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Development chances rise for Potential Tropical Cyclone 18 in Caribbean; NHC monitoring other areas

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Video above: Latest on the tropicsThe National Hurricane Center is tracking three areas of interest as we enter the final month of hurricane season. PTC 18 in the western Caribbean SeaPotential Tropical Cyclone 18 is a broad area of low pressure in the South Central Caribbean Sea. According to the NHC, the system is expected to become a tropical depression in the next day or two as it moves toward Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and Cuba. Tropical storm watches or warnings are expected to be issued late Sunday, as heavy rains are expected in these three areas. The system is expected to enter the Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday. However, where the system goes after is still unclear. Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft are investigating the system, according to the NHC. The following named storm will be Rafael. Formation chance through 48 hours: 90%Formation chance through seven days: 90%Area of low pressure near the southeastern BahamasA trough of low pressure near the Southeastern Bahamas is producing disorganized showers, thunderstorms and gusty winds, according to the NHC. The system’s slow development is possible the next day as it moves westward toward Cuba and the Bahamas. The system is expected to be absorbed into the low-pressure area in the Caribbean, PTC 18, by late Monday, ending its chance of further development. Heavy rains are possible during the following days across the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas. Formation chance through 48 hours: 10% Formation chance through 7 days: 10% RELATED: November hurricanes are pretty rare in Florida. See a map of all past landfalls Area of low pressure southwestern Atlantic The NHC is monitoring an area of disturbed weather that is expected to develop near the northeastern Leeward Islands around the middle of the week. Slow development is possible as it moves westward over the southwestern Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours.: 0%Formation chance through 7 days: 10% Subtropical Storm Patty in North AtlanticSubtropical Storm Patty formed in the Atlantic on Saturday, according to the NHC. The system poses no threat to Florida. As the system moves eastward during the next few days, any additional development into a subtropical or tropical cyclone is expected to be slow. Maximum sustained winds: 45 mphMinimum central pressure: 992 mbRELATED: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024 First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

Video above: Latest on the tropics

The National Hurricane Center is tracking three areas of interest as we enter the final month of hurricane season.

PTC 18 in the western Caribbean Sea

Potential Tropical Cyclone 18 is a broad area of low pressure in the South Central Caribbean Sea.

According to the NHC, the system is expected to become a tropical depression in the next day or two as it moves toward Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and Cuba.

Tropical storm watches or warnings are expected to be issued late Sunday, as heavy rains are expected in these three areas.

The system is expected to enter the Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday. However, where the system goes after is still unclear.

Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft are investigating the system, according to the NHC.

The following named storm will be Rafael.

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You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

Formation chance through 48 hours: 90%

Formation chance through seven days: 90%

Area of low pressure near the southeastern Bahamas

A trough of low pressure near the Southeastern Bahamas is producing disorganized showers, thunderstorms and gusty winds, according to the NHC.

The system’s slow development is possible the next day as it moves westward toward Cuba and the Bahamas.

The system is expected to be absorbed into the low-pressure area in the Caribbean, PTC 18, by late Monday, ending its chance of further development.

Heavy rains are possible during the following days across the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas.

Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%

Formation chance through 7 days: 10%

RELATED: November hurricanes are pretty rare in Florida. See a map of all past landfalls

Area of low pressure southwestern Atlantic

The NHC is monitoring an area of disturbed weather that is expected to develop near the northeastern Leeward Islands around the middle of the week.

Slow development is possible as it moves westward over the southwestern Atlantic.

Formation chance through 48 hours.: 0%

Formation chance through 7 days: 10%

Subtropical Storm Patty in North Atlantic

Subtropical Storm Patty formed in the Atlantic on Saturday, according to the NHC.

The system poses no threat to Florida.

This content is imported from Twitter.
You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

As the system moves eastward during the next few days, any additional development into a subtropical or tropical cyclone is expected to be slow.

Maximum sustained winds: 45 mph

Minimum central pressure: 992 mb

RELATED: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024

First Warning Weather

Stay with WESH 2 online and on air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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