Temperatures across California started to rise Wednesday, kicking off a heat wave that’s expected to bring some of the state’s warmest days so far this year.
Highs are forecast to reach into the 90s and 100s by Saturday, which is expected to trigger increased snowmelt and flooding, primarily in the Central Valley. But weather officials said the heat affecting almost all of California should be short-lived, with a cold front expected to move in as early as Sunday and help stave off the worst-case scenario for flooding.
“It does look like after this hot spell, temperatures are going to remain below normal for a while after that,” said David Spector, a National Weather Service meteorologist in Hanford. “It’s going to prevent [the flooding] from getting out of control; the rivers are still going to overflow their banks.”
Much of the Central Valley is expected to see temperatures in the the upper 90s by Saturday, Spector said, which he called “unseasonably warm” but not extreme. Even still, that warming has put many parts of the region on alert for increased flooding risk.
Portions of Kings, Tulare and Fresno counties along the Kings River are under an indefinite flood warning as water releases continue at Pine Flat Dam, with flooding expected in Sanger, Reedley, Laton, and other flood-prone regions, according to the National Weather Service.
A flood advisory, one step below a warning, is in effect until further notice along the San Joaquin River in Fresno and Madera counties, with minor flooding expected in low-lying areas including Fresno, Mendota, Biola, Friant and Millerton Lake.
Much of the Eastern Sierra and the Yosemite Valley are under a flood watch, meaning the risk has increased but is not imminent, through Tuesday, with the Merced River expected to spill over at Pohono Bridge and other flooding in Yosemite National Park expected. Much of the park will be closed Friday through at least Wednesday due to flood concerns.
“The flooding will probably peak usually after the hottest temperatures, so probably Sunday or Monday,” Spector said.
Los Angeles County will see temperatures rise to the upper 70s Wednesday and Thursday, with the valleys likely to hit the mid-80s, said David Sweet, a weather service meteorologist in Oxnard. Highs will continue to increase into the 90s by Friday and Saturday, about 10 to 15 degrees above average for this time of year, he said.
Southern California’s “big warm up” began Wednesday, the weather service office in San Diego said, with inland areas in San Diego, Riverside and San Bernardino counties likely to hit 80 degrees and some lower deserts reaching the 90s. By Saturday and Sunday, inland desert regions including Palm Springs and the Coachella Valley could see highs in the 100s.
High temperatures are also expected across Northern California, where forecasters warned of moderate heat risk with highs into the 90s in parts of the inland San Francisco Bay Area through Friday. The state’s far northern reaches could see temperatures in the 80s, with areas around Redding and Red Bluff getting to the low 90s.
The heat wave was brought on by a ridge of high pressure building over the state, which is expected to ease by the end of the week, Sweet said.
“The peak of it will be around Saturday with temperatures up near 90 degrees, then by Sunday, it starts cooling off again,” Sweet said. “It’s a very brief and very moderate warming trend. Then it’s going to be followed by a very extreme cooling trend.”
After the cooler weather returns early next week, there is the potential for rare early-May precipitation, forecasters said. Weather officials remain optimistic that sustained cooler temperatures into May will help limit the flooding dangers from a big, fast melting of the snowpack, which could be triggered by a sustained heat wave.
“We’ll be going from very warm at the end of this week to very cool and possibly wet for the next week,” Sweet said.
A low-pressure system dropping down from Canada along the California coast will bring the drastic change in weather, he said.
By Tuesday, the L.A. area could see highs back down in the lower to mid-60s, he said, with a 20% chance of rainfall.
The chance of rain next week in the Central Valley is a possibility, Spector said, but “still questionable” this far out.
Grace Toohey
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