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Oscars Predictions: Supporting Actress – Are You There Academy? It’s Rachel McAdams for Nomination No. 2

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Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:

OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS

2024 Oscars Predictions:
Best Supporting Actress

Da’Vine Joy Randolph in Alexander Payne’s “The Holdovers”
Focus Features

Weekly Commentary (Updated Dec. 10, 2023): “Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret” is one of the best reviewed films of the year, featuring a delightfully executed performance from Rachel McAdams. A former nominee for the best picture winner “Spotlight” (2015), the star of the Judy Blume adaptation received a huge boost from the Los Angeles Film Critics Association, where she won alongside the undisputed frontrunner Da’Vine Joy Randolph from “The Holdovers.”

This category has been a tad messy since Lily Gladstone exited in favor of a leading campaign for “Killers of the Flower Moon.” A “vote-splitting” alarm was sounded with the Indigenous star’s runner-up mention in supporting at LAFCA.

Sandra Hüller’s double performance win for “Anatomy of a Fall” and “The Zone of Interest,” which she’s campaigning for supporting actress for the latter, could cause potential vote-splitting on the campaign trail.

Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Oscars predictions in all categories.

The submission deadline for general categories is Nov. 15, 2023. The preliminary shortlist for eight categories is from Dec. 14-18, with the results announcement dropping on Dec. 21. The Oscar nomination period will run from Jan. 11-16, 2024, with the official nominees named on Jan. 23.

***The list below is not final and will be updated throughout the awards season.

And the Predicted Nominees Are:

  1. Da’Vine Joy Randolph — “The Holdovers” (Focus Features)
  2. Emily Blunt — “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)
  3. Danielle Brooks – “The Color Purple” (Warner Bros.)
  4. Rachel McAdams — “Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret” (Lionsgate)
  5. America Ferrera — “Barbie” (Warner Bros.)

Next in Line

  1. Julianne Moore — “May December” (Netflix)
  2. Sandra Hüller — “The Zone of Interest” (A24)
  3. Jodie Foster – “Nyad” (Netflix)
  4. Penélope Cruz — “Ferrari” (Neon)
  5. Lily Gladstone — “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures) **

Other Top-Tier Possibilities

  1. Juliette Binoche — “The Taste of Things” (IFC Films/Sapan Studios)
  2. Taraji P. Henson – “The Color Purple” (Warner Bros.)
  3. Rosamund Pike — “Saltburn” (Amazon Studios)
  4. Viola Davis — “Air” (Amazon MGM Studios)
  5. Cara Jade Myers – “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)
  6. Claire Foy – “All of Us Strangers” (Searchlight Pictures)
  7. Leslie Uggams — “American Fiction” (MGM)
  8. Vanessa Kirby — “Napoleon” (Apple Original Films/Sony Pictures)
  9. Niecy Nash-Betts — “Origin” (Neon)
  10. Erika Alexander — “American Fiction” (MGM)

Also In Contention

  1. Patricia Clarkson – “Monica” (IFC Films)
  2. Scarlett Johansson — “Asteroid City” (Focus Features)
  3. Issa Rae — “American Fiction” (MGM)
  4. Rhea Perlman – “Barbie” (Warner Bros.)
  5. Florence Pugh — “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)
  6. Anne Hathaway — “Eileen” (Neon)
  7. Halle Bailey — “The Color Purple” (Warner Bros.)
  8. Maura Tierney — “The Iron Claw” (A24)
  9. Annie Gonzalez – “Flamin’ Hot” (Hulu/Searchlight Pictures)
  10. Patti LuPone – “Beau is Afraid” (A24)

Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Studio)**

** This official list is incomplete, with all release dates not yet confirmed and subject to change.

2022 category winner: Jamie Lee Curtis, “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)

Oscars Predictions Categories

BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | BEST ACTOR | BEST ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT

About the Academy Awards

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the nearly 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

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