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Tag: bitcoin price prediction

  • Data Shows Sellers Have Returned To Bitcoin: Is A Major Price Drop On The Horizon?

    Data Shows Sellers Have Returned To Bitcoin: Is A Major Price Drop On The Horizon?

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    Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname – HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others.

    Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis.

    Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics.

    When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…)

    Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life.

    In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps.

    Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think’s probably unfeasible, I’ve done already a hundredfold.”

    PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.

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    Samuel Edyme

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  • Is Bitcoin Poised for a September Price Surge? What Traders Need to Know

    Is Bitcoin Poised for a September Price Surge? What Traders Need to Know

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    Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname – HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others.

    Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis.

    Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics.

    When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…)

    Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life.

    In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps.

    Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think’s probably unfeasible, I’ve done already a hundredfold.”

    PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.

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    Samuel Edyme

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  • Bitcoin Mining Cost At $86,700: Price To Surpass This Soon?

    Bitcoin Mining Cost At $86,700: Price To Surpass This Soon?

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    Data suggests the average cost of mining Bitcoin is standing around $86,700 right now. Here’s what history suggests could happen next for BTC.

    Bitcoin Average Mining Cost Is Currently Notably Higher Than The Price

    In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about how the average mining cost of BTC is looking like right now. The Bitcoin network runs on a consensus mechanism based on the “proof-of-work” in which validators called the miners compete against each other using computing power to get to hash the next block on the chain.

    This computing power naturally has its running cost, with electricity being the most notable expense that the miners have to pay, given that it’s a perpetual cost. The incentive for spending capital on mining operations lies in the block rewards that these validators receive upon successfully adding the next block.

    Obviously, mining expenses are different depending on location, as electricity prices aren’t the same everywhere. As such, the chart that Ali has cited from MacroMicro uses data provided by the Cambridge University on BTC electricity consumption to find out an average value.

    Related Reading

    Below is the chart in question, which shows how the average mining cost on the Bitcoin network has changed over the past few years.

    The value of the metric appears to have gone up in recent months | Source: @ali_charts on X

    As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin average mining cost (colored in blue) had been below the price of the cryptocurrency earlier in the year, but recently, the former’s value has spiked and has surpassed the latter’s.

    The reason behind this sudden increase is that there is another variable at play when calculating the average cost of mining Bitcoin: the Issuance, or the number of tokens that the miners are minting daily.

    In general, the block rewards stay fixed both in value and frequency, so the Issuance of the network, which is nothing else than the sum of the block rewards mined in a day, more or less remains fixed as well.

    Specific events, however, don’t abide by this. They are the Halvings. These periodic events that take place approximately every four years permanently slash the block rewards in half.

    The latest such event, the fourth ever in the cryptocurrency’s history, occurred back in April. Naturally, the Halvings mean that the cost of mining 1 BTC drastically goes up, as miners only get half as many rewards as before after doing the same amount of work.

    Thus, it’s not surprising that the cost of production for the coin observed a sharp increase coinciding with the latest Halving. At present, this metric stands at $86,700, meaning that according to MacroMicro’s model, the average miner would be underwater.

    Related Reading

    Based on the past trend of the indicator, Ali has identified a pattern that Bitcoin has always followed. “Historically, BTC always surges above its average mining cost!” notes the analyst.

    As such, if this pattern continues to hold for the current cycle as well, then it may only be a matter of time before Bitcoin surges past the $86,700 mark.

    BTC Price

    Bitcoin has gone through a drawdown of more than 5% recently, which has brought its price under the $66,000 level.

    Bitcoin Price Chart
    Looks like the price of the asset has observed bearish momentum recently | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

    Featured image from Dall-E, MacroMicro.me, chart from TradingView.com

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    Keshav Verma

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  • Crypto Analyst Says Bitcoin Is Heavily Undervalued Despite ATH, What’s The Fair Value?

    Crypto Analyst Says Bitcoin Is Heavily Undervalued Despite ATH, What’s The Fair Value?

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    Despite Bitcoin recently hitting a new all-time high (ATH) of over $70,000, crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe believes that there is still more room for significant moves to the upside. Interestingly, he also expects that this bull cycle will be one like no other.

    Bitcoin Still Heavily Undervalued

    Michaël van de Poppe mentioned in an X (formerly Twitter) post that Bitcoin was still “heavily undervalued” despite hitting a new ATH. He added that the value is “way higher” and noted how the flagship crypto can help hedge against inflation and keep one’s purchasing power alive. Meanwhile, the crypto analyst believes there will be “way higher numbers” in this cycle.

    Michaël van de Poppe had previously hinted at Bitcoin rising to as high as $150,000 in this bull run. Other analysts have also given similar price predictions, with the consensus that BTC will surely rise above $100,000. Other crypto analysts, including MacronautBTC, have even gone as far as predicting that Bitcoin could rise above $200,000. 

    There is a growing belief that this bull cycle will be the mother of all past cycles, which could be the reason for such ambitious predictions. Moreover, this cycle has the Spot Bitcoin ETFs, something past bull runs didn’t have. These ETFs have ushered in more institutional demand for the flagship crypto, which has led to an overall increase in the demand for Bitcoin. 

    Interestingly, NewsBTC previously reported that the demand for Bitcoin is significantly exceeding Miners’ supply. This development is coming at a time when miners’ rewards are set to be cut in half during the Bitcoin Halving. This would likely lead to more imbalance between the demand and supply curve, potentially leading to an exponential surge in Bitcoin’s price. 

    BTC Still Has Enough Time To Hit New Highs 

    Bitcoin hitting a new ATH of $70,000 is just the beginning of this bull run, as there is reason to believe this bullish momentum could run into next year. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez noted in an X post that Bitcoin has “consistently taken about 8 to 11 months to hit a market top” whenever it has shattered its previous ATH.   

    With Bitcoin currently hitting new highs, the analyst added that historical patterns suggest that the next BTC market top “will be sometime between November 2024 and February 2025.” However,  Alex Thorn, Head of Research at Galaxy Digital, has warned that “bull markets are not straight lines up” and that sharp corrections should be expected along the way. 

    At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $68,300, up over 2% in the last 24 hours according to data from CoinMarketCap. 

    BTC price drops $68,400 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

    Featured image from CNBC, chart from Tradingview.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Scott Matherson

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  • Crypto Platform Which Predicted Bitcoin To Reach $50,000 Has Released A New Target

    Crypto Platform Which Predicted Bitcoin To Reach $50,000 Has Released A New Target

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    Crypto financial services platform Matrixport has made another bullish prediction for the Bitcoin price. This time, they predicted that Bitcoin would rise to $63,000, including when the flagship crypto token hits this target. Matrixport had previously predicted that BTC would rise to $50,000 by the end of January, although that didn’t happen. 

    Bitcoin Will Rise to $63,000 By March!

    Matrixport mentioned in their latest report that BTC will rise to $63,000 by March this year. Although this price level seems ambitious, the crypto platform noted that it is achievable with certain factors in mind. One includes the Spot Bitcoin ETFs, which were approved over a month ago.  

    These Bitcoin ETFs have so far contributed largely to BTC’s resurgence (even before they were approved). They have continued to record an impressive demand, which has led to a significant accumulation of BTC by the fund issuers. Interestingly, Bitcoin maximalist Samson Mow recently argued that BTC would have been down as much as 20% if not for these ETFs. 

    Meanwhile, Trading firm QCP Capital shares similar sentiments with Matrixport as they noted in a previous report how Bitcoin could rise to as high as $69,000 thanks to these Spot Bitcoin ETFs. Then, they stated that BTC revisiting its all-time high (ATH) will depend on the “genuine flow the actual ETF will bring in the first few weeks of trading.”

    The Spot Bitcoin ETFs have not disappointed, recording $2.8 billion in net inflows during the first 21 trading days. Bitcoinist also reported how these funds saw $2.2 billion in inflows last week. 

    Other Catalysts That Will Contribute To Bitcoin’s Rise To $63,000

    Matrixport also mentioned the Bitcoin Halving, interest rate decisions, and the US presidential election as factors that could make BTC rise to $63,000. The Bitcoin Halving, expected to take place in April, continues to be projected as an event that could cause Bitcoin’s price to increase exponentially. 

    In Matrixport’s case, they expect that the hopium around the event will cause BTC to rise to $63,000 even before it occurs. It is not uncommon for the flagship crypto token to get priced in ahead of a much-anticipated event like the Bitcoin Halving. Moreover, Bitcoin historically makes significant gains pre-halving. 

    Furthermore, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates as inflation cools. However, it is uncertain how much this could impact Bitcoin’s rise to $63,000, considering that the Fed’s minutes showed they are still cautious about cutting rates too quickly (at least not as soon as March).

    Matrixport also stated that the US presidential election could influence Bitcoin’s price. Just like the interest rate decision, it is unlikely that the election, slated for November 2024, will impact Bitcoin’s trajectory in the short term. 

    BTC bears fail to drag price down | Source: BTCUSD On Tradingview.com

    Featured image from Cointribune, chart from Tradingview.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Scott Matherson

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  • Bitcoin Price Targets $55,000 Following Bull Pennant Breakout

    Bitcoin Price Targets $55,000 Following Bull Pennant Breakout

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    The Bitcoin price has experienced a notable increase of over 4% in the last 12 hours, marking a departure from the recent lull. This movement follows a bull pennant breakout, with the price of Bitcoin now aiming for the $55,000 mark.

    The 4-hour (BTC/USD) chart below shows Bitcoin trading at $44,609, having just breached the confines of a bullish pennant pattern—a bullish continuation signal frequently followed by an upward price trajectory.

    BTC price, 4-hour chart | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

    What This Means For Bitcoin Price

    The pennant, which is characterized by converging trend lines following a substantial price move, signifies a pause in trading before the market resumes its prior uptrend. The breakout from the pennant suggests a continuation of the bullish trend with a potential target that is often extrapolated from the length of the prior move, known as the flagpole, which initiated the pennant formation.

    Looking at the moving averages, Bitcoin has displayed a golden cross pattern, with the 20-period EMA (currently at $43,389) ascending above the 50-period EMA (currently at $43,049) and the 100-period EMA (currently at $42,727). This cross underpins the bullish sentiment in the market.

    Volume, a key indicator of the strength behind price movements, has also shown an uptick as the breakout occurred, further validating the bullish scenario.

    The Fibonacci retracement tool, applied from the swing high at $49,092 to the swing low at $38,484, shows Bitcoin’s price breaking above the 0.5 ($43,788) retracement level. The next critical levels to watch are the 0.618 ($45,040) and the 0.786 ($46,822) Fibonacci levels, which may serve as resistances in the short term.

    Beyond that, the full 1.0 extension ($49,092) is on the horizon, with the 1.618 extension ($55,648) aligning closely with the target of $55,000, reinforcing its significance as a potential price objective.

    The RSI, at 73.47, indicates strong buying pressure but also suggests caution as the market approaches overbought conditions. However, it is important to note that Bitcoin price in its strongest moments tends to reach very high levels, exhibiting the massive momentum. Therefore, it is essential for traders to watch for any potential divergence that may signal a weakening of the current momentum.

    In conclusion, Bitcoin’s break above the bullish pennant pattern has set the stage for a possible rally towards the $55,000 mark. The intersection of the golden cross, increased volume, and the Fibonacci extension levels adds credence to the bullish outlook.

    However, traders should remain vigilant of the overbought conditions that could prompt a retest of key support levels. The most crucial support is found at the 0.5 Fibonacci level ($43,788), with further support levels at 0.382 ($42,536) and 0.236 ($40,988). A sustained move below these levels could challenge the bullish thesis and shift focus to the next significant support at $38,484.

    Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Jake Simmons

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  • Bitcoin To $5 Million? S2F Model Predicts When This Will Happen

    Bitcoin To $5 Million? S2F Model Predicts When This Will Happen

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    Using historical and future Bitcoin halving events, the Bitcoin Stock to Flow (S2F) live data chart model has pointed toward a BTC surge to unprecedented highs during the 2028 to 2032 halvings. 

    Bitcoin To Hit $5 Million After 2028 Halving

    Crypto analyst Bit Harington recently shared insights in a post on X (formerly Twitter) about the potential surges in the price of Bitcoin during the next halving stages. Using data from the Bitcoin S2F chart, Harington predicted the price of Bitcoin would reach $500,000 by the fourth halving, which is taking place in April. 

    His predictions were based on the distinctive trend observed in BTC’s price, where the first to third halving phases exhibited a consistent 10x price increase for each successive halving. 

    Responding to the post, the creator of the S2F model, Plan B, made a bold prediction, suggesting that the average price of Bitcoin during the 2028 and 2032 halving events could potentially reach an impressive $5 million. 

    The cryptocurrency has consistently experienced bullish rallies following each halving event, from the first Bitcoin halving in November 2012 to the third in May 2020. Due to this, many investors and crypto analysts foresee a similar surge in BTC’s price during 2024 halving. 

    These expectations could be attributed to the events that typically occur during a Bitcoin halving event. In each halving phase, BTC mining rewards are cut in half, and the supply of the token is reduced, thereby inducing scarcity and increasing the token’s value. 

    While these price projections about Bitcoin are made to keep investors alert, it’s important to note that they remain speculations, and models like S2F can be subject to wide margins of error. 

    BTC price struggles to hold $42,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

    Analyst Reveals Key Factors To Consider In 2024 Halving

    Another crypto analyst, Ali Martinez, has disclosed four crucial factors to keep in mind as the 2024 April Bitcoin halving approaches. Martinez highlighted the significance of the post-halving price corrections in the 2016 and 2020 Bitcoin halving, emphasizing that BTC declined by 30% to 70% within a month after the halving phases. 

    He also mentioned BTC’s post-halving rallies, where the cryptocurrency experienced significant surges to 700%, 2,850%, and 11,000%, respectively, during the 2012, 2016, and 2020 halving events. The crypto analyst delved into bull market durations after each halving, which lasted about a year or more.

    He concluded his analysis by predicting that the next Bitcoin market top would occur around April or October 2025. At the time of writing, the price of BTC was $42,110, according to CoinMarketCap. 

    Featured image from Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Best Owie

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  • Here Are The Major Drivers Behind The Bitcoin Price Recovery Above $42,000

    Here Are The Major Drivers Behind The Bitcoin Price Recovery Above $42,000

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    Bitcoin recently surged above $42,000, having traded below $40,000 for several days. This market recovery is believed to be a result of different factors, including recent revelations about the US economy. 

    Macroeconomic Factors That Contributed To The Recent Bitcoin Surge

    The personal income expenditures (PCE) price index, a leading inflation indicator, was released on January 26 and reported to have been lower than expectations. This suggests that inflation in the United States is cooling off, and experts predict that the Federal Reserve will likely reduce their aggressive monetary policies. 

    The Fed’s hawkish stance is known to have a negative effect on Bitcoin’s price and the broader crypto market. As such, this recent development is a positive one and is something that could have influenced investors to double down on their investments in the flagship cryptocurrency, thereby sparking a price surge. 

    Meanwhile, data from the US Treasury recently showed that the country has hit an all-time debt of $34,1 trillion. While this has raised concerns about the looming crash of the US dollar, it has also presented Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as a haven to hedge against the potential devaluation of the nation’s currency. 

    Interestingly, different financial analysts, including renowned economist Peter Schiff, have continued to predict the imminent crash of the US dollar. In light of this, finance author Robert Kiyosaki has urged everyone to invest in Bitcoin to avoid becoming poorer due to the government’s actions. 

    Another factor believed to have contributed to Bitcoin’s recent surge is the expiration of monthly BTC options contracts on Deribit. The expiry outcome more than likely played a crucial role in Bitcoin’s rally, considering that CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju had pinpointed the derivatives market as responsible for Bitcoin’s recent decline.  

    BTC price jumps after downtrend | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

    GBTC’s Outflow Slows For The Fourth Consecutive Day

    Grayscale’s GBTC saw an outflow of just $255.1 million on January 26, continuing a recent trend of reduced outflows from the fund. NewsBTC reported how the Bitcoin ETF had seen outflows of $515 million, $429 million, and $394 million on January 23, 24, and 25, respectively.

    As noted by Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart, January 26 also happened to be the lowest outflow day for GBTC since converting to a Spot Bitcoin ETF. This development suggests that the fund’s investors may be cooling off on taking profits. It is also significant because Grayscale has contributed to the selling pressure that has plagued Bitcoin of late. 

    At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $41,700, up over 4% in the last 24 hours according to data from CoinMarketCap.

    Featured image from U.Today, chart from Tradingview.com

     

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Scott Matherson

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  • Why Did The Bitcoin Price Fall Below $41,000?

    Why Did The Bitcoin Price Fall Below $41,000?

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    Bitcoin dropped below $41,000 in the last 24 hours before making a recovery to rise above that level once again. This has become the current reality of the flagship crypto token’s price, which has continued to decline since the Spot Bitcoin ETFs were approved. This is surprising considering that these funds were projected to help boost Bitcoin’s price upon launch. 

    Why Bitcoin’s Price Could Be Dipping

    Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart provided insight into what could be the reason for Bitcoin’s declining price as he revealed that Grayscale’s GBTC has experienced an outflow of $2.2 billion since its conversion to a Spot Bitcoin ETF. Crypto analytics platform Arkham Intelligence also revealed that Grayscale had moved 9000 BTC from their wallets to Coinbase, suggesting an imminent sale. 

    A sell pressure of such magnitude would no doubt affect Bitcoin’s price, and that seems to be a plausible explanation for why Bitcoin’s price has declined as of late. The CEO of Jan3 and Bitcoiner, Samson Mow, also echoed similar sentiments as he mentioned that the GBTC sell pressure was pushing prices down. 

    However, Mow believes that this trend “won’t be a long drawn out process,” as he predicts that many of GBTC’s investors won’t be able to offload their stocks because the “tax hit is too big.” JP Morgan will, however, beg to differ as a research report by the bank estimates that up to $3 billion could exit from the GBTC fund with many investors looking to take profit. 

    Crypto analyst Ash Crypto also recently elaborated on how profit-taking is one of the reasons that GBTC is seeing this significant amount of outflows. He explained that a lot of GBTC investors bought shares in the fund when it was trading at a 40% discount from Bitcoin, and now they are exiting their positions since that discount is now at 0%. 

    BTC bulls make a play for control | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

    Spot Bitcoin ETFs Are Actually Living Up To Hype

    While Grayscale’s GBTC continues to bleed, other Spot ETFs look to be living up to the hype, with there being an impressive demand for these funds. Nate Geraci, the President of the ETF Store, revealed that two (IBIT and FBTC) out of the nine Spot ETFs (excluding GBTC) already hit $1 billion in assets under management (AUM) just after five trading days. 

    Specifically, BlackRock’s IBIT (iShares Bitcoin Trust) was the first to achieve this milestone in just four trading days. Commenting on how impressive this was, Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas noted that only two other ETFs ($GLD and $BITO) had done this before now, and none of those funds faced such competition as IBIT did on launch day.  

    The demand for Spot ETFs is evidently there, seeing that two spot Bitcoin ETFs have already achieved a record that was held by only two other ETFs before now.

    Featured image from Yahoo Finance, chart from Tradingview.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Best Owie

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  • Bitcoin To Reach $1 Million In Days To Weeks, Crypto Analyst

    Bitcoin To Reach $1 Million In Days To Weeks, Crypto Analyst

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    The CEO of Jan3 and Bitcoiner, Samson Mow, has once again reiterated his ultra-bullish prediction for Bitcoin. The Bitcoin advocate noted that the ‘Max Pain Theory’ was still in play, and this is one of the reasons why he isn’t backing down from his assertion that Bitcoin will hit this price level sooner rather than later. 

    Bitcoin’s Rise To $1 Million To Happen “In Days To Weeks”

    Samson Mow stated in an X (formerly Twitter) post that his “main prediction” is that Bitcoin’s run to $1 million will happen in “days to weeks.” However, he further claimed that the starting point for this meteoric rise has yet to be decided. 

    The analyst’s bullish prediction for Bitcoin stems from his belief in the max pain theory, which relates to a Bitcoin price that could cause most options traders to experience maximum loss. In Mow’s opinion, Bitcoin bulls have experienced this loss following the approval of the Spot Bitcoin ETFs, and the bears could experience “some pain soon.”

    Right before the approval order came in, Mow had predicted that Bitcoin was going to surge to $1 million in “days to weeks” and that most people were going to experience “max pain.” These ETFs also form part of the basis for why he believes that Bitcoin will hit this price level soon enough, as Mow foresees a huge demand for btc following this.

    Mow says that the Bitcoin market is getting to a point where the existing supply will not meet current demand. He also alluded to the upcoming Bitcoin Halving, hinting that it could be one of the catalysts that will spark this parabolic rise in Bitcoin’s price. Interestingly, he had before now mentioned that Bitcoin will hit a new all-time high (ATH) before the Halving event takes place. 

    BTC bulls struggle to reclaim control | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

    A Market Adjustment Is Currently Ongoing

    Mow also gave his opinion on the reason for Bitcoin’s recent decline as he noted that the market was simply adjusting. He further explained that GBTC holders were currently rotating out, which was pushing Bitcoin’s price down. He also alluded to how MicroStrategy’s stock was “trading below BTC par value.”

    Therefore, the crypto community needs to be patient as “time is needed for everything to recalibrate,” Mow says. It shouldn’t be long for that to happen, though, as the crypto analyst claimed that the GBTC sell pressure “won’t be a long drawn out process.” 

    He believes that many of GBTC’s investors won’t be able to offload their stocks because the “tax hit is too big” and that Grayscale will eventually capitulate on its fees. The asset manager currently has the largest fee among all Spot Bitcoin ETF issuers, and this is believed to be the reason why its investors are offloading their shares and rotating to other funds. 

    Featured image from Bitcoin News, chart from Tradingview.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Scott Matherson

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  • These Events Will Create A Bitcoin Crash In March: Arthur Hayes

    These Events Will Create A Bitcoin Crash In March: Arthur Hayes

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    Arthur Hayes, the founder of BitMEX, in his latest essay, presents a foreboding prediction for the Bitcoin market in March, anticipating a severe correction of 30-40%. His detailed analysis, rooted in a deep understanding of market dynamics, outlines the complexities and driving factors behind this expected crash, respectively healthy but deep correction.

    Hayes begins his discourse with a cautionary reminder of the nascent state of the crypto bull market, warning enthusiasts not to be overly carried away. “The crypto bull market is in its early stages, and we must not get carried away with our enthusiasm,” he says, highlighting the uncertain journey towards the inevitable collapse of the fiat financial system.

    Why The Bitcoin Price Could Fall 40% In March

    His prediction revolves around three key financial events and indicators converging in March. Hayes first points to the anticipated decline in the Reverse Repo Program (RRP) Balance to a critical level of $200 billion, a scenario he believes will trigger market anxiety about future sources of dollar liquidity. He describes this threshold as a moment of reckoning, “When this number gets close to zero… the market will wonder what is next,” underscoring the gravity of this anticipated development.

    The second pivotal factor is the fate of the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP), which is due to expire on March 12th. Hayes portrays this as a significant test for the financial system, speculating on the decision-making process of the US Treasury in the face of potential liquidity crises among banks. He articulates the market’s anticipatory stance, suggesting that “the market will start getting inquisitive many weeks before about whether or not the banks will continue receiving this lifeline.”

    The final piece in Hayes’ forecast is the Federal Reserve’s meeting on March 20th, where a rate cut is expected. This decision, in Hayes’ view, is crucial for setting market expectations and influencing the dynamics surrounding dollar liquidity provision by the Fed and the US Treasury Department.

    Hayes then delves deeper into his tactical trading strategy in response to these events, detailing his plans to short the crypto market using Bitcoin puts. He articulates his approach, saying, “I will look to buy a sizable put option position on Bitcoin around this time,” signaling his preparedness to leverage the anticipated market shift.

    An important aspect of Hayes’ analysis is the potential impact of the US-listed spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). He argues that the anticipation of substantial fiat capital inflows into these spot ETFs could initially propel Bitcoin’s price to soaring highs. However, he warns that this upsurge could be followed by a dramatic correction, exacerbated by a liquidity squeeze.

    “Imagine if the anticipation of hundreds of billions of fiat flowing into these ETFs at a future date propels Bitcoin above $60,000,” he says, illustrating the potential for a steep decline. Hayes explains that a market already heightened by ETF speculation would be particularly vulnerable to a sharp correction, potentially worsening the downturn to 30-40% in the event of a liquidity crunch.

    How Hayes Will Trade This Scenario

    Hayes then shifts to discuss his tactical trading decisions in response to these indicators. He shares his plan to initially short the crypto market using Bitcoin puts, followed by a return to selling US Treasury bills and acquiring more Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. In explaining his approach, Hayes states, “I will look to buy a sizable put option position on Bitcoin around this time,” indicating his readiness to capitalize on the predicted market downturn.

    Furthermore, Hayes details his strategy for Bitcoin puts, explaining the rationale behind choosing puts expiring on June 28th and his approach to selecting the strike price. He emphasizes the importance of timing and market dynamics, noting, “I expect Bitcoin to experience a healthy […] correction from whatever level it has attained by early March.”

    In his conclusion, Hayes contemplates various scenarios that could play out differently from his predictions. He considers the implications of a slower decline in the RRP, a potential extension of the BTFP by Yellen, or alternative outcomes of the Fed’s March meeting. He notes that each of these scenarios could lead to different market behaviors, necessitating adjustments in his trading approach.

    At press time, BTC traded at $43,940.

    BTC trades just below $44,000, 1-day chart | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

    Featured image from YouTube / What Bitcoin Did, chart from TradingView.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Jake Simmons

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  • Singapore Crypto Firm Amber Group Hits $3 Billion Valuation In Funding Round Led By Temasek

    Singapore Crypto Firm Amber Group Hits $3 Billion Valuation In Funding Round Led By Temasek

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    Amber Group has raised $200 million in a fundraising round led by Singapore’s state-owned investment firm Temasek, boosting the valuation of the cryptocurrency financial services firm to $3 billion. It was valued at $1 billion about seven months ago. 

    Other investors include existing shareholders Sequoia China, Tiger Global Management, the venture capital arm of crypto exchange Coinbase, as well as Pantera Capital, a crypto hedge fund founded by a former Tiger Management executive, according to a company statement issued on Tuesday. 

    Amber Group achieved its unicorn status during its last fundraising round in June. The company said it will use the new capital to hire more staff to support its institutional business in Europe and the Americas. The capital will also be used for expanding coverage of its crypto investment platform globally.

    “We want to help create a digital future where digital assets empower people with the opportunity and agency to shape a better world for all,” cofounder and CEO Michael Wu, a Forbes 30 Under 30 Asia alum from 2019, said in the statement. “We are proud to have the support of our investors who not only share this vision but also put their capital and trust in us to achieve it.”

    Amber Group is said to be weighing an initial public offering in the U.S. next year, according to media reports. The company was established in 2017 by a group of quantitative traders from Morgan Stanley. It has recently moved its home office from Hong Kong to Singapore, which is seen by many to be more crypto-friendly due to the regulations the Southeast Asian nation rolled out in early 2020 that allows exchanges to apply for operating licenses.  

    Amber Group offers platforms for cryptocurrency trading and investments using digital assets. The startup said it has processed more than $1 trillion worth of crypto transactions cumulatively and manages over $5 billion in digital assets. 

    The crypto firm has operations in Asia, Europe and the Americas, and has received regulatory approvals from Australia, Switzerland and the U.K, according to its statement. It has recently ventured into Japan through its acquisition of DeCurret, a local crypto exchange licensed by the country’s financial regulators.

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    Zinnia Lee, Forbes Staff

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