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Tag: NHC hurricane

  • Hurricane Melissa one of strongest storms on record with winds now at 180 mph

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    Hurricane Melissa is hours away from making landfall in Jamaica on Tuesday as a Category 5 storm with winds now at 180 mph, making it one of the strongest storms in recorded history based on low central pressure.WESH 2’s award-winning First Warning Weather team is monitoring Melissa as it continues to churn. Melissa is moving north-northeast at about 7 mph, with its center about 50 miles southwest of Kingston, Jamaica.The storm has a minimum central pressure of 896 mb as of the National Hurricane Center’s 9 a.m. Tuesday advisory update. Catastrophic winds, flash flooding and storm surge are expected on the island today, according to the NHC. Watches and warnings in effect:Hurricane warning in effect for JamaicaHurricane warning in effect for Cuban provinces of Granma, Guantanamo and Holguin, Santiago de Cuba.Hurricane warning for the Southeastern and Central Bahamas. Hurricane watch in effect for the Turks and Caicos Islands.Tropical storm warning in effect for Haiti, the Turks and Caicos Islands and the Cuban province of Las Tunas.RainMelissa is expected to bring rainfall of 15 to 30 inches to portions of Jamaica and additional rainfall of 6 to 12 inches for southern Hispaniola through Wednesday.Catastrophic flash flooding and numerous landslides are likely.For eastern Cuba, storm total rainfall of 10 to 20 inches, with local amounts of 25 inches, is expected by Monday into Wednesday resulting in life-threatening and potentially catastrophic flash flooding with numerous landslides.Over the Southeast Bahamas, total rainfall of 5 to 10 inches is expected Tuesday into Wednesday, resulting in areas of flash flooding.Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    Hurricane Melissa is hours away from making landfall in Jamaica on Tuesday as a Category 5 storm with winds now at 180 mph, making it one of the strongest storms in recorded history based on low central pressure.

    WESH 2’s award-winning First Warning Weather team is monitoring Melissa as it continues to churn.

    Melissa is moving north-northeast at about 7 mph, with its center about 50 miles southwest of Kingston, Jamaica.

    The storm has a minimum central pressure of 896 mb as of the National Hurricane Center’s 9 a.m. Tuesday advisory update.

    Catastrophic winds, flash flooding and storm surge are expected on the island today, according to the NHC.

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    Watches and warnings in effect:

    • Hurricane warning in effect for Jamaica
    • Hurricane warning in effect for Cuban provinces of Granma, Guantanamo and Holguin, Santiago de Cuba.
    • Hurricane warning for the Southeastern and Central Bahamas.
    • Hurricane watch in effect for the Turks and Caicos Islands.
    • Tropical storm warning in effect for Haiti, the Turks and Caicos Islands and the Cuban province of Las Tunas.

    Rain

    Melissa is expected to bring rainfall of 15 to 30 inches to portions of Jamaica and additional rainfall of 6 to 12 inches for southern Hispaniola through Wednesday.

    Catastrophic flash flooding and numerous landslides are likely.

    For eastern Cuba, storm total rainfall of 10 to 20 inches, with local amounts of 25 inches, is expected by Monday into Wednesday resulting in life-threatening and potentially catastrophic flash flooding with numerous landslides.

    Over the Southeast Bahamas, total rainfall of 5 to 10 inches is expected Tuesday into Wednesday, resulting in areas of flash flooding.

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • Potential Tropical Cyclone 6 over Gulf of Mexico expected to develop into hurricane next week

    Potential Tropical Cyclone 6 over Gulf of Mexico expected to develop into hurricane next week

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    Potential Tropical Cyclone Six over the Gulf of Mexico continues to strengthen and could become a hurricane next week.The National Hurricane Center is watching three areas of interest on Sunday as we head into peak hurricane season in Florida.That’s down from the five tropical waves the NHC was watching last week. Hurricane season peaks on Sept. 10, which explains the recent surge in tropical formations. For now, none are expected to impact Florida directly, but a wave near Texas is sending rain toward the Sunshine State.Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024 PTC 6: Western Gulf of MexicoPTC 6, over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.The area of low pressure is forecast to develop while interacting with a frontal boundary. Environmental conditions appear conducive to more development, which could lead to a tropical storm early in the week. The NHC said additional development could be expected, and a hurricane could form by mid-next week. The system is forecast to move near the Gulf coast of Mexico, upper Texas and Louisiana coast. Maximum sustained winds: 50 mphMinimum central pressure: 1003 mbImpacts: Life-threatening storm surge Damaging windsHeavy rainfallFlash floodsWarnings: Tropical storm watches issued for portions of northeastern MexicoInvest 92-L: Central tropical Atlantic An area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. According to the NHC, the environmental conditions appear conducive to more development in the next few days, and a tropical depression could form. The system will move westward across the central tropical Atlantic later next week. Formation chance through 48 hours: 60%Formation chance through seven days: 70% Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2Eastern and Central Tropical AtlanticA low pressure is causing disorganized showers and thunderstorms several miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. The system is forecast to move very little in the next few days until it potentially interacts with a tropical wave that is expected to move off the west coast of Africa by early Monday. The NHC said a tropical depression could form by the middle or later portions of next week. Formation chance through 48 hours: Zero percent Formation chance through seven days: 50% First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    Potential Tropical Cyclone Six over the Gulf of Mexico continues to strengthen and could become a hurricane next week.

    The National Hurricane Center is watching three areas of interest on Sunday as we head into peak hurricane season in Florida.

    That’s down from the five tropical waves the NHC was watching last week. Hurricane season peaks on Sept. 10, which explains the recent surge in tropical formations.

    For now, none are expected to impact Florida directly, but a wave near Texas is sending rain toward the Sunshine State.

    Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024

    PTC 6: Western Gulf of Mexico

    PTC 6, over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

    The area of low pressure is forecast to develop while interacting with a frontal boundary.

    Environmental conditions appear conducive to more development, which could lead to a tropical storm early in the week.

    The NHC said additional development could be expected, and a hurricane could form by mid-next week.

    The system is forecast to move near the Gulf coast of Mexico, upper Texas and Louisiana coast.

    Maximum sustained winds: 50 mph

    Minimum central pressure: 1003 mb

    Impacts:

    • Life-threatening storm surge
    • Damaging winds
    • Heavy rainfall
    • Flash floods

    Warnings:

    • Tropical storm watches issued for portions of northeastern Mexico

    Invest 92-L: Central tropical Atlantic

    An area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

    According to the NHC, the environmental conditions appear conducive to more development in the next few days, and a tropical depression could form.

    The system will move westward across the central tropical Atlantic later next week.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: 60%

    Formation chance through seven days: 70%

    Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic

    A low pressure is causing disorganized showers and thunderstorms several miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.

    The system is forecast to move very little in the next few days until it potentially interacts with a tropical wave that is expected to move off the west coast of Africa by early Monday.

    The NHC said a tropical depression could form by the middle or later portions of next week.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: Zero percent

    Formation chance through seven days: 50%

    First Warning Weather

    Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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  • National Hurricane Center watching 4 areas of interest

    National Hurricane Center watching 4 areas of interest

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    The National Hurricane Center is watching four areas of interest on Friday. That’s down from the five tropical waves the NHC was watching Thursday. None are expected to directly impact Florida, but could bring moisture to the state. Northwestern Gulf of MexicoShower and thunderstorm activity diminished overnight in association with a broad area of low pressure and a nearby weak front over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Although tropical cyclone development is unlikely, heavy rainfall is expected to continue across portions of the northern Gulf Coast during the next day. Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%Formation chance through 7 days: 10%Northwestern AtlanticShowers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization with a gale-force, non-tropical area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles east of North Carolina, and recent satellite wind data indicate a front extends into the low. This system could briefly acquire some subtropical characteristics over the next day while it moves generally north-northeastward, remaining offshore of the northeastern U.S. The low is expected to move over cooler waters by early Saturday, and thereafter further development is not expected. Formation chance through 48 hours: 30%Formation chance through 7 days: 30%Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of MexicoDisorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea are associated with a tropical wave. Development is not expected before the system reaches Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula later Friday. Some slow development is possible later this weekend after the system emerges over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.Formation chance through 48 hours: Zero percentFormation chance through 7 days: 20%Eastern Tropical Atlantic An elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is producing minimal shower and thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, should be slow to occur during the early part of next week while the disturbance moves slowly northwestward or northward over the eastern tropical Atlantic.Formation chance through 48 hours: Zero percentFormation chance through 7 days: 10%First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    The National Hurricane Center is watching four areas of interest on Friday.

    That’s down from the five tropical waves the NHC was watching Thursday.

    None are expected to directly impact Florida, but could bring moisture to the state.

    Northwestern Gulf of Mexico

    Shower and thunderstorm activity diminished overnight in association with a broad area of low pressure and a nearby weak front over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico.

    Although tropical cyclone development is unlikely, heavy rainfall is expected to continue across portions of the northern Gulf Coast during the next day.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%

    Formation chance through 7 days: 10%

    Northwestern Atlantic

    Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization with a gale-force, non-tropical area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles east of North Carolina, and recent satellite wind data indicate a front extends into the low.

    This system could briefly acquire some subtropical characteristics over the next day while it moves generally north-northeastward, remaining offshore of the northeastern U.S.

    The low is expected to move over cooler waters by early Saturday, and thereafter further development is not expected.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: 30%

    Formation chance through 7 days: 30%

    Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico

    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea are associated with a tropical wave.

    Development is not expected before the system reaches Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula later Friday.

    Some slow development is possible later this weekend after the system emerges over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: Zero percent

    Formation chance through 7 days: 20%

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic

    An elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is producing minimal shower and thunderstorm activity.

    Development, if any, should be slow to occur during the early part of next week while the disturbance moves slowly northwestward or northward over the eastern tropical Atlantic.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: Zero percent

    Formation chance through 7 days: 10%

    First Warning Weather

    Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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  • Tropical Storm Ernesto continues path toward Puerto Rico, expected to become hurricane after landfall

    Tropical Storm Ernesto continues path toward Puerto Rico, expected to become hurricane after landfall

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    Tropical Storm Ernesto, previously tagged as Potential Tropical Cyclone Five, is continuing its westward path towards Puerto Rico and other surrounding islands.Ernesto was upgraded on Monday evening and is expected to get stronger as it passes land and moves north through the Atlantic.According to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Ernesto is located about 300 miles east southeast of San Juan, Puerto Rico. The storm has maximum sustained winds of 45 mph and a minimum central pressure of 1005 mb.>> Track Tropical Storm Ernesto here A tropical storm warning is in effect for multiple places, including:GuadeloupeSt. Kitts, Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua, Barbuda and AnguillaSt. Martin and St. BarthelemySint MaartenBritish Virgin IslandsU.S. Virgin IslandsPuerto RicoViequesCulebraA tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere in the warning area in the next 36 hours.More: Difference between tropical storm, hurricane watch and warningImpacts may include heavy rainfall, flash flooding, mudslides and landslides.Ernesto is the fifth named storm of the 2024 hurricane season. Many models show the system intensifying to a hurricane by this weekend, possibly reaching Category 2 strength. We are currently just about a month out from the peak of hurricane season, which is Sep. 10. The end of hurricane season is Nov. 30.More: Where do hurricanes begin?Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024Ernesto impacts in Central FloridaWhile current models do not show any direct impacts from Tropical Storm Ernesto, the storm’s presence in the Atlantic has the potential to intensify Central Florida beach conditions such as wave height and surf. Wave heights over the weekend have the potential to be anywhere from four to eight feet. Beachgoers should also be aware that rip current risks could be elevated because of Ernesto. First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    ORLANDO, Fla. —

    Tropical Storm Ernesto, previously tagged as Potential Tropical Cyclone Five, is continuing its westward path towards Puerto Rico and other surrounding islands.

    Ernesto was upgraded on Monday evening and is expected to get stronger as it passes land and moves north through the Atlantic.

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    According to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Ernesto is located about 300 miles east southeast of San Juan, Puerto Rico.

    The storm has maximum sustained winds of 45 mph and a minimum central pressure of 1005 mb.

    >> Track Tropical Storm Ernesto here

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    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    A tropical storm warning is in effect for multiple places, including:

    • Guadeloupe
    • St. Kitts, Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua, Barbuda and Anguilla
    • St. Martin and St. Barthelemy
    • Sint Maarten
    • British Virgin Islands
    • U.S. Virgin Islands
    • Puerto Rico
    • Vieques
    • Culebra

    A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere in the warning area in the next 36 hours.

    More: Difference between tropical storm, hurricane watch and warning

    Impacts may include heavy rainfall, flash flooding, mudslides and landslides.

    Ernesto is the fifth named storm of the 2024 hurricane season. Many models show the system intensifying to a hurricane by this weekend, possibly reaching Category 2 strength.

    We are currently just about a month out from the peak of hurricane season, which is Sep. 10. The end of hurricane season is Nov. 30.

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    More: Where do hurricanes begin?

    Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024

    Ernesto impacts in Central Florida

    While current models do not show any direct impacts from Tropical Storm Ernesto, the storm’s presence in the Atlantic has the potential to intensify Central Florida beach conditions such as wave height and surf.

    Wave heights over the weekend have the potential to be anywhere from four to eight feet. Beachgoers should also be aware that rip current risks could be elevated because of Ernesto.

    First Warning Weather

    Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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  • Tracking the Tropics: NHC tags tropical wave over the Central Atlantic Ocean

    Tracking the Tropics: NHC tags tropical wave over the Central Atlantic Ocean

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    The National Hurricane Center has tagged a new area of interest in the tropical Atlantic that has some chance of developing as it moves toward Florida. According to the NHC, an area of disturbed weather is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave during the next several days. The large tropical wave just moved off Africa’s west coast and is expected to keep moving west. The exact path and development of this system is still uncertain as it’s too early to make any definitive predictions. Some model runs show something tropical forming near the state next week, but other models show nothing at all. WESH 2 First Warning meteorologists are keeping tabs on the system as it moves west. The tropical system will have to fight a lot of dry air and dust as it moves across the tropics, which could completely tear the system apart. WESH 2 will provide you with the latest tropics updates as we watch this system over the next week.According to the NHC, formation chances for this area of interest remain low, sitting near 0% for the next 48 hours and 30% for the next seven days. Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2More: Where do hurricanes begin?First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    ORLANDO, Fla. —

    The National Hurricane Center has tagged a new area of interest in the tropical Atlantic that has some chance of developing as it moves toward Florida.

    According to the NHC, an area of disturbed weather is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave during the next several days. The large tropical wave just moved off Africa’s west coast and is expected to keep moving west.

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    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    The exact path and development of this system is still uncertain as it’s too early to make any definitive predictions.

    Some model runs show something tropical forming near the state next week, but other models show nothing at all. WESH 2 First Warning meteorologists are keeping tabs on the system as it moves west.

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    The tropical system will have to fight a lot of dry air and dust as it moves across the tropics, which could completely tear the system apart. WESH 2 will provide you with the latest tropics updates as we watch this system over the next week.

    According to the NHC, formation chances for this area of interest remain low, sitting near 0% for the next 48 hours and 30% for the next seven days.

    Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2

    More: Where do hurricanes begin?

    First Warning Weather

    Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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