year could fall for the first time since 2009, when the U.S. was exiting a severe recession.

    The popular retailer sells many expensive goods such electric tools and appliances and provides the materials needed for many major home projects. These are the sorts of purchases Americans are putting on hold.

    Yet other measures show the economy is still expanding at a modest pace — and that it may have even perked up.

    Take retail sales. They rose in April for the first time in three months, led by an increase in auto sales.

    “Retail sales came in strong again, showing how the consumer isn’t showing any signs of slowing down,” said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at the Independent Advisor Alliance 

    Steady demand for new cars and trucks, in turn, has spurred automakers to ramp up, especially with shortages of key parts continuing to ease. U.S. industrial production rose 0.5% in April after stalling out for two months, mostly because of the auto industry.

    Auto sales are on track to increase sharply this year after falling to an 11-year low in 2022. Why is that a big deal? Recessions are basically unheard of absent an outright decline in car buying.

    It’s not just cars, either.

    Consumers aren’t spending as much on goods, but services are another matter. They have spent the bulk of their discretionary income on travel, recreation and dining out, the sort of things that are the first to go when times get tough.

    Hotel bookings, plane-ticket purchases and dinner reservations are all near pre-pandemic peaks — definitely not a sign of an approaching recession.

    The early read on second-quarter GDP, not surprisingly, is fairly positive. The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow estimates growth at 2.9%. JPMorgan is more modest at 1%. And Nomura is at 0.7%.

    What’s keeping the economy going despite sharply higher borrowing costs is the strongest labor market in decades. Businesses are still hiring and the economy is still adding jobs, keeping the unemployment rate at an extremely low 3.4%.

    Even a recent increase in layoffs, as represented by rising jobless claims, overstates emerging weakness in the labor market. Major fraud in Massachusetts appears to have exaggerated how many job losses are taking place in the economy.

    A tight labor market would normally be a great thing. Now it’s a double-edged sword.

    Workers are reaping bigger pay increases to help them cope with higher prices, but rapidly rising wages are also adding to high inflation. Businesses have tried to offset higher labor costs partly by charging more for their goods and services.

    The uber-strong labor market leaves the Fed in a bind.

    If job openings and hiring don’t weaken a lot further, the economy is likely to grow fast enough to maintain the upward pressure on inflation. The Fed could be forced to come off the sidelines and raise interest rates again, raising the odds of a recession.

    Several senior Fed officials indicated this week they have not seen enough evidence to support a freeze in interest rates for the rest of the year.

    “Should inflation remain high and the labor market remain tight, additional monetary policy tightening will likely be appropriate,” said Fed Gov.  Michelle Bowman.

    Even if the Fed doesn’t raise rates again, though, many Wall Street
    DJIA,
    -0.33%

    economists think a recession is inevitable by the end of the year. They view the seeming green shoots in April as a feint, pointing to softer consumer spending, waning business investment and the slumping housing and manufacturing industries.

    “The march to recession continues, with some rest stops along the way,” said chief economist Steve Blitz of TS Lombard.

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  • Biden, McCarthy to meet in person Monday after ‘productive’ debt-ceiling talk

    Biden, McCarthy to meet in person Monday after ‘productive’ debt-ceiling talk

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    WASHINGTON — President Joe Biden will meet in person Monday with House Speaker Kevin McCarthy about averting an economy-wrecking federal default, and the Republican leader expressed cautious optimism about a possible debt ceiling compromise as Washington races to raise America’s borrowing limit before the funds could be depleted early next month.

    The leaders spoke by phone Sunday while the president was returning home on Air Force One after the Group of Seven summit in Japan. McCarthy, R-Calif., told reporters at the Capitol that the call was “productive” and that the on-again, off-again negotiations between his staff and White House representatives would resume in the evening.

    Both sides have said progress was being made but that they remain far apart, and talks had lapsed for part of the weekend. Biden’s Treasury Department has said it could run out of cash as soon as June 1, and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said Sunday, “I think that that’s a hard deadline.”

    Read on: Biden says in Hiroshima press conference that Republicans must ‘move from their extreme positions’ on debt limit

    McCarthy said after his call with Biden that “I think we can solve some of these problems if he understands what we’re looking at.” The speaker added, “But I’ve been very clear to him from the very beginning. We have to spend less money than we spent last year.”

    McCarthy emerged from that conversation sounding upbeat and was careful not to criticize Biden’s trip, as he had before, suggesting the president had used his time overseas to insist on Democratic positions that made compromise harder. He did caution, “There’s no agreement on anything.”

    The speaker also gently praised the White House’s negotiating team, saying the sides may have “philosophical” disagreements, but could reach “common ground.”

    “We’re looking at how do we have a victory for this country. How do we solve problems,” McCarthy said. He said he did not think the final legislation would remake the federal budget and the country’s debt, but at least “put us on a path to change the behavior of this runaway spending.”

    The White House confirmed the Monday meeting and late Sunday talks but did not elaborate on the leaders’ call.

    Earlier, Biden used his concluding news conference in Hiroshima, Japan to warn House Republicans that they must move off their “extreme positions” over raising the debt limit and that there would be no agreement to avoid a catastrophic default only on their terms.

    Biden made clear that “it’s time for Republicans to accept that there is no deal to be made solely, solely, on their partisan terms.” He said he had done his part in attempting to raise the borrowing limit so the government can keep paying its bills, by agreeing to significant cuts in spending. “Now it’s time for the other side to move from their extreme position.”

    Biden had been scheduled to travel from Hiroshima to Papua New Guinea and Australia, but cut short his trip in light of the strained negotiations with Capitol Hill.

    Even with a new wave of tax revenue expected soon, perhaps giving both sides more time to negotiate, Yellen said on NBC’s “Meet the Press” that “the odds of reaching June 15, while being able to pay all of our bills, is quite low.”

    GOP lawmakers are holding tight to demands for sharp spending cuts, rejecting the alternatives proposed by the White House for reducing deficits.

    Republicans want work requirements on the Medicaid health care program, though the Biden administration has countered that millions of people could lose coverage. The GOP additionally introduced new cuts to food aid by restricting states’ ability to waive work requirements in places with high joblessness. That idea, when floated under President Donald Trump, was estimated to cause 700,000 people to lose their food benefits.

    GOP lawmakers are also seeking cuts in IRS money and asking the White House to accept parts of their proposed immigration overhaul.

    The White House has countered by keeping defense and nondefense spending flat next year, which would save $90 billion in the 2024 budget year and $1 trillion over 10 years.

    “I think that we can reach an agreement,” Biden said, though he added this about Republicans: “I can’t guarantee that they wouldn’t force a default by doing something outrageous.”

    Republicans had also rejected White House proposals to raise revenues in order to further lower deficits. Among the proposals the GOP objects to are policies that would enable Medicare to pay less for prescription drugs and the closing of a dozen tax loopholes. Republicans have refused to roll back the Trump-era tax breaks on corporations and wealthy households as Biden’s own budget has proposed.

    Biden, nonetheless, insisted that “revenue is not off the table.”

    For months, Biden had refused to engage in talks over the debt limit, contending that Republicans in Congress were trying to use the borrowing limit vote as leverage to extract administration concessions on other policy priorities.

    But with the June 1 potential deadline looming and Republicans putting their own legislation on the table, the White House launched talks on a budget deal that could accompany an increase in the debt limit.

    Biden’s decision to set up a call with McCarthy came after another start-stop day with no outward signs of progress. Food was brought to the negotiating room at the Capitol on Saturday morning, only to be carted away hours later. Talks, though, could resume later Sunday after the Biden-McCarthy conversation.

    The president tried to assure leaders attending the meeting of the world’s most powerful democracies that the United States would not default. U.S. officials said leaders were concerned, but largely confident that Biden and American lawmakers would resolve the crisis.

    The president, though, said he was ruling out the possibility of taking action on his own to avoid a default. Any such steps, including suggestions to invoke the 14th Amendment as a solution, would become tied up in the courts.

    “That’s a question that I think is unresolved,” Biden said, adding he hopes to try to get the judiciary to weigh in on the notion for the future.

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  • Suddenly booming U.S. stocks set for pause as futures inch higher

    Suddenly booming U.S. stocks set for pause as futures inch higher

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    U.S. stock futures paused Friday after a two-day rally, as investors focused on debt-ceiling talks and an address from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.

    What’s happening

    • Dow Jones Industrial Average futures
      YM00,
      +0.10%

      rose 17 points, or 0.1%, to 33635.

    • S&P 500 futures
      ES00,
      +0.15%

      gained 4 points, or 0.1%, to 4216.

    • Nasdaq 100 futures
      NQ00,
      +0.18%

      increased 12 points, or 0.1%, to 13906.

    On Thursday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +0.34%

    rose 115 points, or 0.34%, to 33536, the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.94%

    increased 39 points, or 0.94%, to 4198, and the Nasdaq Composite
    COMP,
    +1.51%

    gained 188 points, or 1.51%, to 12689.

    What’s driving markets

    The benchmark S&P 500 closed at its highest levels since Aug. 25, as the Nasdaq 100 also finished with a boom.

    Investors who had been betting against stocks appear to be scrambling to buy them as the U.S. economy shows signs of continuing to grow, while mostly hopeful signs have emerged from negotiations to lift the debt ceiling.

    Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to step up to the mic at 11 a.m. Eastern — in a conversation with former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke — following recent commentary from central bank officials including Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan who seem ready to at least consider raising interest rates next month.

    Friday also will see the expiration of key options contracts.

    One segment missing out has been U.S.-listed Chinese stocks, as the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF
    KWEB,
    -4.18%

    ended 4% lower on Thursday and has dropped 11% this year. The Hang Seng
    HSI,
    -1.40%

    closed 1.4% lower on Friday.

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  • opaque illustrative responsible

    opaque illustrative responsible

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    I always was hard of hearing. From birth i couldn’t hear out of one ear and wore a hearing aid in the other. It never bothered me or impacted my life as my hearing sounded “normal volume” as i dont know what better hearing is like. Suddenly this year back in February my good ear plummeted down to near 0. And was very quickly in March told that my only option is cochlear implant. Which I got end of April. My activation isn’t until early June, and I’m at complete 0 hearing. The deafness isn’t bad at all, what sucks is that since my hearing took such a plummet I got some heavy tinnitus which is very difficult day in day out. I’m told the cochlear implant will suppress if not completely erase it. Been a very hard half year, basically had my life flipped upside down.

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  • Ray Dalio says debt-ceiling debate sets stage for ‘disastrous financial collapse’

    Ray Dalio says debt-ceiling debate sets stage for ‘disastrous financial collapse’

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    ‘Increasing the debt limit the way Congress and presidents have repeatedly done, and most likely will do this time around, will mean there will be no meaningful limit on the debt. This will eventually lead to a disastrous financial collapse.‘ 


    — Ray Dalio, founder, Bridgewater Associates

    That’s billionaire investor and Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio, warning via a post on LinkedIn that while the U.S. government is likely to avoid a first-ever debt default, a lack of effective restraint on spending spells big trouble ahead.

    Dalio wrote that he doesn’t expect the battle between the Biden administration and congressional Republicans over a debt-limit increase to lead to a default — or if it does, it will be resolved quickly. But any agreement is unlikely to deal with the “big issues” in a substantive way, and will instead likely tweak things in ways that won’t matter much, making no real commitment to cutting the deficit in future years.

    See: Debt-ceiling standoff: Here’s what could go into a bipartisan deal

    House Speaker Keven McCarthy, R-Calif., told reporters Thursday that he thinks an eventual bill to raise the borrowing limit needs to be on the House floor next week and that he can “see the path.” McCarthy and President Joe Biden have designated representatives to negotiate a deal while Biden is attending a G-7 meeting in Japan.

    Both have said they are confident a deal will be reached before the government is unable to pay its bills, which could come as early as June 1. Debt-ceiling worries have made for volatile trading in short-term Treasury bills that would be affected by a potential default, but concerns have yet to exert lasting pressure on the stock market.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +0.34%

    rose 115.14 points, or 0.3%, on Thursday, while the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.94%

    rallied 0.9% to close at a nearly nine-month high.

    Read: ‘Doomsday machine’: Here’s what could happen if the debt ceiling is breached

    Dalio argues that continuing along the same path isn’t sustainable “because increasing debt assets and liabilities faster than income eventually makes it impossible to simultaneously pay lender-creditors a high enough real (i.e., inflation-adjusted) interest rate to have them hold the debt assets without having that real interest rate too high for the borrower-debtors to be able to service their debts.”

    When the amount of debt sold is greater than what debt buyers want to absorb, central banks must decide whether to let interest rates rise to balance the supply and demand, which will crush debtors and the economy, or print money to buy the debt. The latter option is inflationary and encourages debtholders to sell, making the debt imbalance worse.

    “In either case that creates a debt crisis that is like the runs on the banks that we have been seeing, but with government bonds being what is sold and the run on the bank being a run on the central bank,” Dalio wrote.

    At the same time. not increasing the debt limit will lead to default and to cutbacks on basics for those who can’t afford cutbacks, causing financial havoc and social upheaval, Dalio said.

    An agreement to raise the limit would ideally be accompanied by an agreement between Biden and McCarthy that overcomes the objections of the “more extreme” members of both parties, Dalio wrote, who either don’t want to lift the debt ceiling or aren’t willing to compromise on a long-term budget approach.

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  • A stock-market milestone: Apple is now worth more than the entire Russell 2000

    A stock-market milestone: Apple is now worth more than the entire Russell 2000

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    The market capitalization of Apple Inc. has surpassed that of the entire Russell 2000 for two weeks, the longest stretch on record, according to Bloomberg data.

    Apple’s market capitalization, which measures how much the company is worth based on the value of all its outstanding stock, surpassed that of the Russell 2000
    RUT,
    +1.19%

    on April 27 and has held higher through Monday. The only other time that occurred was Sept. 1, 2020, when Apple’s valuation passed that of the small-cap index for only a day.

    Apple’s premium over this group of small-cap stocks continued to widen over the past two weeks as the consumer-technology giant reported earnings that surpassed Wall Street analysts’ expectations.

    With a market capitalization of roughly $2.7 trillion, Apple is now worth roughly $100 billion more than the combined value of all 2,000 stocks in the Russell 2000, according to Bloomberg data shared with MarketWatch.

    To be sure, the gap narrowed somewhat on Monday as Apple shares declined by 0.4% to $171.80, while the Russell 2000 gained 1.3% to trade at 1,763.

    A team of stock-market analysts from Bespoke Investment Group illustrated the trend in a chart shared on Twitter Monday.

    U.S. equity benchmarks have powered higher in 2023, but some say the strength in popular indexs like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite has masked weakness in other corners of the market.

    Both the S&P 500, which has risen more than 7% year-to-date, and the Nasdaq Composite, which has risen nearly 18%, owe the bulk of their gains to a handful of megacap technology stocks including Apple, Microsoft Corp.
    MSFT,
    +0.16%
    ,
    Alphabet Inc.
    GOOG,
    -0.81%

    and Nvidia Corp.
    NVDA,
    +2.16%

    The top 10 stocks in the S&P 500 hold a 29% weight in the index, and have been responsible for around 70% of its year-to-date performance gains, according to a MarketWatch report from last week.

    See: The S&P 500 is top-heavy with tech. Here’s what that says about future stock-market returns.

    The Russell 2000, meanwhile, is essentially unchanged since the start of 2023. Apple, by comparison, has risen more than 32% since Jan. 1, according to FactSet data. The relative weakness in small-caps has inspired discussion about whether this might be a buying opportunity, as market strategists told Barron’s.

    See: Small-Cap Stocks Have Been Crushed. 3 With Big Potential.

    Small-caps have struggled against a plethora of headwinds since the start of 2023. Shrinking corporate earnings, a string of regional-bank failures and signs of a looming recession have taken a heavy toll. Facing so much uncertainty, equity investors have sought safety in shares of megacap technology names this year following a punishing selloff in 2022.

    “It is pretty incredible that one company could overtake an entire universe of small-cap stocks in terms of size,” said Callie Cox, U.S. equity strategist at eToro, during a phone interview with MarketWatch. “To me, it really speaks to how beaten down small-caps are.”

    When Apple reported earnings for the quarter ended in March last week, the company’s management revealed a surprise growth in its iPhone business, which helped to overcoming a shortfall in Mac revenue. The company also promised investors billions more in dividends and stock repurchases, which helped to boost the stock price. Apple’s shares traded higher in response.

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  • U.S. stocks sputter as investors watch debt-ceiling talks and economic data

    U.S. stocks sputter as investors watch debt-ceiling talks and economic data

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    U.S. stocks struggled for direction Monday as investors monitored efforts to resolve a U.S. debt-ceiling standoff ahead of a potential default, and weighed economic data that showed a sharp fall in New York state factory activity.

    How stocks are trading

    • The Dow Jones Industrial Average
      DJIA,
      -0.04%

      was marginally lower by 4 points at 33,297, after briefly turning higher.

    • The S&P 500
      SPX,
      +0.09%

      edged up 4 points, or 0.1%, at 4,128.

    • The Nasdaq Composite
      COMP,
      +0.41%

      rose 50 points, or 0.4%, to 12,335.

    The S&P 500 fell 0.3% last week, while the Dow dropped 1.1%. The S&P 500’s decline was cushioned by megacap tech-related stocks, which also helped lift the Nasdaq Composite out of a bear market. The Nasdaq gained 0.4% last week.

    In One Chart: The S&P 500 is top-heavy with tech. Here’s what that says about future stock-market returns.

    What’s driving markets

    Despite a generally well-received earnings season and signs that easing inflation may allow the Federal Reserve to halt its monetary-tightening cycle, stocks have been unable to break out of their recent range, as first banking-sector anxiety and lately worries about a technical government-debt default have restrained bulls.

    “Over the short-term, the stock market is stuck until we reach a debt-ceiling resolution and until we see more clarity from the regional banking sector, which are the two factors weighing on stocks right now,” said Brad Bernstein, managing director at UBS Wealth Management in Philadelphia, in a note. “Markets are anxious for a debt-ceiling solution and the markets are also hoping that the Fed pauses its rate hikes at the June meeting.”

    See: Why the stock market will struggle to rally until debt ceiling, bank woes are in rearview mirror

    A second round of debt-ceiling talks between the White House and congressional leaders appears set for Tuesday, according to President Joe Biden.

    “I remain optimistic because I’m a congenital optimist,” Biden told reporters Sunday in Rehoboth Beach, Del. “But I really think there’s a desire on their part as well as ours to reach an agreement. I think we’ll be able to do it.”

    House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., on Monday, however, said the White House and congressional Republicans remained far apart.

    Lori Calvasina, head of U.S. equity strategy at RBC Capital Markets, warned against complacency, noting that previous debt-ceiling deadlines have required significant market volatility to encourage politicians to reach agreement.

    “[W]e’ve continued to remind investors that since 2011, getting Congress to strike a deal has seemed to occur only after the stock market has thrown a temper tantrum,” said Calvasina in a note to clients.

    “In years where the drama in equity markets has otherwise been modest, the hits generally end up in the 5-6% area. In years in which debt ceiling drama has occurred in the context of other major problems in the market (i.e., 2011, 2015-2016, 2018), the hits have ranged from 10% to 19%,” she added.

    Read: Here’s where investors may turn to ‘hide’ as U.S. debt-ceiling deadline looms based on 2011 market reaction

    The New York Fed’s Empire State business-conditions index, a gauge of manufacturing activity in the state, plunged 42.6 points in May to negative 31.8, the regional Fed bank said Monday. Economists had expected a reading of negative 5, according to a survey by The Wall Street Journal. Any reading below zero indicates deteriorating conditions.

    The data underlined stagflation worries, said Edward Moya, a senior market analyst at Oanda, in a note.

    “It seems that after every economic reading, Wall Street has more reminders on how hard it will probably be to get inflation anywhere close to the Fed’s target. A recession seems like the only way pricing pressures will get closer to 3%,” Moya said.

    Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic on Monday said that he would like to see the central bank pause its cycle of rate hikes to gauge the health of the economy.

    “I think the appropriate policy is really to just wait and see how much the economy slows from the policy actions that we’ve done,” Bostic said in an interview on CNBC.

    Check out: Paul Tudor Jones says stocks likely to finish 2023 higher because Fed is done hiking rates

    Companies in focus

    Earnings Watch: Executives are less worried about inflation. Walmart and Target earnings could disagree

    — Jamie Chisholm contributed to this article.

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  • Debt-ceiling talks between Biden, congressional leaders likely to resume Tuesday

    Debt-ceiling talks between Biden, congressional leaders likely to resume Tuesday

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    The second round of debt-ceiling talks between the White House and congressional leaders appears set for Tuesday, President Joe Biden said Sunday.

    “I remain optimistic because I’m a congenital optimist,” Biden told reporters Sunday in Rehoboth Beach, Del. “But I really think there’s a desire on their part as well as ours to reach an agreement. I think we’ll be able to do it.”

    When asked about progress of the negotiations, Biden said: “I think they are moving along, hard to tell. We have not reached the crunch point yet.” 

    NBC News and Bloomberg News first reported Sunday that Biden, House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., and House Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y. are planning to meet again Tuesday to discuss the budget and how to avoid a federal default, though they reported the plan was tentative.

    Read more: Debt-ceiling standoff: Here’s what could go into a bipartisan deal

    The leaders had postponed a meeting that had been scheduled for last Friday, after their first meeting last Tuesday. Biden called that meeting “productive,” but McCarthy said he “didn’t see any new movement” toward ending the debt-ceiling standoff.

    Speaking on CBS News’ “Face the Nation” on Sunday, National Economic Council Director Lael Brainard said negotiations between the White House and McCarthy have been “serious” and “constructive.”

    “Our expectation is that Congress will act to avert default in a timely manner,
    she said, according to a CBS News transcript.

    Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has warned that the federal government’s first-ever default could happen as soon as June 1 if Congress doesn’t raise the borrowing limit, and has said it could cause “financial chaos.”

    Biden is scheduled to fly to Japan on Wednesday for a G-7 meeting, but has suggested he could cancel the trip if necessary.

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  • Should couples combine finances or keep separate accounts? One option leads to a happier marriage, study says.

    Should couples combine finances or keep separate accounts? One option leads to a happier marriage, study says.

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    Hello and welcome to Financial Face-off, a MarketWatch column where we help you weigh a financial decision. Our columnist will give her verdict. Tell us whether you think she’s right in the comments. And please share your suggestions for future Financial Face-off columns by emailing our columnist at lalbrecht@marketwatch.com. 

    Wedding season is upon us. Couples across the land are probably obsessing right now over wedding-day details like the seating chart and first-dance song. Unfortunately, many couples don’t pay nearly as much attention to their finances prior to marriage: Almost half (49%) don’t discuss how they’ll handle their money before they tie the knot, according to one survey. Only 41% tell their salaries to each other and just 36% say how much debt they have. 

    Not being open and honest about money can be a sign that you don’t trust your partner, a relationship killer if there ever was one. It can also mean unpleasant shocks — surprise, your soulmate has a 530 credit score — that stand in the way of those dreams you cooked up together when you were just two crazy kids in love. 

    One big decision couples face when they form a household: Should they merge their money into joint accounts, or keep separate accounts?

    Why it matters

    How couples manage their money isn’t just about making sure the water bill gets paid on time. Discussions about money can get fraught fast and sometimes become proxy battles for bigger issues in the relationship, like who wields more power, whose career is more important, and who does more domestic labor. Money and how we spend it is also an expression of our values. And if you’re not on the same page about your values, then why are you in this relationship?

    The verdict

    Share the wealth. Use a joint account.

    My reasons

    The No. 1 reason to share your money is that joint accounts appear to lead to a happier marriage. That lessens your chances of divorce, which can be financially devastating

    There’s been research suggesting that couples who share their accounts are happier than those who don’t, but the link was only correlational, so it wasn’t clear whether “joint accounts make you happy or if happiness makes you open a joint account,” said Scott Rick, a University of Michigan associate professor of marketing. He co-authored a new study that is the first to find a causal relationship between joint accounts and happier marriages. 

    Rick and his co-authors tracked 230 newlywed couples for two years. One group of couples had to open a joint account, one had to keep their accounts separate, and a third could do whatever they wanted. Researchers checked in with the couples every few months to ask them how their relationships were going. The couples who kept separate accounts or did whatever they wanted (most of whom kept separate accounts) saw the “typical decline” in relationship satisfaction, where they were happiest at the start of their marriage and satisfaction dropped after that honeymoon phase, Rick said. 

    But the joint couples stayed at the initial level of happiness, and if anything, their relationship satisfaction “seemed to increase a tiny, tiny bit over time,” he told MarketWatch. “By the end of two years, the joint couples looked a lot better than the ‘separate’ couples and the ‘do what you want’ couples,” Rick said. “Part of that is because the joint couples got on the same page in terms of money matters, it prompted some discussions. They started to see things more eye to eye.”

    “You want to get away from score-keeping, which couples can fall into: ‘I did this yesterday, so it’s your turn today,’” he added. “With separate accounts, you really get into score-keeping: ‘Well I paid this, and you paid that.’ You want to get away from ‘his’ money and ‘her’ money and you want to get into ‘our money.’”

    The couples with merged accounts “reported higher levels of communality within their marriage compared to people with separate accounts, or even those who partially merged their finances,” said study co-author Jenny Olson, an assistant professor of marketing at Indiana University’s Kelley School of Business. “They frequently told us they felt more like they were ‘in this together.’”

    If that’s not enough to convince you, consider the fact that there can be financial benefits to having joint accounts. Keeping all of your money at one bank could help you avoid minimum-account-balance fees, or make you eligible for a higher tier of customer rewards. “Combining assets provides greater ease of management for bills, for planning for the future, and for emergencies,” said Woody Derricks, a certified financial planner with Partnership Wealth Management in Towson, Md., who specializes in same-sex couples. If one person suddenly lands in the hospital, it’s harder for the other to act on their behalf financially if money is in separate accounts, Derricks said.

    There’s also the estate-planning aspect, said Kelley Long, a certified financial planner with Financial Bliss in Oro Valley, Ariz. “When you have joint accounts, if something happens to your spouse, your life is so much easier financially. Everything automatically is yours. You don’t have to walk around with a death certificate and go everywhere to claim everything. They always say joint accounts are the poor man’s estate plan.” 

    Another point in favor of joint accounts is that sharing money can help control spending. “You might restrain yourself a bit if you know you’re being watched, so it might tamp down some more extravagant spending,” Rick said.

    Is my verdict best for you?

    On the other hand, keeping separate accounts just works better for some couples. Long’s parents have been married 51 years and have never shared money, she said. They’re both financially responsible, but they have opposing money personalities. One loves to spend and the other hates it, and they also have a disparity in their incomes. Keeping separate accounts was “a loving decision” that let them “maintain maximum happiness in their marriage without having to change their personalities,” Long said. 

    It can also be helpful to keep separate accounts if you meet later in life and have long-established financial habits, or have children from a previous marriage, financial planners said. 

    Another reason for later-in-life couples to keep finances separate is to preserve a step-up in basis for highly appreciated assets, Derricks said. “If someone owns an investment for decades that has appreciated nicely, they may want to keep that in their own name so that if they’re first to pass away, their spouse or partner receives it with a full step-up in basis and can liquidate it after death and not have to pay capital-gains taxes,” he said.

    Couples can also try a happy medium between joint and separate, with one shared account for household expenses, and separate accounts for individual spending on things like expensive hobbies, Rick said. “Everyone needs a room of their own, so to speak, and space,” he said. “Joint is definitely better than pure separates, but if you have the time and energy, I would say attach some separates to the joint.”

    Tell us in the comments which option should win in this Financial Face-off. If you have ideas for future Financial Face-off columns, send me an email at lalbrecht@marketwatch.com.

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  • Nasdaq in line for fresh 9-month high amid hopes Fed rate hikes are at an end

    Nasdaq in line for fresh 9-month high amid hopes Fed rate hikes are at an end

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    U.S. stock futures rose on Thursday as bulls continued to be emboldened by hopes the Fed is now done raising interest rates.

    How are stock-index futures trading

    On Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA fell 57 points, or 0.17%, to 33562, the S&P 500 SPX declined 19 points, or 0.46%, to 4119, and the Nasdaq Composite COMP dropped 77 points, or 0.63%, to 12180.

    What’s driving markets

    Wall…

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  • Trump on debt ceiling: GOP should force default if Democrats won’t make spending cuts

    Trump on debt ceiling: GOP should force default if Democrats won’t make spending cuts

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    Former President Donald Trump said Wednesday night that Republicans should force the government to default if Democrats won’t make spending-cut concessions in the debt-ceiling fight.

    Trump made the comments in a town hall in Manchester, New Hampshire, with Republicans and undecided voters, hosted by CNN anchor Kaitlan Collins. The prime-time event quickly spiraled out of control, with Trump repeating lies about the 2020 election and mocking E. Jean Carroll, who on Tuesday won a defamation suit against him and $5 million in…

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  • U.S. stocks struggle for direction as traders digest inflation data in April

    U.S. stocks struggle for direction as traders digest inflation data in April

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    U.S. stock indexes were little changed in choppy trade on Wednesday after data showed U.S. consumer price inflation cooled to the lowest annul rate in two years in April, though the core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, remained high.

    How are stock-indexes trading

    On Tuesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 57 points, or 0.17%, to 33562, the S&P 500 declined 19 points, or 0.46%, to 4119, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 77 points, or 0.63%, to 12180.

    What’s driving markets

    Stocks…

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  • Feds file criminal charges against Republican Rep. George Santos: report

    Feds file criminal charges against Republican Rep. George Santos: report

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    Federal prosecutors have filed criminal charges against embattled Rep. George Santos, CNN reported late Tuesday.

    CNN said the charges have been filed under seal and the New York Republican is expected to appear in federal court Wednesday.

    It was unclear what charges Santos may be facing, but CNN reported prosecutors have been investigating…

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  • Jobs report shows strong 253,000 increase in April. U.S. labor market not cooling much

    Jobs report shows strong 253,000 increase in April. U.S. labor market not cooling much

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    The numbers: The U.S. created a stronger-than-expected 253,000 new jobs in April and wages rose sharply, indicating there’s still lot of demand for labor even as the economy slows.

    The increase surpassed the 180,000 forecast of economists polled by The Wall Street Journal.

    The unemployment rate, what’s more, fell a tick to 3.4% from 3.5%,…

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