Mamdani leading, New Jersey governor candidates virtually tied in new Emerson College Poll: Political Power Ranker

(WHTM) – A new poll shows Zohran Mamdani with a strong lead in the New York City mayoral race, while the election for Governor of New Jersey remains hotly contested.

The final Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill survey found 49% of likely New Jersey voters support Democrat Mikie Sherrill and 48% support Republican Jack Ciattarelli for Governor. Two percent of those voters surveyed were undecided.

“Heading into Election Day, the gender divide in the gubernatorial election has solidified: men break for Ciattarelli by 16 points, while women break for Sherrill by 18 points,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said. “Since last month, Ciattarelli’s lead among men increased by four points, and Sherill’s lead among women grew by eight points.”

The poll of New York City voters found Mamdani with a 25-point lead over Andrew Cuomo, 50% to 25%, while 21% support Curtis Sliwa, and 4% are undecided.

“Mamdani appears to have built a coalition across key demographics, increasing his margin among Black voters since last month, from 50% to 71%, whereas Cuomo dropped ten points among Black voters since September,” Kimball noted.

The Emerson College Polling New York City survey was conducted October 25-27, 2025.

George Stockburger

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