Orlando, Florida Local News
Tropics: Area in Caribbean could develop but timeline is unclear
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With a little over a month left of hurricane season, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of interest in the Caribbean that could develop into something later this week.According to the NHC, a broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple of days, though that timeline keeps expanding. Models are hinting at the area of low pressure forming later than originally thought. After the low forms, officials say gradual development is possible. The NHC is still saying a tropical depression could form over the weekend into early next week.The odds of development in the next 48 hours are very low, near 0%, the NHC says. However, the likelihood jumps in the seven-day forecast, with a 50% chance of development. The NHC says this formation is likely to happen as the system drifts generally northward over the central or western Caribbean Sea.While it’s too early to know the exact path or intensity of this system, models are currently not showing a major threat to Florida. Because it’s so early, model data should be taken loosely.The Euro model keeps the system very mild, while the GFS model seems to develop quicker, eventually splitting into two lows. A cold front coming through Florida soon should protect the state from any tropical activity, especially if the low develops later than expected.For now, there’s nothing to panic about. WESH 2’s First Warning Weather team is keeping a close eye on the system and will bring you updates every day.RELATED: November hurricanes are pretty rare in Florida. See a map of all past landfallsRELATED: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.
With a little over a month left of hurricane season, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of interest in the Caribbean that could develop into something later this week.
According to the NHC, a broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple of days, though that timeline keeps expanding.
Models are hinting at the area of low pressure forming later than originally thought.
After the low forms, officials say gradual development is possible. The NHC is still saying a tropical depression could form over the weekend into early next week.
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The odds of development in the next 48 hours are very low, near 0%, the NHC says. However, the likelihood jumps in the seven-day forecast, with a 50% chance of development.
The NHC says this formation is likely to happen as the system drifts generally northward over the central or western Caribbean Sea.
While it’s too early to know the exact path or intensity of this system, models are currently not showing a major threat to Florida. Because it’s so early, model data should be taken loosely.
The Euro model keeps the system very mild, while the GFS model seems to develop quicker, eventually splitting into two lows. A cold front coming through Florida soon should protect the state from any tropical activity, especially if the low develops later than expected.
For now, there’s nothing to panic about. WESH 2’s First Warning Weather team is keeping a close eye on the system and will bring you updates every day.
RELATED: November hurricanes are pretty rare in Florida. See a map of all past landfalls
RELATED: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024
First Warning Weather
Stay with WESH 2 online and on air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.
Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.
The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.
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