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High pressure expected to spare Florida as NHC monitors Invest 94-L, another disturbance

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Note: Video above is previous coverageAs Floridians continue to recover from Hurricane Helene and Hurricane Milton, two major storms that hit the state back-to-back, the tropics are not slowing down.The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring Invest 94-L and a second disturbance in the Caribbean, though neither system appears to pose a threat to Florida.Invest 94-L: Tracking a disturbance in the AtlanticInvest 94-L, a trough of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic, could become a tropical depression late this week, but the NHC says circulation associated with this system is becoming less defined.> Related: What’s an invest?Currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, Invest 94-L was previously embedded in a dry, unfavorable environment that prevented it from developing any further. Now, as the system moves generally westward, the NHC says conditions could become marginally conducive for formation, with gradual development beginning late week. As the system nears the Leeward and Virgin Islands, the NHC thinks a tropical depression could form, though high pressure across Florida is expected to protect the state from impacts. Current models show an insignificant system moving into the Caribbean, where it could interact with land and die out.Formation chances are pretty low and have slightly decreased over the week. In the next 48 hours, the NHC says there is a 30% chance of this system developing. Those odds are just 40% in the next seven days. With very little data at this time, model information should be taken loosely. When, if ever, the system develops, models will become more consistent in terms of path and intensity. There is plenty of time to monitor the system and lots of unknowns, so no need to panic.MORE: Get the Facts: Addressing rumors of ‘Nadine’ in the tropicsA second disturbance: Western Caribbean SeaThe NHC is also watching a second broad area of low pressure a little further south that is producing some showers and thunderstorms.Though the chances are low right now, the NHC says some gradual development of this system is possible if it strays over water while moving slowly northwestward toward Central America.Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is expected across portions of Central America later this week, the NHC said.Formation chances remain very low for now, holding at 20% for the next 48 hours and only 20% in the next seven days — also a decrease from previous advisories.First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

Note: Video above is previous coverage

As Floridians continue to recover from Hurricane Helene and Hurricane Milton, two major storms that hit the state back-to-back, the tropics are not slowing down.

The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring Invest 94-L and a second disturbance in the Caribbean, though neither system appears to pose a threat to Florida.

Invest 94-L: Tracking a disturbance in the Atlantic

Invest 94-L, a trough of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic, could become a tropical depression late this week, but the NHC says circulation associated with this system is becoming less defined.

> Related: What’s an invest?

Currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, Invest 94-L was previously embedded in a dry, unfavorable environment that prevented it from developing any further. Now, as the system moves generally westward, the NHC says conditions could become marginally conducive for formation, with gradual development beginning late week.

As the system nears the Leeward and Virgin Islands, the NHC thinks a tropical depression could form, though high pressure across Florida is expected to protect the state from impacts. Current models show an insignificant system moving into the Caribbean, where it could interact with land and die out.

Formation chances are pretty low and have slightly decreased over the week. In the next 48 hours, the NHC says there is a 30% chance of this system developing. Those odds are just 40% in the next seven days.

With very little data at this time, model information should be taken loosely. When, if ever, the system develops, models will become more consistent in terms of path and intensity. There is plenty of time to monitor the system and lots of unknowns, so no need to panic.

Storm Models

MORE: Get the Facts: Addressing rumors of ‘Nadine’ in the tropics

A second disturbance: Western Caribbean Sea

The NHC is also watching a second broad area of low pressure a little further south that is producing some showers and thunderstorms.

Though the chances are low right now, the NHC says some gradual development of this system is possible if it strays over water while moving slowly northwestward toward Central America.

Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is expected across portions of Central America later this week, the NHC said.

Formation chances remain very low for now, holding at 20% for the next 48 hours and only 20% in the next seven days — also a decrease from previous advisories.

First Warning Weather

Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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