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Tag: Water Tower Research

  • Will Marijuana Reschedule Usher In the Blockbuster Era

    Will Marijuana Reschedule Usher In the Blockbuster Era

    For a small industry, cannabis has a ton of interesting players.  But will rescheduling force everyone to become grown ups?

    The marijuana industry has been around for thousands of years. In the US and Canada it was big until the 30s, then came Reefer Madness, the it was fairly low key until the 60s.  It is a key part of the counterculture era and some players still around from the era see it as more of a cause, something against and the main and pure bliss.  The bros who jumped in around 2017 see it more as a vehicle to being rich (or richer).  Steve D’Angelo, the self declared Father of the Legal Cannabis industry sees it more as yoga, a positive which “big companies” will ruin.  With rescheduling the industry will transform again, but is it moving to the Blockbuster Era?

    RELATED: Science Says Medical Marijuana Improves Quality Of Life

    When home video burst into the scene, it quickly gave birth to thousands of mom and pop stores who sold and rented videos. In every neighborhood one popped up and some areas had mini/local chains. This small stores helped fill and increase consumer demand. Blockbuster entered the market and soon took a commanding presence.  Following McDonald’s Ray Kroc‘s expansion philosophy, they grew quickly. At one point they were opening a new store every 24 hours. Due to size, technology and resources, they also quickly shut down the majority of their small competitors.

    With rescheduling, Safer Banking and potentially more, bigger players and the mainstream industry will be taking a harder look. The industry is full of mom and pop businesses who are struggling without the resources to grow and compete for customers. Dispensaries have it hard, and yet there are few chains.  But a couple of major players coming in – a Total Wine, a Bev Mo, and all the sudden the average consumer, which makes up 90 percent of the market, is picking up a vape, a 6 pack, dinner, detergent and a $15 bottle of wine for dinner. In one stop.

    “Looking out twenty years, we expect the current dispensary model to either not exist or evolve substantially. Cannabis will be sold directly to consumers (like wine clubs) and may be accessible in grocery stores, convenience stores, and online. The days of standing in line and waiting to show your ID to an armed guard before entering the waiting room are numbered.” shared Jesse Redmond, Managing Director Water Tower Research.

    Another example are beer speciality stores. Even big cities like Chicago, Dallas and Seattle have less than a dozen retailers who specialize in just beer. There are over 100 distinct styles of beer, from light blond ales to creamy stouts. This doesn’t count all the brands.  Yet, beer is sold primarily at grocery, convenience and gas retailers. Their entry into the market will be a boon for brands, but troubling for dispensaries.

    “Looking out twenty years, we expect the current dispensary model to either not exist or evolve substantially. Cannabis will be sold directly to consumers (like wine clubs) and may be accessible in grocery stores, convenience stores, and online. The days of standing in line and waiting to show your ID to an armed guard before entering the waiting room are numbered.”

    RELATED: California or New York, Which Has The Biggest Marijuana Mess

    In fact, the downfall of Blockbuster were grocery stores. Seeing the success of the video store, food chains began offering videos for rent of purchase, you could pick up dinner, drinks and movie in one location. The majority of the public like how easy it was and Blockbuster joined the mom and pop stores they squashed and eventually closed.

    The winner are the big brands who appeal to a large customer base, they will be carried and sold in huge numbers.

    Terry Hacienda

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  • What Is Taking The DEA So Long To Rescheduling Marijuana

    What Is Taking The DEA So Long To Rescheduling Marijuana

    The Biden administration has been slow in fullfilling the last campaign promise of helping the cannabis industry….is the DEA waiting

    In 2012 Colorado and Washington legalized recreational cannabis. Science, public opinion, how we consume, and support from groups as varied as HHS to Fox News watchers have already moved to supporting federal legalization. In the last election, the Biden administration committed to helping the industry.  A key factor is his support of veterans. Veterans, along with federal and medical research, has shown cannabis is a solid help to PTSD.  Also, as the country struggles with an opioid crisis, expert believe medical marijuana can be part of the solution.  But the administration and dragged it’s feet and now it seems another agency is lingering on change.  What is taking the DEA so long to reschedule marijuana. Experts weight in.

    Related: California or New York, Which Has The Biggest Marijuana Mess

    Terran Cooper, a leading cannabis expert at Falcon Rappaport & Berkman Law shares his thoughts. “While we have comparable examples of controlled substance rescheduling, the ramifications of cannabis rescheduling are beyond anything we’ve ever seen. There are a number of policy issues to be navigated by the DEA, including the existence international drug treaties, which may have delayed the DEA’s review (though Congresswoman Kamlager-Dove and others have argued that applicable treaties shouldn’t prevent rescheduling). The widespread consequences of potential cannabis rescheduling may have also muddied the water, as numerous parties have sought to influence the DEA’s review in various ways. “

    “While it is possible that the DEA is attempting to navigate denying the Department of Health and Human Services’ (HHS) recommendation for cannabis to rescheduled, many are skeptical of this likelihood. The HHS recommendation is binding on the DEA (21 USC 811(b)) as to scientific and medical matters, meaning in order to deny cannabis rescheduling the DEA would have to rely on other relevant data to outweigh HHS’ recommendation. This is a tall order, even for the historically cannabis-averse DEA.”

    Jesse Redmond, Managing Director at Water Tower Research and a keen analyst for the industry has this take. ““It’s critical to realize the rescheduling process is occurring during an election year and it is possible democrats are coordinating efforts for maximum political impact. Many are pointing to the week of 4/20, which falls on a Saturday this year, for the DEA’s response to the HHS’ recommendation. This would give time for the public comment period and final rule before the elections in November.”

    RELATED: Science Says Medical Marijuana Improves Quality Of Life

    “There is no easy explanation of the delay. Some factors are the fact that the DEA and the FDA have different interests in cannabis regulation, the lack of clarity regarding how the DEA would regulate the rescheduled drug, how rescheduling and varied state cannabis laws would intersect, the loss of federal tax dollars when cannabis business expenses become deductible, and political considerations in a presidential election year.” said Lonnie Rosenwald from Zuber Lawler.

    The industry is in need of support as consumer demand increase, but the cost of doing business is becoming prohibitive.  President Biden and Vice President Harris have been traditionally anti-marijuana, so you wonder if their lack of urgency or support is weighing in on the DEA’s slow walk of a decision.

    Terry Hacienda

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  • Cryptocurrency Has Not Changed The Cannabis Industry

    Cryptocurrency Has Not Changed The Cannabis Industry

    It was the buzz of the marijuana world as legalization become the normal for more states. Everyone wanted to jump on the bandwagon. Cryptocurrency was offered as the answer for dispensaries who couldn’t take mainstream credits. Plus, weed aficionados could make money with “pot coins”. At the time, the industry was flooded with conferences and crypto was a topic on stage and at the wrap around events.  Mainstream and marijuana media ate it up. But, cryptocurrency has not changed the cannabis industry.

    The biggest example cyptocurrency isn’t solving any major cannabis industry problem is the excited around the slow-moving Biden administration moving to reschedule and the Senate embracing SAFER Banking.  Both will have a significant impact on the entire industry generating jobs, investment and hope. Together they will create an atmosphere for mom and pop businesses and large operators to have a fair chance at success.

    RELATED: Yacht Rock Pairs Perfectly With Cocktails

    One of the most high profile boom and bust crypto moments was in 2018. High Time just on the early coin moment and announced they would accept it as a way to invest in their IPO. Days later, theyremoved bitcoin as a payment option for its the yet to happen IPO.

    Photo by MichaelWuensch via Pixabay

    Multiple firms wanted to exploit a perceived loophole to sell cannabis by credit card. Each company got close and then the effort failed. Posabit, now a specialized point-of-sales system for dispensaries, tried and made it work for a short period. In fact, the site updated its FAQ with a statement, saying “Why is credit card processing illegal? (…) Simple: Cannabis is categorized as a Schedule 1 controlled substance at the federal level, which makes it illegal. This hinders credit payment processors from deliberately working with cannabis businesses.”

    Eaze, tried to find a workaround to be able to charge credit cards, by obfuscating the nature of the charges.  Then, Smoakland tried to do the same thing but surrendered when their process partner terminated the relationship.

    RELATED: Yacht Rock Pairs Perfectly With Cocktails

    “Crypto has not changed the legal cannabis industry. It is not an accepted payment method at dispensaries, and I have not seen vendors using it either. However, crypto is popular for making black market purchases, as it is global and harder to trace.” stated Jesse Redmond, Head of Cannabis for Water Tower Research.

    And how are the marijuana crypto companies doing?

    PotCoin (POT) is trading at $0.00083517.

    Tokes (TKS) is trading at $0.001874.

    CannabisCoin (CANN) is trading at $0.004641.

    Cryptocurrency has not changed the cannabis industry, but federal action will.

    Terry Hacienda

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