Invest 92-L forms in Gulf of Mexico; Florida could see major rain event

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TWO NEWS ON CW 18 STARTS NOW. THANK YOU FOR JOINING US FOR WESH TWO NEWS AT TEN. I’M JESSE PAGAN AND I’M LUANA MUNOZ. TROPICAL ACTIVITY IS RAMPING UP IN THE GULF AS WE NOW HAVE INVEST 92 L. THAT MEANS MORE DATA TO HELP BETTER FORECAST EXACTLY WHAT WE COULD BE SEEING HERE IN CENTRAL FLORIDA EARLY NEXT WEEK. A FIRST WARNING, CHIEF METEOROLOGIST TONY MAINOLFI HERE BREAKING DOWN THE NEW INFORMATION TONY. THAT’S RIGHT GUYS. SO WE’RE ENTERING A NEW PHASE NOW. NOW THAT WE HAVE AN INVEST. WE’VE GOT THE TROPICAL MODELS THAT ARE STARTING TO RUN. NOW. WE’VE GOT THE HURRICANE HUNTERS GOING IN TOMORROW MORNING. THEY’LL BE IN THERE SUNDAY AS WELL. AND AS WE DIGEST WHAT’S GOING ON DOWN IN THERE WITH THESE HURRICANE HUNTERS AND THROW THAT DATA INTO OUR MODELING SYSTEM, WE’RE GOING TO START TO GET MORE ACCURATE FORECASTS BECAUSE THE GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BEEN FLIP FLOPPING A BUNCH. AND IT’S IT’S NOT A GOOD THING. WE DON’T WANT THAT. SO LET’S TAKE A LOOK NOW AT THE UPDATE FROM HURRICANE CENTER. 30% CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT. NOW IN THE NEXT TWO DAYS. AND A 70% CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT WEEK. THIS IS THE FIRST LOOK AT THE TROPICAL MODELS. AND THE FIRST ONE HISTORICALLY IS NOT A VERY GOOD RUN. SO WE’LL WAIT. OVERNIGHT TONIGHT WE START TO GET A FEW MORE OF THE MORE MATURE MODELS, THE MORE ACCURATE FORECAST TO COME ON IN, BUT YOU CAN KIND OF SEE THAT BAND OF THE TROPICAL AND YOU CAN KIND OF SEE THAT BAND ON THE GLOBAL MODELS, WHICH TONIGHT BY THE WAY, HAVE KIND OF BEEN FLIP FLOPPING. A FEW OF THEM ARE STRONGER, A FEW OF THEM ARE WEAKER. MOST OF THEM KEEP THE MAIN ENERGY, THOUGH. TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. AND THE CORE OF THE MODELING IS ACROSS SOUTH AND CENTRAL FLORIDA. AND THERE’S A BIG DIFFERENCE IN RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN THE NORTHERN MODELS AND THE SOUTHERN MODELS. AND I’

Invest 92-L forms in Gulf of Mexico; Florida could see major rain event

Some models show as much as 18 inches of rain in parts of Central Florida.

Updated: 4:05 AM EDT Oct 5, 2024

Video above: Latest on tropics Invest 92-L formed in the Gulf of Mexico on Friday night, according to the National Hurricane Center, and could become a tropical depression early next week. It would be named Milton. While it’s still too early to know exactly what may form, models are consistent in moving this system through Florida. Formation chances slightly increased in the NHC’s 2 a.m. advisory, bumping the chance of formation over the next 48 hours to 50% and seven-day odds to 80%.Some models show as much as 18 inches of rain in parts of Central Florida. It comes right after Hurricane Helene slammed the Big Bend region as a monster Category 4 storm last week. Many Florida residents are still recovering from intense flooding, damaging storm surge and extreme wreckage from winds topping 140 mph.>> Chopper 2 video shows extensive Hurricane Helene damage in St. Pete Beach, Tampa Bay, Fort Myers>> Photos, videos show Helene’s eerie approach, intense impacts and devastating aftermath in FloridaAs hurricane season continues, the NHC is monitoring several systems, including major Hurricane Kirk and Tropical Storm Leslie. Click here for the latest.First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

Video above: Latest on tropics

Invest 92-L formed in the Gulf of Mexico on Friday night, according to the National Hurricane Center, and could become a tropical depression early next week. It would be named Milton.

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#Invest92-L has been tagged for our low in the Gulf of Mexico. Spaghetti plots start rolling out this evening folks and with the help of the Hurricane Hunter’s should provide us with more accurate forecasts going forward. #weshwx pic.twitter.com/Qhhuc3kec3

— Tony Mainolfi (@TMainolfiWESH) October 5, 2024

While it’s still too early to know exactly what may form, models are consistent in moving this system through Florida.

Formation chances slightly increased in the NHC’s 2 a.m. advisory, bumping the chance of formation over the next 48 hours to 50% and seven-day odds to 80%.

Some models show as much as 18 inches of rain in parts of Central Florida.

It comes right after Hurricane Helene slammed the Big Bend region as a monster Category 4 storm last week. Many Florida residents are still recovering from intense flooding, damaging storm surge and extreme wreckage from winds topping 140 mph.

>> Chopper 2 video shows extensive Hurricane Helene damage in St. Pete Beach, Tampa Bay, Fort Myers

>> Photos, videos show Helene’s eerie approach, intense impacts and devastating aftermath in Florida

As hurricane season continues, the NHC is monitoring several systems, including major Hurricane Kirk and Tropical Storm Leslie. Click here for the latest.

First Warning Weather

Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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