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Tag: Stock Market Commentary

  • Strong Economic Data Weaken the Case for Continued Stock Rally

    Strong Economic Data Weaken the Case for Continued Stock Rally

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    The dash for trash has hit a speed bump. Stocks faltered again this past week as the early-year rally, led by rebounds in 2022’s speculative-grade losers, ran into resistance from higher expected interest rates from the Federal Reserve in the wake of persistent inflation readings and few signs that growth is faltering.

    Economists at an array of major Wall Street banks, including Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, and Citigroup, lifted their forecasts of the eventual peak in the central bank’s target range for the overnight federal-funds rate, to 5.25% to 5.50%, effectively bringing them in line with the fed-funds futures market. Deutsche Bank now is expecting a 5.6% single-point peak, up a half-percentage-point from its previous estimate, and among the highest forecasts.

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  • Gold’s Awakening May Make Investors Sleep Less Soundly

    Gold’s Awakening May Make Investors Sleep Less Soundly

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    Gold’s Awakening May Make Investors Sleep Less Soundly

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  • Cheap? Maybe. But These Stocks Have Been Dead Money for Decades

    Cheap? Maybe. But These Stocks Have Been Dead Money for Decades

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    Cheesecake Factory appears to be “running the same play,” wrote J.P. Morgan analyst John Ivankoe in a recent restaurant industry outlook. I don’t think he meant it as a compliment—the stock, he noted, trades where it did in 2004, adjusted for splits.

    Why the long stall-out? My first thought was that maybe hitting the mall for a hypercaloric sit-down meal off a menu the size of a Gutenberg Bible has fallen out of favor over the years. But no: Sales have bounced back and then some from the Covid pandemic, with plenty of takeout business and dessert orders. The average


    Cheesecake Factory


    (ticker: CAKE) restaurant does more than $10 million in yearly sales, or twice as much as an Olive Garden.

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