NFL Week 4 Thursday night Bettors Guide: Lions feel at home at Lambeau

LIONS at PACKERS

8:15 p.m., Lions by 1 1/2, 44 ½

HANK’S HONEYS: The Packers don’t beat the Saints if Derek Carr doesn’t get hurt but that’s football. Now they must face the up-and-coming Lions with injuries of their own. Jordan Love could be missing his starting left guard and tackle against a Lions pass rush that recorded seven sacks last week. Love keeps getting away with throwing into tight coverage (seven TDs, one INT) but his luck is due to run out if he’s under that much pressure. The Lions have been particularly stingy against the run so Love will have to bring it.

The Packers have been money at home with an NFL-best record ATS since Matt LaFleur took over in 2019. But that hasn’t been the case against Detroit. The Lions love it at Lambeau, where they knocked the Packers out of the playoff race on the final day of last season and Jared Goff, whose offense is averaging 381 ypg, loves to play the Packers with a 4-2 record against them.

Detroit seems ready to take control of the NFC North where it has won its last six games ATS. Dan Campbell’s team is also 7-2 ATS following a win since the start of last season. It will be close like Green Bay’s last two games but the bottom line is that they have more talent spread out across the roster and that should come through in a short week.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Lions and the over.