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Disturbance near Florida has ‘medium’ formation chance, models hint at possibility of impacts

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The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of interest in the Caribbean that has the potential to impact Florida soon.In addition, the NHC is keeping an eye on an additional disturbance in the Atlantic and the remnants of Gordon.Area of interest in the Caribbean SeaAccording to the NHC, a broad area of low pressure is expected to form early next week in the northwestern Caribbean Sea. As the system slowly starts to move north or northwest after that, officials say gradual development is possible.The NHC says a tropical depression is expected to form, with models hinting at mid-week.While most major models agree on the low developing, there is some disagreement on where the system will go after that. Though models are becoming more consistent with one another, the lack of formation so far makes it difficult to know where the system will go or how intense it could become. When, or if, the system forms, more data will become available and models will become stronger. For now, they should be interpreted loosely as trends to keep on your radar.WESH 2’s First Warning Weather team is closely monitoring the area of interest and will bring you the latest updates.Formation chances for this system remain “medium,” the NHC says, holding at a 40% chance of formation in the next week. In the next 48 hours, formation chances are nearly 0%.Video below: First Warning Meteorologist Eric Burris talks about the tropics, potential Florida impactsGordonEven though Gordon is not expected to affect land, the NHC says it is still monitoring the system for potential development again.Showers and thunderstorms associated with Gordon, which was a tropical storm at one point, remain unorganized. Due to strong upper-level winds, the NHC says any development of this system is expected to be slow to occur as the system remains out in the open Atlantic.Formation chances are very low, holding at both 20% for the next 48 hours and seven days.Models do not show Gordon impacting Florida.Central and western subtropical Atlantic: Invest 96-LAfter tagging this area of interest on Thursday, the NHC says shower activity associated with Invest 96-L, currently 650 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands, has changed slightly in organization.Tracking the Tropics: What’s an invest?Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive, but the NHC says some development is possible while the system meanders over open waters. At this time, the area of interest has a 20% chance of forming in the next 48 hours and next seven days.>> RELATED: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024>> WATCH: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of interest in the Caribbean that has the potential to impact Florida soon.

In addition, the NHC is keeping an eye on an additional disturbance in the Atlantic and the remnants of Gordon.

Area of interest in the Caribbean Sea

According to the NHC, a broad area of low pressure is expected to form early next week in the northwestern Caribbean Sea. As the system slowly starts to move north or northwest after that, officials say gradual development is possible.

The NHC says a tropical depression is expected to form, with models hinting at mid-week.

While most major models agree on the low developing, there is some disagreement on where the system will go after that. Though models are becoming more consistent with one another, the lack of formation so far makes it difficult to know where the system will go or how intense it could become.

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When, or if, the system forms, more data will become available and models will become stronger. For now, they should be interpreted loosely as trends to keep on your radar.

WESH 2’s First Warning Weather team is closely monitoring the area of interest and will bring you the latest updates.

Formation chances for this system remain “medium,” the NHC says, holding at a 40% chance of formation in the next week. In the next 48 hours, formation chances are nearly 0%.

Video below: First Warning Meteorologist Eric Burris talks about the tropics, potential Florida impacts

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You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.


Gordon

Even though Gordon is not expected to affect land, the NHC says it is still monitoring the system for potential development again.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with Gordon, which was a tropical storm at one point, remain unorganized. Due to strong upper-level winds, the NHC says any development of this system is expected to be slow to occur as the system remains out in the open Atlantic.

Formation chances are very low, holding at both 20% for the next 48 hours and seven days.

Tropical Wave Info

Models do not show Gordon impacting Florida.

Central and western subtropical Atlantic: Invest 96-L

After tagging this area of interest on Thursday, the NHC says shower activity associated with Invest 96-L, currently 650 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands, has changed slightly in organization.

Tracking the Tropics: What’s an invest?

Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive, but the NHC says some development is possible while the system meanders over open waters.

At this time, the area of interest has a 20% chance of forming in the next 48 hours and next seven days.

Tropical Wave Info

>> RELATED: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024

>> WATCH: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2

First Warning Weather

Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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