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Market Summary

Markets opened cautiously as investors weighed the shock U.S. operation in Venezuela against a key U.S. jobs print. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq held near flat on futures, the Dow lagged slightly, volatility ticked up, energy and defense stocks led gains while tech showed selective strength amid CES and AI chip price worries.

U.S. forces carried out a high-risk operation that removed Nicolás Maduro and transported him to New York for prosecution. The event has immediate legal and geopolitical fallout as courts, allies and adversaries react.

Figure of the Day

80 – Reported deaths in U.S. airstrikes on Venezuela

White House rhetoric about running Venezuela has forced senior officials to clarify U.S. intentions. Debate over governance, occupation risk and diplomatic limits is intensifying in Washington.

Energy markets are reacting to the sudden political shift in Venezuela while producers coordinate supply policy. OPEC+ opted for stability even as crude prices initially jumped on the news.

Bullish

BYD Tops Global EV Sales—Shares Rally

BYD emerges as the world’s largest EV seller, boosting investor confidence in Chinese manufacturers and pressuring Western rivals to accelerate cost cuts and exports.

U.S. equity markets opened cautiously after weekend military action, with futures and major indexes watching geopolitical and macro catalysts. Investors are weighing the Venezuela shock against upcoming jobs data.

Global powers immediately pushed back against the U.S. operation, demanding Maduro’s release and condemning the incursion. International criticism is shaping diplomatic responses and could complicate US plans in the region.

Bearish

Saks Seeks $1bn Loan—Bankruptcy Risk Grows

Saks Global reportedly in talks for a $1 billion loan to stay afloat, signaling mounting liquidity stress at a major luxury retailer and prompting creditor scrutiny.

Lawmakers and legal experts are contesting the legality of the U.S. action and the use of American courts to prosecute a foreign head of state. Congressional notification and constitutional limits are now front‑page issues.

The White House has pitched a multibillion-dollar plan to rebuild Venezuela’s oil patch—but analysts warn costs, sanctions and security could derail it. Markets and companies are assessing the practical and diplomatic headwinds.

Regulatory Impact

U.S. signals an oil-sector shift—encouraging major investments in Venezuelan assets; OPEC+ reaffirms output pause; Hong Kong regulators plan a five-year fintech and AI push with cross-agency coordination.

Risk assets saw safe-haven flows as crypto and gold reacted strongly to the geopolitical shock. Traders are balancing political uncertainty against the potential long-term implications for commodity and digital-asset demand.

Reports of civilian and military casualties have emerged from the U.S. operation, raising human‑rights and escalation concerns. Detailed reconstructions of the raid are being published as officials and media trace the military timeline.

Quote

“We will run Venezuela until there’s a proper transition.”

— President Donald Trump

President Trump’s renewed remarks about Greenland have provoked diplomatic rebukes from Copenhagen. The spat revives long-standing friction over U.S. interest in the Arctic territory.

Pyongyang announced hypersonic missile tests, underscoring rising regional tensions and prompting monitoring by neighbors. State media said top leadership directly supervised the launch.

Baltic undersea infrastructure was damaged, triggering a probe into possible ship involvement. Authorities are racing to assess communications impacts and potential sabotage.

A deliberate attack on Berlin’s power grid has been linked to leftwing militants, leaving tens of thousands without heating in winter. Officials are treating the outage as a coordinated extremist operation.

CES showcased a shift as AI accelerates from prototypes to embedded products, heightening demand for chips and memory. Europe’s AI ambitions are already threatened by surging memory prices, complicating regional plans.

Strategic M&A and asset sales are moving in defense and cybersecurity as firms reposition for space and cyber spending. Buyers and sellers are striking deals to capture secular demand in national-security markets.

U.S. fiscal concerns and data risk are major market themes as policymakers and investors debate debt, spending and Fed outlook. A key jobs report will likely drive near-term market moves after a muted start to the year.

France is arranging behind-the-scenes talks on Syria while Western powers continue limited strikes on ISIS targets. Diplomacy and targeted military action are unfolding in parallel across the region.

Crypto-related violent crime is rising, prompting exchanges to reassess local operations. Firms are pausing or limiting services as regulators and markets face a security spike.

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