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Ready for snow? Tracking the timing, impacts and snowfall from Tuesday’s winter storm

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We’re getting ready for our first real winter storm of the season on Tuesday. Here’s an early look at what we’re expecting in terms of timing, tracks and plowable snow.

Saturday:

We have sunshine and cool temps for us on this small business Saturday. The wind will still be noticeable from the west, 20-30 mph gusts. Wind chills in the 30s to 20s tonight. Overnight, the clouds thicken a bit but we hold off on any rain until midday Sunday.

Sunday rain:

Scattered showers spread into Boston by noon time. The rain will be rather steady through early evening as more showers push through. Our wind is more from the south so we manage to reach 50 in southeastern New England before the cold front moves through after sunset. The showers taper off west to east 5-7 p.m. after getting around 0.25 inches of rainfall. Sunday night into Monday we clear out and highs Monday return to around 40 with a gusty west wind. 

Tuesday First Alert:

A wintry mess will create hazardous travel across the northeast for Tuesday, Tuesday night, and lingering into Wednesday morning. Our forecast models are still showing slightly different tracks for our storm and a timing difference of a few hours.

One possibility is the low pressure centered over Cape Cod (GFS) Tuesday afternoon. This would bring in more rain and warmer temps, less snow but still a mix to a few inches of accumulation in the Worcester Hills and mountains. 

The other possibility is that the storm center is more offshore (EURO) for Tuesday evening. This would bring more snow and higher totals of plowable accumulation around 495, higher elevations, a mix to rain at the coast. Both outcomes seem to point at mainly rain at the coast and in Boston due to a more northeasterly wind off a very warm ocean. The only chance for snow in Boston may be a quick dusting as the storm pulls away on Wednesday morning and as colder air rushes in for predawn. Stay tuned for more details on this storm for Tuesday.

10-day outlook:

After the storm Tuesday into Wednesday morning we turn blustery and cold with a couple dry days through next weekend. A small storm system will be nearby for Saturday, and another at the end of our 10-day forecast. 

Track Tuesday’s storm with live radar:

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Pamela Gardner

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