Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang speaks during Computex 2024 in Taipei on June 4, 2024.
I-hwa Cheng | AFP | Getty Images
Nvidia shares fell 2% in extended trading Tuesday after Bloomberg reported that the company received a subpoena from the Department of Justice as part of an antitrust investigation.
The slide comes after Nvidia dropped nearly 10% during regular trading, wiping $279 billion off its market cap.
The DOJ probe has not reached the stage of a formal complaint, according to Bloomberg, and the agency is asking questions about whether Nvidia makes it harder to switch to other suppliers of AI chips. Nvidia has more than 80% of the market for data center AI chips, according to industry estimates.
Nvidia’s huge rise in recent years has been directly tied to its dominance in AI chips for data centers, established years before competitors AMD and Intel started taking the category seriously. Nearly a decade ago, Nvidia developed a programming language for its chips, called CUDA, which is a key tool for engineers who train advanced AI models like the one at the heart of ChatGPT.
Many of Nvidia’s top customers are cloud companies as well as internet giants, including Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Amazon and Tesla.
As Nvidia’s AI chips have become a hot commodity, the company has released new enterprise software subscriptions and marketed its networking products as important complements to get the most out of its chips.
Recent versions of Nvidia’s chips can come pre-installed in entire Nvidia-designed server racks, an example of Nvidia’s effort to move from being a mere parts supplier to an entire systems provider.
A representative for Nvidia told CNBC that the company “wins on merit, as reflected in our benchmark results and value to customers, who can choose whatever solution is best for them.” The DOJ declined to comment to CNBC.
People walk past the image of the ‘Monkey King’ character, or ‘Sun Wukong’ of Chinese action role-playing game ‘Black Myth: Wukong’, developed by Chinese video game company Game Science, during its launch day in Hangzhou, in eastern China’s Zhejiang province on August 20, 2024.
Str | Afp | Getty Images
BEIJING – China’s first attempt at a top-tier video game has smashed world records, bolstering the industry’s global ambitions just a few years after Beijing’s gaming crackdown.
Black Myth: Wukong, an action game set in mythological China, sold more than 10 million units three days after its launch on Aug. 20. Ten days later, the title still ranked second by revenue in the U.S., and No. 1 globally, according to the Steam video game platform where it sells for around $60 or more.
“I think the next triple-A game is likely very close, because Black Myth: Wukong has shown everyone that a China-made AAA game can reach such high global sales,” said Dino Ying, chairman of Hero Games, which co-published the game and was an early investor in its developer Game Science. That’s according to a CNBC translation of his Mandarin-language remarks in an exclusive interview Thursday.
Ying said he knew of at least one such game under development, which his business partner at Hero Games has invested in. But he declined to share a timeframe.
As for how well Black Myth: Wukong has done, Ying only said sales have since increased by “much more” than the 10 million unit figure, although he indicated it had not yet doubled.
He said that in the future, the company’s game releases will have a global strategy from the start. He also expects foreign AAA game developers to realize how large China’s market is and tailor more features to Chinese players.
AAA games generally refer to titles with high graphics quality and significant marketing. That’s meant such video games have tended to come from companies such as Nintendo, Ubisoft and Electronic Arts.
“China is a big country. We’re talking about 1 million concurrent players,” said Ivan Su, senior equity analyst at Morningstar. “China has 600 million gamers.”
He said the reason why China hasn’t previously developed its own AAA game, which are typically played on computers and consoles, is the years-long production time. “It’s much more cost-effective if you create mobile games,” Su said.
When Hero Games first invested in Game Science, Apple CEO Tim Cook visited in 2017 and was so impressed by the first game, Art of War: Red Tides, he gave it the front page of the iOS App store in 178 countries, Ying said.
But that wasn’t a commercial success.
Apple CEO Tim Cook visited the office of Hero Games in 2017 after it invested in Game Science, which went on to develop Black Myth: Wukong.
Hero Games
Hero Games had already spent three years investing 60 million yuan (about $8.5 million today) in two failed projects from Game Science when the developer approached Ying and his team in August 2020 about Black Myth: Wukong, he said.
“We’re very lucky, we didn’t give up on Game Science before it succeeded,” Ying said, noting his business partner Daniel Wu, now CEO of Hero Games, had first discovered the startup.
“We aren’t saying to blindly wait for all people,” he said. “When you see that kind of talent, you need to be confident that that talent has been underappreciated. It may not have found the right direction. [So you just need to] help it to find it.”
Two days before Game Science planned to release a promotional video for Black Myth: Wukong, the company showed it to Ying and asked his team for at least 100 million yuan more, he said. If not, he said the startup planned to ask Bilibili, a major Chinese video streaming and game platform.
After watching the video, Ying said he told his team that “I really don’t want to miss this opportunity because this is the best game that I have seen in my life.”
Tencent then bought a 5% stake, but said it would not interfere with Game Science’s plans, Ying said. “Because this was an AAA game, under the normal process of a big business, there was no way it would have been approved.”
Hero Games’ initial investment in Game Science was for a 20% stake.
Beijing has only in the last two years started to approve games, after suspending new titles and limiting how many hours minors could play in 2021.
Black Myth: Wukong got China’s government approval in February. No part of the game needed to be changed for it to pass, Ying said.
“Personally I think in the past two years the regulation is increasingly respectful of the game industry and is beneficial to its development,” Ying said, noting that one or two years ago, there “was a misunderstanding.”
In the first half of this year, domestic game sales in China reached 147.27 billion yuan, said Ashley Dudarenok, founder of China digital consultancy ChoZan, citing industry figures.
Ying pointed out that many people in China bought PlayStations or upgraded their graphics cards after Black Myth: Wukong’s release, similar to how many people first bought the Nintendo Switch because of Zelda.
Something that’s lasted 1,000 years, people will definitely like it
Dino Ying
Hero Games, chairman
As for the global market, Dudarenok said overseas sales of China-developed games rose to $16.4 billion in 2023, up from $11.6 billion in 2019.
“Chinese games often incorporate rich cultural elements that appeal more and more to a global audience,” she said. “This unique cultural flavor sets them apart from games developed in other regions”
Ying said he expects China has at least five to 10 other stories that have been passed down over the last millennia that can be turned into games.
“If I create a new thing, I don’t know if people will like it. But something that’s lasted 1,000 years, people will definitely like it,” Ying said. “We don’t know why it was preserved over so many years. But we just need to respect the [original] artisans.”
He said Game Science sent teams and equipment to ancient temples in China to scan and replicate the designs, boosting the game’s immersive feel.
In the more niche market of independent games, Chinese companies are also on the rise.
Shanghai-based Cotton Game, which has a staff of 70 people, won the 2024 award for best development team in indie games from the French-supported Game Connection organization and ChinaJoy, which runs a major annual game conference in China.
“It depends on how capable we are, but [we hope to] use games as a way to share art, philosophy and thoughtful content,” the company’s CEO, who goes by the English name Cotton Guo, said in Mandarin translated by CNBC.
Cotton Game’s Sunset Hills – which took five years to draw by hand – also won the “Game of the Year” and “Best Indie Game” awards. The $20 game launched on Aug. 21 on Steam after raising $13,000 on Kickstarter.
The game follows an anthropomorphic dog through a Europe-like village, accompanied by the sounds of nature and music. Players solve puzzles along the way.
“Everyone is quite tired. In society today, the speed of life is very fast,” Robin Luo, the manager of Sunset Games. Its main character is based on his own dog. “So my hope while making Sunset Hills was that everyone playing the game could [find it] refreshing.”
JPMorgan Chase has rolled out a generative artificial intelligence assistant to tens of thousands of its employees in recent weeks, the initial phase of a broader plan to inject the technology throughout the sprawling financial giant.
The program, called LLM Suite, is already available to more than 60,000 employees, helping them with tasks like writing emails and reports. The software is expected to eventually be as ubiquitous within the bank as the videoconferencing program Zoom, people with knowledge of the plans told CNBC.
Rather than developing its own AI models, JPMorgan designed LLM Suite to be a portal that allows users to tap external large language models — the complex programs underpinning generative AI tools — and launched it with ChatGPT maker OpenAI’s LLM, said the people.
“Ultimately, we’d like to be able to move pretty fluidly across models depending on the use cases,” Teresa Heitsenrether, JPMorgan’s chief data and analytics officer, said in an interview. “The plan is not to be beholden to any one model provider.”
Teresa Heitsenrether is the firm’s chief data and analytics officer.
Courtesy: Joe Vericker | PhotoBureau
The move by JPMorgan, the largest U.S. bank by assets, shows how quickly generative AI has swept through American corporations since the arrival of ChatGPT in late 2022. Rival bank Morgan Stanley has already released a pair of OpenAI-powered tools for its financial advisors. And consumer tech giant Apple said in June that it was integrating OpenAI models into the operating system of hundreds of millions of its consumer devices, vastly expanding its reach.
The technology — hailed by some as the “Cognitive Revolution” in which tasks formerly done by knowledge workers will be automated — could be as important as the advent of electricity, the printing press and the internet, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon said in April.
It will likely “augment virtually every job” at the bank, Dimon said. JPMorgan had about 313,000 employees as of June.
The bank is giving employees what is essentially OpenAI’s ChatGPT in a JPMorgan-approved wrapper more than a year after it restricted employees from using ChatGPT. That’s because JPMorgan didn’t want to expose its data to external providers, Heitsenrether said.
“Since our data is a key differentiator, we don’t want it being used to train the model,” she said. “We’ve implemented it in a way that we can leverage the model while still keeping our data protected.”
The bank has introduced LLM Suite broadly across the company, with groups using it in JPMorgan’s consumer division, investment bank, and asset and wealth management business, the people said. It can help employees with writing, summarizing lengthy documents, problem solving using Excel, and generating ideas.
But getting it on employees’ desktops is just the first step, according to Heitsenrether, who was promoted in 2023 to lead the bank’s adoption of the red-hot technology.
“You have to teach people how to do prompt engineering that is relevant for their domain to show them what it can actually do,” Heitsenrether said. “The more people get deep into it and unlock what it’s good at and what it’s not, the more we’re starting to see the ideas really flourishing.”
The bank’s engineers can also use LLM Suite to incorporate functions from external AI models directly into their programs, she said.
JPMorgan has been working on traditional AI and machine learning for more than a decade, but the arrival of ChatGPT forced it to pivot.
Traditional, or narrow, AI performs specific tasks involving pattern recognition, like making predictions based on historical data. Generative AI is more advanced, however, and trains models on vast data sets with the goal of pattern creation, which is how human-sounding text or realistic images are formed.
The number of uses for generative AI are “exponentially bigger” than previous technology because of how flexible LLMs are, Heitsenrether said.
The bank is testing many cases for both forms of AI and has already put a few into production.
JPMorgan is using generative AI to create marketing content for social media channels, map out itineraries for clients of the travel agency it acquired in 2022 and summarize meetings for financial advisors, she said.
The consumer bank uses AI to determine where to place new branches and ATMs by ingesting satellite images and in call centers to help service personnel quickly find answers, Heitsenrether said.
In the firm’s global-payments business, which moves more than $8 trillion around the world daily, AI helps prevent hundreds of millions of dollars in fraud, she said.
But the bank is being more cautious with generative AI that directly touches upon the individual customer because of the risk that a chatbot gives bad information, Heitsenrether said.
Ultimately, the generative AI field may develop into “five or six big foundational models” that dominate the market, she said.
The bank is testing LLMs from U.S. tech giants as well as open source models to onboard to its portal next, said the people, who declined to be identified speaking about the bank’s AI strategy.
Heitsenrether charted out three stages for the evolution of generative AI at JPMorgan.
The first is simply making the models available to workers; the second involves adding proprietary JPMorgan data to help boost employee productivity, which is the stage that has just begun at the company.
The third is a larger leap that would unlock far greater productivity gains, which is when generative AI is powerful enough to operate as autonomous agents that perform complex multistep tasks. That would make rank-and-file employees more like managers with AI assistants at their command.
The technology will likely empower some workers while displacing others, changing the composition of the industry in ways that are hard to predict.
Banking jobs are the most prone to automation of all industries, including technology, health care and retail, according to consulting firm Accenture. AI could boost the sector’s profits by $170 billion in just four years, Citigroup analysts said.
People should consider generative AI “like an assistant that takes away the more mundane things that we would all like to not do, where it can just give you the answer without grinding through the spreadsheets,” Heitsenrether said.
“You can focus on the higher-value work,” she said.
— CNBC’s Leslie Picker contributed to this report.
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a “Morning Meeting” livestream at 10:20 a.m. ET. Here’s a recap of Monday’s key moments. U.S. stocks plunged Monday on mounting recession fears following last week’s disappointing July jobs report. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S & P 500 are down 2.6% and 3.1%, respectively, in early morning trading. Jim Cramer said the market’s decline has been accelerated by the unwinding of the “carry trade,” a popular strategy where investors borrow in a currency with low interest rates, such as the Japanese yen, and invest in higher-yielding assets elsewhere. So as the Japanese yen jumped to its highest level in over seven months against the dollar on Monday, investors aggressively unwound these trades. Major portfolio laggards include Big Tech names like Apple. Shares are down 4.7% after Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway disclosed over the weekend that it dumped half its stake in the iPhone maker during the last quarter. If Buffett didn’t sell, “that stock would probably be up today,” Jim said, citing the company’s solid quarterly earnings report last Thursday. We’re not concerned about the news. The stock still has plenty of catalysts such as an upgrade cycle on its forthcoming artificial intelligence-integrated iPhone. Despite the market’s turmoil, Jim argued that there’s plenty of buying opportunities for investors right now. “You want to buy things that are not in the blast zone,” Jim said, including banks like Wells Fargo. “Wells is probably the most attractive stock we can buy right now.” We bought shares of Wells on Monday’s dip because of its great dividend yield and long-term growth prospects. Wells was one of six trades the Club executed to start the week. (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long AAPL, WFC. See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
(Bloomberg) — Asian markets are poised for losses on Monday as fears of a deeper US economic slowdown roil traders around the globe worried that the Federal Reserve may be behind the curve on rate cuts. Oil climbed on rising tensions in the Middle East.
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US futures dropped in early trading, amid the fallout from heavy losses on Wall Street on Friday and Berkshire Hathaway Inc.’s weekend disclosure that it slashed its stake in Apple Inc. by almost half during the second quarter. Contracts indicate that Australian, Japanese and Hong Kong shares are set to drop on Monday.
Berkshire’s selling is “going to be immediately seen as a negative,” said Mark Lehmann, chief executive officer at Citizens JMP Securities. “Apple is the number one player in the global consumer space and that’s the statement about the global consumer.”
Oil rose in early Monday trading after Saudi Arabia lifted the price of crude it sells to Asia and amid reports Iran may strike Israel to avenge assassinations of Hezbollah and Hamas officials. Saudi Arabian and Israeli stocks slumped more than 2% on Sunday, outpacing Friday’s losses on Wall Street.
Japanese shares have plunged in the last two sessions on expectations for more domestic interest rate hikes. The broader Topix index sank more than 6% on Friday, marking its worst day since 2016. The yen has continued its gains, hitting 145.78 against the dollar on Monday, its strongest since January.
Data on Friday showed that US nonfarm payrolls rose by 114,000 in July — one of the weakest prints since the pandemic — and job growth was revised lower in the prior two months. The jobless rate unexpectedly climbed for a fourth month to 4.3%, above the Federal Reserve’s year-end forecast, triggering a closely watched recession indicator.
The S&P 500 saw its worst reaction to jobs data in almost two years, dropping 1.8%. Intel Corp. plunged 26% on a grim growth forecast, adding to a string of poor tech earnings that have sent the Nasdaq 100 down over 10% from its peak to enter a correction.
A worsening conflict in the Middle East risks adding more tumult to markets as investors brace for a turbulent second half of the year. A gauge of bond market volatility has climbed, while the VIX Index – Wall Street’s fear gauge – jumped to the highest in almost 18 months after a weak US jobs report ratcheted fears of a recession, as focus increases on an already chaotic US election race.
“In the next few months global and Australian shares look vulnerable to further falls, suggesting that it’s too early to buy the dip,” said Shane Oliver, chief economist and head of investment strategy at AMP Ltd. in Sydney. “A correction is underway.”
Meantime, US Treasuries climbed Friday, with policy sensitive two-year yields falling to the lowest since May 2023 as worries mount the Fed’s decision to hold rates at a two-decade high is risking a deeper economic slowdown. Traders are projecting the Fed will cut rates by more than a full percentage point in 2024, with an increased chance of an outsized 50-basis point cut in September, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
“With the unemployment rate above and core PCE inflation now below the Fed’s year-end forecasts, we believe that the balance of risks favors more aggressive action by the Fed,” said Brian Rose, a senior US economist at UBS Group AG’s wealth management unit. “We are changing our base case to rate cuts of 50 basis points in September and 25 basis points each in November and December” after previously just seeing half that amount by year-end, he wrote in a note to clients.
In Asia, traders will soon focus on the private Caixin China services and composite activity data for a further gauge on the health of the world’s second largest economy after manufacturing PMI contracted unexpectedly for the first time in nine months. The data comes as Chinese officials made clear in July that there would be limited aid to spur domestic consumption.
Elsewhere this week, inflation data in Thailand and Chile are due while Mexico and Peru will hold policy decisions as debate rages on the outlook for emerging market dollar and local currency bonds. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s policy meeting will be parsed to confirm bets of easing by year-end, while US economic activity and credit data and speeches from regional Fed bank presidents will be closely watched.
“Better data this week could provide some confidence to a bond market that is grossly overbought and offer reassurances to equity and credit,” Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone Group wrote in a note to clients.
“Conversely, if the data continues to weaken and central banks don’t meet the market pricing in their narrative, one thing seems clear: buying the dip in risk may not be as effective this time around, while short sellers will have a far more prosperous hunting ground,” he said.
Key events this week:
Bank of Japan issues minutes of June meeting, Monday
China Caixin services PMI, Monday
Indonesia GDP, Monday
Singapore retail sales, Monday
Thailand CPI, Monday
Eurozone PPI, HCOB Services PMI, Monday
US ISM Services index, Monday
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee speaks, Monday
San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly speaks, Monday
Australia rate decision, Tuesday
Japan cash earnings, Tuesday
Philippines CPI, trade, Tuesday
Eurozone retail sales, Tuesday
US trade, Tuesday
New Zealand unemployment, Wednesday
China trade, Wednesday
Chile copper exports, trade, Wednesday
US consumer credit, Wednesday
ECB Supervisory Board member Elizabeth McCaul speaks, Wednesday
RBA Governor Michele Bullock speaks, Thursday
Philippines GDP, Thursday
India rate decision, Thursday
US initial jobless claims, Thursday
Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin speaks, Thursday
Chile CPI, Thursday
Colombia CPI, Thursday
Mexico CPI, rate decision Thursday
Peru rate decision, Thursday
China PPI, CPI, Friday
Germany CPI, Friday
Canada unemployment, Friday
Brazil CPI, Friday
Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
S&P 500 futures fell 1% as of 8:45 a.m. Tokyo time
Hang Seng futures fell 0.4%
S&P/ASX 200 futures fell 1.5%
Nikkei 225 futures fell 3.1%
Currencies
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed
The euro was little changed at $1.0906
The Japanese yen rose 0.5% to 145.78 per dollar
The offshore yuan rose 0.2% to 7.1494 per dollar
The Australian dollar fell 0.1% to $0.6502
Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin fell 1.4% to $58,304.18
Ether fell 1.8% to $2,700.26
Commodities
Bonds
This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.
Warren Buffett walks the floor and meets with Berkshire Hathaway shareholders ahead of their annual meeting in Omaha, Nebraska on May 3rd, 2024.
David A. Grogan
Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway dumped nearly half of its gigantic Apple stake last quarter in a surprising move for the famously long-term-focused investor.
The Omaha-based conglomerate disclosed in its earnings filing that its holding in the iPhone maker was valued at $84.2 billion at the end of the second quarter, suggesting that the Oracle of Omaha offloaded a little more than 49% of the tech stake. Even after the selling Apple remains the largest stock stake by far for Berkshire.
The Apple share sale comes amid a broader pattern of selling by Buffett in the second quarter as Berkshire unloaded more than $75 billion in equities in the period, raising the conglomerate’s cash fortress to a record $277 billion.
Buffett had trimmed the Apple stake by 13% in the first quarter and hinted at the Berkshire annual meeting in May that it was for tax reasons. Buffett noted that selling “a little Apple” this year would benefit Berkshire shareholders in the long run if the tax on capital gains is raised down the road by a U.S. government wanting to plug a climbing fiscal deficit.
But the magnitude of this selling suggests it could be more than just a tax-saving move.
After declining in the first quarter on concerns it was falling behind on artificial intelligence innovation, Apple shares took off in the second quarter, gaining 23% to a new record as it gave more detail to investors about its future in artificial intelligence.
It won’t be clear exactly why Buffett is selling down the holding Berkshire first bought more than eight years ago, whether company reasons, market valuation or because of portfolio management concerns (Buffett typically doesn’t want a single holding to grow too large). Berkshire’s Apple holding was once so big that it took up half of its equity portfolio.
Apple
The 93-year-old investor largely avoided technology companies for most of his career before Apple. Berkshire began buying the stock in 2016 under the influence of Buffett’s investing lieutenants Ted Weschler and Todd Combs. Over the years, Buffett grew so fond of Apple that he increased the stake drastically to make it Berkshire’s biggest and called the tech giant the second-most important business after his cluster of insurers.
Buffett has been on a bit of a selling spree as of late with his top holdings. Buffett recently starting downsizing his second biggest stake — Bank of America, shedding $3.8 billion worth of the bank shares after a 12-day selling spree.
Overall, the quarterly report showed Buffett dumping stock last quarter, which saw the S&P 500 rise to a record in anticipation of a “soft landing” for the U.S. economy. That soft landing was called into question this week with Friday’s weaker-than-expected July jobs report.
Apple Intelligence capabilities introduced during Apple’s WWDC2024 in Cupertino, Calif. on June 10th. 2024.
Source: Apple Inc.
Apple‘s new artificial intelligence features will roll out in October, missing the initial launch of iPhone and iPad software updates, according to a Bloomberg report released on Monday.
The company split the Apple Intelligence features from the initial iOS launch due to concerns over their stability and need to run tests on a wider scale, the report said.
Apple previously said its AI features would be released in a beta version this fall, and they’re expected to help drive sales of Apple’s new iPhones. The features will only work on iPhone 15 Pro models and newer. Some of the promised Apple Intelligence features, such as ChatGPT integration and Siri improvements, are expected to be released later in the year.
Apple plans to give developers early access to Apple Intelligence as soon as this week in the iOS 18.1 beta, Bloomberg said.
The company first announced Apple Intelligence on June 10. The AI features, which will also be available on all Macs and iPads that run the M1 chip or newer, can proofread writing or re-write in a friendly or professional tone, create custom emojis, and summarize and transcribe phone calls.
Apple did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump walks off stage after speaking at a campaign rally at the Van Andel Arena in Grand Rapids, Michigan, on July 20, 2024.
Anna Moneymaker | Getty Images
NASHVILLE — Former President Donald Trump said that if he were returned to the White House, he would ensure that the federal government never sells off its bitcoin holdings. But he stopped short of proposing a formal federal reserve of digital currency.
“For too long our government has violated the cardinal rule that every bitcoiner knows by heart: Never sell your bitcoin,” Trump said during his keynote speech at this year’s Bitcoin Conference in Nashville, the biggest bitcoin conference of the year.
The former president’s remarks cameas the race to capture the votes and the campaign cash of America’s frontline fintech adopters takes center stage in the 2024 presidential contest.
“This afternoon I’m laying out my plan to ensure that the United States will be the crypto capital of the planet and the bitcoin superpower of the world and we’ll get it done,” Trump said.
But Trump’s pledge to simply maintain the U.S. government’s current bitcoin holdings was a less radical pitch to the crypto crowd relative to other proposals at the conference.
Third-party candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., for instance, during his Friday Bitcoin Conference speech promised to launch a reserve of 4 million bitcoin, starting with the bitcoin holdings that the U.S. government already has stockpiled from criminal seizures. Kennedy said he would mandate the government purchase 550 bitcoin a day until the reserve reached 4 million.
Shortly after Trump’s speech, Sen. Cynthia Lummis, R-Wy., read out her own legislative proposal to amass an official U.S. federal reserve of 1 million bitcoin over five years.
“It will be held for a minimum of 20 years and can be used for one purpose: Reduce our debt,” Lummis said.
The price of bitcoin briefly dipped during Trump’s speech, but recovered and was up slightly for the day, as of 5:15 p.m. E.T.
Throughout his remarks, the former president worked to draw contrasts between the Republican Party’s growing embrace of crypto versus the hardline regulatory approach that has characterized the Biden administration.
“The Biden-Harris administration’s repression of crypto and bitcoin is wrong and it’s very bad for our country,” Trump said. “Let me tell you if they win this election, every one of you will be gone. They will be vicious. They will be ruthless. They will do things that you wouldn’t believe.”
Trump went on to list a series of crypto-friendly promises to a crowd of cheering bitcoin supporters, promising to dismantle what he called the “anti-crypto crusade” of President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris.
“On day one, I will fire Gary Gensler,” Trump said, referencing the Biden-appointed chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission who has taken an aggressive approach to crypto regulation.
The president does not have the power to fire appointed commissioners. Even if Trump were to appoint a new SEC chairman, Gensler would remain a commissioner on the independent agency.
The former president also pledged to create a “bitcoin and crypto presidential advisory council.”
“The rules will be written by people who love your industry, not hate your industry,” Trump said.
The Republican presidential nominee also held an accompanying fundraiser in Nashville, with tickets topping out at $844,600. In June, BTC Inc. CEO David Bailey, who organized the conference, pledged to raise $100 million and turn out more than 5,000,000 voters for the Trump re-election effort, as the bitcoin sector increasingly turns to the Trump camp for support.
Trump taking the main stage to directly address the bitcoin community is the latest in a months-long campaign to appeal to the crypto contingent, including accepting donations in virtual tokens, pledging to end President Joe Biden’s “war on crypto,” and advocating that all future bitcoin be made in America. It is also quite the about-face by the Republican presidential nominee.
Trump very publicly dismissed bitcoin when he was in the White House. In July 2019, he said he was “not a fan” of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. He said that tokens aren’t money, that their value was “based on thin air,” and warned that unregulated crypto assets could help facilitate the drug trade, among “other illegal activity.”
“Bitcoin just seems like a scam,” he told Fox in a phone interview in 2021. “I don’t like it because it’s another currency competing against the dollar.”
“I want the dollar to be the currency of the world, that’s what I’ve always said,” continued Trump in his conversation with Fox.
But five years, a lost presidential election, and millions of dollars from the crypto lobby later, the Republican presidential nominee sung the praises of the digital currency at the biggest bitcoin conference of the year in Nashville, which kicked off on Thursday.
“Bitcoin stands for freedom, sovereignty and independence from government coercion and control,” Trump said during his keynote speech.
Trump’s shift on bitcoin comes as the Republican Party pledges to lift the red tape of the Biden-Harris administration, working to turn crypto regulation into a voting issue for November, especially as inflation consistently ranks as a top voter priority in polls.
As crypto lobbyists and supporters become more of a presence in Washington, it raises questions on whether the Democratic Party will dig into the hardline regulatory approach of the past several years or ease its position.
“Every presidential candidate needs to understand, digital asset, pro-innovation voters are here to stay,” Democratic Rep. Wiley Nickel of North Carolina told CNBC in an interview, adding that crypto regulation should not become a “partisan political football.”
“I want to keep this as a bipartisan issue. I don’t want Donald Trump to politicize this issue,” Rep. Nickel said.
Rep. Ro Khanna, D-Ca., echoed Rep. Nickel’s sentiment, saying that crypto should not turn into a partisan talking point but will require regulation like any technology.
“I don’t really see why it’s partisan. Being against bitcoin is like being against cell phones. It’s like being against AI. It’s like being against laptops,” Khanna told CNBC. “It’s a technology. Have thoughtful regulation on the technology, but it’s a technology that has appreciated from about $10,000 to $80,000.”
Reps. Khanna and Nickel were two of the only Democrats to attend the Bitcoin Conference.
Bitcoin 2024 conference organizers say they were briefly in talks to have Vice President Kamala Harris appear at the conference, though she ultimately declined. But billionaire businessman Mark Cuban posted on X that the Harris campaign had reached out with questions about crypto, so it appears the vice president is looking into this space and potentially figuring out where her policies, if elected president, could land.
“I think we’re going to hear from Vice President Harris soon on this. And I’m very optimistic we’re gonna get a reset. And that I think, will matter in a major way,” Rep. Nickel said. “This issue isn’t going anywhere. And we’ve got to make sure we continue to embrace this in bipartisan way.”
Harris’ team has already begun to reach out to people close to crypto companies to set up meetings, the Financial Times reported on Saturday.
The recent thaw in Trump’s sentiment for the digital asset space has coincided with a sudden influx of interest and cash from the country’s top tech talent.
He has raised more than $4 million in a mix of cryptocurrencies, including bitcoin, ether, the U.S. dollar pegged stablecoin USDC, and various memecoins, with contributors hailing from 12 states, including a few battlegrounds.
Crypto billionaire twins and venture investors Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss led the charge, each contributing 15.57 bitcoin, or just over $1 million at the time of their donation, according to a filing with the Federal Election Commission — though they received a partial refund, because contributions surpassed the $844,600 limit.
There are a number of other venture capitalists who are pro-crypto, and they’ve pledged millions to the Trump campaign, as well.
Venture capitalists Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz told employees of Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) that they plan to make significant donations to political action committees supporting Trump’s campaign. The partners of Sequoia Capital are backing Trump, as is venture investor David Sacks, who helped the former president raise $12 million at a fundraiser he hosted in his San Francisco home. The chief legal officers for centralized crypto exchange Coinbase and blockchain giant Ripple were both there.
These members of the tech elite are also heavily contributing to pro-crypto super PACs like Fairshake, which has raised more than $200 million dollars to elect pro-crypto candidates up and down the ballot, and on both sides of the aisle.
But reporting from NBC News finds that the vice president’s team is looking to win over support from some of big tech’s undecided donors, many of whom remained on the sidelines while President Joe Biden remained in the race. Their tune may be changing now that the vice president is the de facto nominee for the party.
It helps that Harris has a long track record in California.
She has been fundraising in the tech community for years, including from those working at Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft and Apple.
“The pivot that has occurred in the last three days is dramatic,” Steve Westly, a venture capitalist and one-time gubernatorial candidate for California, told NBC News. “I don’t think I’ve ever seen such a surge of enthusiasm in any campaign I’ve been involved with.”
This comes as Trump’s running mate for vice president, JD Vance, is set to hold a fundraiser of his own in Palo Alto on Monday.
— CNBC’s Rebecca Picciotto contributed to this report.
(Bloomberg) — The world’s largest technology companies got hammered as concern about tighter US restrictions on chip sales to China spurred a selloff in the industry that has led the bull market in stocks.
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From the US to Europe and Asia, chipmakers came under heavy pressure. American powerhouses Nvidia Corp., Advanced Micro Devices Inc. and Broadcom Inc. drove a closely watched semiconductor gauge down almost 7% — the most since 2020. Across the Atlantic, ASML Holding NV tumbled over 10% even after the Dutch giant reported strong orders. A plunge in Tokyo Electron Ltd. led the Nikkei 225 Stock Average lower.
Wednesday’s action reprised a recent trend in which capitalization-weighted indexes underperformed the average stock, a consequence of weakness in the megacaps that dominate them. With firms such as Apple Inc. and Microsoft Corp. each making up 7% of the S&P 500, losses are hard to offset even when most of the index’s constituents are up — as they were today.
The Biden administration told allies it’s considering severe curbs if companies like Tokyo Electron and ASML keep giving China access to advanced semiconductor technology. The US is also weighing more sanctions on specific Chinese chip firms linked to Huawei Technologies Co.
“This news on the chip front is the kind of UFO (UnForeseen Occurrence) that could indeed create the kind of selling that could be the catalyst for a tradable correction in the stock market,” said Matt Maley at Miller Tabak + Co. “Broad indices have become very overbought.”
The S&P 500 fell 1.4%. The Nasdaq 100 had its worst day since 2022. A gauge of the “Magnificent Seven” giant companies slipped 3.4%. The Russell 2000 of small firms dropped 1.1%. Wall Street’s “fear gauge” — the VIX — hit the highest since early May. In late hours, United Airlines Holdings Inc. sank on a bearish outlook.
A pair of chipmakers defied the selloff: Intel Corp. and Globalfoundries Inc. And the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed for a sixth straight day — notching another record. Financial shares outperformed, with U.S. Bancorp surging on solid results.
The bond market saw small moves. The Federal Reserve’s Beige Book showed slight economic growth and cooling inflation. The most-notable speaker on Wednesday was Governor Christopher Waller, who said the Fed is getting “closer” to cutting rates, but is not there yet. The yen led gains in major currencies, up almost 1.5%.
The Biden administration is in a tenuous position. US companies feel that restrictions on exports to China have unfairly punished them and are pushing for changes. Allies, meanwhile, see little reason to alter their policies when the presidential election is just a few months away.
“Normally, the impact of these types of headlines isn’t long-lasting, but in this case, we would note that semis have been underperforming the broader market for the last couple of weeks now,” said Bespoke Investment Group strategists. “So that’s something to watch.”
The tech underperformance is coming after a first half which saw megacaps like Nvidia, Microsoft Corp. and Alphabet Inc. propel the market higher, stretching valuations for these names and leaving them with a tougher setup for the rest of 2024.
Can the market keep powering ahead without tech?
“Much of this year’s equity gains have come from a handful of names currently under direct threat from the political arena,” said Jose Torres at Interactive Brokers. “An important question is if the rest of the market, which generally lacks thrilling tales on a relative basis, can offset the waning momentum in ‘Magnificent Seven’ stocks.”
At Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Scott Rubner says “I am not buying the dip.”
The tactical strategist bets the S&P 500 has nowhere to go from here but down. That’s because this Wednesday, July 17, has historically marked a turning point for returns on the equity benchmark, he said, citing data going back to 1928. And what follows, he says, is August — typically the worst month for outflows from passive equity and mutual funds.
Jonathan Krinsky at BTIG says the market is “nearing the end of the typical bullish window.”
Sentiment remains extremely complacent on the surveys and transactional indicators, he noted.
“While the rotation out of megacap tech into cyclicals and small-caps is encouraging, it felt a bit forced happening in such a short period of time,” Krinsky said. “Even if this is going to be a more long-lasting rotation, we likely won’t be able to see that new leadership until after we see a higher correlation correction and then see what leads coming out of that.”
Corporate Highlights:
Tesla Inc. forming an autonomous taxi platform will be the catalyst for a roughly 10-fold increase in its share price, Ark Investment Management LLC’s Cathie Wood said, echoing years of bullish predictions about a business the carmaker has yet to stand up.
Amazon.com Inc.’s marketing portal for merchants crashed Tuesday night, according to multiple Amazon sellers and consultants, fouling up one of the online retailer’s biggest sales of the year.
Morgan Stanley became the latest big Wall Street bank to tap the US investment-grade market Wednesday after reporting earnings, as strong investor demand helps lenders borrow at lower yields than would have been possible at the start of the month.
Johnson & Johnson’s second-quarter profit beat Wall Street projections on strong pharmaceutical sales, while the company cut its full-year forecast to account for a spate of recent acquisitions.
Key events this week:
ECB rate decision, Thursday
US initial jobless claims, Philadelphia Fed manufacturing, Conference Board LEI, Thursday
Fed’s Mary Daly, Lorie Logan and Michelle Bowman speak, Thursday
Fed’s John Williams, Raphael Bostic speak, Friday
Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
The S&P 500 fell 1.4% as of 4 p.m. New York time
The Nasdaq 100 fell 2.9%
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.6%
The MSCI World Index fell 0.9%
Currencies
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.3%
The euro rose 0.3% to $1.0936
The British pound rose 0.3% to $1.3008
The Japanese yen rose 1.4% to 156.19 per dollar
Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin fell 0.1% to $64,610.01
Ether fell 0.7% to $3,416.9
Bonds
The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 4.15%
Germany’s 10-year yield was little changed at 2.42%
Britain’s 10-year yield advanced three basis points to 4.08%
Commodities
West Texas Intermediate crude rose 2.6% to $82.89 a barrel
Spot gold fell 0.4% to $2,457.97 an ounce
This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.
–With assistance from Cecile Gutscher and Sujata Rao.
It’s been another great run for stocks since the Club’s last monthly meeting in June. The likelihood the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates sooner than later after recent upbeat inflation data pushed stocks to new highs over the past few weeks. Traders now see the odds of a rate cut by September at 100% , according to the CME FedWatch tool . The Dow Jones Industrial Average reached an all-time intraday high on Tuesday, while the S & P 500 did the same Monday. On July 11, the Nasdaq Composite hit new a new high as well. Taking advantage of the overbought market, we’ve executed a series of trades. The Club offloaded shares of TJX Companies on Friday in order to raise some additional cash. Before that, we made sales of Meta Platforms and Palo Alto Networks on July 8, locking in massive gains of 150% and 94%, respectively, since we first purchased both. On the flip side, we’ve looked for opportunities during the tech pullback. We started by initiating a small position in Advanced Micro Devices , a stock we most recently owned in the summer of 2023, and bought more on Tuesday. Through all the portfolio action, a key theme has emerged in the stock market, especially over the past week. Investors are jumping on the chance to get in on sectors outside of Big Tech. The Russell 2000 , which measures the performance of small-cap U.S. stocks, jumped nearly 11% in the past five sessions. Meanwhile, the tech-heavy Nasdaq edged 0.18% lower over the period. Case in point: Some of our biggest winners in 2024, mega-cap stocks like Amazon , Alphabet, Meta and Microsoft posted losses since our last meeting. Amazon is still up 27% for the year, while Alphabet and Meta jumped 31% and 38%, respectively. Other losers included our stocks with heavy ties to China: Wynn Resorts , Starbucks and Estee Lauder . All said, 12 of the portfolio’s 34 stocks were in the red. We see the market rotation playing out in our top-five performing names as well. From the June 27 close through Tuesday, only one company is in mega-cap tech. Here’s our top five and what’s driving the gains for each: 1. Ford Motor: 17.7% There wasn’t a single catalyst for Ford Motor’s outperformance. Investor sentiment, however, looks to have improved on signs that sales are picking up. Shares of the automaker rose on July 3 after the company said hybrid vehicle sales surged 56% in the second quarter, which set a new quarterly sales record for the segment. On July 11, the stock jumped again after June’s consumer price index (CPI) print indicated easing inflation and strengthened the Fed’s case to lower rates — an environment that could lead to more consumers buying Ford’s vehicles. The stock reached a 52-week high of $14.43 apiece on Monday. 2. Morgan Stanley: 10.9% Would a second presidency for Donald Trump benefit big U.S. banks? Investors in Morgan Stanley seem to think so. Shares advanced after President Joe Biden and Trump squared off during the June 27 presidential debate , which many viewed as a big win for the former president. Morgan Stanley’s momentum continued into July and hit an all-time high of $109.11 on Tuesday after the bank posted a largely better-than-expected second quarter report . We raised our price target to $120 from $98 apiece after results. 3. Stanley Black & Decker: 10.5% Stanley Black & Decker shares surged on recent signs of forthcoming monetary policy easing, which could spur housing market activity because of lower borrowing costs. More homeowners means more demand for the DeWalt parent’s offerings as buyers look for tools needed to fix things around the house. This, along with investors looking for pockets outside of Big Tech, have sent the stock higher since July 1. Shares of the company climbed 3.5% on Tuesday, and the Club capitalized of the stock’s advance, trimming our position in the afternoon. To be sure, we still see long-term gains ahead once the Fed starts to cut. 4. Apple: 9.7% Apple hit a record high of $237.23 apiece on Monday after Morgan Stanley listed the stock as a top industry pick. The Wall Street analysts said that the company’s artificial intelligence efforts will cause a much-needed upgrade cycle for the company’s flagship iPhone. Morgan Stanley also hiked Apple’s price target to $273 apiece from $213, a more than 16% upside from Tuesday’s close. It’s not like the stock was stalled: Shares have been climbing for months on excitement about Apple’s AI plans, which were recently unveiled at the company’s worldwide developers conference on June 10. 5. Dover: 7.3% Dover began its ascent higher on July 9 as capital rotated into sectors that benefit more from interest rate cuts. Dover is an industrial name, producing thermal connectors that are used in one of the fastest-growing end markets: data centers. This makes Dover a great under-the-radar AI play. “Dover is going to be a big name for me,” Jim said recently. Shares hit an all-time high Tuesday of $190.54 each, and closed the day nearly 3% higher. (See here for a full list of the stocks in Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
A trader works, as a screen broadcasts a news conference by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell following the Fed rate announcement, on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in New York City, U.S., June 12, 2024.
Brendan Mcdermid | Reuters
It’s been another great run for stocks since the Club’s last monthly meeting in June.
The S&P 500 hit a fresh new milestone on Wednesday, closing above 5,600 for the first time ever thanks to a rise in semiconductor stocks. The broad market index jumped 1.02%, and marked a seventh straight day of gains. The Nasdaq Composite, meanwhile, climbed 1.18% and also hit a new all-time high, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average joined the trend, adding 429.39 points, or 1.09%. Chip stocks led the day, with Taiwan Semiconductor rising 3.5% and Nvidia adding 2.7%, while Qualcomm and Broadcom rose about 0.8% and 0.7%, respectively. Follow live market updates.
Delta shares tumbled nearly 10% in premarket trading Thursday morning after the airline kicked off earnings season with a forecast that fell short of analysts’ estimates. Delta forecast record revenue for the third quarter, thanks to booming summer travel demand, but it expects to grow its flying capacity by 5% to 6% compared with last year, slower than the 8% it had expected in the second quarter. Airlines are seeing travel demand break records, but profits have lagged as the industry faces higher costs. Meanwhile, Delta also reported earnings in line with expectations and adjusted revenue of $15.41 billion, slightly less than the $15.45 billion expected, based on consensus estimates from LSEG.
An attendee films Samsung Electronics’ Galaxy Smart Ring during its unveiling ceremony in Seoul, South Korea, July 8, 2024.
Kim Hong-ji | Reuters
Samsung wants to put a ring on it. The tech giant launched the Galaxy Ring on Wednesday, a lightweight “smart ring” equipped with sensors designed for health monitoring 24 hours a day. The ring starts at $399.99. The announcement follows rival Apple‘s push into that space and comes as users hold onto smartphones for longer, inspiring device makers to look for add-on electronics products. Among other things, Samsung also unveiled its latest foldable smartphones, which are packed with AI features, at an event in Paris. The Samsung Galaxy Z Fold6 starts at $1,899.99 and opens like a book to have a bigger screen, while the Z Flip6 is a more traditional flip phone with a bendable screen and starts at $1,099.99.
Shares of software company Hubspot plunged 12% Wednesday after Bloomberg reported that Google parent Alphabet has shelved plans to buy the company. Alphabet expressed its interest in a deal earlier this year, “but the sides didn’t reach a point of detailed discussions about due diligence,” according to the report, which cited people with knowledge of the matter. Hubspot, which makes software that other companies use to automate marketing and reach prospective customers, has reported strong revenue growth and sales in recent quarters. An acquisition would have helped Google grow revenue from its business software and cloud infrastructure, but U.S. regulators have been pushing back on deals involving Big Tech companies.
Customers enter a Costco Wholesale Corp. warehouse store in Hawthorne, California, on June 12, 2024.
Patrick T. Fallon | Afp | Getty Images
Costco is going to cost more. The retailer said Wednesday that the price of a standard annual membership would rise by $5, to $65 from $60, in the U.S. and Canada starting Sept. 1. The higher tier of its membership, the “Executive Plan” would increase by $10, to $130 a year from $120. It’s the first time in seven years that Costco has raised its membership fees and has delayed its usual timeline of upping the price every five and a half years as consumers dealt with high inflation.
— CNBC’s Brian Evans, Leslie Josephs, Arjun Kharpal, Jordan Novet, Jennifer Elias and Melissa Repko contributed to this report.
— Follow broader market action like a pro on CNBC Pro.
Jim Cramer’s daily rapid fire looks at stocks in the news outside the CNBC Investing Club portfolio. Corning : Shares of the specialty materials company popped more than 10.5% on Monday after pre-announcing better-than-expected earnings. Management is now forecasting higher revenue and earnings-per-share on the high end of previous guidance for the second quarter. The company is set to report on July 30. Shares of Corning, which makes glass for Apple devices, reached their highest levels since February 2022. Tesla : Shares of the electric vehicle leader made a huge, 27% increase last week after the company delivered better-than-expected second-quarter production and deliveries. The stock jumped another nearly 3% on Monday. Cramer called the rally a short squeeze — meaning investors betting Tesla stock would go down were forced to cover as it ripped higher. JPMorgan : The bank caught a rare downgrade, with Wolfe Research taking its rating to peer perform from outperform (hold from buy) on valuation and exposure to lower net interest income given the threat of lower Federal Reserve interest rates approaching. Cramer said he’s concerned heading into JPMorgan’s second-quarter earnings Friday since there was a big sell-off following its Q1 release in April when the bank guided flat NII for 2024. “I don’t want the stock coming in hot,” he added. Domino’s Pizza : The pizza delivery chain was upgraded to an outperform rating from a neutral (buy from hold) at Baird. The analysts also raised their price target to $580 per share from $530. Baird sees the recent 7.4% pullback in Domino’s stock over the last eight sessions as an opportunity. They cited strong fundamentals, product pipeline, and management. Cramer thought this was a fair call since Domino’s CEO Russell Weiner is “crushing it.” ServiceNow : Shares of the enterprise software company took an over 4% dive on Monday after Guggenheim downgraded the stock to sell from neutral. The analysts said the company will get a boost from its generative artificial intelligence business in the second half of this year but won’t see that momentum into 2025. Cramer said the call was contrary to CEO Bill McDermott’s stance that generative AI offerings have been resonating with customers.
Wall Street finished higher for the holiday-shortened trading week, with tech stocks leading the way. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained under 1% for the week. The S & P 500 and Nasdaq , which both closed at record highs Friday — rising nearly 2% and 3.5%, respectively, for the week. The first week of July continued the strength seen in June, the second quarter, and the first half of 2024. The S & P 500 technology sector was the big winner this past week, with Apple and Broadcom as our top Club stocks. Consumer discretionary and communication services, featuring Club name Meta Platforms and Alphabet , were also strong. Energy led to the downside this week, followed by health care and industrials. Looking back on the week, short as it was given the early close on Wednesday and Thursday off, we got some notable updates on the economy and heard from Club holding Constellation Brands . The Corona and Modelo brewer’s quarterly results Wednesday were decent , and the stock initially popped on the news. We told members that we were taking some profits in Constellation shortly before the open . However, the troubled wine and spirits business remained a problem that management must address in the coming quarters. Shares finished Wednesday down more than 3%, though they recovered much of that on Friday for a relatively flat week. Helping Friday’s largely higher session was drop in bond yields – precipitated by an uptick in June’s unemployment rate to 4.1% and only modestly higher than expected nonfarm payrolls additions of 206,000. Wage inflation was right in line with expectations. Taken as a whole, the government’s monthly jobs report card supported the case of the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at its September meeting. While market odds favor a second cut in December, the Fed projected after its June meeting just one rate cut this year. This past week also brought updates on the manufacturing sector. On Monday, June’s ISM Manufacturing purchasing managers index came in weaker than expected and pointed to a faster-than-expected contraction, and on Wednesday, May’s factory order numbers showed a monthly decline versus expectations for a small increase. The ISM’s services PMI for June, out Wednesday, also disappointed, as it showed a contraction in the services sectors. Economists had been expecting to see an expansion. These readings were also green lights for the Fed to start cutting rates. We hope everyone had a good July 4 th and has a restful weekend. You’ll want to take advantage of the lull because believe it or not, earnings season is back. Three of the four big money center banks report this coming Friday, including Club name Wells Fargo . The government also delivers key data on consumer and wholesale inflation. Economic data : The June consumer price index (CPI) is out on Thursday morning, and the June producer price index (PPI) is out on Friday morning. Of the two, CPI carries more weight given that it more closely represents what consumers are paying for a basket of goods from one year, or month, to the next, which is the Fed’s main concern. However, PPI is important to track because it tells us what is happening at the cost input level for corporations. That speaks to margin dynamics – and therefore, it can inform us on both profitability and potential price actions companies may need to take in the future to protect profitability. Within the CPI data, be sure to watch the shelter component, which has been a huge thorn in the Fed’s side. Shelter, a barometer of what people pay for housing, has proven a very sticky source of inflation – a problem because, for most Americans, it represents a large and unavoidable cost. For headline CPI, economists are looking for a 3.1% annual increase, according to FactSet as of Friday. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, is expected to increase 3.5% year over year. If realized, that would represent a slight deceleration at the headline level but a slight acceleration at the core level. As for PPI, economists are looking for a 2.3% annual increase at the headline level and a 2.5% year-over-year rise at the core level. Those numbers would be slightly higher than what we saw in May. Earnings season : Within the portfolio, net interest income (NII) guidance is going to be a key watch item when Wells Fargo reports its quarter this coming Friday. At an industry conference Tuesday, CFO Michael Santomassimo reiterated guidance for NII to be down 7% to 9% year over year. We still think this outlook could be conservative since the Fed’s higher-for-longer policy is generally a tailwind to net interest income. However, other factors like muted loan demand have prevented Wells Fargo from raising its outlook this year. Recognizing strong recent runs in shares of Wells Fargo and our other Club bank Morgan Stanley , we took some profits this past Friday. Morgan Stanley is set to deliver its earnings on Tuesday, July 16. We’re also interested to hear management’s thoughts on the intended pace of share repurchases in the second half of the year, now that the results of the stress test are in. Wells Fargo – and our other bank name Morgan Stanely – both passed, indicating they have strong capital positions with excess money to return to shareholders. Other higher-level watch items in the Wells Fargo report include commentary on the state of consumer savings, an indication of further buying power, and the real estate market, which has been something we’ve been monitoring as the world finds a new normal post-Covid. Monday, July 8 No major events Tuesday, July 9 No major events Wednesday, July 10 No major events Thursday, July 11 8:30 a.m. ET: Consumer price index 8:30 a.m. ET: Initial jobless claims Before the bell earnings: PepsiCo (PEP), Delta Air Lines (DAL), Conagra Brands (CAG) Friday, July 12 8:30 a.m. ET: Producer price index Before the bell: Wells Fargo (WFC), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Citigroup (C) (See here for a full list of the stocks in Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
U.S. flag is seen hanging on New York Stock Exchange building on Independence Day In New York, United States on America on July 4th, 2024.
Beata Zawrzel | Nurphoto | Getty Images
Wall Street finished higher for the holiday-shortened trading week, with tech stocks leading the way.
A block of industrial factories sits among newer apartment buildings along a canal in Tokyo, Japan.
Photo By Michael Russell | Moment | Getty Images
Asia-Pacific markets opened higher on Wednesday, after U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell noted progress on inflation, but reiterated patience on cutting rates at a central banking forum.
Traders in Asia await June business activity data from India, Japan and China which is set for release later in the day.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 was up 0.45% extending its run above the 40,000 mark, while the broad-based Topix was up 0.11%.
South Korea’s Kospi started the morning up 0.50%, while the Kosdaq Index rose 0.8%.
Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 opened up 0.17% in early trade.
Hong Kong Hang Seng index futures were at 17,764, lower than the HSI’s last close of 17,769.14.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose about 3.8% in the first six months of the year, lagging way behind the Nasdaq, up 18.1%, and the S&P 500, which jumped 14.5% — as investors plowed into artificial intelligence-related stocks.
Brendan Mcdermid | Reuters
This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.
Boeing ‘guilty plea’ U.S. prosecutors plan to seek a guilty plea from Boeing over a charge related to two fatal 737 Max crashes in 2018 and 2019, attorneys for the victims’ family members said. The Justice Department is reviewing whether Boeing violated a 2021 settlement that shielded the company from federal charges. Boeing agreed then to pay a $2.5 billion penalty for a conspiracy charge tied to the crashes. The DOJ revisited the agreement after a door panel blew out of a new 737 Max 9 in January, sparking a new safety crisis.
Under fire Nike CEO John Donahoe faces growing discontent as the company’s stock plummeted 20% on Friday, its worst day since 1980, after forecasting a significant decline in sales. As Wall Street digested the dismal outlook from the world’s largest sportswear company, at least six investment banks downgraded Nike’s stock. Analysts at Morgan Stanley and Stifel took it a step further, specifically calling the company’s management into question.
Bitcoin windfall Mt. Gox, a bankrupt Japanese bitcoin exchange, is set to repay creditors nearly $9 billion worth of Bitcoin following a 2011 hack. The court-appointed trustee overseeing the exchange’s bankruptcy proceedings said distributions to the firm’s roughly 20,000 creditors would begin this month. The payout is likely to be a windfall for those who waited a decade, with Bitcoin’s value surging from around $600 in 2014 to over $60,000 today. One claimant, Gregory Greene, could potentially receive $2.5 million for his $25,000 investment.
Inflation cooling A key inflation measure, watched closely by the Federal Reserve, slowed to its lowest annual rate in over three years in May, with the core personal consumption expenditures price index rising 2.6% from a year ago. “This is just additional news that monetary policy is working, inflation is gradually cooling,” San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly told CNBC’s Andrew Ross Sorkin during a “Squawk Box” interview. “That’s a relief for businesses and households who have been struggling with persistently high inflation. It’s good news for how policy is working.”
[PRO] Rally will broaden The tech sector has driven market performance in 2024, with the S&P 500 tech group up 28% and Nvidia soaring 149%, while small-caps have lagged. Oppenheimer’s chief market strategist John Stoltzfus believes the rally will broaden. CNBC’s Lisa Kailai Han looks at the reasons behind his call.
It's a busy political environment for markets to navigate. Wall Street has shown remarkable resilience thanks to the AI-powered rally in the first half of the year, which has seen the Nasdaq soar 18% so far. Nvidia is up almost 150%. There could be more to come; Bank of America believes Nvidia and Apple could still deliver "superior returns."
John Donahoe was brought in from eBay to transform the athletic apparel giant's digital channels. The company ditched its retail partners, became too dependent on its aging sneaker ranges and lost ground to new contenders Hoka and On. It'll certainly make an interesting case study for MBA programs for all the wrong reasons. As Wall Street questioned Donahoe's position, he still had the approval of its founder.
Friday also saw the Fed's favored inflation measure come in line with expectations, raising the prospect of interest rate cuts later this year.
"I really think the Fed should tee up a cut at the July 31 meeting, confirm it at Jackson Hole in August and do it in September," Wharton finance professor Jeremy Siegel told CNBC's "Squawk on the Street." He added that one or maybe one-and-a-half rate cuts have already been priced in.
"I actually think there will be more because there might be a little bit more softness in the economy and better inflation numbers, both of those feeding better rates," he continued. Siegel also said it is "hard to say" where the bull market's trajectory currently stands.
In a four-day trading week — markets are closed for the July 4 Independence Day holiday — the big economic number to watch is the June jobless data on Friday. CNBC's Sarah Min has more on what to expect.
— CNBC's Lisa Kailai Han, Yun Li, Jeff Cox, Leslie Josephs, Gabrielle Fonrouge, Hakyung Kim, Brian Evans, Spencer Kimball, Ryan Browne and MacKenzie Sigalos contributed to this report.
LONDON — British fintech firm Zilch said Wednesday it’s raised $125 million in debt financing from German banking giant Deutsche Bank in a deal that will help the company triple sales in the next couple of years and move closer toward an initial public offering.
The company, which offers shoppers the ability to purchase items and pay off the debt they owe in monthly, interest-free installments, said the debt was structured as a securitization, where multiple loans can be packaged together.
Zilch initially sourced credit for its installment plans and other loans from Goldman Sachs‘s private credit arm. The company said the deal with Deutsche Bank came with more flexible terms and would enable it to draw down up to $315 of credit in total — including from different banks.
Philip Belamant, Zilch’s CEO and co-founder, noted the terms of its arrangement with Goldman Sachs were beneficial for a young, fast-growing startup — but ultimately too restrictive. Zilch’s capital needs have accelerated as the business has matured, and required a credit arrangement that was more flexible, he said.
“For us, we think it’s a major milestone in the company’s growing stage, which is, we’ve gone through the line we have with Goldman, it’s been a brilliant relationship and partnership,” Belamant told CNBC. “But now we’re stepping it up to securitization … so we [can] continue scaling.”
The additional $190 million of credit will become available to Zilch as the firm continues to grow. Belamant said the firm is already planning to strike agreements with other banks to raise more debt in the coming months.
The move is a sign of how buy now, pay later upstarts are continuing to double down on their products and loan growth, even as larger incumbent players in finance and technology are bowing out of the once-buzzy market.
Belamant said that with additional capital of $125 million, the firm’s path toward an IPO will likely be accelerated, with Zilch currently aiming to go public in the next 12 to 24 months.
The deal will help Zilch generate $3.75 billion of gross sales by 2026, Belamant said.
He explained that for every $1 of debt raised, Zilch can generate $30 of gross merchandise value (GMV) — the combined value of sales processed on its platform.
So, with $125 million of capital, that will drive $3.75 billion of gross sales. Once Zilch has reaches the $315 million maximum funding threshold, it expects to generate nearly $10 billion of GMV by 2026.
Zilch has already generated over £2.5 billion in GMV since its founding in 2018. The firm reported revenues of £30 million ($38 million) in the 12 months ended March 2023. Losses totaled £71.7 million, marginally down from a 2022 loss of £78.3 million.
Zilch has three key ways of making money. The first is through interchange fees, where card networks charge merchants’ bank account each time a consumer makes a payment. The second is commission fees, where merchants pay to appear on Zilch’s app.
Zilch also has an advertising sales network where it provides placements for retailers to promote their wares to consumers. The UK firm claims it is able to achieve conversion rates of up to 55%, more than 10 times higher than the search industry average.
Belamant caveated the firm is keeping a watchful eye on uncertainty around the U.K.’s upcoming election and market conditions more generally.
“It’s hard to obviously say we’re on that range just due to the market, [and] there’s an election happening, [so] obviously we’ll see what happens,” he said.
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang attends an event at COMPUTEX forum in Taipei, Taiwan June 4, 2024.
Ann Wang | Reuters
Nvidia, long known in the niche gaming community for its graphics chips, is now the most valuable public company in the world.
Shares of the chipmaker climbed 3.2% in mid-day trading on Tuesday, lifting the company’s market cap to $3.33 trillion, surpassing Microsoft. Earlier this month, Nvidia hit a $3 trillion market cap for the first time, and passed Apple.
Nvidia shares are up more than 170% so far this year, and took a leg higher after the company reported first-quarter earnings in May. The stock has multiplied by more than nine-fold since the end of 2022, a rise that’s coincided with the emergence of generative artificial intelligence.
Nvidia has about 80% of the market for AI chips used in data centers, a business that’s ballooned as OpenAI, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta and others have raced to snap up the processors needed to build AI models and run increasingly large workloads.
For the most recent quarter, revenue in Nvidia’s data center business rose 427% from a year earlier to $22.6 billion, accounting for about 86% of the company’s total sales.
Apple shares were down about 1% during trading on Tuesday, giving it a $3.28 trillion market value. Microsoft shares slid less than a percentage point, giving it a market cap of $3.32 trillion.
Founded in 1991, Nvidia spent its first few decades primarily as a hardware company that sold chips for gamers to run 3D titles. It’s also dabbled in cryptocurrency mining chips and cloud gaming subscriptions.
But over the past two years, Nvidia shares have skyrocketed as Wall Street came to recognize the company’s technology as the engine behind an explosion in AI that shows no signs of slowing. The rally has lifted co-founder and CEO Jensen Huang’s net worth to about $117 billion, making him the 11th wealthiest person in the world, according to Forbes.
Microsoft shares are up about 20% so far this year. The software giant has also been a major beneficiary of the AI boom, after it took a significant stake in OpenAI and integrated the startup’s AI models into its most important products, including Office and Windows. Microsoft is one of the biggest buyers of Nvidia’s graphics processing units (GPUs) for its Azure cloud service. The company just released a new generation of laptops that are designed to run its AI models, called Copilot+.
Nvidia is a newcomer to the title of most valuable U.S. company. For the past few years, Apple and Microsoft have been trading the title.
Nvidia’s ascent has been so rapid that the company has yet to be added to the Dow Jones Industrial Average, a benchmark of 30 stocks that’s historically included the most valuable U.S. companies. Alongside its earnings release last month, Nvidia announced a 10-for-1 stock split, which went into effect on Jan. 7.
The split gives Nvidia a better shot at being added to the Dow, which is a price-weighted index, meaning that companies with higher stock prices — rather than market caps — have outsized influence on the benchmark.
As Apple eulogized its commitment to purportedly non-invasive AI during its annual developer conference, the iPhone maker neglected to disclose a critical update that’s coming to the next evolution of its Mac operating system — macOS Sequoia.
The New M3-Powered iMacs Are Triggering Serious Deja Vu
As 9to5Mac first reported, Apple last updated the Chess app a dozen years ago, back when it still named its Mac operating system releases after big cats. With OS X Mountain Lion, Apple added Game Center support to Chess, along with a glossy background and some other small additions laid out in an ancient AppleInsider post. The app’s 2012 upgrade looked like this, per AppleInsider.
Screenshot: AppleInsider
The following year, Apple said it ran out of big cats and started naming Mac updates after “inspiring” places in California. In the years since, Apple kept its built-in Chess app around but neglected to update it until now.
Screenshot: 9to5Mac
The latest version of Chess for Mac features shinier and more realistic-looking pieces as well as a textured, gradient background. However, 9to5Mac reports that the revamped game includes fewer themes. The update specifically punts a rather gritty-looking grass theme option, though it’s technically possible that Apple has other changes coming to the app before macOS Sequoia exits beta and sees a wider release.
Apple’s new Apple Intelligence system is designed to infuse generative AI into the core of iOS. The system offers users a host of new services, including text and image generation as well as organizational and scheduling features. Yet while the system provides impressive new capabilities, it also brings complications. For one thing, the AI system relies on a huge amount of iPhone users’ data, presenting potential privacy risks. At the same time, the AI system’s substantial need for increased computational power means that Apple will have to rely increasingly on its cloud system to fulfill users’ requests.
Apple Unveils Its iPhone 15 and Apple Watch Series 9
Apple has historically offered iPhone customers unparalleled privacy; it’s a big part of the company’s brand. Part of those privacy assurances has been the option to choose when mobile data is stored locally and when it’s stored in the cloud. While an increased reliance on the cloud might ring some privacy alarm bells, Apple has anticipated these concerns and created a startling new system that it calls its Private Cloud Compute, or PCC. This is really a cloud security system designed to keep users’ data away from prying eyes while it’s being used to help fulfill AI-related requests.
On paper, Apple’s new privacy system sounds really impressive. The company claims to have created “the most advanced security architecture ever deployed for cloud AI compute at scale.” But what looks like a massive achievement on paper could ultimately cause broader issues for user privacy down the road. And it’s unclear, at least at this juncture, whether Apple will be able to live up to its lofty promises.
How Apple’s Private Cloud Compute Is Supposed to Work
In many ways, cloud systems are just giant databases. If a bad actor gets into that system/database, they can look at the data contained within. However, Apple’s Private Cloud Compute (PCC) brings a number of unique safeguards that are designed to prevent that kind of access.
Apple says it has implemented its security system at both the software and hardware levels. The company created custom servers that will house the new cloud system, and those servers go through a rigorous process of screening during manufacturing to ensure they are secure. “We inventory and perform high-resolution imaging of the components of the PCC node,” the company claims. The servers are also being outfitted with physical security mechanisms such as a tamper-proof seal. iPhone users’ devices can only connect to servers that have been certified as part of the protected system, and those connections are end-to-end encrypted, meaning that the data being transmitted is pretty much untouchable while in transit.
Once the data reaches Apple’s servers, there are more protections to ensure that it stays private. Apple says its cloud is leveraging stateless computing to create a system where user data isn’t retained past the point at which it is used to fulfill an AI service request. So, according to Apple, your data won’t have a significant lifespan in its system. The data will travel from your phone to the cloud, interact with Apple’s high-octane AI algorithms—thus fulfilling whatever random question or request you’ve submitted (“draw me a picture of the Eiffel Tower on Mars”)—and then the data (again, according to Apple) will be deleted.
Apple has instituted an array of other security and privacy protections that can be read about in more detail on the company’s blog. These defenses, while diverse, all seem designed to do one thing: prevent any breach of the company’s new cloud system.
But Is This Really Legit?
Companies make big cybersecurity promises all the time and it’s usually impossible to verify whether they’re telling the truth or not. FTX, the failed crypto exchange, once claimed it kept users’ digital assets in air-gapped servers. Later investigation showed that was pure bullshit. But Apple is different, of course. To prove to outside observers that it’s really securing its cloud, the company says it will launch something called a “transparency log” that involves full production software images (basically copies of the code being used by the system). It plans to publish these logs regularly so that outside researchers can verify that the cloud is operating just as Apple says.
What People Are Saying About the PCC
Apple’s new privacy system has notably polarized the tech community. While the sizable effort and unparalleled transparency that characterize the project have impressed many, some are wary of the broader impacts it may have on mobile privacy in general. Most notably—aka loudly—Elon Musk immediately began proclaiming that Apple had betrayed its customers.
Simon Willison, a web developer and programmer, told Gizmodo that the “scale of ambition” of the new cloud system impressed him.
“They are addressing multiple extremely hard problems in the field of privacy engineering, all at once,” he said. “The most impressive part I think is the auditability—the bit where they will publish images for review in a transparency log which devices can use to ensure they are only talking to a server running software that has been made public. Apple employs some of the best privacy engineers in the business, but even by their standards this is a formidable piece of work.”
But not everybody is so enthused. Matthew Green, a cryptography professor at Johns Hopkins University, expressed skepticism about Apple’s new system and the promises that went along with it.
“I don’t love it,” said Green with a sigh. “My big concern is that it’s going to centralize a lot more user data in a data center, whereas right now most of that is on people’s actual phones.”
Historically, Apple has made local data storage a mainstay of its mobile design, because cloud systems are known for their privacy deficiencies.
“Cloud servers are not secure, so Apple has always had this approach,” Green said. “The problem is that, with all this AI stuff that’s going on, Apple’s internal chips are not powerful enough to do the stuff that they want it to do. So they need to send the data to servers and they’re trying to build these super protected servers that nobody can hack into.”
He understands why Apple is making this move, but doesn’t necessarily agree with it, since it means a higher reliance on the cloud.
Green says Apple also hasn’t made it clear whether it will explain to users what data remains local and what data will be shared with the cloud. This means that users may not know what data is being exported from their phones. At the same time, Apple hasn’t made it clear whether iPhone users will be able to opt out of the new PCC system. If users are forced to share a certain percentage of their data with Apple’s cloud, it may signal less autonomy for the average user, not more. Gizmodo reached out to Apple for clarification on both of these points and will update this story if the company responds.
To Green, Apple’s new PCC system signals a shift in the phone industry to a more cloud-reliant posture. This could lead to a less secure privacy environment overall, he says.
“I have very mixed feelings about it,” Green said. “I think enough companies are going to be deploying very sophisticated AI [to the point] where no company is going to want to be left behind. I think consumers will probably punish companies that don’t have great AI features.”
A mockup of Tesla Inc.’s planned humanoid robot Optimus on display during the Seoul Mobility Show in Goyang, South Korea, on Thursday, March 30, 2023. The motor show will continue through April 9. Photographer: SeongJoon Cho/Bloomberg via Getty Images
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images
The entire value of the S&P 500 currently stands at $45.5 trillion, according to FactSet. Tesla CEO Elon Musk claimed on Thursday that his company’s Optimus humanoid robots could eventually make the automaker worth more than half of that.
Musk, who characterized himself as “pathologically optimistic” at the 2024 annual shareholder meeting in Austin, Texas, said Tesla is embarking on not just a “new chapter” in its life, but is about to write an entirely “new book.” Optimus appears to be one of the main characters.
Tesla first revealed its plans to work on humanoid robots in 2021 at an AI Day event, trotting out a dancer in a unitard that looked like a sleek, androgynous robot.
In January, Tesla showed off Optimus robots folding laundry in a demo video that was immediately criticized by robotics engineers for being deceptive. The robots were not autonomous, but were rather being operated with humans at the controls.
At the shareholder event on Thursday, Musk didn’t divulge exactly what Optimus can do today. He suggested the robots some day will perform like R2-D2 and C-3PO in Star Wars. They could cook or clean for you, do factory work, or even teach your children, Musk suggested.
As for shareholder value, Musk said Optimus could be the catalyst for lifting Tesla’s market cap to $25 trillion someday.
Speaking to a crowd consisting mostly of fawning fanboys in an auditorium at the Gigafactory, Musk promised Tesla would move into “limited production” of Optimus in 2025 and test out humanoid robots in its own factories next year.
The company, he predicted, will have “over 1,000, or a few thousand, Optimus robots working at Tesla” in 2025.
This is all far-out stuff even for Musk, who is notorious for making ambitious promises to investors and customers that don’t pan out — from developing software that can turn an existing Tesla into a self-driving vehicle with an upload, to EV battery swapping stations.
Getting to a $25 trillion market cap would mean that Tesla would be worth about eight times Apple’s value today. The iPhone maker is currently the world’s biggest company by market cap, just ahead of Microsoft.
At Thursday’s close, Tesla was valued at about $580 billion, making it the 10th most valuable company in the S&P 500.
Musk didn’t provide a timeframe for reaching $25 trillion. He did say that autonomous vehicles could get the company to a market cap of $5 trillion to $7 trillion.
Musk said he agreed with numbers from long-time Tesla bull Cathie Wood, the CEO of ARK Invest. This week, ARK put a $2,600 price target on Tesla’s stock by 2029, betting on a commercial robotaxi business that the company has yet to enter.
Wood’s price target equals a market cap for Tesla of over $8 trillion.
Musk’s comments at the annual meeting followed the shareholder vote to reinstate the CEO’s $56 billion pay plan, five months after a Delaware court ordered the company to rescind the package. The crowd cheered when the proposal was read aloud, and when preliminary results were announced.
Taking the stage following the readout of the shareholder votes, Musk said, “I just want to start off by saying hot d—! I love you guys.”
Tesla shares have dropped 27% this year as the company reckons with a sales decline that’s tied in part to an aging lineup of electric vehicles and increased competition in China. The company has also implemented steep layoffs. Musk has encouraged investors to look past the current state of the business and more toward a future of autonomous driving, robots and artificial intelligence.
Among his boldest claims on Thursday was Musk’s declaration that Tesla had advanced so far in developing silicon that it’s surpassed Nvidia when it comes to inference, or the process that trained machine learning models use to draw conclusions from new data.
Nvidia shares have soared almost nine-fold since the end of 2022, driven by demand for its AI chips. The company is now worth about $3.2 trillion.
One concern swirling around Musk is his focus on Tesla given all of his other commitments. He owns and runs social media company X, is CEO of SpaceX, and founded The Boring Co. and Neuralink. He launched another startup, xAI, in March last year and the company recently raised $6 billion in venture funding.
Musk was asked by a shareholder at the meeting how important he is, personally, to the future of Tesla.
“I’m a helpful accelerant to that future,” he said, emphasizing his role in innovation.
He said that, when it comes to humanoid robots, other companies, including tech startups, are going after the market. Competitors include Boston Dynamics, Agility, Neura and Apptronik.
“What really matters is, can we be much faster than everyone else and our product be done a few years before theirs and be better,” Musk said.
